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February 07, 2012 National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda 1 NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF STATISTICS OF RWANDA EDPRS2, EICV3 & DHS4 Joint Launch Key Statistics Highlights February 2012 BY Yusuf MURANGWA NISR Director General

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NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF STATISTICS OF RWANDA. EDPRS2, EICV3 & DHS4 Joint Launch Key Statistics Highlights. BY Yusuf MURANGWA NISR Director General. February 2012. Scope. Background Coverage (EICV3 and DHS4) Economic performance Statistics EICV3 & DHS4 Other countries experience - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF STATISTICS OF RWANDA

February 07, 2012 National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda 1

NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF STATISTICS OF RWANDA

EDPRS2, EICV3 & DHS4

Joint Launch

Key Statistics Highlights

February 2012

BY Yusuf MURANGWANISR Director General

Page 2: NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF STATISTICS OF RWANDA

Background Coverage (EICV3 and DHS4) Economic performance

Statistics EICV3 & DHS4 Other countries experience Reasons for improvement Challenges Way forward

National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda 2

Scope

February 07, 2012

Page 3: NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF STATISTICS OF RWANDA

EICV3 (2010/11) The 3rd in series following EICV1 & EICV2 in 2000/1 and 2005/6

respectively.

Covers household living conditions including: income, expenditure, poverty, housing conditions, education, employment….

DHS4 (2010) The 4th in a series following DHS1, DHS2, DHS3 in 1992, 2000 & 2005.

An interim one was conducted in 2007/8.

Covers household health conditions especially women and children including: fertility, access to health facilities, anemia, malaria, nutrition, HIV….

National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda 3

Background

February 07, 2012

Page 4: NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF STATISTICS OF RWANDA

National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda 4

Background

Average GDP growth 2006 – 2010: 8.4%

February 07, 2012

Page 5: NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF STATISTICS OF RWANDA

National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda 5

Background

GDP per capita: Vision 2020 target USD 900

February 07, 2012

Page 6: NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF STATISTICS OF RWANDA

National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda 6

Statistics

% Net primary school attendance, EICV3: Overall 91.7%.

February 07, 2012

Page 7: NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF STATISTICS OF RWANDA

National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda 7

Statistics

% Net secondary school attendance, EICV3: Overall 20.9%.

February 07, 2012

Page 8: NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF STATISTICS OF RWANDA

National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda 8

Statistics

% with safe drinking water, EICV3: Overall 74.2%.

February 07, 2012

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National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda 9

Statistics

% with electricity for lighting, EICV3: Overall 10.8%.

February 07, 2012

Page 10: NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF STATISTICS OF RWANDA

National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda 10

Statistics

% ownership of mobile phones, EICV3: Overall 45.2%.

February 07, 2012

Page 11: NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF STATISTICS OF RWANDA

National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda 11

Statistics

Poverty: Target EDPRS1 in 2012 is 46%

February 07, 2012

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Statistics

National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda 12

  2000/01 2005/6 2010/11 % Reduction

   

RWANDA 58.9% 56.7% 44.9% 11.8%

   

Kigali City 22.7% 20.8% 16.8% 4.0%

Eastern Province 59.3% 52.1% 42.6% 9.5%

Northern Province 64.2% 60.5% 42.8% 17.7%

Western Province 62.3% 60.4% 48.4% 12.0%

Southern Province 65.5% 66.7% 56.5% 10.2%

Poverty status by Province

February 07, 2012

Page 13: NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF STATISTICS OF RWANDA

National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda 13

Statistics

Poverty distribution by district%.

February 07, 2012

Page 14: NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF STATISTICS OF RWANDA

National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda 14

Statistics

Evolution of Inequality

February 07, 2012

Page 15: NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF STATISTICS OF RWANDA

Growth incidence curves

April 21, 2023 National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda 15

13

57

911

1315

1719

2123

2527

2931

3335

3739

4143

4547

4951

5355

5759

6163

6567

6971

7375

7779

8183

8587

8991

9395

9799

00.010.010.020.020.030.030.040.04

Growth incidence curve 1999/2001 to 2005/06

13

57

911

1315

1719

2123

2527

2931

3335

3739

4143

4547

4951

5355

5759

6163

6567

6971

7375

7779

8183

8587

8991

9395

9799

0

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.1

0.12

Growth incidence curve 2005/06 to 2010/11

Page 16: NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF STATISTICS OF RWANDA

National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda 16

Trends in Maternal Health

Maternal Mortality

February 07, 2012

Page 17: NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF STATISTICS OF RWANDA

Contraceptive Use

National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda 17

Percentage of currently married women using any modern method

February 07, 2012

Page 18: NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF STATISTICS OF RWANDA

Trend in Fertility

National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda 18

At current fertility levels, a

woman in Rwanda will

have an average of 4.64.6 children in her

entire reproductive life

TFR for women age 15-49 for the 3-year period preceding the survey

February 07, 2012

Page 19: NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF STATISTICS OF RWANDA

Trends in Children Health

National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda 19February 07, 2012

Page 20: NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF STATISTICS OF RWANDA

Undernourished Children

National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda 20

More than 2 SD below the median of WHO Child Growth Standards adopted in 2006.

February 07, 2012

Page 21: NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF STATISTICS OF RWANDA

HIV Prevalence

National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda 21

Total

February 07, 2012

Page 22: NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF STATISTICS OF RWANDA

Other countries poverty reduction experience

National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda 22

Country

ReductionYears

Average annual reduction achieved Year range  

China 61.4 24 2.56 1981 -2005 Ghana 25.4 18 1.41 1987-2005 Kenya 19.3 13 1.48 1992-2005 Malaysia 4.5 20 0.23 1984-2004 Senegal 21.1 14 1.51 1991-2005Thailand 32.5 13 2.50 1981-2004 Tunisia 12.3 15 0.82 1985-2000Vietnam 33 12 2.75 1992-2004Rwanda 32.9 17 1.9 1994-2011Rwanda 11.8 5 2.4 2006-2011

February 07, 2012

Page 23: NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF STATISTICS OF RWANDA

Reasons for improvement in poverty reduction

Improved agriculture production Agro business Farm wage employment Increase in nonfarm wages Income transfers (from family and friends) Slowing population growth Improvements in infrastructure (roads,

electricity, markets…)

April 21, 2023 National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda 23

Page 24: NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF STATISTICS OF RWANDA

Challenges in poverty reduction

Population growth Price increases (both food and non food items) Agriculture (more can be achieved especially in

some districts with poor performance) Creating more nonfarm and self employment Trade especially in agro products can be

improved Development infrastructure (roads, electricity,

markets...)

April 21, 2023 National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda 24

Page 25: NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF STATISTICS OF RWANDA

Way forward

Launch EICV3 and DHS4 results – Beginning February 2012

Prepare EDPRS sector analysis reports – By end May 2012

Prepare comprehensive district profiles – By end May 2012

Conduct interim studies – 2013/2014

National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda 25January 16, 2012

Page 26: NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF STATISTICS OF RWANDA

End

Thank You

National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda 26January 16, 2012