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Exploring the Wealth Fields of Connecticut

Question One: Where Are We?

Not Texas

Answer One:In a State of Small Cities

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

Popu

latio

n

Bridgeport, New Haven, Hartford, Stamford, & Waterbury

Norwalk, Danbury, New Britain, Greenwich, Bristol, Meriden, West Haven

Wallingford, Norwich, Haugatuck, New London, Branford, Torrington

Answer Two: In a State of Small Cities

Built from Rail and Steam

Answer Three: Somewhere Inside the “New Atlantic Triangle”

Source: Michael Gallis

Gallis Map of the Triangle

Triangle or Corridor?

Why the Gallis Triangle Matters

Answer Will Turn Out to Depend on Urban Capitalism and the Wealth Fields

we Inherit from its History

The Very Long View of Urban Wealth Formation

A Long Era of Slow ProgressWestern Income Growth, Years 0-1500

Source: Angus Maddison Group A Estimates, 2001

$0

$100

$200

$300

$400

$500

$600

$700

$800

0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500

Year

GD

P Pe

r Cap

ita, 1

990

Dol

lars

Late Take Off & the Great Ascent Source: Angus Maddison Group A Estimates, 2001

-$5,000

$0

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

$25,000

0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 1700 1820 1998

Year

GD

P Pe

r Cap

ita, 1

990

Dol

lars

ERA OF URBAN CAPITALISM

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

900,000

1,000,000

1500 1600 1700 1800

Popu

latio

n

ParisLondonNaples

Population Surge of Urban Capitalism

Source: Michael Gallis

Douglas W. Rae

Yale School of Management

Author of City:Urbanismand its End

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

1860 1870 1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950

Popu

latio

n

Baltimore, MD.

Boston, MA.

New Haven, CT.

Philadelphia, PA.

Washington, DC.

Second Theme: Urban Capitalism

Historical Accident of Urbanism

Source: Michael Gallis

Centralized Manufacturing

Winchester Repeating Arms Co

American Steel & Wire CoSargent & Co

L. Candee & CoNew Haven Clock Co

Seamless Rubber Co

Strouse Adler

Centralized Living

Sargent New Hires, Early 1910

0 .6 1.2 1.8

Miles

Map LayersWater AreaStreets

Homes of New Hires9 SQUARES

Centralized Retailing

Horsepower Revolution

0

5,000,000

10,000,000

15,000,000

20,000,000

25,000,000

30,000,000

35,000,000

40,000,000

1850 1860 1870 1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990

Tota

l Hor

sepo

wer

(000

s)

Overwhelming Shift in the Highway/Rail Horsepower Ratio

-100

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

1850 1860 1870 1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990

RA

IL/A

UTO

RA

TIO

IN H

P

East Coast Urban Cycle

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

1860 1870 1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000

Perc

ent o

f Eve

ntua

l Pea

k

Baltimore

Boston

New Haven

Philadelphia

Washington

ERA OF URBANISM

POST-URBAN ERA

Wealth Fields: Established Habitats for Affluence Left Behind by

Urbanism

Wealth Field: Places which include the affluent minority

Gotham Wealth Strata

Wealth Field Towns of Connecticut Often Include Many

Poor People

$0$20,000$40,000$60,000$80,000

$100,000$120,000$140,000$160,000$180,000$200,000

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49

FAM

ILY

MED

IAN

INC

OM

E

Differ in Racial Diversity

Differ in Density

Differ in Vehicular Excess

Range in Driving Alone

Connecticut Wealth Field Places are Demand Centers in the National

Economy

Trucking Flows that Support Connecticut (USDOT)

Those Same Trucks Slow Down Wealth Field Consumers Intent on Buying or Producing their Content

Trucks and Traffic

And Less Intrusive Freight Systems Exist

Any Take-Away from All This?

First: Nobody is Sorry for Us

• Large Parts of Connecticut Stand in a Strong Position by National Standards

Fairfield County Suburbs, Fairfield Urban Centers,

Hartford Suburbs50 Wealth-Field Towns and another 40

nearby ones

Second: Our Future Depends on Aligning Our Interests with the

Gotham Wealth Field.• Connecticut, without the New York connection,

occupies a strategic position comparable to Western Massachusetts,

• New Haven, Hartford and Bridgeport are not our Central Cities: New York City is our Central City.

• The coastal corridor cities, including Bridgeport and New Haven, should be seen in part as developing suburbs of New York, Stamford, and the business corridor which runs upward from the Bronx into Westchester.

Third: Political Strategy for Connecticut Cannot be Confined to

Connecticut• Federal Transportation Politics,• Is I-95 Broken?• Can we Fix I-95 in Hartford?• Congestion Pricing as Political Nettle,• Commuter Rail as Critical to Fixing I-95,• Freight Rail as Critical to Everything.

Gallis Corridor slide

Rail Bottlenecks

• Hudson Crossings,• Nadler’s New York Tangle,• 286,000 Pound Standard,• Clearances for High Cubic Capacity

Cars.

Poughkeepsie RR Bridge

Tap RR Bridge

NAFTA FLOW IS NOT A CORRIDOR

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