Bullshit Asymmetry Principle lightning talk

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My almost viral lightning talk about the Bullshit Asymmetry Principle. Explained by science. Presented at XP2014 in Rome and at ALE2014 in Krakow

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You’ll never win against…

B.A.P.

“I gave you 2 more persons... You’ll deliver

earlier!”

“I gave you 2 more persons... You’ll deliver earlier!”

- Linear outcome (false) - Linear proportion between cost

and delivered value (false) - Linear starting costs (false)

“We couldn’t hire a senior, so we hired two

juniors”

“We couldn’t hire a senior, so we hired two juniors”

- Linear outcome (false) - Linear proportion between cost

and delivered value (false) - Linear starting costs (false)

“Proceed with the other activities in the

meanwhile”

“Proceed with the other activities in the meanwhile”

-Null context switch cost (false) - Suspended activities remain idle

(false) -Doing is always better than not

doing (false)

B.A.P.

Bullshit Asymmetry

Principle

The amount of energy necessary to refute

bullshit is an order of magnitude bigger than to produce it

The science behind

http://www.wpclipart.com/medical/anatomy/brain/four_lobes_of_the_cerebral_cortex.png.html

This is how we are

System 1Quick pattern matchingparallel processing, unaware modeLow energy consumption

System 2

High energy consumptionNo parallelism

Complex elaboration that need attention and concentration

Some battles cannot be won

Information asymmetry position asymmetry

time availability

Avoid them

Don’t put key people in the position to bullshit you

Create context

Environment, fail-safe condition, confidence…

Accept it

Somebody is always going to be wrong on the internet

Thanks

@ziobrando