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1 2003-10-07 © ÉTS and F.Coallier
A Perspective on the Evolution of ICT and its
Standards
A Perspective on the Evolution of ICT and its
Standards
Prof. François Coallierfcoallier @ele.etsmtl.ca
2 2003-10-07 © ÉTS and F.Coallier
Objectives
The Information & Communications Technology (ICT) domain include a wide
range of technologies that have been evolving at a brisk pace for the last thirty years. The direct and indirect economic importance of
ICT in industrialized societies is very significant, if not critical. This short
presentation will provide a perspective on what ICT is and its probable evolution in the
near to middle term.
3 2003-10-07 © ÉTS and F.Coallier
What is ICT ?ISO/IEC JTC 1 Terms of References:
Standardization in the field of Information Technology.
Information Technology includes the specification, design and development of
systems and tools dealing with the capture, representation, processing, security, transfer,
interchange, presentation, management, organization, storage and retrieval of
information
4 2003-10-07 © ÉTS and F.Coallier
Markets Size (109 US $)
Telecommunications 777
IT Hardware 336
Internal Spending 304
IT Services 266
IT Software 115
Other Office Equipment 29
TOTAL 1 827
Telecommunications equipment
380
Computer Systems Hardware
240
Software Licenses 70
Project Oriented IT Services
250
Semiconductors 150
Support/Management IT Services
350
TOTAL 1 440
Global ICT 1998 [1] ICT Vendor 2002 [2]
[1] Miller, H.; Sanders, J , Scoping the global market: size is just part of the story , IEEE IT Professional, Volume: 1 Issue: 2 , March-April 1999, Page(s): 49 -54[2] R.Fulton, COM-15-1667, Predicts 2002 – What’s Ahead for the IT Industry, Gartner Research, Research Note, 2002-01-08
5 2003-10-07 © ÉTS and F.Coallier
Canada’s market
http://strategis.ic.gc.ca/epic/internet/inict-tic.nsf/vwGeneratedInterE/h_it07229e.html
6 2003-10-07 © ÉTS and F.Coallier
Canada’s market
http://strategis.ic.gc.ca/epic/internet/inict-tic.nsf/vwGeneratedInterE/h_it07229e.html
7 2003-10-07 © ÉTS and F.Coallier
From: The fortune of the commons. In Coming of Age - A Survey of the IT Industry. The Economist, May 8th 2003
8 2003-10-07 © ÉTS and F.Coallier
System Integration Market
:Exhibit 5 of « When computers learn to talk: A Web services primer », S. Patil et S. Saigal, The McKinsey Quarterly, no 1, 2002, Web exclusive
9 2003-10-07 © ÉTS and F.Coallier
Strategic developments
• Middleware and Web Services
• Ontologies
• Security and Authentication
• ICT systems architecting and engineering
• Management of intellectual property rights
• Privacy Management
• Broadband / Wireless
10 2003-10-07 © ÉTS and F.Coallier
Wi-FI Hotspots Expansion
From: Bubble trouble
Jun 26th 2003The Economist
Some technologies can spread very
fast.
Note: this exclude home networks
11 2003-10-07 © ÉTS and F.Coallier
OASIS B2B Conceptual Model (2003)
Qu
ality
of S
erv
ice
s
Ma
na
ge
me
nt
S e
c u
r i t y
XML Syntax
Network
Transport
Vertical Industry Area
XML and Web Services Area
Generalized Processes
Specialized Processes
Generalized Content
Specialized Content
Messaging
Service Description Language
Presentation Description
Transaction Patterns
Transaction Instance
Repository
Registry / Directory
Process Description Language Content Definition Language
Co
nfo
rma
nc
e a
nd
Inte
rop
era
bility
Reference: OASIS http://www.oasis-open.org/presentations/ws_forum_conceptual_model.ppt
12 2003-10-07 © ÉTS and F.Coallier
Key Players• Web Services: OASIS, W3C• Ontologies: OASIS, ‘Vertical’ Associations and
Consortia• Security and Authentication : OASIS, JTC 1,...• ICT systems architecting and engineering: JTC 1,
IEEE, OMG.• Management of Intellectual Property Rights: OASIS,
IEEE, JTC 1,…• Privacy Management: IETF, Liberty Aliance, W3C.• Broadband / Wireless: IEEE,..
13 2003-10-07 © ÉTS and F.Coallier
Selected Regional ICT Standardization Initiatives
• EU/CEN:– Design for All – and assistive technologies for eAccessibility – eBusiness and eCommerce – from ebXML and online procurement
issues to sector-specific initiatives reaching consensus in areas such as construction or textiles
– eHealth – healthcare informatics. New activities in this domain are under review
– eLearning – for both academic and workplace environments– Intelligent Transport – road and traffic telematics, including e-safety,
electronic fee collection– Public Interest - work to support EU legislative and policy initiatives– Smart Cards and related – from the technical requirements of cards
and readers to applications in authentication and ticketing
http://www.cenorm.be/cenorm/index.htm
14 2003-10-07 © ÉTS and F.Coallier
Selected Regional ICT Standardization Initiatives
US• ANSI:
Healthcare Informatics Standards Board: Information System Standards Board Information Infrastructure Standards Panel
NIST NIST assists industry groups as they develop IT standards Sector-Focused Activities:
Electronic Data Exchange Manufacturing Systems Integration Division National Wireless Electronic Systems Testbed
http://www.ansi.org/standards_activities/standards_boards_panels/hisb/overview.aspx?menuid=3 http://www.nist.gov/public_affairs/general2.htm
15 2003-10-07 © ÉTS and F.Coallier
Conclusions• ICT is a key sector of Canada’s economy, as well as a
critical infrastructure and enabler.• ICT should keep its current pace of development
during the decade.• The ICT service sector is rapidly going global. • Consortia drive ICT standards development (about
350 of them according to a recent CEN survey).• Formal standards bodies are adopting Consortia
developed standards that meet their criteria.
16 2003-10-07 © ÉTS and F.Coallier
Recommendations
Focus limited resources on key value-added activities:
– Enhanced awareness tools (web site)
– Support strategic sectors• Telecom
• ‘Software & Computer Services’
• Multimedia
– Support strategic application domains (e.g. health)
– Support participation in key committees:• Consortia
• Formal standards bodies
17 2003-10-07 © ÉTS and F.Coallier
BACKUPS
18 2003-10-07 © ÉTS and F.Coallier
ICT Taxonomy Model
Human Interfaces
Processes and Methods
APIs and Middleware
Hardware and Devices
Base Technologies
Ontologies
ICT
Social and Cultural
19 2003-10-07 © ÉTS and F.Coallier
Computer Games Market (billions of US $)
2000 2001 2002 2003
Games Software 13 15 17 19
Cinema box-office receipts
18 18 19 20
DVD/Video 18 21 26 30
CDs 35 33 32 32
Console wars, Jun 20th 2002 , The Economist http://www.economist.com/displayStory.cfm?Story_ID=1189352
20 2003-10-07 © ÉTS and F.Coallier
Other trends to track• Intelligent tags (will eventually replace barcodes)• ‘Broadband’ (Wi-Fi, UWB, 4G, fiber to the home,
HDSL,..)• Flexible displays / digital paper• Geo-enabling of the web• Utility computing• Virtual Reality• Advanced Networks (Mesh, P2P, PAN)• Intelligent fabric• Human – machine interface
21 2003-10-07 © ÉTS and F.Coallier
Digital Home Working Group Vision
Consumers want theirdevices to work together
and share content
Consumers want theirdevices to work together
and share content
BROADBANDBROADBANDEntertainment,
E-Business, Services
MEDIAMEDIAPre-Recorded Content
Personal Media
MOBILE MULTIMEDIAMOBILE MULTIMEDIAEntertainment,
Personal Pictures and Video, Services
BROADCASTBROADCASTServices,
Entertainment
© 2003 Digital Home Working Group
www.dhwg.org
22 2003-10-07 © ÉTS and F.Coallier
Digital Home Vision
IPv6IPv6
UPnP Arch v2UPnP Arch v2
DRM/CP InteroperabilityDRM/CP Interoperability
Physical NetworkPhysical Network
Network ProtocolNetwork Protocol
Device DiscoveryDevice Discoveryand Controland Control
Media TransportsMedia Transports
Media FormatsMedia Formats
Digital Rights Management/Digital Rights Management/Content ProtectionContent Protection
20042004 20052005 2006+2006+
Candidates for DHWG Technologies
Disclaimer: Some of the formats/standards referenced above are trademarks or registered trademarks of their respective companies.Disclaimer: Some of the formats/standards referenced above are trademarks or registered trademarks of their respective companies.
Under Consideration in DHWG
Required: Required: PNG, JPEG, LPCM, MPEG2PNG, JPEG, LPCM, MPEG2
Optional: Optional: GIF, TIFF, MP3, WMA9, AC-3, AAC,GIF, TIFF, MP3, WMA9, AC-3, AAC,ATRAC3plus, MPEG1, MPEG2, MPEG4, WMV9ATRAC3plus, MPEG1, MPEG2, MPEG4, WMV9
DRM/CP TechnologiesDRM/CP Technologies
IPIP IPv4IPv4
UPnP Arch v1UPnP Arch v1
EthernetEthernet
UPnP DCP UPnP DCP AVv1AVv1
HTTPHTTP
Wired 802.3uWired 802.3uWireless 802.11a/b/gWireless 802.11a/b/g
Futu
re P
oten
tial T
echn
olog
ies
JPEG2K, MPEG4JPEG2K, MPEG4
DHWG Media Formats
Wireless 802.11e/i Wireless 802.11e/i
© 2003 Digital Home Working Group
www.dhwg.org