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The economic impacts of mobile broadband www.TheCIE.com.au Phil Manners 2 October 2013

The economic impacts of mobile broadband - Phil Manners, Director, Centre for International Economics

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Page 1: The economic impacts of mobile broadband - Phil Manners, Director, Centre for International Economics

The economic impacts of mobile broadband

www.TheCIE.com.au

Phil Manners

2 October 2013

Page 2: The economic impacts of mobile broadband - Phil Manners, Director, Centre for International Economics

www.TheCIE.com.au2

Page 3: The economic impacts of mobile broadband - Phil Manners, Director, Centre for International Economics

Productivity in Australia

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Strong growth from mid-90s to mid-2000s

Declining productivity growth since mid-2000s

Recent income growth driven by higher prices for our products

Page 4: The economic impacts of mobile broadband - Phil Manners, Director, Centre for International Economics

www.TheCIE.com.au4

Page 5: The economic impacts of mobile broadband - Phil Manners, Director, Centre for International Economics

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2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

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1. Productivity of the sector

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Employment index Intermediate inputs Capital Input index

Input growth into sector has been slow

Page 6: The economic impacts of mobile broadband - Phil Manners, Director, Centre for International Economics

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2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

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1. Productivity of the sector

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Data useVoice minutesConnections Output index

Output growth of the sector has been rapid

Page 7: The economic impacts of mobile broadband - Phil Manners, Director, Centre for International Economics

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2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Ind

ex

1. Productivity of the sector

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Input index Output index

Outputs have grown faster than inputs = productivity

Page 8: The economic impacts of mobile broadband - Phil Manners, Director, Centre for International Economics

2. Business productivity from use of mobile broadband

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Survey of businesses by Woolcott Research Business

adoption and use of mobile broadband

Impacts on business

Performance of business over past 3 years

Ranking of mobile broadband within major business issues

Main Industry of Business

Total

(n=1002)

%

Agriculture, forestry and fishing 7

Manufacturing 6

Construction 16

Wholesale trade 5

Retail trade 10

Accommodation and food services 7

Transport, postal and warehousing 5

Information media and telecommunications 1

Financial and insurance services 4

Retail, hiring and real estate services 4

Professional, scientific and technical services 13

Administrative and support services 4

Education and training 1

Health care and social assistance 6

Arts and recreational services 1

Other services 6

Unknown 2

Company Size

Total

(n=1002)

%

1–4 employees (Micro) 534

5–19 employees (Small) 326

20–199 employees (Medium) 100

200+ employees (Large) 42

No.

Page 9: The economic impacts of mobile broadband - Phil Manners, Director, Centre for International Economics

Business use of mobile broadband

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Share of businesses using mobiles for…

Main uses are phone calls, emails and internet

Many businesses using mobile broadband for more sophisticated uses

Page 10: The economic impacts of mobile broadband - Phil Manners, Director, Centre for International Economics

2. Business productivity from use of mobile broadband

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Impact Share of businesses

noting impact (%)

Average impact across all

businesses (%)

Reduced costs 25 1.5

Saved time for employees 75 2.2

Increased revenue 21 1.1

Improved quality 62 na

Allowed access to new markets 33 na

Allowed access to new suppliers 30 na

Page 11: The economic impacts of mobile broadband - Phil Manners, Director, Centre for International Economics

Sectoral impacts from business survey

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Page 12: The economic impacts of mobile broadband - Phil Manners, Director, Centre for International Economics

Businesses that had higher revenue growth were more likely to cite impacts from mobile broadband

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Page 13: The economic impacts of mobile broadband - Phil Manners, Director, Centre for International Economics

Business ranking of mobile broadband as a significant issue

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Number mentioned Weighted by VA Weighted by number

Skill development of employees 716 81% 72%

More efficient tax system 357 24% 38%

Less government regulation 408 28% 41%

Investing in IT systems 346 39% 33%

Improving internal systems and processes 505 62% 50%

Investing in mobile broadband 209 26% 20%

Investing in machinery, other capital equipment 374 34% 38%

Page 14: The economic impacts of mobile broadband - Phil Manners, Director, Centre for International Economics

Broader economic impacts of mobile broadband sector

Productivity growth in and from mobile sector

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Annual impact (%, 2006 to 2013)

Sector productivity

Business productivity

Low high

Investment 0.02 0.26 0.61

Wages 0.30 0.34 0.57

GDP 0.17 0.33 0.66

Exports 0.11 0.57 1.05

Consumption 0.21 0.27 0.52

─ Increased returns from investment and capital deepening

─ Higher wages

─ Expansion of economic activity and exports

─ Higher levels of household consumption

Page 15: The economic impacts of mobile broadband - Phil Manners, Director, Centre for International Economics

Implications for spectrum management

If no additional spectrum provided then what?─ And when?

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Page 16: The economic impacts of mobile broadband - Phil Manners, Director, Centre for International Economics

Phil MannersDirector

02 9250 [email protected]

www.TheCIE.com.au