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CDMA2000CDMA2000CDMA2000CDMA2000Network Path to LTENetwork Path to LTENetwork Path to LTENetwork Path to LTE
Joe LawrenceVice President, Marketing
CDMA Development Group
September 17, 2009
CDMA2000CDMA2000NetworkNetworkGrowthGrowth
SubscriberSubscriberGrowthGrowth
Data RevenueData RevenueGrowthGrowth
2007 200912 more networks12 more networks
being launchedbeing launched
2008 2013Over ½ billionOver ½ billionsubscriberssubscribers
ff
2007 200835 percent35 percent
growth from topgrowth from topC *C *
2www.cdg.org
in 2009in 2009 as of June 2009as of June 2009 3 CDMA carriers*3 CDMA carriers*
* Top 3 CDMA carriers in terms of data revenue: Verizon, KDDI and Sprint
Source: CDG, August 2009 Source: Chetan Sharma, 2009Source: Net growth average of Strategy Analytics (Jun 2008), ABI (Aug 2008), Wireless Intelligence (Jul 2008), WCIS+ (Jul 2008), iGR (Mar 2008) and Yankee Group (Jun 2008) for subscriber forecasts (2008 and beyond) summed with CDG actual numbers of 2008
CDMA Operators with Announced LTE plansCDMA Operators with Announced LTE plans
The following CDMA2000 operators have announced their plansThe following CDMA2000 operators have announced their plansto deploy LTEto deploy LTE
2www.cdg.org
Most other CDMA2000 operators do not have the requisiteMost other CDMA2000 operators do not have the requisitedemand, spectrum or capital to deploy LTEdemand, spectrum or capital to deploy LTE
CDMA2000 Manufacturers Working on LTECDMA2000 Manufacturers Working on LTEThe following CDG members are developing LTE devices and equipmentThe following CDG members are developing LTE devices and equipment
Infrastructure Vendors
Chipset and Device Vendors
Test Vendors
2www.cdg.org
What do operators want?
• Meet the growing demand for voice and data
p
• Offer an unsurpassed user experience
• Reduce the cost of delivering services
• Maximize the return on existing investments• Maximize the return on existing investments
2www.cdg.org
CDMA2000 and OFDMCDMA2000 and OFDM--Based SolutionsBased SolutionsCDMA2000 is complemented with several OFDMCDMA2000 is complemented with several OFDM--based solutionsbased solutions
CDMA2000 E l ti P thCDMA2000 E l ti P th
CDMA2000 1X
CDMA2000 Evolution PathCDMA2000 Evolution Path
1X Advanced
1xEV-DO Rel. 0
1xEV-DORev. A
H/\WUpgrade
Rev. BMulticarrier
EV-DODO Advanced
OFDMAOFDMA--based Technologiesbased Technologies
Mobile WiMAX
LTE
oror
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013+
2www.cdg.org
LTE is part of the CDMA2000 technology roadmapLTE is part of the CDMA2000 technology roadmap
CDMA and OFDMCDMA and OFDM--based Technologiesbased TechnologiesCDMACDMA andand OFDMOFDM areare complementarycomplementary technologiestechnologies
OFDM-based broadband networksOFDM based broadband networks will complement 3G CDMA
Backhaul BroadcastAdditional
BroadbandBackhaul Broadcast BroadbandCapacity
DVB-HISDB-TISDB-TMFLOS-DMBT-DMBCMMB
WiMAX 802.16dLTE
Mobile WiMAXWi-Fi
2www.cdg.org
CMMB
CDMA vs. OFDMACDMA vs. OFDMACDMA and OFDMA are different technologies with different capabilitiesCDMA and OFDMA are different technologies with different capabilities
CDMA2000 1X and EVCDMA2000 1X and EV--DO are more efficient in DO are more efficient in bandwidths up to 5 MHzbandwidths up to 5 MHz
OFDMAOFDMA b d l ti ff i l i l t ti ib d l ti ff i l i l t ti i
2www.cdg.org
OFDMAOFDMA--based solutions offers a simpler implementation inbased solutions offers a simpler implementation inbandwidths greater than 10 MHzbandwidths greater than 10 MHz
Lessons Learned: Migration from 1G to 2G to 3GLessons Learned: Migration from 1G to 2G to 3G
• Takes longer, and is never as simple as it may seem
• Graceful evolutionary change is preferred• Graceful evolutionary change is preferred
• Coverage is king
• Multimode devices are essential
E i f l tt• Economies of scale matters
• A mature ecosystem is desired
To sustain its exponential growth, the global mobile industry To sustain its exponential growth, the global mobile industry should continue strengthening and expanding itsshould continue strengthening and expanding its
2www.cdg.org
should continue strengthening and expanding its should continue strengthening and expanding its existingexisting ecosystem, while it embraces and ecosystem, while it embraces and
assimilates newer technologies and players within its foldassimilates newer technologies and players within its foldSource: IDC
LTE Interoperability: CDG Areas of FocusLTE Interoperability: CDG Areas of FocusCurrent CDG initiativesCurrent CDG initiatives
Seamless Mobility:• To ensure service continuity, inter-standard hand-offs between LTE and yCDMA2000 networks is essential
System Determination:• To maximize revenue, the appropriate system determination algorithms must exist in every CDMA2000/LTE device
Device Certification:• To ensure full compliance, device certification from an independent third-party is sanctioned
Inter-Standard Global Roaming:• To enable global roaming, inter-standard roaming between LTE and CDMA2000
2www.cdg.org
networks is essential
CDMA: Efficient and Flexible Spectrum UtilizationCDMA: Efficient and Flexible Spectrum UtilizationCDMA2000’s 1.25 MHz bandwidth facilitates subscriber traffic managementCDMA2000’s 1.25 MHz bandwidth facilitates subscriber traffic management
Minimizes “stranded” spectrum assets required to support embedded user equipment while moving between technologies
1X 1X 1X
CDMA2000 1X
1XAdvanced
EV-DOEV-DO
1X Advanced
LTE1XEV-DO
#2 M l i l
EV-DO Rev. A
EVDO Rev. BEV-DO Rev. B
#1 Multiple
#2 Multiple Bands, One Antenna Set
#3 Multi- Bands & Technologies, One OA&M Umbrella
pTechnologies, One Backhaul 1X
AdvancedEV-DO LTE
2www.cdg.org
CDMA offers greater flexibility to implement LTE.Several vendors support LTE in existing CDMA2000
base stations, with common radios and antennas.
OFDMA Broadband Overlay TimelineOFDMA Broadband Overlay TimelineOFDMOFDM--based solutions will be builtbased solutions will be built--out over time as demand grows and spectrum out over time as demand grows and spectrum becomes availablebecomes available
3G CDMA 3G CDMA WAN CoverageWAN Coverage
Today
3G CDMA3G CDMA 3G CDMA 3G CDMA
Co e ageCo e age
Next 10 years(Coexistence)
Beyond 10 years
OFDMUrban-zone
OFDMAOFDMA
OFDMUrban-zone
OFDMUrban-zone
3G CDMA WAN networks will coexist with OFDM3G CDMA WAN networks will coexist with OFDM--based solutions until based solutions until t ti b db d t k f ll bl f d li it ti b db d t k f ll bl f d li i
Beyond 10 years(Migration)
OFDMAOFDMAWAN CoverageWAN Coverage
next generation broadband networks are fully capable of delivering:next generation broadband networks are fully capable of delivering:1)1) Ubiquitous coverageUbiquitous coverage
2)2) CarrierCarrier--grade VoIPgrade VoIP
2www.cdg.org
3)3) LowLow--cost devices *cost devices *4)4) Global roaming *Global roaming *
* Harmonization of spectrum for OFDM-based solutions will be necessary to build economies of scale and enable global roaming
What about LTE voice communicationsWhat about LTE voice communicationsMost CDMA2000 operators will rely on their CDMA2000 1X network to deliver voiceMost CDMA2000 operators will rely on their CDMA2000 1X network to deliver voice
LTE only for voice and data?Or, LTE for data and 1X for traditional voice?
Factors to consider:How important is simultaneous voice & data?
How important is an all-IP service model?Should voice capacity be maximized?Should voice capacity be maximized?
CAPEX spending priorities? Handset complexity?
LTE VoIP?TraditionalC/S 1X Voice? p y
Roaming Partners?Timing?1X Advanced? EV-DO VoIP?
2www.cdg.org
3G/4G multimode device availability 3G/4G multimode device availability 3G/ G u t ode de ce a a ab ty3G/ G u t ode de ce a a ab tywill drive the commercialization will drive the commercialization
of LTEof LTEof LTEof LTE
2www.cdg.org
EVEV--DO Evolution PeriodsDO Evolution Periods
Mature VoIP;Concurrent VoIP/Data;High-Definition Multimedia;
SeamlessLTE Handoff
Additional CapacityFemtocellsVoIP
UbiquitousEV-DO Service
EV-DODO
Advanced
MatureEV-DO
Mar
ket
gIntegration w/LTE
EV-DORev. A
EV DORev. B
Advanced
dres
sabl
e M
LTEFirst Full Scale
LTEFirst Volume
DevicesLTE
First SmallV l
% o
f Add
LTERegional First Full Scale
Deployments Volumes
Today 2010-2011 2012 2015 2017
RegionalDeployments
2www.cdg.org
y
Source: Airvana`
CDMA2000 WorldModeTM DevicesMore than 200 WorldMode devices from more than 57 vendorsMore than 200 WorldMode devices from more than 57 vendors
CDMA2000 1X+
EV DO Re A
CDMA2000 1X+
GSMEV-DO Rev. A
+
RIM BlackBerry
EV-DO Rev. A+
GSM+
GPRSNokia
GSM +
GPRSHSPA
DellPrecision Series
y8830GPRSNokia
2865
CDMA2000 1X+
EV DO Rev A
What ComesNext?
CDMA2000 1X+
EV DO R A/BEV-DO Rev. A+
HSPA
Next?Coming!
EV-DO Rev. A/B+
LTE
2www.cdg.org
LGSH-100
Samples shown, LTE WorldMode is concept only
World’s First 3G/4G WorldModeWorld’s First 3G/4G WorldModeTMTM DeviceDeviceEnables Mobile WiMAX devices to roam onto EVEnables Mobile WiMAX devices to roam onto EV--DO Rev A networksDO Rev A networksEnables Mobile WiMAX devices to roam onto EVEnables Mobile WiMAX devices to roam onto EV--DO Rev. A networksDO Rev. A networks
EV-DO Rev. A + Mobile WiMAX
FranklinU300
2www.cdg.org
Several CDMA2000/LTE multimode and multiband devicesare being developed
Next Generation Multimode DevicesNext Generation Multimode DevicesNext generation mobile broadband devices will leverage the learning curve of Next generation mobile broadband devices will leverage the learning curve of CDMA2000 W ldM dCDMA2000 W ldM d TMTM d id iCDMA2000 WorldModeCDMA2000 WorldModeTMTM devicesdevices
LTE
LTEWiMAX*EV-DO Rev. BEV-DO Rev. AEV DO R l 0
WiMAX*WCDMAHSPA+EV-DO Rev. BEV-DO Rev. AEV DO Rel 0EV-DO Rel. 0
GPS1X
EV-DO Rel. 0GPS1X
Radio Frequency Links:450 MHz 700 MHz 800 MHz 900 MHz 1500 MHzGPS 1700 MHz 1800 MHz
1900 MHz AWS 2100 MHz 2500 MHz 3500 MHz
2www.cdg.org
Radio frequency selection is carrierRadio frequency selection is carrier--dependentdependent* WiMAX is enabled using a separate chipset ** MDM 9800 and MDM 9600 chipsets will support FDD and TDD duplex modes and different carrier bandwidths.
Initial Initial WorldModeWorldMode LTE Device AvailabilityLTE Device AvailabilityCDMA industry is developing CDMA2000 / LTE multimode/multiband devicesCDMA industry is developing CDMA2000 / LTE multimode/multiband devices
Multimode LTECommercial Device Availability
Modes: • LTE• CDMA2000 1X
LTE Peak Data Rates (20 MHz):
Commercial Device Availability
• CDMA2000 1X• EV-DO Rev. A• EV-DO Rev. B• UMTS• HSPA+
DL: 50 MbpsUL: 25 Mbps
• HSPA+
HandsetPC Card
Q220112009
Q4 2010
2www.cdg.org
Migration TimelineMigration TimelineWith an increasing number of subscribers the migration process is lengtheningWith an increasing number of subscribers the migration process is lengthening
Migration of SubscribersMigration of Subscribers4G4G
Growth of 2G peaks3G3G
2G2G2G2G2G subs exceed 1G subs –
Roughly 15 years after inception of industry.
1G1G
Putting things into perspective.Putting things into perspective.199519901985 2000 2005 20132010
2www.cdg.org
utt g t gs to pe spect eutt g t gs to pe spect eThe generational migration process will take many years.The generational migration process will take many years.
Voice will remain the Killer Application.Voice will remain the Killer Application.Source: Net growth average of Strategy Analytics (Jun 2008), ABI (Aug 2008), Wireless Intelligence (Jul 2008), WCIS+ (Jul 2008), iGR (Mar 2008) and Yankee Group (Jun 2008) for subscriber forecasts (2008 and beyond) summed with CDG actual numbers of 2008
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