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What role will climate change play in the B.C. election?
February 3rd, 2017
A look at the current carbon pollution trajectory
Jeremy Moorhouse – Senior Analyst, Clean Energy Canada
2
Collaboration
Commissioned
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Point 1: Carbon pollution will increase
Emissions from buildings, transport, industry, utilities, LNG and natural gas. Forestry reductions are unknown and not included
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Point 1: Carbon pollution will increase
Emissions from buildings, transport, industry, utilities, LNG and natural gas. Forestry reductions are unknown and not included
5
Results – Carbon Pollution
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 20500.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0 Reference case
CLP & federal carbon price
BC 2020 target
-30% from 2005, based on federal
target
BC 2050 target
CLP & federal carbon price with forestry
abatement
Annu
al e
miss
ions
in M
t CO2
e
53 MT GAP41 MT GAP
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Point 2: Growth in carbon pollution will mostly come from natural gas and LNG
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Point 3: Fossil fuels remain the dominant source of energy in 2030
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Point 4: You can grow your economy and reduce carbon pollution – in fact it’s essential
http://cleanenergycanada.org/work/a-clean-economy-and-jobs-plan-for-british-columbia/
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The challenge for a new government in May• Carbon pollution is forecast to grow• Proposed LNG and associated natural gas
production are the main sources of growth• Fossil fuels remain the dominant source of energy
in B.C. out to 2030• B.C. can grow its economy and reduce carbon
pollution
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Resources
• Modelling the Impact of the Climate Leadership Plan & Federal Carbon Price on British Columbia’s Greenhouse Gas Emissions
• A clean economy and jobs plan for British Columbia
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