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BGW Management Advisory Group St. Gallen Wien BGW Management Advisory Group St. Gallen Wien BGW AG - Management Advisory Group Varnbüelstrasse 13, CH-9000 St. Gallen T +41 71 511 2116 [email protected] www.bgw-sg.com Marc Tobias T +41 71 511 2776 [email protected] Assessing the Quality of Patents and large Patent Portfolios based on quantitative Approaches Opportunities, Threats and the St.Gallen Patent Index™ ICIC 2013 Vienna, 16 th October 2013

ICIC 2013 Conference Proceedings Marc Tobias BGW

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Assessing the quality of patents and large patent portfolios based on quantitative approaches – Opportunities, threats and the new St. Gallen Patent Index™ (SGPI™) as an innovative and strong approach Marc Tobias (BGW, Switzerland) Imagine you need to present functional KPIs to the CEO; Imagine your company is redefining its technology strategy and you need to (re)value the patent portfolio; Imagine you need to develop a patent strategy with regard to an IP portfolio benchmark of your competitors; Imagine your Head of R&D is approaching you urgently to receive a first IP-Value-Assessment as well as IP-Trends in a totally new technology field for your company. Often companies and also governmental institutions need a quantitative assessment of patents and patent portfolios. But existing approaches have different challenges or shortcomings. Based on scientific research over several years the SGPI™ has been developed by a consortia lead by the Institute of Technology Management at the University of St. Gallen. This new approach is trying to overcome these shortcomings. The presentation will give a short overview on the scientific state of the art regarding quantitative patent portfolio assessment and discuss existing approaches as well as needs of companies and institutions. Further on the SGPI™ with its integrated bottom-up and top-down approach will be presented including sample results.

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Page 1: ICIC 2013 Conference Proceedings Marc Tobias BGW

BGW Management Advisory Group

St. Gallen – WienBGW Management Advisory Group

St. Gallen – Wien© BGW AG 2013 | Page 1

ICIC 2013 – Vienna

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BGW AG - Management Advisory Group

Varnbüelstrasse 13, CH-9000 St. Gallen

T +41 71 511 2116

[email protected]

www.bgw-sg.com

Marc Tobias

T +41 71 511 2776

[email protected]

Assessing the Quality of Patents and

large Patent Portfolios based on quantitative Approaches –

Opportunities, Threats and the St.Gallen Patent Index™

ICIC 2013 – Vienna, 16th October 2013

PP

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Quantitative vs. Qualitative Approaches How can we structure the different approaches?

Qualitative Approaches Quantitative Approaches

Valuation Assignment of a monetary value to

a patent/patent portfolio by experts

Assignment of a monetary value to a

patent/patent portfolio by a market

mechanism (auction, financial market)

Rating Assignment of qualitative

indicators based on a expert

opinions

Assignment of quantitative indicators

based on objective data from market

and patent databases (Patent Indices)

Source: Gassmann/Bader 2012

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Challenges within Companies When shall we use quantitative approaches to analyse patents and patent

portfolios?

Three of several possible situations in your company that can be

handled using quantitative approaches:

1) Your company is redefining its technology strategy and you need to (re)value the

patent portfolio of your company and your competitors, presenting further functional

KPIs to the CEO

2) Your marketing or investor relations managers like to show the company`s

innovativeness by its patent power in an objective way

3) Your head of R&D is approaching you to receive a first IPR-value-assessment as

well as IPR-trends in a totally new technology field for your company

4) You are interested in licensing or selling a subportfolio and are looking for a first

overview on potentially interested companies

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Opportunities and Threats What have to be considered when implementing quantitative approaches?

Opportunities Threats

Resource savings

Time advantages

Cost reduction

“2nd view” on the patent situation

Objective and transparent analysis

Not a detailed claim analysis

Statistical shortcomings to be

considered

Trade-Off:

Analysis of few important factors vs.

a huge bundle of factors leading to a

loss of transparency and complicated

algorithms

Quantitative approaches are a strong tool

to analyse your patent portfolio

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Main Variables in Quantitative Analysis What influences the quality of an analysis conducted via patent indices?

Input Process Output

Objectivity

Scope Transparency

Correctness

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Main Indicators in Quantitative Analysis What indicators should be incorporated in quantitative patent portfolio analysis?

Technology Market Portfolio

1 2 3

e.g. forward and

backward citations;

age

e.g. GDP;

industry specific

indicators

e.g. relative share of a

companies` portfolio within

the entire portfolio of a

technology

Measured by:

Three main fields:

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BGW Management Advisory Group

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St. Gallen – Wien

St.Gallen Patent Index™ (SGPI™) Created in cooperation between…

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St.Gallen Patent Index™ (SGPI™) What is the core idea of the SGPI™?

Core Idea Calculation of a comprehensive index enabling the valuation of single patents and the patent portfolio by using a bottom-up and top-down approach within one single analysis

To

p-D

ow

n

Top-down

Analysis of the

patent portfolio

in its entirety

with respect to

the technology

field

Bo

tto

m-u

p

Bottom-up

Quantitative single

evaluation of each

patent document

with respect to

technology, age

and target markets

Strength of the

Portfolio

Market Strength

of a Patent

SGPI™

Techn. Relevance of a Patent

PP

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St.Gallen Patent Index™ (SGPI™) In which fields can the SGPI ™ be used?

Company Level

Strategy Development

Controlling

Communication

Financial Market Level

SGPI™ based Equity Funds

KPI in Financial Transactions

SGPI™ based Stock Index

Governmental Policy Level

Policy Development

Communication Instrument

Benchmarking Cluster and Regions

PP

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St.Gallen Patent Index™ (SGPI™) How does the SGPI™ work?

Data

Collection

Results and

Discussion

Analysis and

Calculation of

the SGPI™

Further

analysis

possible

Patent /

Portfolio

Definition

PP

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Challenges within Companies Why shall we use quantitative approaches to analyse patents and patent

portfolios?

Three of several possible situations in your company that can be

handled with quantitative approaches

1) Your company is redefining its technology strategy and you need to (re)value the

patent portfolio of your company and your competitors, presenting further functional

KPIs to the CEO

2) Your marketing or investor relations managers like to show the company`s

innovativeness by its patent power in an objective way

3) Your head of R&D is approaching you to receive a first IPR-value-assessment

as well as IPR-trends in a totally new technology field for your company

4) You are interested in licensing or selling a portfolio and are looking for a first

overview on potentially interested companies

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Sample Analysis Specific IPC-class within the technology field for Lithium-Ionen Batteries

SGPI™ – Relative Shares of Total Value

47%

23%

18%

7%

2% 1%

1% 0% 1% 0%

SAMSUNG SDI CO LTD

SONY CORP

MATSUSHITA DENKI SANGYO KK

LG CHEM LTD

SANYO ELECTRIC CO LTD

SHINETSU CHEM IND CO LTD

TOSHIBA KK

OHARA KK

NEC CORP

HITACHI MAXELL KK

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Sample Analysis Specific IPC-class within the technology field for Lithium-Ionen Batteries

SGPI™ – Relative Shares of R-Factor (Technological Value)

0,00 0,10 0,20 0,30 0,40 0,50 0,60 0,70

SAMSUNG SDI CO LTD

SONY CORP

MATSUSHITA DENKI SANGYO KK

LG CHEM LTD

SANYO ELECTRIC CO LTD

SHINETSU CHEM IND CO LTD

TOSHIBA KK

OHARA KK

NEC CORP

HITACHI MAXELL KK

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Sample Analysis Specific IPC-class within the technology field for lithium-ionen batteries

Comparison: SGPI™ vs. simple patent counting

0,00%5,00%

10,00%15,00%20,00%25,00%30,00%35,00%40,00%45,00%50,00%

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Challenges within Companies Why shall we use quantitative approaches to analyse patents and patent

portfolios?

Three of several possible situations in your company that can be

handled with quantitative approaches

1) Your company is redefining its technology strategy and you need to (re)value the

patent portfolio of your company and your competitors, presenting further functional

KPIs to the CEO

2) Your marketing or investor relations managers like to show the company`s

innovativeness by its patent power in an objective way

3) Your head of R&D is approaching you to receive a first IPR-value-assessment as

well as IPR-trends in a totally new technology field for your company

4) You are interested in licensing or selling a subportfolio and are looking for a

first overview on potentially interested companies

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Sample Analysis Specific IPC-class within the pharmaceutical markets for cancer

PP

2010

2010

2010

2010

2015

2015

2015

2015

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

YourCompany

Company ACompany B CompanyC

Japan

2010 2010

2010

2010

2015 2015

2015

2015

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

YourCompany

Company ACompany B CompanyC

China

Comparison: Future Portfolio Development

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Sample Analysis Specific IPC-class within the pharmaceutical markets for cancer

SA

ME

JP

CA

US

RU

CN KO

BR

IN

AU

SP

DK GB

SE

NO

AT FR

DE

CH

IT

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Sample Analysis Specific IPC-class within the pharmaceutical markets for cancer

0,00%

2,00%

4,00%

6,00%

8,00%

10,00%

12,00%

14,00%

16,00%

18,00%

xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx

SGPITM Value Share of Total Top 20 Ranked Patents

6 focus patents (green) belonging to one company ranked in comparison

to the top 20 patents of the analyzed overall patent portfolio

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Conclusion The SGPI™ is a very clear and objective approach

1) Quantitative approaches are a very strong tool to analyse patents and patent

portfolios.

2) These approaches enable a first or further view on the patent situation.

3) They help to save important ressources in terms of time and money.

4) But one have to consider also statistical shortcomings.

5) The SGPI™ is a very transparent and objective approach.

6) The SGPI™ is able to analyse your patents and patent portfolio by using mainly

three factors and can be used in several situations.

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BGW AG - Management Advisory Group

Varnbüelstrasse 13, CH-9000 St. Gallen

T +41 71 511 2116

[email protected]

www.bgw-sg.com

Thank you for your attention.

Marc Tobias

Senior Consultant

Dr. Martin A. Bader

Managing Partner

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BGW AG – Spectrum of Competences

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Addendum