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U.S. Trade U.S. Trade Opportunities Opportunities & & Challenges Challenges November 16, 2011 November 16, 2011

Forotex 2011 Camtex Julia Hughes

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Page 1: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

U.S. TradeU.S. TradeOpportunities Opportunities

& & ChallengesChallenges

November 16, 2011November 16, 2011

Page 2: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

WHAT DO U.S. BRANDS AND WHAT DO U.S. BRANDS AND RETAILERS WANT? RETAILERS WANT?

Page 3: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

Sourcing decisions based on:Sourcing decisions based on:•Quantity•Value•Predictability

Page 4: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

A storyboard…A storyboard…

Page 5: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

Where are the vendors?

Design

Vendor

Partnerships

Global

Sourcing

Merchandisin

gRegulatory Coherence for Labeling & Testing

Logistics Customs

Enforcement

Manufacturing

Global Retail

Global Value Chain Global Value Chain StoryboardStoryboard

Page 6: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

Design starts with three elements:

1. Vision2. Concept3. Quality

Design

Page 7: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

Design

Vendor

Partnership

sWhile designers bring the inspiration, each vendor and factory must be pre-approved and meet detailed criteria before production starts.

Compliance is the price of entry.

Page 8: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

Global

Sourcing

Global sourcing criteria include:•Value•On-time delivery •Minimums•Fabric and trim options

Page 9: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

A liberal, simple, A liberal, simple, streamlined rule of streamlined rule of

origin.origin.

TPP needs…

Page 10: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

We look at opportunities including:•Free Trade Agreements•Preference programs

From a U.S. perspective, companies need a value proposition.

Where are

the

vendors?

Page 11: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

To sell the product, companies need…

•Line opening•Sales market•Execute the purchase order

Merchandisi

ng

Page 12: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

Manufacturin

g

Page 13: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

Regulator

y

CoherenceCompanies with a global value chain have a number of regulatory requirements

Page 14: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

Labeling

Requirement

s

Companies with a global value chain have a number of labeling requirements

Page 15: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

Testing

Requirement

s

Companies with a global value chain have a number of testing requirements:

•AZO Dye Compounds•Cadmium•Drawstrings•Flammability•Lead•Phthalates

Page 16: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

Harmonized rules & Harmonized rules & regulations, regulations,

especially product especially product safety & labeling.safety & labeling.

TPP needs…

Page 17: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

Logistic

sLogistics are a critical element of the global value chain.•Companies move the product throughout the TPP countries and around the globe•Warehousing and distribution

Page 18: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

Customs

Enforceme

nt

It’s not that simple to enter a country:•Post-entry verification and enforcement•Various procedures, including customs procedures, throughout the supply chain

Page 19: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

Harmonized and streamlined procedures

throughout the supply chain.

TPP needs…

Page 20: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

Global

Retail

• E-Commerce• Corporate-structured

ownership• Global tax structure• Strong IPR protections

Page 21: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

Where are the vendors?

Design

Vendor

Partnerships

Global

Sourcing

Merchandisin

gRegulatory Coherence for Labeling & Testing

Logistics Customs

Enforcement

Manufacturing

Global Retail

Global Value Chain Global Value Chain StoryboardStoryboard

Page 22: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

What Makes Western Hemisphere What Makes Western Hemisphere Sourcing Successful?Sourcing Successful?

• Proximity to the U.S. Helps Meet the Demand for Speed-to-Market and Quick Response to New Trends

• Permanent Benefits Support Competitive Price Advantage

Page 23: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

Rank Country Market Share Growth Duty-Free1 China 40.79 2.74 -

2 Vietnam 8.20 14.41 -

3 Bangladesh 6.76 13.19 -

4 Indonesia 5.40 12.79 -

5 Honduras 5.07 7.21 94.90

6 Cambodia 4.14 19.53 -

7 Mexico 3.86 2.73 86.19

8 India 3.85 2.03 -

9 El Salvador 3.32 9.68 92.83

10 Pakistan 2.72 0.59 -

11 Thailand 1.66 -4.60 -

Top Apparel Top Apparel SuppliersSuppliers

YE August 2011YE August 2011

Page 24: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

Rank Country Market Share Growth Duty-Free12 Nicaragua 1.65 22.94 56.32

13 Philippines 1.54 10.99 -

14 Guatemala 1.34 6.62 60.95

15 Sri Lanka 1.32 4.84 -

16 Haiti 1.14 18.28 74.33

17 Egypt 0.96 6.22 98.38

18 Dom. Rep. 0.93 2.88 90.43

19 Jordan 0.74 -1.09 99.69

20 Taiwan 0.63 -5.32 -

21 Malaysia 0.51 1.88 -

22 Korea 0.33 -10.66 -

Top Apparel Top Apparel SuppliersSuppliers

YE August 2011YE August 2011

Page 25: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

Total Apparel Total Apparel Preference TradePreference Trade

Page 26: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Mill

ion

$

COSTA RICA EL SALVADOR GUATEMALA HONDURAS NICARAGUA DOMINICAN REP.

U.S. Apparel Imports from U.S. Apparel Imports from CAFTACAFTA

Page 27: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

U.S.-Central America FTAU.S.-Central America FTATrade 2005 Trade Today

Costa Rica: $167.6 million $167.1 million

Textiles: $5.2 million $5.2 million

Apparel: $162.4 million

$163.8 million

Dominican Republic: $658.6 million $658.6 million

Textiles: $10.5 million $10.5 million

Apparel: $648.1 million

$648.1 million

El Salvador: $2,811.1 million

$1,811.1 million

Textiles: $43.8 million $43.8 million

Apparel: $1,767.3 million $1,767.3 million

Guatemala: $1,301.4 million

$1,301.4 million

Textiles: $9.2 million $9.2 million

Apparel: $1,292.2 million $1,292.2 million

Honduras: $2,647.0 million $2,647.0million

Textiles: $9.1 million $9.1 million

Apparel: $2,637.9 million $2,637.9 million

Nicaragua: $1,243.5 million $1,243.6 million

Textiles: $0.8 million $0.8 million

Apparel: $1,242.7 million $1,242.7 million

Page 28: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

CAFTACAFTA

• U.S. apparel imports from Honduras peaked in 2004 and 2007

• U.S. apparel imports from El Salvador peaked in 2002 with a secondary peak in 2009

• U.S. apparel imports from Guatemala peaked in 2003

• U.S. apparel imports from the Dominican Republic peaked in 1999

• U.S. apparel imports from Nicaragua are at an all time high in 2011, previously, imports peaked in 2006, and 2009

• U.S. apparel imports from Costa Rica peaked in 1996

Page 29: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

CAFTA Qualifying74.53%

Non-CAFTA Qualifying

12.94%

Short Supply3.66%

Costa Rica TPLs0.01%

MFN0.57%

Nicaragua TPLs6.18%

Cumulation1.79%

Reduced Duty0.00%

DR 2-for-10.32%

8070.00%

CAFTACAFTADuty-Free Treatment of U.S. Apparel ImportsDuty-Free Treatment of U.S. Apparel Imports

Costa Rica, Dominican Republic, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, NicaraguaCosta Rica, Dominican Republic, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua Year Ending August 2011Year Ending August 2011

87% of CAFTA 87% of CAFTA Countries’ Countries’ Apparel (by Apparel (by ValueValue) is ) is Duty-FreeDuty-Free

Page 30: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

• Total Trade:

3,254.5 million SME; $7,829.4 million

CAFTA-Qualifying 84.85% by Quantity; 81.68% by Value

• Apparel

3,143.8 million SME; $7,750.7 million

CAFTA-Qualifying 85.44% by Quantity; 81.70% by Value

CAFTA TradeCAFTA TradeCosta Rica,Costa Rica, Dominican Republic, El Salvador, Dominican Republic, El Salvador,

Guatemala, Honduras, NicaraguaGuatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua

Page 31: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

CAFTA: El Salvador CAFTA: El Salvador Top Textile and Apparel Exports to U.S. Top Textile and Apparel Exports to U.S.

MarketMarketYear Ending August 2011Year Ending August 2011

Rank Among All U.S. Suppliers Market Share

Total Trade: 12th 1.58 %

Apparel Only: 9th 3.32 %

Category/Description % of Textile Exports

• Category 352 Cotton Underwear 27.89%

• Category 332 Cotton Hosiery 13.71%

• Category 338 Cotton Knit Shirts (M&B) 12.76%

• Category 638 MMF Knit Shirts (M&B) 11.62%

Page 32: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

El SalvadorEl SalvadorDuty-Free Treatment of U.S. Apparel ImportsDuty-Free Treatment of U.S. Apparel Imports

Year Ending August 2011Year Ending August 2011

CAFTA-Qualifying89.74%

Short Supply4.43%

Non-CAFTA-Qualifying5.70%

Cumulation0.03%

•Yarn-Forward Apparel or Fabric-Forward Wool Apparel

•Single Transformation Garments

93% of

El Salvador’s Apparel

(by Value) is

Duty-Free

Page 33: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

Mill

ion

$

CANADA MEXICO

U.S. Apparel Imports from U.S. Apparel Imports from NAFTANAFTA

Page 34: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

NAFTANAFTATrade 1993 Trade Today

Canada: $1,019.9 million

$1,303.2 million

Textiles: $566.1 million $1,248.6 millionApparel: $453.8 million $54.7 million

Mexico: $1,371.9 million

$ 2,636.2 million

Textiles: $244.9 million $1,673.5 millionApparel: $1,127.0 million $962.8 million

•U.S. apparel imports from Mexico peaked in May 2001 at $8,574.3 million

•U.S. apparel imports from Canada peaked in October 2000 at $1,774.9 million

Page 35: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

Non-NAFTA Qualifying

7%

NAFTA Qualifying69.48%

807A2.43%

80713.21%

Canada TPLs5%

Mexico TPLs3%

NAFTANAFTADuty-Free Treatment of U.S. Apparel ImportsDuty-Free Treatment of U.S. Apparel Imports

Canada and MexicoCanada and Mexico Year Ending August 2011Year Ending August 2011

91% of NAFTA 91% of NAFTA Countries’ Countries’ Apparel (by Apparel (by ValueValue) is ) is Duty-FreeDuty-Free

Page 36: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

Haiti Hemispheric Opportunity Haiti Hemispheric Opportunity Through Partnership Through Partnership

Encouragement Act (HOPE)Encouragement Act (HOPE)

• Effective Date: December 20, 2006 (Expanded CBTPA Benefits)

• Product Coverage: Apparel and Luggage

• Duty Rates: Duty-free

• Tariff Preference Levels (TPLs): Value Added, Woven Apparel, and Knit Apparel

• Other Benefits: Single Transformation, Earned Import Allowance (3-for-1 Program)

• Short Supply: All yarns and fabrics designated as Short Supply for ANY current or future FTA

Page 37: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

HaitiHaitiTop Textile and Apparel Exports to U.S. Top Textile and Apparel Exports to U.S.

MarketMarketYear Ending August 2011Year Ending August 2011

Category/Description % of Textile Exports

• Category 338 Cotton Knit Shirts (M&B) 42.70%

• Category 352 Cotton Underwear 26.29%

• Category 638 MMF Knit Shirts (M&B) 9.44%

Rank Among All U.S. Suppliers Market Share

Total Trade: 23th 0.52 %

Apparel Only: 16th 1.14%

Page 38: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

HaitiHaitiDuty-Free Treatment of U.S. Apparel ImportsDuty-Free Treatment of U.S. Apparel Imports

Haiti HOPE and CBTPAHaiti HOPE and CBTPA Year Ending August 2011Year Ending August 2011

CBTPA Knit TPL53.70%

CBTPA T-Shirt TPL19.94%

Non-Preference2.02%

HOPE Value Added TPL6.61%

HOPE Woven TPL8.25%

HOPE Knit TPL8.72%

Mixed Cutting0.26%

8090.50%

99% of 99% of Apparel from Apparel from HaitiHaiti

(by (by ValueValue) is ) is Duty-FreeDuty-Free

Page 39: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

So…So…

What about What about price?price?

Page 40: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

Category 338

Year Ending August 2011197,141,312 Dozen

$6,586.5 Million

Men’s and Boys’ Cotton Men’s and Boys’ Cotton Knit ShirtsKnit Shirts

Page 41: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

Men’s and Boys’ Cotton Knit ShirtsMen’s and Boys’ Cotton Knit Shirts

RankRank CountryCountry DozenDozen Unit ValueUnit Value ShareShare11 HondurasHonduras 32,207,13232,207,132 20.9920.99 16.3416.34

22 HaitiHaiti 20,232,16220,232,162 17.4117.41 10.2610.26

33 ChinaChina 19,047,49819,047,498 58.5758.57 9.669.66

44 El SalvadorEl Salvador 18,556,27018,556,270 22.0722.07 9.419.41

55 PakistanPakistan 14,864,97314,864,973 37.0737.07 7.547.54

66 IndiaIndia 12,887,87212,887,872 40.8140.81 6.546.54

77 NicaraguaNicaragua 10,700,10710,700,107 21.1721.17 5.435.43

88 IndonesiaIndonesia 9,788,1439,788,143 42.0742.07 4.974.97

99 MexicoMexico 9,760,0049,760,004 25.7825.78 4.954.95

1010 BangladeshBangladesh 9,670,3789,670,378 27.9827.98 4.914.91

1111 VietnamVietnam 8,933,1418,933,141 46.6046.60 4.534.53

1212 GuatemalaGuatemala 6,107,9836,107,983 33.8433.84 3.103.10

1313Dominican Dominican RepublicRepublic 5,945,3755,945,375 20.3120.31 3.023.02

1414 CambodiaCambodia 3,738,5103,738,510 43.3543.35 1.901.90

1515 PeruPeru 3,274,9713,274,971 95.4195.41 1.661.66

Page 42: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

U.S. Imports in Category 338 Men’s Knit Cotton U.S. Imports in Category 338 Men’s Knit Cotton Shirts Shirts

Year Ending August 2011Year Ending August 2011

China, $58.57

Vietnam, $46.60

Indonesia, $42.07

Cambodia, $43.35

Guatemala, $33.84

Bangladesh, $27.98

Mexico, $25.78

El Salvador, $22.07

Nicaragua, $21.17

Honduras, $20.99

Dominican Rep., $20.31

World, $33.41

Page 43: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

Category 638

Year Ending August 201153,043,855 Dozen$2,146.2 Million

Men’s and Boys’ MMF Knit Men’s and Boys’ MMF Knit ShirtsShirts

Page 44: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

Men’s and Boys’ MMF Knit ShirtsMen’s and Boys’ MMF Knit ShirtsRankRank CountryCountry DozenDozen Unit ValueUnit Value ShareShare

11 HondurasHonduras 10,357,65010,357,650 34.0534.05 19.5319.53

22 El SalvadorEl Salvador 6,761,1186,761,118 24.3424.34 12.7512.75

33 NicaraguaNicaragua 6,563,1806,563,180 16.8116.81 12.3712.37

44 ChinaChina 5,384,6585,384,658 51.6851.68 10.1510.15

55 MexicoMexico 4,696,7894,696,789 41.5341.53 8.858.85

66 VietnamVietnam 3,336,1923,336,192 61.1661.16 6.296.29

77 IndonesiaIndonesia 2,192,9872,192,987 56.2056.20 4.134.13

88 HaitiHaiti 1,789,9021,789,902 18.7218.72 3.373.37

99 JordanJordan 1,689,8971,689,897 65.9265.92 3.193.19

1010 EgyptEgypt 1,361,7091,361,709 36.9136.91 2.572.57

1111 ThailandThailand 1,026,7631,026,763 74.5874.58 1.941.94

1212 GuatemalaGuatemala 926,482926,482 56.8656.86 1.751.75

1313 BangladeshBangladesh 893,821893,821 34.8134.81 1.691.69

1414 CambodiaCambodia 786,374786,374 58.0058.00 1.481.48

1515 Philippines Philippines 687,470687,470 44.1244.12 1.301.30

Page 45: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

U.S. Imports in Category 638 Men’s/Boys’ MMF Knit U.S. Imports in Category 638 Men’s/Boys’ MMF Knit ShirtsShirts

Year Ending August 2011Year Ending August 2011

El Salvador, $24.34

Haiti, $18.72

Nicragua, $16.81

Thailand, $74.58

Jordan, $65.92

Vietnam, $61.16

Cambodia, $58.00

Guatemala, $56.86

Indonesia, $56.20

China, $51.68

Philippines, $44.12

Mexico, $41.53

World, $40.46

Egypt, $36.91

Bangladesh, $34.81

Honduras, $34.05

Page 46: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

Recommendations to Reach Recommendations to Reach BuyersBuyers

• The Right Product at the Right Price

• Promote CAFTA– Database– Tradeshows– Direct Outreach to the Brands

• Can We Improve CAFTA?

Page 47: Forotex 2011 Camtex  Julia Hughes

Julia K. HughesPresident, USA-ITA+1 202 419 0465

[email protected]