Labor Market Report Poland Part II Lingling Zhang, Raphael Becker University of Bonn October 29,...

Labor Market Report Poland Part II

Lingling Zhang, Raphael Becker

University of BonnOctober 29, 2014

Wage Premium in US Labor Market

Source: Acemoglu , Autor (2010)

Wage Premium in Poland (1).1

8.2

.22

.24

.26

log

Wa

ge P

rem

ium

2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014date

log Wage Premium Mean log Wage Premium Median

Log Wage Premium Data (18 - 64)

Wage Premium in Poland (2).1

8.2

.22

.24

.26

log

Wa

ge P

rem

ium

2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014date

Log Wage Premium Male Log Wage Premium Female

Log Wage Premium by Gender (18 - 64)

.1.1

5.2

.25

.3lo

g W

age

Pre

miu

m

2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014date

Log Wage Premium 18 - 64 Log Wage Premium > 18Log Wage Premium > 65

Log Wage Premium Male by Age

Wage Premium in Poland (3)

Wage Premium in Poland (4).1

.15

.2.2

5

log

Wa

ge P

rem

ium

2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014date

Log Wage Premium 18 - 64 Log Wage Premium > 18Log Wage Premium > 65

Log Wage Premium Female by Age

Rel. Supply of College / Non College in US

Source: Acemoglu , Autor (2010)

Rel. Supply of College / Highschool Poland (1)-.

8-.

6-.

4-.

2

Log

Re

lativ

e S

uppl

y In

dex

2000q1 2005q1 2010q1 2015q1date

Male Female

College / Highschool log Relative Supply (20 - 64)

Rel. Supply of College / Highschool Poland (2)-2

-1.5

-1-.

50

Log

Re

lativ

e S

uppl

y In

dex

2000q1 2005q1 2010q1 2015q1date

Male Age 15 - 24 Male Age 25 - 54Male Age 55 - 65 Male Age 65 - 69

College / Highschool log Relative Supply Male

Rel. Supply of College / Highschool Poland (3)-1

.5-1

-.5

0.5

Log

Re

lativ

e S

uppl

y In

dex

2000q1 2005q1 2010q1 2015q1date

Female Age 15 - 24 Female Age 25 - 54Female Age 55 - 65 Female Age 65 - 69

College / Highschool log Relative Supply Female

Simple Regression Analysis

Regression Results

(1) (2) (3) (4)

CLG / HS relative supply

-0.612(0.128)

-0.339(0.043)

0.0051593(0.5346)

0.622(0.562)

Time 0.027(0.005)

0.029(0.001)

-0.0076526(0.0156)

-0.0350175(0.0198)

Time2 /100 -0.013(0.006)

0.0940(0.0510)

Constant -0.217(0.134)

-0.189(0.122)

0.2533125(0.3145238)

0.6340(0.336)

Observations 25 46 9 9

R-Squared 0.558 0.941 0.886 0.932

Model Fit (1).1

8.2

.22

.24

.26

log

Wa

ge P

rem

ium

2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014date

Log Premium Log Premium Fitted Values

Fitted Values (Linear Time Trend)

Model Fit (2).1

8.2

.22

.24

.26

log

Wa

ge P

rem

ium

2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014date

Log Premium Log Premium Fitted Values

Fitted Values (Quadratic Time Trend)