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Building Market Segmentation Models Jeremy Everham and Curtis Bixel

2003 denver newspaper_agency_02

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Page 1: 2003 denver newspaper_agency_02

Building Market Segmentation Models

Jeremy Everham and Curtis Bixel

Page 2: 2003 denver newspaper_agency_02

633,747661,943

801,788

MONDAY-FRIDAY SATURDAY SUNDAY

Denver Is a Leading Newspaper Market Total Paid Circulation

So

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e: A

BC

Au

dit 3

/31

/02

AB

C F

AS

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/30

/02

#7 in the nation (Mon-Sat)

#6 in the

nation

Sunday

Page 3: 2003 denver newspaper_agency_02

So

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an

aly

sis

of A

BC

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mber

30

, 2

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Denver Ranks 1st in Household Penetration

POST/NEWS Metro/NDM

Household

Penetration

DAILY SUNDAY

51.7% 64.7%

This is the #1 newspaper market in America.

The Denver Newspaper Agency provides higher household penetration

(paid circulation divided by occupied households) than any other

newspaper in the nation - daily AND Sunday.

Page 4: 2003 denver newspaper_agency_02

ACTIVE SUBS

PAST SUBS

NEVER SUBS

New Segmentation Ideas

•New methodologies based on segmentation

•Infinite possibilities in “niche” marketing

•Traditional mass marketing to retain

penetration coupled with segmentation to

increase smaller markets

Page 5: 2003 denver newspaper_agency_02

Segmentation Opportunities

• Past Subscribers:

– Non-pays:

• Segment between never-pays, and once-paid but no renewal.

• Strategy will be to require payment in advance or limit their grace period, offer them

lowest price with incentives to pay up front via credit card, and tie a promotion such as

King Soopers discounts to 2 yr. credit card offer.

– Do not calls:

• Segment by interest to determine the largest interest/lifestyle groups.

• Our strategy is to identify direct mail offers specifically tied to their interests.

Page 6: 2003 denver newspaper_agency_02

Segmentation Opportunities

• Past Subscribers:

– Reason for Stopping:

• Run counts by stop code on those who gave a reason for stopping

• Look at the major segments to determine if we need a strategy for them.

– 7 Day Sub cancellations:

• Profiles by price, length of subscription, cancellation code, and anything else that will

help us determine why 10%-12% of this important segment cancel

• See if there are segments we could treat differently to improve retention

Page 7: 2003 denver newspaper_agency_02

Segmentation Opportunities

• Active Subscribers:

– Sunday Only/Weekender Packages:

• Profile using demos and lifestyle clusters to determine what this group looks like.

• Identify spending thresholds for high, medium and low level renewal rates.

– Heavily Discounted Rebilling:

• Profile using demos and lifestyle clusters to determine what this group looks like.

• Identify spending thresholds for high, medium and low level renewal rates..

Page 8: 2003 denver newspaper_agency_02

Segmentation Opportunities

• Active Subscribers:

– Profile of EZ Pays:

• Profile using demos and lifestyle clusters to determine what this group looks like.

• We will then identify existing subscribers with the same characteristics for heightening

marketing efforts to this group.

– Duplication with other publications:

• Look at subscriber activity with other publications such as NY Times to identify multiple

subscriber households.

• We will profile these to help us identify targets for marketing these other, non-DNA

publications.

Page 9: 2003 denver newspaper_agency_02

Telemarketing Workstation

Page 10: 2003 denver newspaper_agency_02

• Why Telemarketing Workstation?

– Multiple Publications

• The Denver Post, Rocky Mountain News, New York Times, etc.

– Integration of Outside Data

• Demographics, Clusters, Private Party Classified Ads

– Segmentation and Response Tracking

• Segment best acquisition leads

• Track Household Response

Telemarketing Workstation

Page 11: 2003 denver newspaper_agency_02

• Weekly Calling Plan

– 13 week NDM call cycle

• Approximately 180,000 potential /wk

– 10 week ONDM call cycle

• Approximately 15,000 potential /wk

Telemarketing Workstation

Page 12: 2003 denver newspaper_agency_02

• Monthly Calling Plan

– Extended vacations > 30 days old

– Suspended accounts

• With previous payment

• Without previous payment - prepay only

– Positive balance > $1.00

• Refund, restart, or donate to NIE

Telemarketing Workstation

Page 13: 2003 denver newspaper_agency_02

• Future plans

– Use Demographic data for targeted acquisition

– Use Classified data for targeted acquisition

• Free ad w/subscription

– Use Retention response data for Targeted Renewal Campaigns

Telemarketing Workstation

Page 14: 2003 denver newspaper_agency_02

Niche Campaigns:

EZ Pay Example

Page 15: 2003 denver newspaper_agency_02

Credit Card Subscriptions

• A Market Facts survey conducted for the NAA and Visa USA, concluded:

– Over one-third of newspaper subscribers want the option of paying with their credit cards

– Those most interested in a payment card are younger, educated, higher-income males

• A study in Presstime magazine showed a 50% higher retention rate for readers

who pay with a credit card than for those who don’t.

• Madison Newspapers report the retention rate on automatic credit card

accounts is 94% after six months and 87% after one year.

Page 16: 2003 denver newspaper_agency_02

EZ Pay Analysis

• Database Strategy:

– Develop a user profile utilizing demographics and lifestyle clusters

– Identify existing subscribers with the same characteristics for conversion to EZ Pay or for

new household acquisition

• Database Tactic: – Identify and analyze EZ Pay subscribers in the database

– Report on their demographics and PERSONICX codes.

• Database Findings:

– EZ Pay customers when ranked by index are predominantly young

• New household acquisition opportunity - this cluster much different than the current

core subscriber base - acquisition opportunity

– EZ Pay customers when ranked by quantity are mostly middle-aged and affluent

• Very similar to the existing core customer base - conversion segment

Page 17: 2003 denver newspaper_agency_02

Target 1: Acquisition

Group Cluster Marital Net

EZ PAY

CUSTOMERS Index

# Name Name Age Status Income Rank Worth 23,244

17,600

58 Beginnings Young Workboots 18-29 Sgl Low 58 <$100K 39 160

61 Mixed Singles Urban Scramble 24-35 Sgl Low 56 <$100K 280 157

29 Boomer Singles City Mixers 36-45 Sgl Middle 29 <$100K 70 134

24 Taking Hold Career Building 24-29 Sgl Upper Middle 22 <$100K 287 133

59 Gen X Singles Low Rent Digs 30-35 Sgl Low est 59 <$100K 363 126

21 Taking Hold Children First 18-30 Sgl/Fam Upper Middle 23 <$100K 249 123

45 Beginnings First Digs 24-29 Sgl Low Middle 46 <$100K 212 123

52 Gen X Singles Still Landlorded 36-45 Sgl Low Middle 51 <$100K 256 121

06 Cash & Careers Shooting Stars 30-45 Sgle/Cpl Wealthy 6 $100K-$249K 181 120

16 Our Turn Country Single 36-55 Sgl Upper Middle 15 <$100K 97 119

Page 18: 2003 denver newspaper_agency_02

Selected Targets for Acquisition

• Urban Scramble: Young professionals and students, urban, well educated, just

beginning to make money.

– Interests: civic and human rights

– Opinions: spend money without thinking, worry about themselves, health is important

– Read: New York Magazine, The Economist

– Finance: Pay bills by phone

– 16,128 non-subs

• Career Building: Under 30, single, well-compensated, mobile, active.

– Interests: Mountain Biking, environmental organizations, college football

– Opinions: Like magazines, trust what I read in newspapers, take risks

– Read: Sports magazines, INC, webcrawler.com

– Finance: Buying homes and condos, mutual funds, paying off education loans

– 12,825 non-subs

Page 19: 2003 denver newspaper_agency_02

Target 2: Retention

Group Cluster Marital Net

EZ PAY

CUSTOMERS Index

# Name Name Age Status Income Rank Worth 23,244

17,600

04 Boomer Barons Skyboxes & Suburbans 36-55 Cpl Wealthy 3 $1-2MM 1,039 108

17 Flush Families Apple Pie Families 46-55 Cpl Upper Middle 16 $100K-$249K 896 107

02 Mature Wealth Established Elite 46-65 Cpl Wealthy 4 $2MM+ 612 102

14 Aging Upscale Career Centered Singles 46-65 Sgl Affluent 12 $100K-$249K 588 103

22 Our Turn Fun & Games 46-55 Cpl Upper Middle 19 <$100K 552 86

07 Boomer Barons Leveraged Lifestyles 36-55 Cpl Wealthy 7 $100K-$249K 539 113

27 Jumbo Families Soccer & S.U.V.'s 30-45 Cpl Upper Middle 28 <$100K 537 98

26 Cash & Careers Savvy Singles 30-45 Sgl Upper Middle 24 <$100K 532 110

12 Jumbo Families Tots & Toys 30-45 Cpl Affluent 10 <$100K 503 112

03 Mature Wealth Corporate Clout 46-55 Sgle/Cpl Wealthy 2 $1-2MM 500 92

Page 20: 2003 denver newspaper_agency_02

Selected Targets for Retention

• Skyboxes and Suburbans:

– One of the best educated and wealthiest clusters, often with teens at home, living in the lap

of suburban luxury.

– 6,836 non-EZPay subscibers up for renewal

• Apple Pie Families:

– Well educated, married, dual income, upper middle class homeowners with mini-vans, age

46 to 55.

– 5,508 non-EZPay subscribers up for renewal

• Established Elite:

– No kids, enormous disposable income, rank first for education, home values, and home

equity.

– 4,733 non-EZPay subscribers up for renewal

Page 21: 2003 denver newspaper_agency_02

Selected Targets for Retention

• Career Centered Singles:

– Affluent, well educated suburbanites, dedicated to their careers and long-term homeowners

in their community.

– 3,730 non-EZPay subscribers up for renewal

• Leveraged Lifestyle:

– Established couples with teenage kids, mortgages, car loans, and the high incomes to

support them, age 36-55.

– 3,029 non-EZPay subscribers up for renewal

Page 22: 2003 denver newspaper_agency_02

Marketing Strategy Discussion

• New Household Acquisition

– Target non-subscribers for acquisition via EZ Pay in the best clusters when

ranked by index - young up-and-comers. (Target 1)

– Direct mail test of 25,000 households

– Marketing leverage points

• Offer: price by the month/low price point/Starbucks gift card offer tied to

payment by credit card

• Branding: low price point/minimal cost

Page 23: 2003 denver newspaper_agency_02

Marketing Strategy Discussion

• Conversion of Existing Subscribers – Target current subscribers approaching renewal via EZ Pay in the best

clusters when ranked by quantity; upscale, well-educated, established

clusters. (Target 2)

– Develop communication for branding EZ Pay customer benefits - letter sent

prior to renewal offer, communicating benefits

– Direct mail test of 25,000 households of best prospects

– Marketing leverage points:

• Offer: UA Mileage plus miles tied to payment by credit card

• Branding: Heightened level of customer service (ease and convenience)