Irish Population 2002 Presentation to Geography Teachers Rathmines, 2nd October 2004 Gerry...

Irish Population 2002

Presentation to Geography Teachers

Rathmines, 2nd October 2004

Gerry O’Hanlon,

Layout of presentation

Population size and changePopulation by age groupHousehold compositionEmployment and education Usual Residents and NationalityTravel patternsHousing characteristics

Total population 3,917,203

1996/2002 increase 291,116 8 per cent

Highest population since 1871

annual change % 1996/2002 1.3 1991/1996 0.6

2.6

3.1

3.6

4.1

4.6

5.1

5.6

6.1

6.6

1841

1861

1881

1901

1926

1946

1956

1966

1979

1986

1996

2004

Years

Mil

lio

ns

Population change 1926-2002

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

26-36 36-46 46-51 51-56 56-61 61-66 66-71 71-79 79-81 81-86 86-91 91-96 96-02

Intercensal period

Th

ou

san

ds

Net migration

Population change

Natural increase

Highlights 1996/2002

Dublin +6.1% - less than State (+8%)

Meath (+22%) and Kildare (+21%) main growth areas

Also strong growth in other Leinster counties

Urban +10.7%; rural +4.3%

Geographic distribution

Leinster +9.4%Munster +6.5%Connacht +7.2%Ulster (part of)

+5.3%Leinster’s

population over 2 million

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

1946 1951 1956 1961 1966 1971 1976* 1981 1986 1991 1996 2002

Perc

enta

ge

Leinster Munster Connacht Ulster (part of)

Urban/Rural population

Year Urban%

Rural%

1926 32.3 67.7

1961 46.1 53.9

2002 59.6 40.4

Urban/Rural population

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

1926 1936 1946 1956 1966 1976 1986 1996 2006

Years

Mill

ion

s

Urban Rural

2002: Urban 2.3million (60%), Rural 1.6 million (40%)

Age and sex breakdown, 2002

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Age (years)

Po

pu

lati

on

Males Females

Average age per county

Young Age Old Age

Fingal 32.0 Leitrim 38.5

South Dublin 32.1 Roscommon 38.0

Kildare 32.1 Kerry 37.4

Galway City 32.9 Mayo 37.4

Meath 33.4 DL/Rathdown 36.6

Age dependency ratios

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

1926 1936 1946 1956 1966 1976 1986 1996 2006

Years

Per

cen

tag

e

Old

Young

Total

Marital status 2002 and % change since 1996

Category 2002 1996/02% change

Single 1,314.7 15.5

Married 1,454.4 7.2

Separated 133.8 52.4

Widowed 186.9 1.3

Population 15+ 3,089.8 11.7

Separated & divorced by sex

-

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

Males Females 1986

Males Females 1991

Males Females 1996

Males Females 2002

Po

pu

lati

on

Separated Divorced

Private households 1996-2002

Household type 1996000s

2002000s

1996/2002 %

One person 241.8 277.6 14.8Couple 152.5 211.4 38.7Couple with children 440.4 489.5 11.1Lone parent & children 105.4 131.2 24.5Other families 102.4 86.6 -15.4Non-families 80.7 91.7 13.6Total 1123.2 1288.0 14.7

Family units by number of children 1981-2002

0.0

50.0

100.0

150.0

200.0

250.0

300.0

None One Two Three Four ormore

Th

ou

san

ds

1981 1986 1991 1996 2002

Year 1981 1986 1991 1996 2002Average number of children per family 2.2 2.2 2 1.8 1.6

Labour force participation rates, 1926-2002

Male rates historically higher

Max difference 56% in 1946

Increase in female rate since 1981

Female home duties: 62% in 1971 27% in 2002

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

1926 1936 1946 1956 1966 1976 1986 1996 2006

Years

Per

cen

tag

e

Males Females

Female labour force participation rate 2002

EU-15: 47.6%, Ireland: 48.8%

Sectoral employment shares, 1926-2002

Agriculture 50% in 1926 6% in 2002

Industry 13% in 1926 32% in 1981 25% in 2002

Services 34% in 1926 69% in 2002

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

1926 1936 1946 1951 1961 1966 1971 1981 1986 1991 1996 2002

Census Years

Per

cen

tag

e

Agriculture Industry Services

Highest level of education

0

1020

3040

50

6070

8090

100

20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70+

Age group

Per

cen

tag

e

Primary Secondary Third level

Usual residents by place of birth (%)

Place of birth 1991 1996 2002County of usual res. 74.8 74.0 69.9Other county 19.1 19.0 19.7NI 1.0 1.1 1.3GB 3.8 4.2 5.1Other EU 0.4 0.5 0.9USA 0.4 0.4 0.6Other countries 0.6 0.7 2.5Total 100 100 100

Usual residents by nationality

Irish & Non-Irish nationals by age, 2002

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%0-

4

5-9

10-1

4

15-1

9

20-2

4

25-2

9

30-3

4

35-3

9

40-4

4

45-4

9

50-5

4

55-5

9

60-6

4

65-6

9

70-7

4

75+

Irish Other EU Rest of Europe

Africa Asia Other stated

Irish 3.6m Other EU 133,000 Rest of Europe 23,000

Africa 21,000 Asia 22,000 Other Stated 25,000

Labour force participation & unemployment (PES), 2002

0.010.020.030.040.050.060.070.080.090.0

Irish Other EU Rest ofEurope

Africa Asia Otherstated

Male LFPR Female LFPR Male UR Female UR

Persons aged 15-64 years

Educational attainment - Irish and non-Irish nationals, 2002

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

Irish Other EU Rest ofEurope

Africa Asia Other stated

Primary Secondary Third level

Persons aged 20-44

Means of travel to work

Longer journeys to work

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

1981 1986 1991 1996 2002

Years

Mil

es

State

Urban

Rural

Percentage of workers travelling 20+ miles to work, 2002

12% of workers travelled 20 miles and over to work each day

House type by period built

53 per cent of housing stock built since 1971

23 per cent built since 1991

77 per cent of housing stock owner occupied

One in five private rented dwellings built since 1996

Pre-1919

1919 - 1940

1941 - 1960

1961 - 1970

1971 -1980

1981 - 1990

1991 - 1995

1996+Not

statedTotal

Total %

Owner occupied 131.4 93.8 122.4 94.0 181.5 136.7 69.5 145.2 16.2 990.7 77.4%LA rented 2.4 4.0 8.5 9.4 18.7 16.1 7.3 15.4 6.5 88.2 6.9%Other rented 29.6 14.1 12.6 8.7 13.3 15.3 16.0 33.5 19.8 163.0 12.7%Not stated 3.7 2.4 2.7 2.0 3.0 2.4 1.4 2.9 17.2 37.7 2.9%Total 167.0 114.3 146.2 114.0 216.5 170.4 94.2 197.1 59.8 1279.6 100.0%

000s

House Type

Period in which built

Housing characteristics, 2002

Persons per room 1.2 in 1926; 0.5 in 2002

408,000 (32%) housing units with septic tank in 2002; 345,000 (34%) in 1991

One in four housing units built since 1991 were one-off houses in rural areas Galway 63%, Monaghan 54%, Roscommon

53%, Cavan 52%, Leitrim 53%

Vacant Dwellings Habitable dwellings Total %

All habitable dwellings 1,458,112 100.0 Occupied 1,287,958 88.3 Vacant Holiday Homes 39,383 2.7 Other Vacant dwellings (approx) 80,000 5.5 Other (absent etc.) 50,771 3.3

Holiday homes highest (%) in Donegal, Cork, Kerry, and Wexford

Reasons for other vacant dwellings are ‘new’ dwellings, for sale, owner deceased or in hospital, second dwelling not identified as holiday home

Other vacant dwellings highest % in Leitrim, Donegal, Cork, Kerry, Mayo, Galway