Disaster Risk Assessment: an ENPI East Asset Roberto Rudari roberto.rudari@cimafoundation.org

Disaster Risk Assessment:an ENPI East Asset

Roberto Rudariroberto.rudari@cimafoundation.org

Risk Assessment has received paramount attention in EUSome Relevant documents and acts:

• EU guidelines on Risk Assessment• Communication on The Post 2015 Hyogo Framework for Action: Managing Risks to achieve

Resilience• …• EU Flood Directive• Council conclusions on Integrated Flood Management• …• Seveso Directive• …• EU Civil Protection Law• DECISION No 1313/2013/EU OF THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT AND OF THE COUNCIL of 17

December 2013 in a Union Civil Protection Mechanism• …• Green Paper on the insurance of natural and man-made disasters • …• Recommendations for a European approach on recording of disaster losses and EU Guidelines

(to come in Autumn this year)

As a result of the process… “Multi-hazard national risk assessments are to be produced by Member States by the end of 2015”

Risk Assessment (BLUE BOX) is just an academic exercise if not seen in the wider picture of Disaster Risk Management/Reduction (RED BOX)

Risk assessment and the Disaster Management Process

Risk Assessment is a dynamic concept

Risk is achanging beast

Risk Assessment Scales - Time

Learn from the Past

• Loss Accounting /Forensic

Improve the present

• Short term prevention and mitigation actions

Look at the future

• Long terms assessment, long term planning and investment

Risk assessment should support informed decision in order to:

Risk Assessment Scales - TimeAn example of different actions in time:

Risk Assessment Scales - space

National level

• National Risk Profiles definition• Coping capacity assessment/improvement• National DRM Policies (e.g. EWS)• Prioritization on HZDs / on Geographical areas

Province

level

• Regional development plans• Infrastructure developments

Local/

municipali

ty level

• Disaster Risk management Plans/Emergency Plans• Disaster risk reduction plans• Land use planning and regulations (zoning)

Communi

ty level

• commitment to DRR programs• awareness raising

PPRD East Phase I

Risk/Hazard assessment Management Policy for the ENPI Eastern Region + ERRA• Comparing the risk/hazard level with your neighbors (Best Practices sharing)• Prioritize more precise Risk assessments (HZD focus, Geographic Focus)• Prioritization of DRR measures at National level – policies, NDMP

PPRD East II

• Prepare Disaster Management Plans Response to disaster• Prepare Risk reduction Plans including Local planning/building

RISK ASSESMENT AT NATIONAL LEVELHAZARD ASSESSMENT AT LOCAL LEVELRISK ASSESSMENT AT LOCAL LEVEL EMERGENCY PLAN DEVELOPMENT in connection with EWS

PATROLING TRAIL WL1

PATROLING TRAIL WL2

ROADS TO BE CLOSED

GATES

POINTS OF AGGREGATION TBE

SHELTERS AND HOSTING FCILITIES

CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE

Risk Assessment into ACTION

CONCLUSIONS

• Risk Assessment is a never ending Process• Risk Assessement must be USED for

developing DRM actions at the right scale• Planning and RT actions should be included in

a seamless Risk management context

… PPRD EAST phase I posed solid foundation in order to START an informed DRM planning