Regional Conference on Broadband Infrastructure Investment

Athens, Greece / 20-21 October 2016

Jaroslaw K. PONDERCoordinator for Europe Region

International Telecommunication Union (ITU)

ITU ASP RO

Global ICT Developments, 2001-2015Global ICT Developments, 2001-2015

Regional Initiative: Development Regional Initiative: Development of Broadband Access and Adoptionof Broadband Access and Adoption• Objective: Due to significant differences in European

countries, there is an urgent need to take steps and assist administrations in every aspect of the practical implementation and development of high-speed networks.

• Expected results: Assistance to the countries in need 1. Creation of new legislative paradigms fostering broadband development,

including cost-effective solutions for remote and rural areas and models for infrastructure-sharing including applications of smart grids

2. Establishment of national and local/regional broadband roll-out plans and monitoring of the implementation and elaboration of relevant cross-sectoral policies and strategies, including setting up national coordination mechanisms

3. Development of plans for broadband infrastructure roll-out, including in remote and rural areas

4. Mapping of broadband infrastructure across the region5. Monitoring of the quality of services and consumer protection

http://www.itu.int/itu-d/tnd-map-public/

ITU Interactive Transmission MapITU Interactive Transmission Mapss

1) Purpose: To quant ify supply-side indicators f or the reach of broadband networks.

2) Research: Desk research, prim ary research in conjunct ion wit h ITU Regional Off ices, and working with partner organisat ions such as UKE, ECOW AS, ESCAP, TeleGeography.

3) Validati on: The map is validated by net work operat ors and administrat ions through t he I TU Regional Of fices and recorded in the Validation Framework.

4) Outputs: Broadband Capacit y Indicat ors.

Broadband Transmission Capacity Indicators

Underneath the map is a database, contai ni ng records of each i ndi vi dual l ink , node and operator. The followi ng i ndicators are either com pi led or cal cul ated from thi s database:

Indicator 1: Transmission network length (Route kilometres)

Indicator 2: Node locations

Indicator 3: Equipment type of terrestr ial transmission network

Indicator 4: Network capacity (bit rate)

Indicator 5: Number of optical fibres within the cable

Indicator 6: Operational status of the transmission network

Indicator 7a: Percentage of population within reach of transmission networks

Indicator 7b: Percentage of area within reach of transmission networks

Generic OverviewGeneric Overview

http://www.itu.int/itu-d/tnd-map-publichttp://www.itu.int/itu-d/tnd-map-public/

ITU Interactive Transmission Map Research Status: March 2016

Region CIS ARB AFR ASP LAC EUR Total

Countries 12/12 18/23 35/44 32/39 32/35 27/43 156/196

Operators 35 38 63 74 63 59 332- Public 31 34 58 73 63 52 311- Green 0 3 4 0 0 6 13- Amber 2 0 1 1 0 1 5- Red 2 1 0 0 0 0 3- Pending 2 0 0 2 2 31 37

Links 2,097 1,260 3,633 6,101 3,448 3,895 20,434Nodes 1,148 730 2,657 4,236 2,504 2,773 14,048

Indicator 1: Transmission Network Length (Route-Kms), Mar 2016- Drawn 330,839 173,090 271,418 627,201 315,172 284,279 2,001,999- Total 969,485 306,411 333,412 4,104,504 921,701 1,964,889 8,636,402

Indicator 7a: Population within range of operational fibre node (%), Dec 2015- 10-km 34.4 20.5 19.1 16.5 20.0 21.9 18.7- 25-km 64.9 48.0 39.4 39.2 40.4 35.6 40.5- 50-km 81.9 69.0 59.6 62.8 50.5 42.7 60.1

Indicator 7b: Population within range of operational fibre node (millions), Dec 2015- 10-km 97.5 78.0 177.8 670.4 196.7 137.2 1,357,591.3- 25-km 183.8 182.5 366.5 1,595.1 398.0 223.6 2,949,526.0- 50-km 232.0 262.6 544.7 2,558.0 498.0 268.1 4,373,348.6

http://www.itu.int/itu-d/tnd-map-publichttp://www.itu.int/itu-d/tnd-map-public/

ICT Regulatory TrackerICT Regulatory Tracker((Complete set of data available)Complete set of data available)

www.itu.int/en/ITU-D/Regulatory-Market/tracker/Pages/default.aspx

Generations of RegulationGenerations of Regulation

8

G1: Regulated public monopolies G1: Regulated public monopolies without an independent regulatorG2: Basic reformG2: Basic reform, including the creation of separate regulatory bodies, partial liberalization and privatization across the layersG3: Regulation for enabling G3: Regulation for enabling investmentinvestment, innovation and access, with focus on stimulating competitionG4: Integrated regulationG4: Integrated regulation, with an evolving role of the regulator as a partner for development and social inclusion G5: Collaborative regulationG5: Collaborative regulation, with the need to define the foundation, platforms and mechanisms for working with other sector regulators to help achieve the Sustainable Development Goals

Source: ITU

Source: ITU’s Trends in Telecommunication Regulatory Reform Report, 2015.

Source: http://www.itu.int/tracker

The Role of RegulationThe Role of RegulationWhich Regulations Shaped the ICT Sector from 2006 to 2016?

Winning formulas for mobile broadband Winning formulas for mobile broadband

Source: ITU

• Competition in mobile broadband

• Competition in international gateways

• Mobile number portability enabled

• Band migration allowed• Infrastructure sharing for

mobile (either allowed or mandated), including MVNOs

• National broadband plan adopted

Winning formulas for fixed broadband Winning formulas for fixed broadband

Competition in DSL/cable Fixed number portability

enabled Infrastructure sharing for

fixed either allowed or mandated

Converged licensing framework in place

National broadband plan adopted

Source: ITU

National Broadband PlansNational Broadband Plans

3138

5364

102

123133 134

140148 151

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Source: ITU.

National Broadband Plans National Broadband Plans

Source: ITU.

The Shifting Digital Divide – The Shifting Digital Divide – from basic telephony to Internetfrom basic telephony to InternetThe digital divide is shifting from basic phones to Internet, with mobile broadband a key driver of growth in Internet access –half of all subscriptions now broadband-enabled:

Remaining No of UnconnectedPeople

Internet usersbilli

ons

Source: ITU.

3G - 4G3G - 4G

Source: ITU.

Targets – AffordabilityTargets – Affordability

Source: ITU.

Household AccessHousehold Access

Source: Parks Associates & ITU.

Individual Access Continues to Individual Access Continues to IncreaseIncrease

31.8

43.4

24.1

35.3

5.3

9.5

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2000 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Per 1

00 in

habi

tant

s

World

Developing

LDC

60% of the population should be online

Source: ITU.

Regulators were invited, as part of the GSR consultation process, to identify pro-active collaborative policy and smart ICT regulatory measures needed to facilitate access to and the development of digital financial services:identify topics of relevance to stakeholders of the digital finance ecosystem,addressing regulatory overlaps between the ICT/Telecommunication and Financial Services sectors,defining new regulatory approaches to ICT/telecommunication policy and regulation, in particular in an era of collaborative regulation.

Global Symposium for Global Symposium for Regulators 2016 Regulators 2016

Best Practice Guidelines Available here: http://www.itu.int/en/ITU-D/Conferences/GSR/Documents/GSR2016/BPG_16_en.pdf

GSR-16 themes and related discussion papers• Building blocks for smart societies in a

connected world: A regulatory perspective on 5th generation collaborative regulation

• Emerging technologies and the global regulatory agenda

• The race for scale: market power, regulation and the App economy

• Maintaining trust in a digital connected society

www.itu.int/en/ITU-D/Conferences/GSR/Pages/GSR2016/Papers.aspx

The 16th edition of Trends examines:

Investment strategies to foster the deployment of broadband and access to the digital economy,

Network sharing and co-investment regulation,

Regulation and the Internet of Things (IoT),

Interoperability in the digital ecosystem,Smart regulation to facilitate m-services and applications uptake and diffusion.

Available from the ITU bookshop at:www.itu.int/pub/D-PREF-TTR.17-2016

Regulatory Incentives to Achieve Digital Opportunities

www.itu.int/pub/D-PREF

Other regulatory, finance and economicpublications available at:

Trends in Telecommunication Reform 2016 Trends in Telecommunication Reform 2016

22

THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION !!!!THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION !!!!• ITU Europe Coordination Office

– http://www.itu.int/itu-d/

• Telecommunication Development Sector – http://www.itu.int/ITU-D/

• ICT Regulatory Tracker– http://www.itu.int/ITU-R/

• ITU ICT Eye– http://www.itu.int/icteye/

• Publications on Economics & Finance– http://www.itu.int/pub/D-PREF-EF/en

• Broadband Commission: – www.broadbandcommission.org