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Sustainable Transport Solutions in Emerging Economies Working Session - 10:30am-12:30pm May 15, 2013 Future Megacities in Action Conference Holger Dalkmann Director, EMBARQ World Resources Institute

Sustainable Transport Solutions in Emerging Economies - Holger Dalkmann - EMBARQ - Future Megacities in Action 2013 - 15 May 2013

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As of May 2013, bus rapid transit (BRT) has expanded to operate in 156 cities across the world, with 83 additional cities currently in the planning and construction stages. In 2005, the Metrobus BRT system came to Mexico City, replacing 1,383 obsolete, highly polluting microbuses. Since then, BRT in Mexico has expanded to 35 lines, with 526 buses transporting over 1.16 million passengers per day, along 156 kilometers (97 miles) of road. Mexico’s BRT impact has been felt in the form of 180,000 total commuting hours saved; a 110,000-ton reduction in CO2 emissions -- equivalent to the annual emissions from 22,917 passenger vehicles; and a 35% reduction in harmful particle pollution. EMBARQ director Holger Dalkmann emphasized BRT benefits as part of the Second Annual Future Megacities in Action 2013 conference, in Hamburg, Germany. Dalkmann also participated on two sessions, on mobility, integrated sustainable urban transport systems during a high-level conversation intended to advance discussion between public sector representatives, political decision makers, and researchers. Bus rapid transit integrating with city culture in Mexico Mexico City’s Metrobus is a good example of the versatility of bus rapid transit and its ability to adapt to historic districts, with cultural, tourist, and commercial value, while offering urban accessibility. Bus rapid transit has also helped make Mexico City’s streets safer for pedestrians, by recovering streets and sidewalk space for pedestrians and other road users. The bus rider experience has also been enhanced with entertainment and safety technology, as well as external fare systems, and accessibility for people with a variety of mobility needs. In 2009, the Mexican Federal government instituted the Public Transportation Federal Support Program (PROTRAM) to fund public transportation improvements in cities with more than 500,000 inhabitants. As a result, BRT systems are being promoted in 35 cities across Mexico with the support from the Federal government. But according to Dalkmann, BRT in Mexico still faces obstacles in the form of opposition from private bus operators, the need to build human skills to define quality BRT projects, shifting political agendas, and the limited number of communication strategies that currently in place to bring such projects into the public light, both before and after completion. Bus rapid transit systems are but a part to rethinking urban development around mobility, and Mexico’s transport planners should tap the potential for further integration between the Metrobus, suburban rail systems, inter-urban transport companies, the airport, the Metro system, and the Ecobici bike-sharing system in order to scale up a sustainable mobility future. Read more from Holger Dalkmann on TheCityFix.com: http://thecityfix.com/blog/author/hdalkmann/

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Page 1: Sustainable Transport Solutions in Emerging Economies - Holger Dalkmann - EMBARQ - Future Megacities in Action 2013 - 15 May 2013

Sustainable Transport Solutions in Emerging Economies

Working Session - 10:30am-12:30pm

May 15, 2013

Future Megacities in Action Conference

Holger Dalkmann

Director, EMBARQ

World Resources Institute

Page 2: Sustainable Transport Solutions in Emerging Economies - Holger Dalkmann - EMBARQ - Future Megacities in Action 2013 - 15 May 2013

The Global Network of EMBARQ

Page 3: Sustainable Transport Solutions in Emerging Economies - Holger Dalkmann - EMBARQ - Future Megacities in Action 2013 - 15 May 2013

CONGESTION

ROAD SAFETY

CLIMATE CHANGE

PUBLIC HEALTH

2-5 cost of GDP through traffic

congerestion

Transport accounts for one-quarter of

global CO2 emissions

Traffic fatalities lead to 1.2 million deaths

every year and many more injuries

Physical inactivity causes 1 in 10 deaths

worldwide, on par with smoking

Page 4: Sustainable Transport Solutions in Emerging Economies - Holger Dalkmann - EMBARQ - Future Megacities in Action 2013 - 15 May 2013

Paradigm Shift: Trend vs. Leapfrogging

Cheonggyecheon, Seoul, South Korea

Page 5: Sustainable Transport Solutions in Emerging Economies - Holger Dalkmann - EMBARQ - Future Megacities in Action 2013 - 15 May 2013

Ahmedabad, India

3.3 million 1992 6.4 million 2011

Page 6: Sustainable Transport Solutions in Emerging Economies - Holger Dalkmann - EMBARQ - Future Megacities in Action 2013 - 15 May 2013

Two Options: Sustainable or Unsustainable?

Today Ahmedabad, India

Population: 5.4m

Trips: 5.6m/yr

Year 2041

Population: 13.2m

Trips: 39.8m/yr

Automobility

Area: 6,484 sq. km

Emissions: 12.32m tCO2/yr

Traffic Fatalities: 5,232/yr

Sustainable Transport

Area: 50% reduction

Emissions: 84% reduction

Traffic Fatalities: 74% reduction

• Same population

• Same number of trips

• Very different outcomes

Page 7: Sustainable Transport Solutions in Emerging Economies - Holger Dalkmann - EMBARQ - Future Megacities in Action 2013 - 15 May 2013

Transport Infrastructure Investment Estimates

Source: CEPT University, 12FYP, 2011

$10 Million

2030

0.4 Billion

USD/Year

0.6 Billion

USD/Year

1.2 Billion

USD/Year

0.8 Billion

USD/Year

Page 8: Sustainable Transport Solutions in Emerging Economies - Holger Dalkmann - EMBARQ - Future Megacities in Action 2013 - 15 May 2013

8

Page 9: Sustainable Transport Solutions in Emerging Economies - Holger Dalkmann - EMBARQ - Future Megacities in Action 2013 - 15 May 2013

9

Page 10: Sustainable Transport Solutions in Emerging Economies - Holger Dalkmann - EMBARQ - Future Megacities in Action 2013 - 15 May 2013

Non-motorized

mobility

Public Transport

Public Spaces

Compact

development

with mixed-uses

Ground Floor for

commercial use

Parking & car

management

Community

Participation

Rethinking Urban Development: Mobility

Page 11: Sustainable Transport Solutions in Emerging Economies - Holger Dalkmann - EMBARQ - Future Megacities in Action 2013 - 15 May 2013

Non-motorized

mobility

Public Transport

Public Spaces

Compact

development

with mixed-uses

Ground Floor for

commercial use

Parking & car

management

Community

Participation

Rethinking Urban Development: Mobility

Page 12: Sustainable Transport Solutions in Emerging Economies - Holger Dalkmann - EMBARQ - Future Megacities in Action 2013 - 15 May 2013

Bus Rapid Transport in Mexico

Page 13: Sustainable Transport Solutions in Emerging Economies - Holger Dalkmann - EMBARQ - Future Megacities in Action 2013 - 15 May 2013

Photo: CTS EMBARQ Mexico

Page 14: Sustainable Transport Solutions in Emerging Economies - Holger Dalkmann - EMBARQ - Future Megacities in Action 2013 - 15 May 2013

Photo: CTS EMBARQ Mexico

Page 15: Sustainable Transport Solutions in Emerging Economies - Holger Dalkmann - EMBARQ - Future Megacities in Action 2013 - 15 May 2013

Photo: CTS EMBARQ Mexico

Page 16: Sustainable Transport Solutions in Emerging Economies - Holger Dalkmann - EMBARQ - Future Megacities in Action 2013 - 15 May 2013

Photo: CTS EMBARQ Mexico

Page 17: Sustainable Transport Solutions in Emerging Economies - Holger Dalkmann - EMBARQ - Future Megacities in Action 2013 - 15 May 2013

Pho

to: C

TS E

MB

AR

Q M

exic

o

Page 18: Sustainable Transport Solutions in Emerging Economies - Holger Dalkmann - EMBARQ - Future Megacities in Action 2013 - 15 May 2013

Photo: CTS EMBARQ Mexico

Page 19: Sustainable Transport Solutions in Emerging Economies - Holger Dalkmann - EMBARQ - Future Megacities in Action 2013 - 15 May 2013

Photo: CTS EMBARQ Mexico

Page 20: Sustainable Transport Solutions in Emerging Economies - Holger Dalkmann - EMBARQ - Future Megacities in Action 2013 - 15 May 2013

Photo: CTS EMBARQ Mexico

Page 21: Sustainable Transport Solutions in Emerging Economies - Holger Dalkmann - EMBARQ - Future Megacities in Action 2013 - 15 May 2013

Photo: CTS EMBARQ Mexico

Page 22: Sustainable Transport Solutions in Emerging Economies - Holger Dalkmann - EMBARQ - Future Megacities in Action 2013 - 15 May 2013

Evolution of BRT system in Mexico

2003 2005 2008 2009 2011

Length: 26 km

Fleet: 61 Length: 46 km

Fleet: 156

Length: 55 km

Fleet: 216

Length: 92 km

Fleet: 330

Length: 128 km

Fleet: 472

1,164,000

pp/day

2012

Length: 156 km

Fleet: 526

1,114,000

pp/day 814,000

pp/day 552,000

pp/day 497,000

pp/day 237,000

pp/day

Page 23: Sustainable Transport Solutions in Emerging Economies - Holger Dalkmann - EMBARQ - Future Megacities in Action 2013 - 15 May 2013

4 lines, 156 km in 9 years, 500 buses, 1.160,000 people/day

Replaced 1,383 obsolete, highly polluting microbuses

17% of the users come from individual motor vehicles

110,000 tons of CO2 per year reduced (total 385,000 tons

reduced so far)

40% travel time savings per user (180,000 hours per year)

35% reduction in exposure to particulate matter (PM 2.5)

Metrobus in Numbers

Page 24: Sustainable Transport Solutions in Emerging Economies - Holger Dalkmann - EMBARQ - Future Megacities in Action 2013 - 15 May 2013

Particulate matter emissions from ULSD

with technologies are similar to CNG

ULSD +

tech Non-ULSD

+ no

filters

Page 25: Sustainable Transport Solutions in Emerging Economies - Holger Dalkmann - EMBARQ - Future Megacities in Action 2013 - 15 May 2013

Integrated Transport Systems: Mexico City

Inter-urban transport

companies

Airport

BRT system

Metro system

Bike system

Suburban rail system

Page 26: Sustainable Transport Solutions in Emerging Economies - Holger Dalkmann - EMBARQ - Future Megacities in Action 2013 - 15 May 2013

In 2009, the Mexican Federal government instituted the

Public Transportation Federal Support Program

(PROTRAM) to fund public transportation improvements

BRT systems are being promoted in 35 cities in Mexico with

the support from the Federal government

PROTRAM funds mass transit systems in cities with

population over 500 thousand people

Upscaling: Mass Transit Program (PROTRAM)

Page 27: Sustainable Transport Solutions in Emerging Economies - Holger Dalkmann - EMBARQ - Future Megacities in Action 2013 - 15 May 2013

35 BRT Systems:

o 5 build/under construction

o 30 under review / identification

BRT systems in Mexico

EMBARQ provides technical advisory for

the implementation of BRT systems:

1) identification 2) Preparation 3) Evaluation 4) Implementation

5) Monitoring

BRT Chihuahua

BRT Mexicali

BRT Ecovía Monterrey

BRT Chimalhuacán

BRT Tampico

BRT Acapulco

BRT Lechería

BRT Tijuana

BRT Puebla

Metrobus Line 5

BRT Monterrey

BRT Villahermosa

BRT Cd. Azteca - Tecámac

BRT Toluca

Authorized

Under review

Tren Sub 1 Cuautitlán

BRT Oaxaca

BT Puebla 2

Tren LRT Guadalajara

BRT Pachuca

BRT Cd Juarez

BRT León

Under construction

Page 28: Sustainable Transport Solutions in Emerging Economies - Holger Dalkmann - EMBARQ - Future Megacities in Action 2013 - 15 May 2013

Opposition from private bus operators to bus transport

improvements, including BRT systems

Institutional capacity to design and implement BRT projects

Despite rapid implementation, BRT systems are influenced

by the time of political appointments

Scrapping buses only in a limited number of cases; in most

cases “replaced buses” are reallocated in other areas

Limited strategies to socialize the project to the public both

before and after completion

Challenges in the planning and implementation process

Page 29: Sustainable Transport Solutions in Emerging Economies - Holger Dalkmann - EMBARQ - Future Megacities in Action 2013 - 15 May 2013

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

0

5

10

15

20

25

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Cu

mu

lati

ve N

um

ber

of

Cit

ies

New

Cit

ies

Tracking BRT Adoption: Expanding Mobility

Around the World

2010: Guangzhou, Hefei, Yancheng, Zaozhuang – China;

Jaipur - India; Bangkok - Thailand; East London Transit –

UK; Barranquilla, Bucaramanga – Colombia;

Ecatepec- Mexico; Lima - Peru; Brampton – Canada; …

2000: Bogotá

(TransMilenio),

Colombia

1974: Curitiba

source: BRTdata.org, April, 2013

Page 30: Sustainable Transport Solutions in Emerging Economies - Holger Dalkmann - EMBARQ - Future Megacities in Action 2013 - 15 May 2013

BRT Use is Expanding Around the World

source: EMBARQ, 2011

Planned / in

construction

(83 cities)

In expansion

(23 cities)

In operation

(156 cities)

Page 31: Sustainable Transport Solutions in Emerging Economies - Holger Dalkmann - EMBARQ - Future Megacities in Action 2013 - 15 May 2013

Flickr user: mariordo59

Curitiba, Colombia Delhi, India

Guangzhou, China Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Page 32: Sustainable Transport Solutions in Emerging Economies - Holger Dalkmann - EMBARQ - Future Megacities in Action 2013 - 15 May 2013

Non-motorized

mobility

Public Transport

Public Spaces

Compact

development

with mixed-uses

Ground Floor for

commercial use

Parking & car

management

Community

Participation

Rethinking Urban Development: Mobility

Page 33: Sustainable Transport Solutions in Emerging Economies - Holger Dalkmann - EMBARQ - Future Megacities in Action 2013 - 15 May 2013

Solutions need to be integrated and enable

accessibility

First step of innovation is easy – continuation is the

main challenge

Only managing the supply, but not the demand is

insufficient

Institutional arrangement is a pre-condition for

enabling change

National financial framework can help to upscale

solutions

Final remarks

Page 34: Sustainable Transport Solutions in Emerging Economies - Holger Dalkmann - EMBARQ - Future Megacities in Action 2013 - 15 May 2013

Thank you