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BLS Developments. Thomas J. Nardone Associate Commissioner for Employment Statistics C2ER Annual Conference June 8, 2012. The next BLS Commissioner. Will serve fixed 4-year term On Feb. 22, President nominated Erica Groshen , NY Fed VP Senate confirmation next - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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BLS Developments
Thomas J. NardoneAssociate Commissioner for Employment
StatisticsC2ER Annual Conference
June 8, 2012
The next BLS Commissioner
Will serve fixed 4-year term On Feb. 22, President nominated
Erica Groshen, NY Fed VP Senate confirmation next BLS prepared with comprehensive
briefing book
The next BLS Appropriation (FY
2013) President’s request: $618.2
million, including: $8.3M--”Built-ins” for existing
programs $1.6M--Annual CPS supplemental
survey $2.5M--CEX input to Census poverty
measure ($2.0M)--Eliminate ILC
Developments in BLS regional statistics
Current Employment Statistics (CES) Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages
(QCEW) Occupational Employment Statistics (OES) Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS)
Other programs 2010-20 Employment Projections Green jobs surveys
4
CES Developments Continue realignment of responsibility for
State and area estimates from States to BLS
5
Restructuring FY 2011 budget
required production of estimates to be centralized
removed $5M from BLS budget for FY 2011
Original implementation targeted for January 2011 estimates delayed implementation until March
estimates (in April 2011) due to Continuing Resolutions 6
Restructuring Implementation was difficult
Temporarily utilized BLS staff from– State & Area group (full time)– Regional Offices (part time)– Other National Office groups (part time)
State input and cooperation was a key part of the success of the implementation
7
Restructuring While BLS and States have
implemented the initiative as directed by the President’s FY 2011 Budget – we still have improvements to make Most importantly, we need to ensure
that these data are useful for all of our customers
8
Data CollectionKansas City DCC Expansion
Construction begun, equipment ordered
Some interviewers started in February remainder will be hired after
construction complete Some repeat E/R offenders moved
to Permanent-CATI Reduced amount of firms rolled to
Web Keep more firms on CATI
9
2011 Benchmark Aggregate Results
BLS typically discusses State revisions as of March to compare to National
Statewide TNF average absolute revision at March 2011 was 0.5 percent
MSA TNF average absolute revision at March 2011 was 1.1 percent
Statewide TNF average absolute revision at December 2011 was 0.7 percent
10
2011 Benchmark Aggregate Results
Results were more dispersed on a State-by-State basis
Range of revisions was within historical norms
Some States had smaller benchmark revisions than in the past while others had larger revisions than in the past
11
QCEW Developments Shortened lag between data reference period
and release to less than 6 months in 2011 4th quarter 2010 data to be released 6/30/2011 1st quarter 2011 to be released 9/29/2011
1st quarter 2011 data produced on 2012 North American Industrial Classification System (NAICS) basis Reduction in manufacturing detail (108 industries) 4 new alternative energy industries—solar, wind,
geothermal, biomass Reduction in retail trade industries (7 industries)
12
New BED data BED data on Age and Survival (2011)
State by two digit (Feb 2012)
13
QCEW Developments
Data sharing: MOU on Multi’s
Start addressing 50-year old issue BLS will start adjudicating units with
differing NAICS codes – largest units first
Will provide results to States, try to agree
Will exclude adjudicated units from ARS for 2 cycles
Will track Census use of adjudicated codes
14
OES Developments More web collection—
Email and Web-lite make up about 18% More timely OES estimates
Estimates 7 weeks earlier than last year Quality improvements
Structured State operations review Providing preliminary estimates for a last
opportunity to correct or set as nonresponses questionable employer reports
COC quality initiative15
LAUS Developments Census 2010 population counts was
incorporated with data for January 2012
Implement LAUSOne system Improve State and Sub-state Area
Estimates Research use of American
Community Survey data
2010-2020 Employment Projections
Released February 5, 2012 Impact of the recession
Occupational Outlook Handbook was rewritten as a web-based publication
Revised system for classifying occupations by education, training, and experience needed published in Monthly Labor Review
17
New education and training classification
18
Three categories of information for each occupation: Typical education needed for entry Work experience in a related
occupation Typical on-the-job training needed
to attain competency in the occupation
■The categories make up a typical path to entry and competency
Education and training classification
19
Typical entry-level educationWork experience in
a related occupationTypical OJT needed to
attain competencyDoctoral or professional
degree More than 5 years Internship/residency
Master's degree 1-5 years Apprenticeship
Bachelor's degree Less than 1 year Long-term OJT (more than 1 year)
Associate's degree None Moderate-term OJT (1 to 12 months)
Postsecondary non-degree award
Short-term OJT (less than 1 month)
Some college, no degree NoneHigh school diploma or
equivalentLess than high school
BLS green jobs initiative
Green Goods and Services (GGS) employment by industry released March 22
3.1 million green jobs in 2010, 2.4 percent of employment
State data by 2-digit industries Green Goods and Services (GGS)
occupational staffing patterns and wages Green Technology and Practices (GTP):
number of establishments using GTP; occupational employment and wages of workers spending more than half their time involved with GTP
21
Contact InformationThomas J. Nardone, Associate Commissioner
202-691-6400Nardone.Tom@bls.gov
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