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Global Smart City Market A $1.5 Trillion Growth Opportunity in 2020

Global Smart City Market – A $1.5 Trillion Market Opportunity by 2020

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Page 1: Global Smart City Market – A $1.5 Trillion Market Opportunity by 2020

Global Smart City MarketA $1.5 Trillion Growth Opportunity in 2020

Page 2: Global Smart City Market – A $1.5 Trillion Market Opportunity by 2020

Today’s Presenters

2

Sarwant SinghSenior PartnerFrost & Sullivan

Archana AmarnathProgram ManagerFrost & Sullivan

Karen Parrish VP of Industry Solutions, Public SectorIBM

Page 3: Global Smart City Market – A $1.5 Trillion Market Opportunity by 2020

Agenda

Smart City Market - Key Smart City Segments

Introduction and Definition

3

City Stakeholders Analysis – Key Market Participants and New Business Models

Roles for Companies within the Smart City Ecosystem

Macro to Micro Opportunities

Page 4: Global Smart City Market – A $1.5 Trillion Market Opportunity by 2020

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26 global smart cities by 2025 90 global sustainable cities by 2025

$1.5 trillion global market 2020 20% growth in smart energy sector to 2020

Key Findings of the Report

Four Smart City Roles –integrator, network service provider, pure-play product vendor, and Managed service provider

New Business Models–BOO, BOT, BOM, and OBM

Page 5: Global Smart City Market – A $1.5 Trillion Market Opportunity by 2020

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Smart Diamond that Defines a Smart City

4G

Smart Energy

Smart Building

Smart Citizen

Smart Technology

Smart Healthcare

Smart Mobility

Smart Infrastructure*

Smart Governance

Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.* Other Smart Infrastructure such as security solutions sensor networks, digital management of water utilities not included in other segments

Page 6: Global Smart City Market – A $1.5 Trillion Market Opportunity by 2020

Key Parameters That Will Define a Smart City in 2020

• Smart Grids• Smart Meters• Intelligent Energy

Storage

• Building Automation• Intelligent Buildings:

Advance d HVAC, Lighting Equipment

• Low-emission Mobility• Integrated Mobility

Solutions• Multimodal Transport

• Sensor Networks• Digital Water and

Waste Management

• Use of ehealth and mhealth systems

• Intelligent and connected medical devices

• e-Government• e-Education• Disaster Management

Solutions

• Use of Green Mobility Options

• Smart Lifestyle Choices• Energy conscious

• Broadband penetration rate of over 80%

• Location Based Services, Augmented Reality, GPS enabled devices/ phones

Smart Energy: Digital Management of Energy

Smart Buildings: Automated Intelligent Buildings

Smart Mobility: Intelligent Mobility

Smart Infrastructure: Digital Management of Infrastructure*

Smart Governance: Government-on-the-Go

Smart Healthcare: Intelligent Healthcare Technology

Smart Citizen: Civic Digital Natives

Smart Technology: Seamless Connectivity

Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.Note: *Infrastructure not included in other segments

Smart Security: Safe Cities

• Surveillance• Biometrics• Simulation modelling

and crime prediction• C2 and response

Page 7: Global Smart City Market – A $1.5 Trillion Market Opportunity by 2020

20.93 %

14.11%

16.65%13.75%

9.09%

15.26%

10.21%

Smart Infrastructure3

CAGR: 8.9% (2012-2020)

Smart cities To Create Huge Business Opportunities With A Market Value Of $1.5 Trillion In 2020

1

2

4

5

6

Smart Governance and Smart Education2

CAGR: 12.4% (2012-2020)

Smart EnergyCAGR: 19.6% (2012-2020)

Smart TransportationCAGR: 14.8% (2012-2020)

Smart HealthcareCAGR: 6.9% (2012-2020)

Smart BuildingCAGR: 8.8% (2012-2020)

7Smart City Market by Segments,1 Global, 2020

Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.

Note: The graph represent the market share of each segment in the smart city market.

For more information on smart city market sectors please refer to appendix

Smart City Market

2Smart Education includes eLearning services for schools, universities, enterprises, and government entities

1These numbers represent the entire smart solutions eco-system in each segment for both urban and non-urban panoramas

Smart SecurityCAGR: 14% (2012-2020)

3

3Other Smart Infrastructure such as sensor networks, digital management of water utilities not included in other segments

Page 8: Global Smart City Market – A $1.5 Trillion Market Opportunity by 2020

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Selected Smart Cities in 2025

Global Smart CitiesOver 26 Global Cities to be SMART Cities in 2025 - More than 50% of Smart cities

of 2025 will be from Europe and North America

Source: Forbes Smart City List, Innovation City Index, Specific Smart Project Websites for Each City, Frost & Sullivan

Toronto

San Francisco

Vancouver

Paris

New York

London Berlin

Barcelona

Amsterdam

Seattle

Tokyo

Singapore

Calgary

ChicagoLos Angeles

Vienna

Copenhagen

Oslo

Seoul

Beijing

TianjinWuhan

Helsinki

Sydney

Shenzhen

Stockholm

Santander (upcoming)

Page 9: Global Smart City Market – A $1.5 Trillion Market Opportunity by 2020

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Global Snapshot of Sustainable/ Eco Cities in 2025

North America

Latin America

Europe

PortlandSacramentoOaklandSan DiegoDallasHoustonOrlandoAustinMinneapolisSan JoseDenverBostonOttawaMontrealPhiladelphiaWashington DCColumbusEdmonton

BrasíliaBelo HorizonteSão PauloRio de JaneiroCuritibaBogotáMexico City

AccraJohannesburgCape TownDurbanTunisMasdar CityDoha

Middle East & Africa

Asia-Pacific & Australia

Note: Eco Cities are cities built on a green initiative, from buildings to transport, governance, city planning,energy, and technology. These cities are either upgraded or built from scratchMoreland

Sustainable / eco-city in 2025Sustainable / eco-city built from scratch

Source: Siemens Green Index, Frost & Sullivan, 2012

CardiffBrusselsZurichLyonFrankfurtMilanRomeCambridge shireMarseilleTampere

GenevaGrazRigaVilniusMetzTubingenMontpellierBordeauxCasablancaNorwichHamburg

ManchesterGothenburgIsle of WightGlasgowLiverpoolDublinMarseilleBergenEdinburghNantesGyor

IstanbulBursaAnkaraEskisehirIzmirDenizliAntalyaAdanaEdinburgh

GIFTSino-Singapore Tianjin Eco-city, Tianjin

NanjingHong Kong

FoshanGuangzhou

WuxiOsaka

YokohamaWanzhuang Eco-city, Hebei

MedanPalembang

JakartaSurabaya DenpasarMakasar

BalikpapanAdelaide

Moreland

Page 10: Global Smart City Market – A $1.5 Trillion Market Opportunity by 2020

City Stakeholders Analysis , Business

Models

Page 11: Global Smart City Market – A $1.5 Trillion Market Opportunity by 2020

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The city planner allows any qualified company or business organisation to build city infrastructure and provide city services. The city planner however will impose some regulatory obligations.

The smart city planner appoints a trusted partner to develop the city infrastructure and services. The partner operates and manages the smart city services. The city planner has no role further. Most of the public-private partnerships are build on this model.

The smart city planner appoints a trusted partner to build the city infrastructure and provide smart city services for a particular area within a time period. After completion the operation is handover to the smart city planner.

The smart city planner independently builds the city infrastructure and delivers smart city services. The operation and maintenance of the services is fully under the planner’s control.

Business Own

Operate (BOO)

Build Operate Transfer

(BOT)

Business Operate

Managed (BOM)

1 2

34

Smart Cities Business ModelsMajority of smart city projects are developed under Business Operate Managed (BOM)

business model

Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.

Note: City Planner: Governing authorities involved with urban planning/land use planning that design plans for the development and management of urban and suburban areas based on land use compatibility, economic trends, environmental implications and social needs.Partner: Private / public stakeholders collaborating with city authorities over urban planning and smart city initiatives

Build Own

Operate (BOO)

Build Operate Manage (BOM)

Open Business

Model (OBM)

Page 12: Global Smart City Market – A $1.5 Trillion Market Opportunity by 2020

Selective Wish List of Products/Services Portfolio That Can be Offered to a City

12Source: Frost & Sullivan Analysis

Prod

ucts

/ S

ervi

ces

SECTORS Mobility

Traffic management

Electric vehicle charging

infrastructure

Tolling and congestion

charging

Integrated mobility

management

Geo Fencing & Asset Tracking

Parking Management and

Payment Solutions

Energy

Smart grids; energy

management

Smart meters

Smart home appliances

Flow and regenerative technologies

Renewable integration

Sensors and Smart Material

IT and Telecom

City Cloud Computing

Data-centric Consulting

Services

Information Management

Services

IT Advisory Services

Managed Security Services

Authentication and Monitoring

(Sensors, Video Surveillance)

Security

Identity Management

Cyber Security

Intelligent, real time security management

Sensor actuator solutions

Logistics / Mobility security

management

Building security

Healthcare

Integrated health record system

E-health

M-health

Tele-consultation facility

Home health

Data and Business

Analytics for Healthcare

Governance

e-ServicesTransactions and

Payments

e-Communication

Notifications and alert service

e-AdministrationTools for public administration

e-SecurityLaw enforcement and

emergency management

e-BusinessesRegistration Services

Patent Renewals

M-GovernanceSMS Tax ReturnsSMS Utility Bills

Page 13: Global Smart City Market – A $1.5 Trillion Market Opportunity by 2020

There Are Four Different Roles Smart Cities Players Can Take

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Pure-Play Product Vendors

Managed Service Providers

Network Service Providers

IntegratorsSmart city integrators are project integrators that bring together various sectors of the smart city through pre-packaged platforms thereby providing a unified , holistic and end-to-end integration of multiple sectors Example: IBM, Oracle, Accenture, Siemens

Smart city network providers offer collaborative networks, data analytics and enterprise working solutions that connect people, assets, systems and products by leveraging on their networking and M2M capabilities. Example: Cisco, Verizon, Ericsson, AT&T

1

2

3

4

Smart city product vendors provide “hard assets” like smart meters and distribution devices (e.g., automated switches, controllers for capacitor banks and voltage regulators) that operate as the main nodes of connectivity. Example: Eaton, Honeywell, ABB, Schneider Electric, Siemens

Smart city managed service providers offer round-the-clock monitoring, complete management, compliance monitoring, and on-site consulting. These services are provided either in-house, co-managed, or are completely outsourced (third party providers)Example: IBM, Serco, SAIC, Infosys

Page 14: Global Smart City Market – A $1.5 Trillion Market Opportunity by 2020

Key Product / Service Provider Roles in Smart City Ecosystem

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Products / Services Integrators Network Service Providers

Pure-Play Product Vendors

Managed Services

Existing case examples Pre-packaged platforms

Collaborative networks

Hardware and Assets Maintenance

Smart Clouds Centralized Collaborative Dashboards

Data Integration Unified Communications Location Based Services and Transportation Platforms Telepresence and virtual public services (education, healthcare)

Wireless Sensor Networks Grid monitoring and control Smart Buildings (materials and sensors)

Electric Charging Infrastructure Asset tracking and management

Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.

Integrators, network service providers, product vendors, and managed service landscape in the smart city ecosystem

Software Focused Communication Focused

Infrastructure Focused

Operations Focused

Page 15: Global Smart City Market – A $1.5 Trillion Market Opportunity by 2020

Convergence of Technology Will Lead to Convergence of Competition

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Source: Frost & Sullivan

IT Participants• IP networks• Digital technology• Analysis software• Technology integration• Network security

Energy and InfrastructureParticipants• T&D technology• Power electronics• Renewable energy• Integrated distribution

management• Substation automation• AMI-enabled metering

Automation and Building Control Participants• Building automation• Demand-side management• Device connectivity• Monitoring and sensing• Smart grid integration

Telecom Participants• Broadband and Internet

service providers• Phone lines• Mobile communications• Networked IT services

SAP

HPST

ElectronicsOracle

GoogleMicrosoft

Alcatel-Lucent

IBM

Cisco Senergy

Eaton

ALSTOM Grid

Siemens AG

General Electric

ABB

HoneywellRockwell Automation

Johnson Controls

Schneider Electric

Verizon

O2

Deutsche Telekom

Ericsson

AT&T

Serco

SymantecTyco

Point of Convergence

Securitas

Security• Firewalls, Internet protocol

security• Physical implementation of

systems and monitoring• Managed and monitoring

services • Cloud-based services• Identity

management, smart cards

Page 16: Global Smart City Market – A $1.5 Trillion Market Opportunity by 2020

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Key Take Aways and Recommendations

Recommendations to the Private Sector

Recommendations to Cities

Create Smart City Stakeholder Group

Encourage Open Collaboration

Build Digital Infrastructure – e.g., eServices (mHealth)

Evaluate your role and position in the Smart

City market

Build City as a Customer Strategy -

Create a specific team and steering group

Identify potential partners, business

models and consortiums

Develop capabilities in data analytics and

cloud-based services

Develop services as a business model

1 2 3

1 2 3

4 5

Page 17: Global Smart City Market – A $1.5 Trillion Market Opportunity by 2020

How Can Frost & Sullivan Support You?

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• Access to Research + 1 Day Strategic Workshop (to define opportunities and your role in the eco system

• Custom Engagements to help develop your Value Proposition and deep-dive into opportunities

• Access to a Short-list of city profiles and case studies of projects

Page 18: Global Smart City Market – A $1.5 Trillion Market Opportunity by 2020

No Research Topics

14Connected Living: Macro to Micro Implications of Robotics and Artificial Intelligence on Consumer Applications

15 Mega Trends in UK

16 New Business Models

17 Industries of the Future

18 Big Data and its Implications on Industries

19 3D printing and its Macro to Micro Impact on Manufacturing and Supply Chain Management

20 Augmented Reality and its Applications

21 Future of Telecom

22 Mega Trends in Europe

23 Mega Trends in North America

24 Mega Trends in Middle East

List of Studies done by Visionary Innovation Research Group

18

No Research Topics

1 Urbanisation and Mega Cities and Impact on Industries and Business

2 Global Mega Trends and its Implications to Urban Logistics to 2020

3 Worlds Top Mega Trends to 2020 and Impact on Society, Cultures, Business, and Personal Lives – 2012 Update

4 Bricks and Clicks: Impact of Connectivity on Future of Retailing

6 Strategic Opportunity Analysis of the Global Smart City Market

7 Mega Trends for Africa

8 Mega Trends for India

9 Mega Trends for LATAM

10 Mega Trends for Turkey

11 Mega Trends in China

12 E Retailing in the Automotive Industry

13 Future of Mobility—New Business Models, Opportunities, and Market Entrants in Mobility Integration

Page 19: Global Smart City Market – A $1.5 Trillion Market Opportunity by 2020

Contact Information

Archana AmarnathProgram Manager, Visionary Innovation Research Group

(+44) 2079157893

[email protected]

19

Sarwant SinghPartner & Practice Director, Visionary Innovation Research Group and Automotive & Transportation

(+44) 2079157843

[email protected]