45
Qatar 2022

Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox

Embed Size (px)

DESCRIPTION

 

Citation preview

Page 1: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox

Qatar 2022

Page 2: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox

1. Energy and Climate

“It is your human environment

that makes climate.”

— Mark Twain, Following the Equator,

1897

2

Page 3: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox

Chakravarty et al., PNAS 2009

Page 4: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox
Page 5: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox

Re

lati

ve

to

19

93

1993

Kilowatt-hours

consumed for

residential air-

conditioning,

U.S. 1993

2005

5

2005

1993

Page 6: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox
Page 7: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox

1950 2007

1100 ft2

2500 ft2

Average new house’s floorspace, U.S.

7

Page 8: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox

0

50

100

150

200

2005 2010 2015 2020

Year

En

erg

y c

on

su

mp

tio

n, b

illio

n k

Wh

'Base case'

'High efficiency case'

Fig. 3, p. 165 India 8

Page 9: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox

Phoenix, ~ 1300

Page 10: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox

Phoenix, 2012

Page 11: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox

Phoenix, 2012

Page 12: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox

2. Efficiency

Coal saved through efficiency “is only

saved from one use to be employed in

others, and the profits gained soon

lead to extended employment in

many new forms. The several

branches of industry are closely

interdependent, and progress of any

one leads to the progress of nearly

all.”

— William Stanley Jevons, 1865

Page 13: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox

“The chief source of problems

is solutions.”

—Eric Sevareid, 1970

Page 14: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox

Re

lati

ve

to

19

93

1993

Kilowatt-

hours

consumed for

residential

air-

conditioning,

U.S.

1993

2005

14

2005

1993

increased efficiency

increased consumption

Page 15: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox

“A policy of ‘frugality first’ induces

efficiency as a secondary

consequence;

‘efficiency first’ does not induce

frugality--it makes frugality [seem]

less necessary.”

— Herman Daly, 2003

Page 16: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox

Bil

iio

n k

Wh

1993

United States, electricity

renewable

production

Air- conditioning consumption*

16

* buildings only

Page 17: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox

Jeff Rubin, CIBC World Markets

Page 18: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox

Jeff Rubin, CIBC World Markets

Page 19: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox

3. Culture

“General Electric has proved a

more devastating invader than

General Sherman.”

— Raymond Arsenault, “The End of

the Long, Hot Summer : The Air

Conditioner and Southern Culture,”

1984

Page 20: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox

Markham, 1944

Page 21: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox

Temperature

Page 22: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox

Temperature

“Civilization”

Page 23: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox

23

Page 24: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox

1. The 1956 Interstate Highway Act and dominance

of the automobile

2. FHA mortgage financing and subdivision regulation

3. De-industrialization of central cities

4. Downtown redevelopment and public housing

5. The suburban tract house

6. Racial segregation and job discrimination

7. Enclosed shopping malls

8. Sun Belt–style sprawl

9. Air-conditioning

10. Urban unrest in the 1960s

Top ten influences on the American metropolis,

1950-2000

Society for American City and Regional Planning History, 2000

Page 25: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox

25

Page 26: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox

26

Page 27: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox

64

62

92

163

80

42

27 16

24 21

annual cooling days

Page 28: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox

72

60

56

50

58

27

12 16

11 19

hours per year in

traffic delays

Page 29: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox

29 11

Page 30: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox

4. Productivity

“Doesn’t the AC-free enviro-dream world

sound wonderful? Daily summertime

siestas, shorter business hours, even

some days completely off! … ”

-- Conn Carroll, Heritage Foundation, 2010

Page 31: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox

“ … but as with all enviro-leftist schemes,

the heavy costs of their low energy

utopian dream are being ignored. Slower

workdays mean less productivity. Shorter

hours and closed offices mean lost profits

for employers.”

-- Conn Carroll, Heritage Foundation, 2010

Page 32: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox
Page 33: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox

Factory employees

Page 34: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox
Page 35: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox

Temperature Alan Hedge, Cornell

Page 36: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox

(A footnote)

Productivity

Avg. hourly

wage

Page 37: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox

5. Comfort & Health

“A May 2003 survey by the

International Facilities Management

Association says that being too cold

was the number-one office

complaint ... followed by being too

hot.”

—New York Times, 2005

37

Page 38: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox

Thailand: office employees

percent comfortable

38

Page 39: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

70 75 80 85 90 95

Outdoor temperature

Ind

oo

r te

mp

era

ture

Fig. 4, p. 235 de Dear and

Brager, 2001 39

Ind

oo

r te

mp

era

ture

Page 40: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox
Page 41: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox
Page 42: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox
Page 43: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox
Page 44: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox
Page 45: Gulf Coast Green 2012 Stan Cox

45 11