1 SARUA CHANGE, COMPLEXITIES AND COMPETITIVENESS : IMPLICATIONS FOR HIGHER EDUCATION 9 JULY 2012...

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SARUACHANGE, COMPLEXITIES AND COMPETITIVENESS : IMPLICATIONS FOR HIGHER

EDUCATION

9 JULY 2012

Professor Nick Binedell

22

We live in an era of large scale We live in an era of large scale and rapid and rapid changechange, increasing , increasing

technical and social technical and social complexitycomplexity and significantly more and significantly more

competitioncompetition..

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We live in an era of large scale and rapid We live in an era of large scale and rapid changechange, , increasing technical and social increasing technical and social complexitycomplexity and significantly and significantly

more more competitioncompetition..

Is this true?…. And if it is, should it lead Is this true?…. And if it is, should it lead to to fearfear or or hopehope??

44

55

66

77

88

$70 trillion 6,8 bn

USA

$14 trillion

370 m

Japan

$4.15 trillion

120 m

India

$ 3.5 trillion

1.1 bn

South East Asia

$1.5 trillion

593 mSub-Saharan Africa

$ 1.7 trillion

850 m

Latin America

$ 6 trillion

550 m

China

$8.8 trillion

1,3 bn

EU

$15 trillion

500 m

GLOBAL ECONOMIES (PPP + Population)

99

1010

1111

1212

1313

1414

1515

DIVERSITY IN THE GLOBAL ECONOMY…DIVERSITY IN THE GLOBAL ECONOMY…

All who work internationally or who need to deal across national boundaries face many cultural, political and economic differences

All who work internationally or who need to deal across national boundaries face many cultural, political and economic differences

Adapted from Stephen H Rhinesmith

JAPAN

Aging populationGender Inward orientationEconomic stagnation

EUROPE

Definition of EuropeMulti ethnicityDifficult demographicsTwo speed Europe?Financial stabilitySocial market system

USA

Market based systemEthnic diversityYoung nation (300 years)Technological capabilitiesGlobal cultural reachImmigration

DIVERSITY IN THE GLOBAL ECONOMY…DIVERSITY IN THE GLOBAL ECONOMY…

All who work internationally or who need to deal across national boundaries face many cultural, political and economic differences

All who work internationally or who need to deal across national boundaries face many cultural, political and economic differences

Adapted from Stephen H Rhinesmith

CHINA

Rapid economic developmentSize of populationDemographic challengeRule of lawParty mandateForm of political economy

INDIA

PopulationYoung demographicsGenerational differencesICTEnglish language

BRAZIL

Emerging statusImproving stabilityInfrastructure lagInequalityEstablishment of identityEmerging global player

DIVERSITY IN THE GLOBAL ECONOMY…DIVERSITY IN THE GLOBAL ECONOMY…

All who work internationally or who need to deal across national boundaries face many cultural, political and economic differences

All who work internationally or who need to deal across national boundaries face many cultural, political and economic differences

Adapted from Stephen H Rhinesmith

RUSSIA

Turbulent history11 time zonesResources based economyEmergent democracyIdentity ?

UAE

Gulf StatesAuthoritarian ruleChallenge to leadershipVision and driveRegional hub

SOUTH AFRICA

Political transformationRace and IdentityRaw material economyAfrica ?

1919

2020

2121

ASIA

2222

China China

1 200 Mil1 200 Mil

“Without successful

political structural

reform, it is impossible

for us to fully institute

economic structural

reform and the gains

we have made in this

area may be lost” Wen Jaibao

Source : Financial Times, 15 March 2012

2424

CHONGQING

2525

2626

2727

2828

2929

3030

3131

3232

3333

150m $2500

50m $3500

600m $600

AFRICAAFRICA

3434

CONNECTIVITY AFRICACONNECTIVITY AFRICA

COUNTRY CELLPHONES INTERNET USERS

FACEBOOK USERS

EGYPT 71.4m 21.6m 9.3m

NIGERIA 90.5m 45m 4.3m

SOUTH AFRICA 50.3m 5.3m 4.8m

SOURCE : www.internetworldstats.com

3636