NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF STATISTICS OF RWANDA

February 07, 2012 National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda 1

NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF STATISTICS OF RWANDA

EDPRS2, EICV3 & DHS4

Joint Launch

Key Statistics Highlights

February 2012

BY Yusuf MURANGWANISR Director General

Background Coverage (EICV3 and DHS4) Economic performance

Statistics EICV3 & DHS4 Other countries experience Reasons for improvement Challenges Way forward

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Scope

February 07, 2012

EICV3 (2010/11) The 3rd in series following EICV1 & EICV2 in 2000/1 and 2005/6

respectively.

Covers household living conditions including: income, expenditure, poverty, housing conditions, education, employment….

DHS4 (2010) The 4th in a series following DHS1, DHS2, DHS3 in 1992, 2000 & 2005.

An interim one was conducted in 2007/8.

Covers household health conditions especially women and children including: fertility, access to health facilities, anemia, malaria, nutrition, HIV….

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Background

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Background

Average GDP growth 2006 – 2010: 8.4%

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Background

GDP per capita: Vision 2020 target USD 900

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Statistics

% Net primary school attendance, EICV3: Overall 91.7%.

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Statistics

% Net secondary school attendance, EICV3: Overall 20.9%.

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Statistics

% with safe drinking water, EICV3: Overall 74.2%.

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Statistics

% with electricity for lighting, EICV3: Overall 10.8%.

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Statistics

% ownership of mobile phones, EICV3: Overall 45.2%.

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Statistics

Poverty: Target EDPRS1 in 2012 is 46%

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Statistics

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  2000/01 2005/6 2010/11 % Reduction

RWANDA 58.9% 56.7% 44.9% 11.8%

Kigali City 22.7% 20.8% 16.8% 4.0%

Eastern Province 59.3% 52.1% 42.6% 9.5%

Northern Province 64.2% 60.5% 42.8% 17.7%

Western Province 62.3% 60.4% 48.4% 12.0%

Southern Province 65.5% 66.7% 56.5% 10.2%

Poverty status by Province

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Statistics

Poverty distribution by district%.

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Statistics

Evolution of Inequality

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Growth incidence curves

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13

57

911

1315

1719

2123

2527

2931

3335

3739

4143

4547

4951

5355

5759

6163

6567

6971

7375

7779

8183

8587

8991

9395

9799

00.010.010.020.020.030.030.040.04

Growth incidence curve 1999/2001 to 2005/06

13

57

911

1315

1719

2123

2527

2931

3335

3739

4143

4547

4951

5355

5759

6163

6567

6971

7375

7779

8183

8587

8991

9395

9799

0

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.1

0.12

Growth incidence curve 2005/06 to 2010/11

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Trends in Maternal Health

Maternal Mortality

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Contraceptive Use

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Percentage of currently married women using any modern method

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Trend in Fertility

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At current fertility levels, a

woman in Rwanda will

have an average of 4.64.6 children in her

entire reproductive life

TFR for women age 15-49 for the 3-year period preceding the survey

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Trends in Children Health

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Undernourished Children

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More than 2 SD below the median of WHO Child Growth Standards adopted in 2006.

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HIV Prevalence

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Total

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Other countries poverty reduction experience

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Country

ReductionYears

Average annual reduction achieved Year range  

China 61.4 24 2.56 1981 -2005 Ghana 25.4 18 1.41 1987-2005 Kenya 19.3 13 1.48 1992-2005 Malaysia 4.5 20 0.23 1984-2004 Senegal 21.1 14 1.51 1991-2005Thailand 32.5 13 2.50 1981-2004 Tunisia 12.3 15 0.82 1985-2000Vietnam 33 12 2.75 1992-2004Rwanda 32.9 17 1.9 1994-2011Rwanda 11.8 5 2.4 2006-2011

February 07, 2012

Reasons for improvement in poverty reduction

Improved agriculture production Agro business Farm wage employment Increase in nonfarm wages Income transfers (from family and friends) Slowing population growth Improvements in infrastructure (roads,

electricity, markets…)

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Challenges in poverty reduction

Population growth Price increases (both food and non food items) Agriculture (more can be achieved especially in

some districts with poor performance) Creating more nonfarm and self employment Trade especially in agro products can be

improved Development infrastructure (roads, electricity,

markets...)

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Way forward

Launch EICV3 and DHS4 results – Beginning February 2012

Prepare EDPRS sector analysis reports – By end May 2012

Prepare comprehensive district profiles – By end May 2012

Conduct interim studies – 2013/2014

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End

Thank You

National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda 26January 16, 2012