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You Sold Your First 1,000 Devices? Now What? September 09, 2015 MobileCON, CTIA 2015
Syed Zaeem Hosain (“Z”), CTO, Aeris Communications, Inc. [email protected] | @aerisCTO
2 © 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
§ Who is Aeris
§ The “Growth Stall”
§ IoT Products Life-Cycle
§ A Look Into The Future
Topics
3 © 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
About Aeris Overview
Company:
• M2M / IoT services
• HQ in Silicon Valley, CA
• Services since mid-1990’s
Our Customers:
• Enterprises deploying M2M
• Connectivity to / from Devices
• Analytics à business actions
Solutions
• Optimized M2M / IoT platform
• Connectivity to Application
enablement
• Neo™ – Rapid M2M deployment
The Numbers:
• Global M2M / IoT services,
CDMA, GSM, and LTE
• 99.995% infrastructure reliability
• 350 Million+ messages per day
4 © 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
§ Multi-technology services for M2M / IoT
Aeris Markets & Services Global solution
Markets • Healthcare
• Telematics
• Consumer Auto
• Monitoring & Control
• Point of Sale
• Utilities
Platform • Application enablement • Connectivity enablement
• Provisioning / Activation • Real-time information • Alerts & alarms • Billing & reporting • Acct-level NOC support
• Device/IP session control • Data & voice connectivity
Cellular • Global services
• 500+ carriers
• 2G / 3G CDMA & GSM
• 4G LTE
5 © 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
The Aeris IoT Platform Full solution stack for M2M and IoT applications
6 © 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
§ Many companies “stall” after deploying X units … – “X”: hundreds to a few thousand devices … – … occasionally, tens of thousands of devices
§ Why? … outcome is not totally surprising – Initial systems & processes reaching capacity – Cost of operation is higher than expected – Smaller companies & startups are resource-constrained – Learning from mistakes taking time & effort to resolve – Generating end-user bills & invoices at scale isn’t easy
§ Key Issue – Planning for growth was secondary to getting product launched!
The “Growth Stall” “We will cross that bridge when we get to it”
7 © 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
IoT Products Life Cycle Choices for successful applications
EOL
• Plan up-front • Remove units • Re-use #’s
Operate
• Manage units • Bill customers • Update app
Scale
• Manufacture • Provision • Test (on-air)
Develop
• Buy vs. Build • Certification • Select network
à Successful applications plan for entire life-cycle
8 © 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Development / Deployment Planning for scale is key to growth
Bill Analyze Operate Install Make Design
à Successful applications plan for growth …
… as early as possible!
9 © 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Designing the IoT Application What are the design factors that need to be considered?
10 © 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Design Factors to Consider Details could be critical to product success
• Does the device need to work for long periods? • How large a battery might it need? Rechargeable? Power • What sensors are available for the measured data? • Is the cost of the sensor(s) sufficiently low? Sensors • Where is the data being sent from? Home? Outside? • Is the technology / transport appropriate for the use-cases? Connectivity • Do the product components require special miniaturization? • What impact does this have on design and manufacturing? Size • Is the device protected from being compromised? • Is the application purpose life-threatening if compromised? Security • Where is the data being sent and to whom? • Who has access to the data (device, transport, destination)? Privacy • Is the data transient or stored for later access and analysis? • What data analytics support is needed? Analytics • What features are needed for deployment? • Can the software and features be updated later / remotely? Features
11 © 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
STAND-ALONE Certified communications equipment
EMBEDDED MODEM Pre-certified carrier cards
MODULE Pre-certified radio modules
CHIPSET Cellular radios and components
TIME TO MARKET
Cellular Hardware Design Time to Market and Level of Integration depends on choice of radio
12 © 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Making the Devices What are the manufacturing factors that need to be considered
13 © 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Manufacturing Factors to Consider Details could be critical to scaling growth
• Can the manufacturer assist with design issues? • Do they have engineering skills to assist on “designing for manufacturability”? Good Partners • Does size reduction drive component costs too high? • Are there multiple sources for the components? Component Cost • Does the production process require new technology? • Does the new technology impact the yield too much? Technology • Will the design require special manufacturing equipment? • Does the device form-factor require unusual “touch”? Form-Factors • If product is successful, can the manufacturer scale production rapidly? • Will production scaling needs impact quality? Scaling • Are there materials in the device that require complex supply chains? • What impact does this have on production times and cost? Materials • Does the manufacturing process yield good product quality? • Is the manufacturer able to enhance the yield over time? Yield • Can test failures be reworked with sufficient quality? • Will field failures be easily repairable by the manufacturer? Rework • Are there any unique test requirements for the device? • Will the testing catch real-world use case faults? Testing
14 © 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Installs Are Challenging OEM installations generally easier – controlled at factory
Installation outsourcing services are available • If not installed by the end-user
Requires documentation and training • Mistakes by installers are tough to debug
Post-installation end-to-end testing is key • KISS … “push test button” à “green light” à done!
Beware inaccessible devices • Leads to high cost of replacement and repair
15 © 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Managing Operational Reliability & Scale OEM installations generally easier – controlled at factory
Redundancy required for growth • For connectivity, and application data servers
Devices in the field may retry excessively • Accurate timed transmissions can overwhelm servers
24 / 7 system uptime is essential • Devices may expect timely responses
Automation is key to scaling growth • Manually provisioning large volumes not possible
16 © 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
PARTNER Outsource: off-the-shelf solutions
and/or design services
BUY Incorporate pre-certified embedded components
BUILD Design from the ground up
Buy vs. Build … Data & Systems Find the right partners when resource constrained
17 © 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Receiving & Analyzing the Data Big Data analytics and services for scaling
Rapid analysis of data often required • Near real-time analysis and actions may be essential
Actions are end-purposes of applications • Filtering / processing data at servers common today
Transport & processing costs may become high • Filter / process “at the edge” – with configurable devices
Data analytics for alerts and actions • Careful of automated responses – provide oversight
18 © 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Billing End-Users Key to generate and scale revenue
Timely invoicing critical for funding growth • Common growth stall issue for many companies
Scaling units in billing systems is critical • Existing systems may not be adequate for M2M / IoT
Automation of billing functions is key • Service providers can provide sufficient information
Outsourcing billing services available • Enables companies to manage growth
19 © 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
§ 2010: IBM (describing their Rational software design) – “A World with 1 Trillion Connected Devices” by 2015
§ 2011: Ericsson CEO Hans Vestberg – “50 Billion Connected Devices” by 2020
§ 2013: ABI Research report – “30 Billion” by 2020
§ 2013: Morgan Stanley report – “75 Billion Devices Connected … IoT” by 2020
§ 2014: Intel infographic – “31 billion devices connected to Internet” by 2020
§ 2014: ABI Research report – “41 billion active wireless connected devices” by 2020
The Predictions Are Staggering Numbers over the years remains high
Source: Intel
20 © 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Impact of One of the Predictions Data growth leading to storage and processing concerns
Cellular M2M / IoT data increasing • M2M devices average: 2 MBytes / month
• USA: 15 M devices (8% of all M2M): 30 TBytes / month
With 50 Billion IoT devices by 2020 • Number of cellular devices (at 5%): 2.5 Billion
• Total data (at 4 MBytes / month) : 10,000,000 TBytes /
month Even with more conservative estimates
• Transmissions & data haystacks are enormous
• à greater emphasis on “processing at the edge”
21 © 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
§ Faster pace than cellphones … > 4X in five years
Total Cellular M2M Connections World-wide growth in number of units
Source: Harbor Research, 2013
22 © 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Cellular M2M Device & Traffic Growth
Device Type Mobile Devices, 2013-2018 CAGR
Mobile Data Traffic, 2013-2018 CAGR
Smartphone 18% 63%
Tablet 41% 87%
Laptop 13% 30%
M2M Module 43% 113%
Source: Cisco VNI Mobile 2014
23 © 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Summary Exciting times ahead
Avoiding the “Growth Stall” is possible • Plan before systems get max’ed – tougher when busy
Automate everything • Processes, systems, support … “no hands” approach
M2M and IoT is the next Big Thing • Even conservative projections are enormous
Global industry and market • Applications are quite similar everywhere