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Is 5G going to be the network to deliver everything? Dave Wisely Head of Mobile Strategy BT Innovate and Design April 2013

Is 5G going to be the network to deliver everything?

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Dave Wisely Head of Mobile Strategy BT Innovate and Design April 2013

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Page 1: Is 5G going to be the network to deliver everything?

Is 5G going to be the network to deliver

everything?

Dave Wisely

Head of Mobile Strategy BT Innovate and Design

April 2013

Page 2: Is 5G going to be the network to deliver everything?

© British Telecommunications plc

Mobile generations “appear” every 10years

Page 3: Is 5G going to be the network to deliver everything?

© British Telecommunications plc

Is 5G just about more data – faster, better, cheaper LTE?

•Ofcom report shows significant

demand from UK consumers for

broadband data, with residential

fixed-line broadband customers

using on average 17 GB data per

month. By comparison, mobile

broadband demand averages 0.24

GB per month per connection

Ofcom publishes digital communications coverage

mapsTelecompaper Europe, Wednesday November

2nd, 2011

0

50

100

150

200

250

pe

akti

me

de

man

d (

kbp

s/u

ser)

trend-high actuals trend-low

Page 4: Is 5G going to be the network to deliver everything?

© British Telecommunications plc

Is 5G about M2M?

RT Data Feed

RT Data Feed

RT Data Feed

RT Data Feed

RT Data Feed

RT Data Feed

RT Data Feed

RT Data Feed

RT Data Feed

RT Data Feed

RT Data Feed

RT Data Feed

RT Data Feed

RT Data Feed

RT Data

Feed

RT Data

Feed

RT Data

Feed

RT Data Feed

RT Data

Feed

RT Data

Feed

RT Data Feed

RT Data

Feed

RT Data Feed

RT Data Feed

RT Data Feed

RT Data Feed

RT Data Feed

RT Data

Feed

Various N

etw

ork

s (

WiF

i, G

SM

, etc

Smart Information RT Creation Process

Base-lining

Models Fed from Historical

Information Transformation

Build models

Drive infrastructure decisions and behaviour

Digital City Data Historical

Data

Information Transformation and distribution

Sense Collect Make decisions

Change behaviours

Page 5: Is 5G going to be the network to deliver everything?

© British Telecommunications plc

Cellular evolution will not support all M2M applications

• Cost • Whole range of applications open up as cost reduces (1,000,000,000X

variation in bit value!)

• Power consumption • 1,000,000X variation in power available

• Coverage

• Many apps will need universal coverage, others only limited areas • Smart meters – need to penetrate every basement, every cupboard

• Location accuracy

• Many apps involve a location element • Big variation in required accuracy – eg traffic management and surgical

instrument location!

• Quality of Service • Voice, video – require guaranteed streams • Other apps send 1bit/day (eg vending machine)

2

3

1

4

5

Page 6: Is 5G going to be the network to deliver everything?

© British Telecommunications plc

What is 5G?

► From this year’s Mobile World Congress:

NSN’s head of technology and innovation, Hossein Moiin. “I have

no idea what 5G is. It will be defined in the future. What we do know

is what direction it will take.”

Mari-Noëlle Jégo-Laveissiere, head of innovation, marketing and

technologies division, Orange. “[Whatever 5G is], it should not be

4G-plus one,”

The general consensus among companies ……it will be user-

centric, more dynamic and energy efficient, and will use all types of

frequency bands. … it will pervade all areas of life as it embraces

new services from the Internet of Things, M2M through to business-

critical applications.

And it will arrive after 2020…………..

Page 7: Is 5G going to be the network to deliver everything?

© British Telecommunications plc

BT view of 5G New Spectrum 2013 2015 2020

Test Beds Standards

5GIC First

networks Mass

market Regulation

Cost

Spectrum

Ubiquitous Connectivity

Licensed

Unlicensed

Soft licensed

Spectrum trading TV White Space

Technologies

WiFi Futures

802.11ac LTE/A/B/U Software

defined radio New MAC layer

Interference management

Cloud based

Spectrum

selection, QoS,

Handover &

Security

Superfast Backhaul

Network

Cloud based

Spectrum

selection

Content Network

optimized for

video

All broadcast TV

carried over 5G

network

New Apps

M2M

Payments

Non linear TV

Energy

management

Smart cities QoS

Handover Security

Multipath TCP

Time Line

Capabilities 100 to 1000x increase in data capacity

Supporting future services; video, broadcast, IoT

Evolution or

step change?

Devices

More varied

Soft SIM and no

SIM

Ad hoc networks

Page 8: Is 5G going to be the network to deliver everything?

© British Telecommunications plc

DTT

Broadcasters (BBC)

Military/

Radar

License-

exempt Satellite TV

(sky)

Spectrum

Block 1

End users

GSM/3G

RAN

DTH/DBS

Dish

Mobile Comms

(Vodafone)

Spectrum

Block N

End users

Spectrum allocations

Technology & N/W infrastructure

Regulator

End users End users

Service providers

SILO 1 SILO 2 SILO N-1 SILO N

Talking point 1 - Do we need a “special solution” for M2M?

Page 9: Is 5G going to be the network to deliver everything?

© British Telecommunications plc

Data rates are only high near the base

station….

Capacity is shared….

Core

network

Tomorrow Small cells,

high capacity & data rates

Mobile networks will need to get closer to the

user

Core

network

Today Large cells,

medium capacity & rates

Talking point 2 – is 5G just smaller cells?

Page 10: Is 5G going to be the network to deliver everything?

© British Telecommunications plc

Talking point 3 – where will the spectrum for 5G

come from?

Spectrum occupancy measurements in a UK rural area

(top), near Heathrow airport (middle) and in central

London (bottom) - source - Ofcom

Page 11: Is 5G going to be the network to deliver everything?

© British Telecommunications plc

Talking point 4 – will 5G use spectrum sharing?

Digital TV + PMSE +

“white spaces”

Digital TV + PMSE +

“white spaces”

Auction

(800 MHz)

Auction

(600

MHz)

PM

SE

470 MHz 862 MHz 790 MHz 550 MHz 606 MHz

21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 TV

Channel

The TV white space is the area

where a given TV channel is not

used for TV reception

TV Ch. 60 example

PMSE = Programme Making and Special Events

(e.g. Wireless microphones)

60 6

0

• Long reach spectrum

• Unlicensed use

• Range of throughputs

achievable by combining

channels

Availability

of TVWS

correlates

well with

broadband

“Not

Spots”

Licensed,

mobility (4G) Licensed, TBD

(eg more TV)

Page 12: Is 5G going to be the network to deliver everything?

© British Telecommunications plc

TV white space transceiver

to Ethernet

TVWS BS

Router

DSLAM

Backhaul

Ethernet

Up to 5km non line-of-sight, 8km line-of-

sight

Standard TV Aerial

• Part funded by UK govt’s “Technology Strategy Board”

• To test the viability of providing rural broadband

• Partners University of Strathclyde, Netpropagate, BBC, Steepest

Ascent, Berg Design.

• 10 Trialists including 2 hotels

TVWS Isle of Bute (Scotland) Trial

Page 13: Is 5G going to be the network to deliver everything?

© British Telecommunications plc

Page 14: Is 5G going to be the network to deliver everything?

© British Telecommunications plc