Labor Market Report Poland Part II

Lingling Zhang, Raphael Becker

University of BonnOctober 29, 2014

Wage Premium in US Labor Market

Source: Acemoglu , Autor (2010)

Wage Premium in Poland (1).1

8.2

.22

.24

.26

log

Wa

ge P

rem

ium

2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014date

log Wage Premium Mean log Wage Premium Median

Log Wage Premium Data (18 - 64)

Wage Premium in Poland (2).1

8.2

.22

.24

.26

log

Wa

ge P

rem

ium

2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014date

Log Wage Premium Male Log Wage Premium Female

Log Wage Premium by Gender (18 - 64)

.1.1

5.2

.25

.3lo

g W

age

Pre

miu

m

2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014date

Log Wage Premium 18 - 64 Log Wage Premium > 18Log Wage Premium > 65

Log Wage Premium Male by Age

Wage Premium in Poland (3)

Wage Premium in Poland (4).1

.15

.2.2

5

log

Wa

ge P

rem

ium

2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014date

Log Wage Premium 18 - 64 Log Wage Premium > 18Log Wage Premium > 65

Log Wage Premium Female by Age

Rel. Supply of College / Non College in US

Source: Acemoglu , Autor (2010)

Rel. Supply of College / Highschool Poland (1)-.

8-.

6-.

4-.

2

Log

Re

lativ

e S

uppl

y In

dex

2000q1 2005q1 2010q1 2015q1date

Male Female

College / Highschool log Relative Supply (20 - 64)

Rel. Supply of College / Highschool Poland (2)-2

-1.5

-1-.

50

Log

Re

lativ

e S

uppl

y In

dex

2000q1 2005q1 2010q1 2015q1date

Male Age 15 - 24 Male Age 25 - 54Male Age 55 - 65 Male Age 65 - 69

College / Highschool log Relative Supply Male

Rel. Supply of College / Highschool Poland (3)-1

.5-1

-.5

0.5

Log

Re

lativ

e S

uppl

y In

dex

2000q1 2005q1 2010q1 2015q1date

Female Age 15 - 24 Female Age 25 - 54Female Age 55 - 65 Female Age 65 - 69

College / Highschool log Relative Supply Female

Simple Regression Analysis

Regression Results

(1) (2) (3) (4)

CLG / HS relative supply

-0.612(0.128)

-0.339(0.043)

0.0051593(0.5346)

0.622(0.562)

Time 0.027(0.005)

0.029(0.001)

-0.0076526(0.0156)

-0.0350175(0.0198)

Time2 /100 -0.013(0.006)

0.0940(0.0510)

Constant -0.217(0.134)

-0.189(0.122)

0.2533125(0.3145238)

0.6340(0.336)

Observations 25 46 9 9

R-Squared 0.558 0.941 0.886 0.932

Model Fit (1).1

8.2

.22

.24

.26

log

Wa

ge P

rem

ium

2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014date

Log Premium Log Premium Fitted Values

Fitted Values (Linear Time Trend)

Model Fit (2).1

8.2

.22

.24

.26

log

Wa

ge P

rem

ium

2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014date

Log Premium Log Premium Fitted Values

Fitted Values (Quadratic Time Trend)