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Later Life 2012
National and International Trends:
Later Life in 116 slides
Prepared by Age UK Research Department
Last updated 1 August 2012
For source information, see the Later Life factsheets in the Age UK Knowledge Hub http://www.ageuk.org.uk/professional-resources-home/knowledge-hub-evidence-statistics/
Overview
Demographics and population trends Health and wellbeing Money matters Home and care Social Inclusion Public policy challenges The older consumer Attitudes and discrimination Opportunities
Demographics and Population Trends
Ageing in the UK
TODAY
– 10.3 million aged over 65
– 1.4 million aged over 85
– 12,500 aged over 100
THE FUTURE
– 12.5 million over-65s by 2020, 16 million by 2030
– Fastest growth post-85
– 250,000 aged over 100 by 2050
UK Population estimates and projections (2010-based), ONS 2011
UK population pyramid (mid-2010 estimate)
Source: ONS 2011
Ageing of the UK population
Source: ONS 2010
“At current rates, life expectancy in the UK is increasing at the rate of about two years for each decade that passes”
Source: House of Lords Science and Technology Committee 2005
Ageing: Scientific Aspects
Life Expectancy at birth (UK)
Life expectancy at birth (UK)
1980 2000 2011
Males 70.8 75.3 78.2
Females 76.9 80.182.3
Source: World Bank Development Indicators 20 Nov 09 and ONS Oct 2011
Life Expectancy at Birth 1980-82 to 2006-08
Source: ONS 2011
In the UK, the over 85s are the fastest growing age-band, and the numbers have only just started rising rapidly:
Population of the UK aged 85 or over 1961 - 2061
Source: Offi ce for National Statistics population projections
people, thousands
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 2011 2021 2031 2041 2051 2061
The pattern is the same for women:
Population projections for FEMALES aged 85 or over 1961 - 2061
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 2011 2021 2031 2041 2051 2061
and for men:Population projections for MALES aged 85 or over,
UK 1961 - 2061
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 2011 2021 2031 2041 2051 2061
And it doesn’t stop at 85:
Census 2011 (preliminary results for England and Wales, July 2012)
Number of people
aged 65 or over: up 11% from the 2001 Census
aged 85 or over: up 24% from the 2001 Census
aged 90 or over: up 28% from the 2001 Census
Ageing - Internationally
Across EU population growth over next 25 years:
– 81% over-60s
– 7% 18-59 year olds
Across the world, by 2050 people over 60 will make up
– 1/3 of rich world
– 1/5 of developing world
Sources: see Age UK Later Life International Fact Sheet 2011
Global Population – Aged 80+ years
1950 – 14 million
Today – 300 million
Longevity Revolution - Global
Source: WHO 2010
Source: WHO WORLD HEALTH STATISTICS, 2011
The World’s ‘Oldest’ Countries (2009)
Country Aged 60+ (%)
Japan 30
Germany 26
Italy 26
Sweden 25
Bulgaria 24
Finland 24
Greece 24
Austria 23
Belgium 23
Croatia 23
Denmark 23
France 23
Portugal 23
Switzerland 23
Czech Republic 22
Estonia 22
Hungary 22
Latvia 22
Slovenia 22
Spain 22
United Kingdom 22
“The number of centenarians in Japan increased almost one-hundredfold from 154
in 1963 to more than 13,000 at the beginning of this century and is projected to increase to
almost 1,000,000 by 2050”
Source: Ageing Horizons, 3,1 (2005)
N.B. This is assuming that records are accurate and there has not been any large scale fraudulent reporting (some uncovered in Japan, August 2010)
Longevity Revolution - Japan
Italy – population pyramid
Source: US Census Bureau 2011
15 10 5 0 5 10 1515 10 5 0 5 10 1515 10 5 0 5 10 15
1950 2000
Male Female Male Female
Age
Source: World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision (2005).
China – population pyramids(millions, by age and sex)
80+ 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14
5-90-4
Age
2050
Female
80+ 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14
5-90-4
Male
Later life in the UK- an overview
Over 1.3 million people are aged 85 or over. One in four children born today will live to 100
People aged 65 now have an average life expectancy of 82-85 years, the last 7-9 years with a disability
Nearly 2.5 million people aged 65+ in England have care needs
3.7 million people aged 65+ currently live alone
750,000 people aged 65+ currently have dementia. is This is projected to more than double in less than 40 years
Sources available in Age UK Later Life in UK fact sheet August 2012
Later Life – internationally: an overview Of the current total world population of over 6.8 billion, there are over 790 million people aged 60 and over Life expectancy at birth ranges from 82.6 years in Japan to 39.6 years in Swaziland 70% of the world’s older people (60+) live in less developed countries
60% of people with dementia live in developing countries, and this is expected to rise to 71% by 2040 70% of mortality in low income countries is due to communicable disease and 30% to chronic long term illness; this will be reversed by 2030
Sources available in Age UK International Later Life fact sheet 2011
Health and wellbeing
Health
In eight years’ time, demographic change alone would mean that there would be:
• Nearly 2.7 million people aged 75+ with at least one limiting long term illness and over 4.3 million people aged 65+ with LLTI
• People living an average of 7-9 years at the end of their lives with a disability
• Nearly seven million older people who cannot walk up one flight of stairs without resting
• One-and-a-half million older people who cannot see well enough to recognise a friend across a road
• Over 4 million with major hearing problems
• Up to a third of a million people aged 75+ with dual sensory loss
• A third of a million who have difficulty bathing
• Nearly a million with dementia
• Between 4-7 million with urinary incontinence
• One-and-a-half million suffering from depression
Demographic projections based on ONS population projections for the UK and currently available prevalence figures (sources in Age UK Later Life in UK fact sheet, August 2012
Why is this important?While health is clearly an outcome in itself, it is also a key driver of
outcomes in other domains, including employment and ability to contribute.
ELSA (Wave 2, 2006) indicates the two-way relationship between health and wealth: greater financial resources reduce the chances of poor health, and good health has a positive relationship to financial wellbeing
Services are hospital focused, prioritising cure rather than prevention or complex case management, commissioning is in early stages of development, question marks over value for money, realisation that some target-driven achievements occurred at the expense of quality.
National priorities remain but emphasis on local decision making
Choice as a patient right and a tool to drive up quality along with contestability between providers for contracts framed by ambition to provide care closer to home
What do older people think?
• Mental health – older people’s preference for services include peer support; a range of activities and opportunities of things to do; 24-hour help in a crisis that helps you maintain everyday life; supported housing options, technologies and skills and learning opportunities that enable independent living. More broadly older people suggest the following to improve mental health and wellbeing: improve public attitudes; provision of activities for older people; befriending schemes (esp. those aged 90+); improved access to quality public services, and improving standard of living (mostly younger respondents).
• Community Services –priority areas for action include: improving the range of support for carers; making services personalised and holistic; joining up health and social care so there is one point of call; considering the transport implications of any changes to services
• Intermediate care – help with keeping out of long term care is important e.g. mentoring and advocacy to help them through the health and social care system; more time from care assistants; more availability and affordability of high quality home and telecare; help with practical matters such as laundry, adequate refreshments and warmth.
Long Term Health Conditions: The Strategic Challenge
There are over 15 million people in England with long-term health needs.
Long term conditions are those that cannot, at present, be cured, but can be controlled by medication and other therapies.
The impact on the NHS and social care for supporting people with long term conditions is significant.
Currently 69% of the total health and social care spend in England is spent on the treatment and care of people with long term conditions (DH Annual Report 2008).
By 2025 the number of people will at least one long term condition will rise by 3 million to 18 million (DoH 2008).
This will be due to a rise in the ageing population and the increased survival of pre-term babies.
Sources available in Age UK Later Life in UK fact sheet August 2012
unless otherwise stated
Coronary Heart Disease – 2.6 million people are living with CHD in the UK (89% of 190,000 deaths per year were in people 65 years or older)
Stroke – 80% of 150,000 cases per year are over 65. Stroke is the leading cause of severe adult disability
Diabetes – 2 million people in the UK are diagnosed. Prevalence rises with age from one in 20 people over age of 65 to one in five in people over 85 years
Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary (Lung) Disease – 3 million people in the UK diagnosed. There are approximately 25,000 deaths from this every year, with over 90% occurring in people 65 years and older
Prevalence of Long Term Conditions (1)
Sources available in Age UK Later Life in UK fact sheet August 2012
Cancer – incidence increases with age – of the 155,000 deaths each year, three quarters occurred in people aged 65 and over.
Arthritis – Osteoarthritis affects over half the population by age 65, and 10% of people aged 65+ have a major disability due to OA.
Osteoporosis – Up to 21,000 people die following osteoporotic hip fractures each year in the UK.
Parkinson’s Disease – The second most common neuro-degenerative disorder (120,000 have clinical diagnosis in the UK). The incidence increases with age.
Sensory impairments - 1 in 5 people over 75 years old has a significant visual impairment. Over 7 million people over 60 years are deaf or hard of hearing.
Prevalence of Long Term Conditions (2)
Sources available in Age UK Later Life in UK fact sheet August 2012
Prevalence of Long Term Conditions (3)
Depression – The commonest mental health condition in the older population. A quarter of older people living in the community have symptoms which warrant intervention, but it is estimated that 85% of people over 65 do not receive any help from the NHS.
Dementia – Over 820,000 people are estimated to be suffering from late onset dementia in the UK. This overall figure is forecast to increase to 1,735,087 by 2051. Dementia affects 1 person in 6 over 80 and 1 in 3 over 95.
Sources available in Age UK Later Life in UK fact sheet August 2012
%Dependent
Disability, Age and Activities of Daily Living
Older people and functional limitations
37% of men and 40% of women aged 65 and over have at least one functional limitation (seeing, hearing, communication, walking, or using stairs).
This increases to 57% and 65% respectively in those aged 85 and over.
More than half of men and women reporting any functional disability were unable to walk 200 yards or more unaided without stopping or discomfort. Both prevalence and severity increased with age.
The number of functional limitations also increased with age with 17% of men and 19% of women aged 85 and over with three or more functional limitations.
Functional limitations can result in depression and social isolation.
Analysis of English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA) Waves 1-3
Severe Cognitive Limitation by Age and Gender (US)
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
51-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85+
Age
Pe
rce
nt
Males
Females
Total
Healthy Life Expectancy
Life expectancy is increasing and until recently, healthy life expectancy has been increasing at a slower rate
This has meant that many older people are living longer in poor health
There is little evidence of consistent success in compressing morbidity and some evidence that disability rates are declining, but an average 65-year-old can expect to live 7- 9 years with a disability
Age UK analysis of life expectancy and healthy life expectancies at age 65, ONS 2011 published in Agenda for Later Life 2011
Wellbeing
Measuring National Wellbeing (UK) Office for National Statistics July 2012
Setting a benchmark nationally(all age)
United Kingdom Percentages
Very low Low Medium High Average
(0–4) (5–6) (7–8) (9–10) (mean)Life satisfaction 6 .6 17.5 49.8 26.1 7.4Worthwhile 4.9 15.1 48.6 31.4 7.7Happy yesterday
10.9 18.0 39.3 31.8 7.3
Very high High Medium Low Average
(6–10) (4–5) (2–3) (0–1) (mean)Anxious yesterday
21.8 18.1 23.5 36.6 3.1
Measuring National Wellbeing (UK) Office for National Statistics July 2012
General Life satisfaction: retirement is a relatively satisfying time, but the U-shaped (smile-shaped) curve turns down again after 80
Measuring National Wellbeing (UK) Office for National Statistics July 2012
Self esteem (feeling what you do in life is worthwhile):
again, a rise in the sixties and seventies and a marked drop-off at 80+
Measuring National Wellbeing (UK) Office for National Statistics July 2012
Current happiness: how happy were you yesterday?
Retirement is a relatively happy time, even at 80+
Measuring National Wellbeing (UK) Office for National Statistics July 2012
Anxiety: How anxious did you feel yesterday?
Even in one’s eighties and nineties, later life is a time of relatively low anxiety
Measuring National Wellbeing (UK) Office for National Statistics July 2012
Some possible explanations of these trends (only available currently for life satisfaction at all-age level):
Health and disability play a major part
Measuring National Wellbeing (UK) Office for National Statistics July 2012
Some possible explanations of these trends
Marital status (having a partner) is also important
Measuring National Wellbeing (UK) Office for National Statistics July 2012
Some possible explanations of these trends
as is unemployment
Work and Learning
Older workers are particularly disadvantaged by lack of educational qualifications - employment rates are significantly lower for those with no qualifications whatsoever.
Access to learning centres becomes more difficult with age, with FE colleges, adult education centres and the home being main locations of learning
Economic activity by highest qualification, 50-69 y/o
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Degree/ equiv
Higher edu
A-Level /equiv
GCSE A*-C/equiv
Other No Qual
Those 50+ with no qualifications experience employment rates over 20% lower than those with qualifications – much of the difference explained by illness or disability
Employed
Unemployed
Inactive: sick or disabled
Inactive: Other
Inactive: looking after family/home
Inactive: Retired
Education and age
Source: NIACE annual surveys of learning
The number of people undertaking learning decreases significantly with age
But mental activity like learning can slow cognitive decline, reduce morbidity, and facilitate healthier lives.
2005
2005
2005
2005
2005
2006
2006
2006
2006
2006
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
16-49 50-64 65-79 80+ 50+
2005 2006
Continuing learning
Source: NIACE annual surveys of learning. The 2011 and 2012 reports follow this trend
Advantages of learning in later life (1)
In the communityThe Benefits of lifelong learning for adults over 50 have been categorized under the following headings:
FINANCIAL Helps to reduce poverty through various mechanisms, including new employment and improved
knowledge (NIACE IFLL Thematic Paper 6 2010) Money saving (DIY savings on contractors’ labour)
SOCIAL • Helps to reduce isolation through improved social contacts (Age UK 2011) Offers an inexpensive way to try new activities Improved self esteem (achievement of set goal) New topic of conversation with family and friends (anecdotal evidence only)
MEDICAL AND PSYCHOLOGICAL May help to slow cognitive decline. So far, limited evidence, much of it anecdotal, about keeping your
mind sharp, improving some aspects of memory (recall) Self-reported reduction in symptoms of depression (Age UK 2011) There is no authenticated proof yet of physical benefits related directly to learning activities except where
they involve extra exercise or sport (e.g. Tai Chi classes, Morris Docker 2006)
Note: Although there is a great deal of research on the benefits of learning in general, there is a shortage of reliable data on improvements to the health (physical and mental/ psychological) to older learners. The best summary is Age UK summary http://www.ageuk.org.uk/Documents/EN-GB/For-professionals/Work-and-learning/New%20challenges%20new%20chances%20%20IACL%20(Oct%202011).pdf?dtrk=true
In care settings, learning opportunities for older people can:
reduce isolation; improve both physical and mental health; reduce dependence on medication; improve recovery rates; reduce dependency on others
and lead to a greater enjoyment of life which gives residents
something to look forward to.
Source: “Enhancing Informal Adult Learning for Older People in Care” NIACE 2010
Advantages of learning in later life (2)
In care settings
Barriers to learning
Lack of interest and feeling too old are the main barriers to learning as people get older.
Poor information about availability of learning opportunities and inappropriate courses may explain lack of interest.
One survey found 43% of older people agree that there is not enough information on what education courses are available and 30% believe courses on offer are not appropriate for older learners.
05
1015202530354045
Pe
rce
nta
ge
45-54
55-64
65-74
75+
Source: NIACE
Employment trends
7,368,000 people aged from 50 to State Pension Age (SPA, currently 60 for women and 65 for men) are in employment
849,000 people aged 65 or over were employed in July – September 2011, a rise of 0.1 per cent over the last year; this is about 3% of the UK labour force
The employment rate for 50 to SPA is 65% and for SPA+ it is 8.4%
The latest figures (Jul-Sep 2011) show the unemployment rate for people aged 50+ in the UK is 4.7%
In October 2011, 241,100 people aged 50 or over claimed Jobseekers Allowance.
Median hourly pay for workers in their 50s is £12.00 and £10.00 for workers aged 60+, as opposed to £13.03 for workers in their 30s
There has been a trend of people leaving the workforce (presumably for retirement) later. For men, the estimate of average age of withdrawal increased from 63.8 years in 2004 to 64.5 in 2009. For women, it increased from 61.2 years in 2004 to 62.0 years in 2009
Sources: Labour Market Statistics, ONS 2009 - 2011
What do older people think?
More people enjoy work:
• The majority of those aged 55 and over would prefer to be working full time than not working at all, and it is common for older people to view working as the ‘ideal’ situation for them
… and want to keep working:
A 2003 survey found over two-thirds of respondents aged between 50-70 who were in, or looking for, a job planned to work in some capacity during retirement or never retire
• The average age at which workers over 50 retired reached its highest level for men (64.6 years) since 1984. For women comparable figures showed an increase from 60.7 in 1984 to 61.9 in 2008.
Sources in Age UK Later Life in UK fact sheet, August 2012
Why is this important?
• Employment supports an individual’s ability to contribute in addition to their material wellbeing (ELSA Wave 3 presentation, Banks and Tetlow 2008).
• All those who want to work need to be in work – and work needs to be promoted as a mechanism for achieving wellbeing and independence in later life
• The impact of projected pension shortfalls on the timing of retirement is not yet clear, but concern about financial security is likely to bring about a further rise in working past SPA.
Money Matters
Trends • Increasing reliance on private sector, complexity in products on offer
• More individuals are directly exposed to risk: a significant percentage of 50-65 year olds are in danger of having replacement rates below benchmarks of adequacy
• Increase in need for info and advice to access entitlements and make appropriate decisions about finances
• Increasing use by organisations of websites as the main channel rather than (more expensive) face to face (although Pension Service home visits)
• Digital exclusion now leading to increase in financial exclusion, not just in banking, but increasingly public services and private care funding (poor risks?)
• Greater exposure to financial abuse
• Gaps in support for frail vulnerable older people, especially around money management.
What do older people think?•Confusion regarding choices of pensions, savings and
care
•Lack of interest in accessing products online
•Concern about pensions (55-65 year-olds currently finding out that their pensions will not be adequate):
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Pensionparticipation
Pensionincome
+ All non-pensionfinancialwealth
liquidated
+ Half ofhousingwealth
liquidated
+ Allanticipated
inheritancesliquidated
Final report
1st report
Source: Turner final report, 2005
Why is this important?
• An individual’s income clearly supports their material wellbeing. It also enables independent living and appropriate housing
• ELSA (2006 and 2008) provides strong evidence of a positive correlation between higher income/ wealth and reduced risk of developing most of the age-related chronic conditions, including type 2 diabetes, high blood pressure, raised cholesterol, disability (reduced strength and mobility)
Health and financial status
1.8 million pensioners live in poverty. Nearly two-thirds of these are women.
Older people on higher incomes are more likely to report their health as ‘good’ or ‘very good’.
People on lower incomes are more likely to report asthma, chronic lung disease and diabetes. High blood pressure is more common among poorer older people.
Sources: Households below Average Income and Pensioner Income Series, DWP 2011
Wealth and health:Odds of poor health increase with poverty
Net Worth by Health of Husband and Wife
Excel
lent
V Goo
d
GoodFai
r
Poor
Poor
Fair
Good
V GoodExcellent
050
100150200250300350400450
Ne
t W
ort
h(i
n T
ho
us
an
ds
)
Wife's Health
Husband's Health
Pension coverage in UK
0
20
40
60
80
100
Earnings
Per
cent
age
Occupational pension Both Personal pension No private pension
For the latest figures on pensions and pension coverage, see Age UK Later Life in UK fact sheet, August 2012
11.2
6.6
6.2
4.8
4.7
4.4
4.0
3.8
3.7
3.7
3.5
2.4
1.9
1.9
-0.5
3.2
-5 0 5 10 15
GreeceSpain
NetherlandsGermany
FinlandIreland
PortugalAustriaFrance
BelgiumDenmarkSweden
LuxembourgItalyUK
EU
Forecast change in public pension spending 2000–2040 (%)
0
0.25
0.5
0.75
1
50 55 60 65 70
Age
Su
rviv
al p
rob
abil
ity
UK men
No Occupational Pension
With Occupational Pension
Do Pension Incentives Matter?Survival probabilities, by pension status
UK women
No Occupational Pension
With Occupational Pension
Do Pension Incentives Matter?Survival probabilities, by pension status
0
0.25
0.5
0.75
1
50 55 60 65 70
Age
Su
rviv
al
pro
bab
ilit
y
Home and Care
Housing
Why is this important?
Decent and appropriate housing is a key element in quality of life and good health in older age
Demographic changes, combined with changes in policy on care provision and home ownership have meant - and will continue to mean - an increasing number of the oldest old living longer, and often alone, in their own homes
Older people (especially single people aged 75+) are more likely than younger people to live in older, non-decent homes)
Source: Older People, Decent Homes and Fuel Poverty. An Analysis of the English House Condition Survey, Help the Aged and BRE, 2006
Policy context Government encouraging institutional investment more in private
rented sector to make up the shortfall in social housing. Growing debate around reconciling housing related support, social
care and health services to deliver independence at home (role of common assessment framework)
Cuts in preventative services - housing related support - more funding diverted to social care Further decline in retirement housing in the social sector - increased focus on the most vulnerable
Reforms to security of tenure (see Hills report) possibly less security for both private and social residents – issue around offering settled accommodation to older people
Calls for improved coordination - partnership with LAs and PCTs increasing focus on the role of retirement communities - some growth
Increasing push towards assistive technology to replace or reduce housing support workers - increased pressure to cut labour costs
through assistive technology but likely to remain marginal for next 5-10 years (except top end of market)
What older people think 92% of adults say they envisage living in a home they have for life, but 23% said
their current home was unsuitable to live in in old age (B&Q survey, 2008) More older people refusing to purchase preventative services to save money as
the result of increased 'choice' and rising charges Opinions sharply divided between those who benefit from Assistive Technology
and those who see reduced contact with 'human' support Concern about inheritance tax is not necessarily exclusive to the very rich. ELSA
(Wave 3, Emmerson Muriel 2008) found that 1 in 8 of their representative 50+ sample have assets above the IHT threshold
Whatever the merits of residential in comparison with living in the community, over 70% of adults surveyed view it negatively: 48% of homeowners 18+ say they can’t think of anything worse than moving into a care home.
A further 14% say they would be nervous and 9% frightened (B&Q survey 2008) 5% of people aged 65+ in the UK need but do not receive help with everyday
jobs such as hoovering or changing a light bulb
Trends Continued push on homeownership - experience of Right to Buy generation unable
to maintain housing should provide lessons Growth in need for local housing advice and advocacy – opportunities for one-stop
shop services Growing inequality of retirement provision between private and public sectors Growing regional and local inequality in regard to poor housing Expansion in private
rented sector - more older people living in insecure tenancies Increasingly difficult to obtain additional resources from PCTs Housing support and service charges - growing divide between those receiving
benefits and those paying for themselves - likely to increase friction within retirement housing
Likely increase in numbers of older homeless people resettled in poor temporary accommodation
Public sector will focus on the most vulnerable Possible further decline in specialist housing. Growing debate around mobility
(moving to be nearer friends and relatives offering support) and flexibility within social rented sector
Health and Home The majority of older people live within the
community.
26% of households with someone aged over 75 live in social housing and 68% are home owners.
6% of older households live in sheltered housing
4% of older people live in a care home.
Poor housing has a detrimental impact on both physical and mental health.
2.7 million households with at least one person aged over 60 are living in a non-decent home.
Older people are more likely to be living in non-decent homes in the private sector if they are over 75, or aged 60 or more and living alone.
1.5 million women aged 75 and over live alone compared to 0.5 million men of the same age.
Sources: see Age UK Later Life in UK fact sheet, August 2012
Care and support at home There are 6 million carers in the UK.
2.8 million people aged 50 and over provide unpaid care; nearly 1 million of these are aged 65+ and nearly 50,000 are aged 85+.
There are 8,000 carers aged 90+ (4000 providing 50+ hours of care per week.
Unpaid carers currently provide 65% of care compared to 25% paid for by the state (10% is privately purchased).
73% of English local authorities have plans to limit care to people with substantial and critical needs only.
The growing number of older people means that the need for support from unpaid carers could rise by 30% over the next 35 years (9.1 million).
Sources: see Age UK Later Life in UK fact sheet, August 2012
Supported self-care
Older people and their carers want services that will:
– improve their quality of life, health and well-being and enable them to be more independent.
– Be supported and enable them to self care and have active involvement in decisions about their care and support.
– To have choice and control – services built around the needs of individuals and carers.
The 2006 White Paper Our health, our care, our say, promoted telecare and assistive technology in helping people retain their independence and improve their quality of life.
The use of the internet by older people, particularly over 75s is increasing steadily but over half of all older people continue to be excluded from the benefits of new technologies.
Source: Internet Access Quarterly Update Q3 2011, ONS 2011
Social Inclusion
Why is this important? (1)
Source: ESRC/NATCEN research (Dec 11) and Age UK Later Life in UK fact sheet, August 2012
• 3.7 million people aged 65+ live alone and 600,000 older people leave their homes once a week or less and 17% of have less than weekly contact with family, friends and neighbours
• Over one million older people experience (poor social relations and) social exclusion.
• Older people who live alone spend a lot of time with friends and acquaintances, but on average, they can also spend eleven hours alone on a week day and ten and a half hours alone at weekends (excluding sleep).
Why is this important? (2)
Social isolation prevents ability to contribute. It also is a risk factor for health.
Inactivity and isolation accelerate physical and psychological declines, creating a negative spiral towards premature, preventable ill health and dependency. A recent ELSA study revealed that social detachment reduces quality of life.
Depression is associated with lack of social support (36% of men and 54% of women with severe lack of social support have high depressive symptoms)
Source: ELSA waves 1-3 and Age UK Later Life in UK fact sheet, August 2012
Social Inclusion impacts negatively on older people’s quality of life
0
10
20
30
40
50
No social exclusion Temporary socialexclusion
Persistent socialexclusion
Mean
Qu
ality
of
Lif
e S
co
re
Pleasure
Self-realisation
Autonomy
Control
Source: ELSA waves 1-3
Policy context
•Social isolation is a cross-cutting issue and the responsibility for alleviating it lies with several Government departments. •Policies which may directly impact on social isolation are fragmented but include:
•Linkage Plus aimed to improve outcomes for older people through better joining-up between services and linking older people to services.•Developments in transport policy including making the freedom pass available, amending community transport regulations and •Investment of £5.5 million into intergenerational volunteering•Individual budgets for those that access social care•Positive duty as applied to culture and leisure opportunities •Lifetime neighbourhoods•Neighbourhood warden schemes•Informal learning white paper
What do older people think?
Source: Own surveys and analysis of ELSA wave 3
•29% of respondents to an Age Concern survey saw friends and 36% saw family a few times and month or less•However many people at mid- to later life may not consider they need to expand their social networks•44% state they do not need lots of friends •45% disagreed that they feel lonely from time to time
•Analysis of ELSA wave 3 has found that life satisfaction significantly decreases after certain life events, with many underlying factors clustering around themes of social isolation and lack of support. •Satisfaction with current levels of social interaction could be a barrier to individuals building up social networks
Trends
Source: DCLG household estimates, 2006
226,000
797,000
923,000
834,000
947,000
1,061,000
1,659,000
254,000
1,048,000
1,460,000
1,415,000
1,792,000
1,559,000
2,359,000
0 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000
Under 25
25 - 34
35 - 44
45 - 54
55 - 64
65 - 74
75 and over
2026
2003
One person households are projected to overtake married couple households by 2030
As people age, the risk of being lonely increases. For details of trends in volunteering and digital inclusion, see Appendix
Public Policy Challenges
Long term challenges
A decade of spending cuts – doing more with less?
Demographic change – a manageable transition (working longer; pensions reform) but we must now prepare our public services
Income – pensioner poverty stuck around 20% for the next decade despite pension reform
Healthy life expectancy - remains an elusive goal, avoid longer periods of disability
Social and technological change – changes in family life, communities and the digital divide – what next?
2011/12: Uncertainty and Opportunity
UNCERTAINTY Older people not immune from
the recession
– Job losses hitting older workers
– Rising costs of living
– Impact on savings and annuities
Now - a focus on employment and skills; an end to forced retirement
The aftermath – public service cuts must not disproportionately harm older people
OPPORTUNITY A new ageing strategy
Social care reform - 2011 is ‘make or break’ for the long term
The Equality Bill – new rights outside work; end forced retirement?
Pensioner poverty – Child poverty Bill focuses minds on ending pensioner poverty
Coalition pressing older people’s priorities
Equal citizens, equal rights
PROPOSALS
1. Use Equality Bill to outlaw age
discrimination in goods and
services, rapidly and with minimal
exemptions
2. Support EU directive on
discrimination beyond the workplace
3. Robust enforcement and promotion
of existing age discrimination law
4. Extend Human Rights Act to private
providers of public services
INDICATORS
68% say politicians see older
people as a low priority
60% say age discrimination exists
in older people’s lives
60% say age discrimination exists
in the workplace
53% say people in very old age
are treated like children
52% say those planning services
don’t pay enough attention to
older people
PRIORITY: Outlaw mandatory retirement ages (2010 priority)
Enough Money
PROPOSALS
1. Government commitment to end pensioner poverty
2. Public services work together to push take-up of benefits
3. Index State Pension to earnings now and improve pensions for women who retired before 2010
4. Urgent review of Fuel Poverty Strategy
INDICATORS
16% (AHC) of pensioners in poverty
59-67% of those eligible receive Pension Credit
56% of employees covered by a non-state pension
36% of over-60s avoid heating rooms to save money
7% of 85+ households don’t have a bank account
PRIORITY: Roll out automatic payment of benefits
My life, my care
PROPOSALS
1. Increase investment in preventative support and information, advice and advocacy
2. A fair national system for assessing need and allocating resources
3. A radical new long-term settlement for care and support, which increases access and quality, and is fair and affordable for all
INDICATORS
410,000 people over 65 with unmet need for help around the home
67,000 households receiving low-level home care
347,000 people receiving home care
£60 gap between average weekly fees for a care home and the standard council payment
27,000 people over 65 receiving Direct Payments
PRIORITY: Spend an extra £1-2bn on older people’s care
Staying well and feeling good
PROPOSALS
1. All public services to work to promote lifetime good health
2. NHS reform to reflect older people’s needs and preferences
3. Improve access to primary care for carers and care home residents
4. All health providers to adopt person-centred measures of dignity
5. Age-aware workforce development strategies
INDICATORS
24% of over-65s say quality of life has worsened in the last year
7.3 years for men and 9.4 years for women of future disability at age of 65
19% of 65-74s and 7% of over-75s do recommended levels of exercise
149,000 75+ emergency readmissions within 1 month of discharge
64% say health and care staff don’t always treat older people with dignity
PRIORITY: Re-direct the NHS to prevent and manage common
conditions of ageing
Places to age in
PROPOSALS
1. Local public agencies to commit to ‘lifetime neighbourhoods’ principles
2. Rapid adoption of Lifetime Homes planning standard
3. Review policy and funding for supported housing
4. During recession, anti-crime initiatives for and with older people
INDICATORS
11% of over -65s say they are lonely
35% of 60+ households live in poor housing conditions
26,000 65+ excess winter deaths
9-10% of over 75s find it very difficult to access doctor, post office, supermarket
6% of over-65s leave home once a week or less
PRIORITY: a national ‘offer’ and brand for local older people’s services
Opportunities and contributions
PROPOSALS
1. Employers to adopt flexible working and ‘age management’ policies, with a right to request flexible work.
2. All local public services to facilitate lifelong learning
3. IT industry to embrace accessibility and inclusive design
4. Public bodies to involve diverse groups of older people in decisions affecting them
INDICATORS
76% say the country fails to make good use of older people’s skills and talents
312,000 over-50s unemployed
168,000 over-60s participating in state-funded learning
60% of over-65s have never used the internet
39% of 65-74s and 24% of over 75s participate in formal volunteering at least once a month
PRIORITY: ‘age proof’ employment and skills support during recession
Public Policy at Age UKNATIONAL
COMMUNITY AND SOCIETY
– Income and inequality
– Housing
– Communities and transport
PUBLIC SERVICES
– Health and healthcare
– Independence and support
– Equality and human rights
PRIVATE SECTOR
– Employment and
opportunities
– Consumer markets
– Financial services
LOCAL
Supporting Age Concerns and other
partners influence effectively
National programmes where the key
decisions are local
REGIONAL
Regional teams working with
partners
INTERNATIONAL
EU and international institutions
Partnership with HelpAge
International
The older consumer
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
2002 2006 2026 2036
0-15
16-29
30-49
50-59
60-74
75+
'000s
Source: National Statistics 2004
A large and growing older population
Spending, income and wealth
SPENDING
Over £100 billion spent by 65+ households every year
Rich people spend same amount, whatever their age. Poor people in
later life spend less than younger groups with the same income
INCOME
Lower incomes on average, but similar poverty rate
WEALTH
2.2 million with no savings; 3 million with over £20,000
Huge inequalities in wealth, but richer than younger age groups on
average (housing)
Sources: see Age UK Later Life in the UK fact sheet, August 2012
Distribution of wealth within and between cohorts
0 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 1,400,000
16-24
25-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65-74
75-84
85+
Tota
l Wea
lth
Real spending power
Over 50’s account for 80% of UK financial wealth
On average, higher disposable income than under 50’s
But huge variation in terms of who accounts for it……..
Wealth concentrated among current 50 - 64’s:
– 80% home ownership
– spend more per week than any other age group
65 – 75’s already have similar spending power to under 50’s versus…
40% of retired who rely on state pension: 60% home ownership over 75’s
Sources: see Age UK Later Life in the UK fact sheet, August 2012
Assumptions about older consumers
Often misrepresented, neglected, ignored
55% of over 55s agree ‘business and retailers have little interest in the consumer needs of older consumers’
Ageism – stereotyping of a whole age group as
– Homogenous ‘others’
– Warm, friendly
– Incompetent and incapable
Neglected even for products mainly for older age groups… reinforcing and responding to internalised ageism
Facts about older consumers (1)
People get more diverse as they get older…
Full-time, part-time, retired, caring, grand-parenting, volunteering etc
8% of people over 65 are from BME backgrounds 5-7% over over-60s are LGB A third of over-65s are disabled, rising to 2/3 of over-85s A quarter have symptoms of depression
Sources: see Age UK Later Life in the UK fact sheet, August 2012
Facts about older consumers (2)
Driving – half of over-70s don’t have a driving licence
Valuing home – over-65s spend more time at home (80% of the week) and like them more. But some feel trapped at home.
Living alone – half of 75+ households live alone. 7-9% over over-65s are often or always lonely
Not exercising enough – 17% of women aged 65-74 and 20% of men meet recommended guidelines
Having cognitive difficulties – especially over 80s
Sources: see Age UK Later Life in the UK fact sheet, August 2012
Facts about older consumers (3)
Late adopters, but get there…
– 77% of 65-74 year olds use a mobile
– 40% aged over 65 have used the internet, including a million almost every day
– 1 in 10 60-69 year olds own an MP3 player
Spend higher share on essentials (food, energy, housing etc)
A little less susceptible to switching products, advertising etc
Hate stigmatising products… eg ugly adaptations
But mainstream products don’t always serve their needs
Sources: see Age UK Later Life in the UK fact sheet, August 2012
Impact of ageing on activities of daily living
Impacts on hearing, sight, touch, dexterity, muscular strength, mobility etc
28% of over-65s have significant sight loss
55% of over 60s have hearing problems
One third of over-65s have a fall each year
9 million people have arthritis
Small print harder to read
Call centres more difficult to navigate
Bending and stretching to reach shelves
Fiddly buttons on clothes
Sending text messages on mobile phones
Shopping harder to carry
Packaging harder to open
Facts about older consumers (4)
Sources: see Age UK Later Life in the UK fact sheet, August 2012
Attitudes and discrimination
An attitude problem
As a society, we have failed to come to terms with the dramatic increase in the number of older people, both in absolute terms and proportionate to the population
Denial; the difficulty we all have in coming to terms with getting older, our own ageing process
Older people feel they are marginalised, ignored, stereotyped
Products, marketing and communications still addressed to the younger generation
Age discrimination in the UK is still pervasive and widespread
60% of older people in the UK agree that age discrimination exists in the daily lives of older people
53% of adults agree that once you reach very old age, people tend to treat you as a child
52 per cent of older people agree that those who plan services do not pay enough attention to the needs of older people
68% of older people agree that politicians see older people as a low priority
76% of older people believe the country fails to make good use of the skills and talents of older people
97% of annual travel insurance policies impose an upper age limit for new customers
In a study of patients at a stroke unit (2004-06), 4 per cent of patients age 75 and above were given an MRI scan, compared to 26 per cent of those under 75
Sources: see Age UK Later Life in the UK fact sheet, August 2012
Ageist attitudes are considered a serious problem in Europe, especially in the UK and France
Source: Ageism in Europe. Findings from the European Social Survey, Age UK 2011
Even amongst the old themselves….
Source: Ageism in Britain, Age Concern 2006
Society does not place a high value on old age
Sheer numbers mean there is no status or achievement in having defied the odds
As a revered minority, older people used to carry the wisdom of their tribe and family. But now:
– no longer natural leaders
– diminishing role in extended family
In a secular / Western society, there is no sense of the development of spiritual wisdom that comes with age
Experience used to be a basis for respect. But with the impact of technological change the experience of age is increasingly replaced by the expertise of youth
Longer life seen as a burden, not a benefit
Society is dominated by youth culture
Huge pressure to remain looking and feeling young:
– role models are young and beautiful
– men worry about loss of potency, power and success
– women about a decline in their attractiveness
Business still tends to innovate and grow by focusing on the young
The majority of people working in marketing, communication and design are under 40 (including Age UK)
Society is bound by cultural conditioning and stereotyping of what old age means and looks like
Deterioration and decay, no sex, no fun
Traditional and conservative, not innovative, lacking in discernment, not interested in style, fashion, technology
Stereotyped prejudice written into the language: ‘grumpy old’, ‘silly old’, ‘boring old’, ‘dirty old man’
Indeed, society tends to shut old age away, rather than living with it
The idea and fact of ageing can be traumatic
Coping with ‘retirement’
Coming to terms with loss of youth
Fear of physical and mental decay
Fear of being alone, isolated, abandoned, helpless
Of being poor
Many live in denial: suppressing and denying our own fears we do not put ourselves into the shoes of being an older person…….
Summary: the business case
Design inclusively and older consumers will buy
Recognise that business opportunities come with change
Recognise the complexity of the market
Think beyond age
Opportunities
The ‘Third Age’ should present rich opportunities
The changing lifestyle of ‘retirement’
Different priorities and needs
More time, and different uses
New interests and opportunities
More disposable income
Potentially a different life and opportunitiesFamily woman
Focus on the family
Spending on them
Family food and toiletry products:
– value packs to suit all
– chips and pizza
No time for me
Family holiday
Swim with the kids
DIY face pack
Family wagon
Take away
Old TV and video
Empty Nester
Focus on me (us)
Spending on me
My food and beauty preferences;
– premium toiletry products
– salad bags and fish
More time for me
Tour of China, cruise
Swim and Yoga
Weekly professional manicure
Sporty car
Meals at nice restaurants
New DVD system
Lifestages survey cluster analysis, ACRS
Thinking beyond age
Not helpful to think of age per se.
Ageing is an individual experience; people age in different ways
The accumulation of ‘damage’ is dramatically different from one person to another
People’s response to and ability to cope with the ageing process, differs dramatically
Basic differences in attitudes towards life become magnified
Attitudes are much more defining Potentially a more complex segmentation than for younger
markets:
– less vulnerable to peer group pressure
– less need to conform, more individualistic
Most helpful segmentation based on understanding a range of feelings about ageing
Overlaid by attitude towards life per se
Whilst spending power is clearly a critical marketing variable
The way forward...
Question the notion of ageing; in society, in ourselves
Ignore the calendar; chronological age is progressively less relevant
Develop services and products which are appropriate to the ‘third’ and fourth ages’
Think about how we can
– enable life and living
– enhance the quality of life
– simplify life