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Copyright © 2016 IDTechEx | www.IDTechEx.com
The Future of Robotics Dr Jon Harrop Director, IDTechEx
Copyright © 2016 IDTechEx | www.IDTechEx.com
Overview of IDTechEx services
IDTechEx provides Emerging Technology insight, intelligence and networking, helping clients with their critical strategic business decisions.
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Our new report includes: • Players• Applications• Technologies• Trends• 10 year market forecasts by sector
www.IDTechEx.com/robotics
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Webinar agenda
• A brief history of robotics• Definitions• Emerging applications• Facilitating technologies• New players• Economic impact
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A Brief History of Robotics
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A Brief History of Robotics
In 1961 the Unimate robot went into operation at a General Motors factory:
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A Brief History of Robotics
Robotics markets were dominated by industrial robot arms for decades:
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A Brief History of Robotics
Use of industrial robot arms in electronics and semiconductor industries just matured:
An ABB FlexPicker robot assembling solar panels
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A Brief History of Robotics
Use of industrial robot arms is growing most rapidly in the food and beverage industries:
FANUC robot arm packaging meat
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Mobile robots
Run, fly and swim
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Definitions
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What is a robot? No precise definition. So we take a broad, inclusive definition. Some soft requirements: o >2 DOF o Sensors o Autonomy
Car wash
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What is not a robot?
Washing machine
CNC milling machine
Delta Maker 3D printer RC buggy
Dish washer
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Emerging Applications
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Aerial inspection Remote controlled UAVs are used for aerial inspection of wind turbines, pylons and flare stacks on oil rigs today. In the future many will be autonomous.
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Constructing walls Construction Robotics use a conventional industrial robot arm as part of a larger system to lay bricks:
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Constructing buildings WinSun use giant 3D printers to construct buildings such as this villa:
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Helping with medical research Researchers at UCLA are using a KUKA articulated robot arm to simulate wear and tear on human knee joints:
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Autonomous Farming Japanese company Spread are building the world’s first fully autonomous lettuce farm in Kyoto, scheduled to open in 2017.
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Mining Nautilus Minerals are the first company in the world to obtain a license for deep sea mining using robots:
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Exploration NASA’s humanoid robot for deep space exploration.
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Facilitating technologies
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Bespoke motors Californian Carbon Robotics had cheap bespoke Permanent Magnet Synchronous Motors (PMSMs) manufactured for them in China for their KATIA robot arm. See also Igus of Germany.
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BLDC motors As hard drives move to solid state technology the light weight and high power BrushLess Direct Current (BLDC) motors used in them move into different kinds of robots:
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Drive electronics Modern drive systems require substantially more complicated drive electronics to power them:
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Energy storage Low cost, lightweight, high energy lithium ion batteries and high power supercapacitors are essential for many next-generation mobile robots:
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Sensors Depth camera
LIDAR GPS
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End of Arm Tooling (EOAT)
Source: “Robotic design: Frontiers in visual and tactile sensing” – Design World.
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Artificial Intelligence Deep learning classifying road images as cars, pedestrians and so on:
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New players
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Komatsu Komatsu are the world leader in autonomous haul trucks for the mining industry with substantial installed bases in Australia and Chile:
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3D Robotics California-based 3D Robotics are poised to ride the wave of autonomous multirotors, particularly for agriculture, with 130% revenue growth from 2014 to 2015 and the FAA loosening the regulation of autonomous drones in the US in November of 2015:
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Universal Robots Dutch company Universal Robots, founded in 2005, are the worldwide market leader in collaborative robotics with their UR5 and UR10 robots:
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Dyson A major player in vacuum cleaners, Dyson released their first robotic vacuum cleaner in 2014:
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Economic impact
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Major growth areas The following market sectors will grow rapidly over the next decade:
Agriculture Autonomous transport Collaborative robotics Healthcare robots in countries with demographic time bombs Industrial robot arms in developing countries Logistics Military Mining Personal robots
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Market forecast We are forecasting growth of the worldwide robotics market from $23bn to $123bn in 2026:
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2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
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See www.IDTechEx.com for full details Want more? Buy the book…
Our new report includes: • Players• Applications• Technologies• Trends• 10 year market forecasts by sector
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Dr Jon Harrop / [email protected]