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• Body Level One
• Body Level Two
• Body Level Three
• Body Level Four
• Body Level FiveDrPatrickDixon
ChairmanGlobalChangeLtdFounderGlobalInnovatorsLtd
TakeHoldoftheFutureHowglobaltrendswillimpactourworldandchangeexecuAveeducaAon/MBAs
ALLBIGTRENDSARERELATED
InsAtuAonalBlindness
to waste on things you do not believe in
LifeistooShort
Whocaresaboutthenewstrategy?
teamsandcustomersneedtofeelitmaMers
Whyshouldtheygrow?
AllleadershipcomesfromourVISIONofabeMerfuture
Complexity and scale
create risks
LawsuitswillbefarlargerthanFines
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Panama
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20
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Strategies and Business School case studies often
overtaken by events
World can change faster than you can hold a board meeting
or redesign a programme
Agility means more than
one strategy or career
Yet many trends changing more
slowly than people think
Cash growing - bank branches continue -
music - fashion - food, homes - classrooms -books - where are all 3D TVs and robots?
3D scans - 3D printing
WGP2005-2014(%,constantprices)
VietnamGDP1985-2011
$3.4trillion
>>$2.4trillion
Reserves
One word will dominate all
FUTURE
The future is about
EMOTION
85% of world population will
be living in emerging markets
in 10 years
1 billion will migrate over next 30 years
Science,technologyengineering,
maths
MostSTEMgraduatesinemergingmarkets
ChinaandIndiadominate
STEMdegreesincludingpost-graduate/PhDs
EuropeDying4couplestoproducesinglegreatgrandchild
1millionover90yearoldsinItalyin12yearsAme
Title Text• Body Level One
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!55
Can we stop ageing ?
•Pigsteethgrowninsiderats•Micegrownewteethfromnervecells/gum
Grow New Teeth
Repair Heart / Brain with stem cells
Slowornoageinginanimals->pensions Japanwomengain15minutesoflifeexpectancyeveryhour
• Rockfish, Turtles, some Whales
• No signs of getting old
TRIBES
TEAMS
OWNERS
!67
Demandforunusualvenuesisgrowing
Little Data often matters
most
Big Data = PatternLittle Data = Person
Night Flight or Day Flight Going out or coming home? – work, food, drink,
chat, party, unwind, dark, quiet, sleep, leave
Predict failure - detect error repair automatically
!75
VAST SCALE
AcrossEU,10grocerscapture50%ofsales
World too small for more than:
2 airline manufacturers3 mobile operating systems
10 large pharma5 large auto companies
Consolidation means fewer, larger, business school clients
and more in-house exec ed
8%wageinflaAoninChinapartoffsetbycurrencyfall
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Shorter global supply chains
Since 1980, global trade has grown at twice the rate of production but now growing
LESS than production
NearshoringBoom
LocaAonMarkeAng
REALLYMATTERS
FromMARKETINGcampaigntoALWAYS-ON
CONVERSATION
93
94
1.5m components tracked perfectly in Airbus supply chain
250millionwearabledevicesby2023
$20bnto$70bnby2025
99
Payments to home by migrants
are driving Innovation
Free mobile devicescalls / web / TV / games / payHigher income model
201020132015
TelcoBanks
• 90%MicrosohR&D• SalesForceR&D>$3bnpa
CLOUD
103
WebofThings-BigData-Cloud180bnspamemailsaday
600mnewviruses,malware,trojansayear>220mpeople’sdetailslostinsingleaMack70%largecorporaAonshavebeenhacked
100,000aMacksanhouronUSNavyParalysisofEstoniagovernmentin2007
WorriesaboutUS,Russia,ChinapenetraAonofweb/cloudfollowingPrism
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All true innovation is radical and divergent
Benchmarking is toxic to risk management
$40 Trillion Green Tech Boom driven by oil price, cost cuts, green activism
Shale gas oversupply US petrochem boom
$135bn will be invested soon in 215
new plants
120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day 7,000 times total global power use Power Moscow from Libyan Desert
Output up 10% in 2014
75% global growth in green energy is in China
• InJune2013electricitypricesin
Meeting full capacity of Tesla new factory will require entire global
output of lithium batteries
CO2 emissions stable for 24
months of global economic growth
to waste on things you do not believe in
LifeistooShort
Compliance alone is dead: keeps execs out of prison but
cannot protect brand or careers, and is no guide to future ethics
Fastwaytodestroyshareholdervalueis
tofocusonit
LessonfromNon-Profitsforeverybusinessschool
Connectwithallthepassionspeoplehaveandtheywillfollowyoutotheendsoftheearth,
promotewhatyoudowithpride,andmayevenbewillingtoworkfor
youfornexttonothing
AllleadershipcomesfromVISIONofabeMerfuture
BuildingaBeMerWorldpurposeofeverybusinessschool
andofallgreatbusiness
• Body Level One
• Body Level Two
• Body Level Three
• Body Level Four
• Body Level Five Dr Patrick Dixon
Chairman Global Change Ltd
globalchange.com@patrickdixon
