CALIFORNIA Regional Haze SIP Development Progress Report

CALIFORNIA Regional Haze SIP

Development

Progress Report

IWG MeetingPortland, Oregon

August 29-31, 2006

HIGHLIGHTS

• Federal Land Managers

• IMPROVE

• BART

• Interstate Consultation

• Interstate Transport

• Reasonable Progress

FEDERAL LAND MANAGERS

• Intra-State Consultation

• Bi-Annual Meetings

• Regional Haze Teach-In

IMPROVE MONITORING

• Match Air Basins

• Similar Elevations

• Reasonable Distance

• Future Growth and Land Use

• Research Value

• Rank Importance

BART-eligible FACILITIES

• Possibly 30 facilities outside the SJV and SC

• Sixteen BART categories

• RACT and rule stringency

• Q/D elimination, then Subject-to-BART modeling

• Title V permits

• TPY reductions minimal

FAR NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

REDWOODS Coastal Avg. Worst 18.45 dv

TRINITY Remote Forest Coast Range (lee) Avg. Worst 16.32 dv

LAVA BEDS Inland Plain Avg. Worst 15.05 dv

• Species Analysis– Haze Drivers– Seasonality– Concentration– Extinction

• Geography– Terrain– Meteorology– Regional vs. Local– Proximity to eight Class

1 Areas

concentration extinction

LASSEN VOLCANIC Western Base of Mountain Avg. Worst 14.15 dv

FAR NORTHERN ISSUES

• Surrounding Land Use - Natural

- Anthropogenic

- Transport (Pacific, OR, WA, NV, Asia)

•Long-Term Strategy– Smoke Management– On/Off Road Mobile

• Species Reductions–Nitrates, sulfates, woodsmoke

- BART

- SB 656

SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

• Species Analysis– Nitrates, Sulfates, OC, Coarse Mass, EC

• Attribution– Mobile Sources primarily; Boundary Transport

• Strategies (NAAQS non-attainment)– Diesel Risk Reduction, Goods Movement, BACM

GLIDE PATH BENCHMARKS

Worst Haze

Worst Haze

10-year 2018 Per Cent Change

Complete Years of

Site Name Class I Area(s) Natural II (dv)

Baseline (dv)

Glide Slope

BENCHMARK

by 2018 Data

NORTHERN CALIFORNIAREDW1 Redwood Redwood National Park 14.03 18.45 0.07 17.42 5.6% 5TRIN1 Trinity Marble Mountain Wilderness

Yolla Bolly-Middle Eel Wilderness8.25 16.32 0.13 14.43 11.5% 3

LABE1 Lava Beds Lava Beds National Monument South Warner Wilderness

7.95 15.05 0.12 13.39 11.0% 4

LAVO1 Lassen Volcanic

Lassen Volcanic National Park Caribou Wilderness Thousand Lakes Wilderness

7.38 14.15 0.11 12.57 11.2% 5

SIERRA CALIFORNIABLIS1 Bliss Desolation Wilderness

Mokelumne Wilderness6.19 12.63 0.11 11.13 11.9% 4

HOOV1 Hoover Hoover Wilderness 8.04 12.87 0.08 11.74 8.8% 3YOSE1 Yosemite Yosemite National Park

Emigrant Wilderness7.72 17.63 0.17 15.32 13.1% 5

KAIS1 Kaiser Ansel Adams Wilderness Kaiser Wilderness John Muir Wilderness

7.26 14.75 0.12 13.01 11.9% 2

SEQU1 Sequoia Sequoia National Park Kings Canyon National Park

7.56 24.62 0.28 20.64 16.2% 3

DOME1 Dome Lands Dome Lands Wilderness 7.53 19.43 0.20 16.65 14.3% 4COASTAL CALIFORNIAREDW1 Redwood Redwood National Park 14.03 18.45 0.07 17.42 5.6% 5PORE1 Point Reyes Point Reyes National Seashore 15.88 22.81 0.12 21.19 7.1% 3PINN1 Pinnacles PinnaclesWilderness

Ventana Wilderness8.05 18.46 0.17 16.03 13.2% 4

RAFA1 San Rafael San Rafael 7.83 18.86 0.18 16.28 13.6% 2SAGA1 San Gabriel San Gabriel Wilderness

Cucamonga Wilderness7.13 19.94 0.21 16.95 15.0% 3

AGTI1 Agua Tibia Agua Tibia 7.70 23.50 0.26 19.81 15.7% 4SOUTHERN CALIFORNIASAGA1 San Gabriel San Gabriel Wilderness

Cucamonga Wilderness7.13 19.94 0.21 16.95 15.0% 3

SAGO1 San Gorgonio San Gorgonio Wildrness San Jacinto Wilderness

7.36 22.17 0.25 18.72 15.6% 4

AGTI1 Agua Tibia Agua Tibia 7.70 23.50 0.26 19.81 15.7% 4JOSH1 Joshua Tree Joshua Tree National Park 7.25 19.62 0.21 16.73 14.7% 4

AVERAGE 8.42 18.31 0.16 16.00 12.4% 3.6RANGE lowest 6.19 12.63 0.07 11.13 5.59% 2.00

to highest 15.88 24.62 0.28 21.19 16.16% 5.00

REGIONAL HAZE BENCHMARKS for California Class 1 Areas • Lowest Hurdles

– coast at sea level

– lee of Sierra

• Highest Hurdles– southern Sierra

– southernmost C1As

• Regional Response to Reductions

• Gap Analysis

VISIBILITY IMPROVEMENT

• San Gorgonio GAP Analysis– Achieve 70% of 2018

deciview benchmark – 45% reduction in

nitrate extinction– 11% reduction in OMC;

37% reduction in EC– slight increase in

sulfate, coarse mass, and fine soil extinction

• Overall Trend is Improvement

WHO IMPACTS WHOM

• Uncontrollable Boundary Sources

• BART Sources

• Large Nearby Sources

• Caveats for Attribution Modeling Results

• Relative Percentage for Consultation>50% 25-50% <25%

Phase 1 Report TSSA: Combined Nitrate & Sulfate

REASONABLE PROGRESS

• Justify Reasonable Progress Goal using WRAP data analyses– Wildfires– Transport– Mobile sources, transportation corridors– Population growth and land use– Nearby stationary source facility

• Long Term Strategy– Explaining California SIP Commitments

– Don’t shoot the messenger!

CALIFORNIA Class 1 Areas