WP1 Job Vacancies SURS update - Europa · WP1 Job Vacancies SURS update Vesna Horvat Thessaloniki,...

Preview:

Citation preview

WP1 Job Vacancies

SURS update

Vesna Horvat

Thessaloniki,

21 September 2017

Content of presentation

• Summary of previous work

• Meetings with third parties

• Survey about modes of JV advertising

• Experimental statistics

– Coverage by methodology1

– Time gap between job ad and employment

– Coverage by methodology2

– Other experimental statistics

Summary of previous work

• Weekly collection of data since mid May 2016

• Scraping of two biggest job portals (cover up to 95 % of

the market)

• Scraping of enterprise web sides (reference day only)

• Tools: Agenty (Feb17 – ), Import.IO (May16 – Jan17);

Python‘s Scrapy

• Record linkage with Slovenian Business Register (task

completed; 98 % data are linked).

• First estimates of coverage: about 50% of JV are

missing

Meetings with third parties – part 1

• December 2016: Employment Service of Slovenia (ESS)

– Aim: deeper knowledge about cooperation between enterprises

and ESS

• April 2017: meetings with private Employment agencies

– Problem: many ads, but client unknown

– 12/2 responded to the invitation

– One offered to report data on economic activities of a client and

on number of job vacancies per job ad.

Meetings with third parties – part 2

• May and June 2017: meetings with companies, owning

job portals

• Moja Zaposlitev:

– Problem1: poor comunication when creating draft of the contract

– Problem2: 45eur bill for paying company‘s lawer

– Contract was signed in July

– We offered them to analyse unstructured part of the job ad

• Moje Delo:

– Offered to send us full dataset of job ads

– Offered to implement a special filed for number of vacancies per

job ad

Survey about modes of JV advertising

• Aim: get information where do employers post JV ads

• Evaluation questionnaire was sent to units selected in

the current sample

• It was sent after the first reference point of regular

survey

• The main question in the questionnaire was:

“Do you usually advertise the JV ads by yourself or

you employ specialised agency?”

Survey about modes of JV advertising

• For those units which answered “by yourself” the

subsequent question was:

• “What channels you usually use for advertising JV?”

– Job portals

– Employment agency of the Republic of Slovenia

– Agencies (e.g. Manpower, Adecco, Trenkwalder …)

– Own website

– Facebook

– Other social media websites (LinkedIn, Twitter…)

– In the press

– Other

2396

10753 30

213

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

Job portals and(or) Employment

agency of theRepublic of

Slovenia

Enterprise website(exclusively)

LinkedInand and(or) other social

media websites (Facebook, Twitter,…

exclusively)

In the press(exclusively)

Other (exclusively)

Modes of advertisements of JV

Number of respones

Survey about modes of JV advertising

• Around 95% of reported data come from units which

advertise JVs trough job portals and (or) Employment

agency

• Around 5 % of reported data come from other channels.

• If we take into account also agencies (Trenkwalder …)

this percentage decreases additionally.

Experimental statistics

– Coverage by methodology1 (published JV)

– Time gap between job ad and employment

– Coverage by methodology2 („oppened“ JV)

– Other experimental statistics

Coverage: published JV

• Coverage of job ads

• Priorities of sources taken into account:

1. admin, 2. J. portal, 3.E. websides*Assumption: one ad, one JV

All Admin. source Job portals*

Enterprise

websides

maj.16 42,49 32,17 8,95 1,37

avg.16 45,00 32,77 9,86 2,38

nov.16 39,55 29,14 10,05 0,36

feb.17 40,84 28,80 10,73 1,32

maj.17 47,14 33,26 12,41 1,47

Coverage: published JV

• Coverage of companies

• Priorities of sources taken into account:

1. admin, 2. J. portal, 3.E. websides*Assumption: one ad, one JV

All Admin. source Job portals*

Enterprise

websides

maj.16 38,64 27,78 9,18 1,67

avg.16 42,28 29,57 10,47 2,24

nov.16 40,23 29,73 10,04 0,46

feb.17 37,35 26,56 9,88 0,91

maj.17 40,9 30,1 9,5 1,2

Ads per matching

Companies

Companies in Admin

vs Companies in

sample

Ads admin vs Ads

sample

maj.16 65,57 27,78 27,78

avg.16 77,58 29,57 29,57

nov.16 76,17 29,73 29,73

feb.17 67,31 26,56 26,56

maj.17 66,30 30,13 30,13

Ads per matching

Companies

Companies in portals

vs Companies in

sample

Ads portal vs Ads

sample

maj.16 78,55 15,64 22,94

avg.16 60,27 15,57 18,87

nov.16 72,91 14,90 21,49

feb.17 81,93 15,43 21,80

maj.17 64,28 18,41 24,03

Ads per matching

companies

Companies from

websides vs

companies in sample

Ads companies vs

Ads sample

maj.16 123,76 2,80 4,05

avg.16 124,27 5,37 8,04

nov.16 236,36 0,43 0,60

feb.17 442,97 3,39 31,12

maj.17 77,62 3,91 5,27

Time gap between job ad and

employment

• A job vacancy (JV) is defined as a post (which has been

newly created, is unoccupied or will shortly become

free) for which the employer is actively seeking a

suitable candidate outside the enterprise and which will

be filled immediately or in the near future.

• Start work: data on registration, changes and

deregistration for compulsory insurance (i.e. M-forms;

administrative source for the Statistical Register of

Employment).

• impossible to link M-forms with JVads from job portals.

• M-forms contain ad code for the ads from ESS

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

-340

-132

-19

-11 -3 5

13

21

29

37

45

53

61

69

77

85

93

10

1

10

9

11

7

12

5

13

3

14

1

14

9

15

7

16

5

17

3

18

1

18

9

19

7

20

5

21

4

22

2

23

0

23

8

24

7

25

6

26

6

27

6

29

0

29

9

31

1

33

1

35

4

38

0

41

3

46

0

62

6

69

0

73

9

Distribution of time gaps for all job vacancies, no cleaning of data

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

6 9

12

15

18

21

24

27

30

33

36

39

42

45

48

51

54

57

60

63

66

69

72

75

78

81

84

88

93

97

10

0

10

3

10

6

11

0

11

5

12

1

12

4

12

9

13

5

13

8

14

3

15

1

15

7

16

8

17

5

18

8

19

6

20

2

21

4

22

0

Distribution of time gaps for companies on commercial job portals and ZRSZ portal, positive distances

and deadline condition.

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

1606

10

14

18

22

26

30

34

38

42

46

50

54

58

62

66

70

74

78

82

86

91

95

99

10

3

10

7

11

2

11

6

12

0

12

5

13

0

13

4

13

8

14

3

14

8

15

4

16

0

16

4

17

0

17

9

18

5

19

2

19

9

20

6

21

5

22

3

28

4

38

0

Distribution of time gaps for companies on ZRSZ portal only, positive distances and deadline

condition.

Coverage: „oppened“ JV

• Coverage of job ads

**only reference day, only 1/3 of URL from sample; only 18 % of companies have

webside

Admin. Source

(t+30)

Job portals*

(t+48)

Enterprise

websides ** All

maj.16 69,78 9,74 2,64 82,17

avg.16 57,40 21,88 2,30 81,59

nov.16 67,18 14,01 0,07 81,26

feb.17 69,08 17,07 0,67 86,82

maj.17 64,78 20,01 0,74 85,53

Coverage: „oppened“ JV

• Coverage of companies

**only reference day, only 1/3 of URL from sample; only 18 % of companies have

webside

Admin. Source

(t+30)

Job portals*

(t+48)

Enterprise

websides ** All

maj.16 46,11 9,43 2,05 57,58

avg.16 44,53 12,58 1,77 58,87

nov.16 46,13 11,79 0,14 58,06

feb.17 45,23 12,67 0,69 58,59

maj.17 47,31 13,71 0,68 61,70

Ads per matching

Companies

Companies in

Admin vs

Companies in

sample

Ads admin vs Ads

sample

maj.16 125,53 46,11 69,8

avg.16 110,70 44,53 57,4

nov.16 125,04 46,13 67,2

feb.17 122,26 45,23 69,1

maj.17 113,22 47,31 64,8

Ads per matching

companies

companies in

portals vs

companies in

sample

Ads portal vs Ads

sample

maj.16 89,53 20,63 30,15

avg.16 115,51 23,93 46,32

nov.16 119,81 21,62 40,06

feb.17 132,88 24,28 49,33

maj.17 142,08 25,61 62,32

Other experimental statistics

• Published and/or „opened“?

• Time span and/or reference day?

– If time span: net or gross?

• Absolute values, indieces, growth rates

• Seasonal adjustment?

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6

OK

ST

TU

Monthly gross absolute values

Monthly net absolute values

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

5000

5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6

OK

ST

TU

Weekly gross absoulte values

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

5000

19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27

OK

ST

TU

Weekly net absolute values

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25

OK

ST

TU

Thank you for your attention!