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1. Managing risk in a highly variable climate- Farmer case study example Barry Mudge Farmer Consultant Port Germein 2. Port Germein 3. Vital Statistics
4. Historic Crop Yields 6. Strategic Resilience Tactical Responsiveness 7. Tactical Management- Dealing with risk
8. Tactical Responses- Dealing with risk
9. Recent important developments
13. Direct Drilling and Early Seeding- Why is this so important? 14. Take Home Message
15. Climate Change
16. Yield Probabilities-2006/2007 64% 24% High 3.0 t/ha and over 23% 26% Medium 1.8 to 3.0 t/ha 13% 50% Low -Up to 1.8t/ha 2007 2006 Yield 64% 24% High 3.0 t/ha and over 23% 26% Medium 1.8 to 3.0 t/ha 13% 50% Low -Up to 1.8t/ha 2007 2006 Yield 17. Low Modelled Plant Available Water at seeding (PAW 78 mm)-Port Germein 19. Modelled effects of PAW at seeding against simulated yields at Quorn- 1900 to 2009 20. What happened in 2007
21. Co-Author Acknowledgement