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Record Homelessness in NYC:
What the Next Mayor Can Do
Talking Transition
November 18, 2013
Rising Family Homelessness in NYC
• In September, an average of 52,351 homeless people slept each night in NYC shelter system – up 69% since current mayor took office.
• Includes 12,464 homeless families – up 80% since mayor took office.
• Includes 22,136 homeless children – up 69% since mayor took office.
• Avg. shelter stays for families with kids now 13 ½ months (409 days).
• Homeless families & kids nearly four-fifths (79%) of NYC shelter population.
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000
55,000
19
83
1
98
4
19
85
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86
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12
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13
Number of Homeless People Each Night in the NYC Shelter System, 1983-2013
Source: NYC Department of Homeless Services and Human Resources Administration and NYCStat, shelter census reports
September 2013:
52,351
22,136
19,171
11,044
Number of Homeless People Each Night in the NYC Shelter System, September 2013
Children
Adults in Families
Single Adults
Source: City of New York, NYCStat
Total NYC
Municipal
Shelter
Population:
52,351
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
19
83
1
98
4
19
85
19
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08
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20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
Number of Homeless Families Each Night in NYC Shelter System, 1983-2013
Source: NYC Department of Homeless Services and Human Resources Administration and NYC Stat, shelter census reports
September 2013:
12,464
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
19
83
1
98
4
19
85
19
86
19
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19
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19
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Number of Homeless Children Each Night in NYC Shelter System, 1983-2013
Source: NYC Department of Homeless Services and Human Resources Administration and NYCStat, shelter census reports
September 2013:
22,136
Rising Family Homelessness in NYC
• NYC housing affordability gap growing wider.
• Unemployment rate still high in NYC, higher in Bronx and Brooklyn where most low-income New Yorkers live.
• From 2007-2011, during economic downturn, NYC median apartment rents went up 8.5% but median renter incomes fell 6.8%.
• 78% of low-income renters have high rent burdens.
8.5%
-6.8% -10.0%
-8.0%
-6.0%
-4.0%
-2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
NYC's Widening Housing Affordability Gap, 2007-2011
(Percentage Change in Rents and Incomes)
Source: U.S. Census Bureau data from NYU Furman Center report (August 2013)
Median Rents
Median Renter Incomes
Rising Family Homelessness in NYC
• NYC now spends more than $1 billion/year on homeless shelter and services – up 85% under current mayor.
• Avg. annual cost to shelter a homeless family is $37,600 – up 23% since mayor took office.
• NYC homelessness now a major contributor to national homelessness problem.
• 1 of 6 homeless families in shelters nationwide is in NYC.
$540.2
$1,001.4
$0.0
$200.0
$400.0
$600.0
$800.0
$1,000.0
FY 2002 FY 2013
85% Increase in Homeless Services Expenditures Under Current Mayor (NYC Department of Homeless Services Expenses in Millions)
Source: NYC Office of Management and Budget
8%
13%
16%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
Total Homeless Population Total Homeless Families Total Homeless Families in Shelters
NYC Homeless Population a Significant Share of All Homeless Nationwide
(Percentage of Estimated U.S. Homeless Population in NYC)
Source: U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, "2012 Point-in-Time Estimates of Homelessness" (Dec 2012)
Rising Family Homelessness in NYC
• Recent policy failures a major cause of rising & record NYC homelessness.
• Under Mayors Koch, Dinkins & Giuliani the City targeted Federal housing resources (e.g. public housing) to help homeless families get homes.
• Current mayor ended that policy in 2005, substituted temporary subsidies which worked badly, then eliminated all housing aid in 2011.
• Previously 1 in 4 families entering shelter was formerly-homeless – now 63%.
2,1
83
2,0
10
2,7
43
3,2
02 4,0
42
2,8
57
3,5
37
3,6
46
3,5
30
3,0
35
3,4
18
2,8
52
2,8
80
3,9
75
5,7
77
3,6
15
779
626
678
489
327
211
204
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
FY 1990
FY 1991
FY 1992
FY 1993
FY 1994
FY 1995
FY 1996
FY 1997
FY 1998
FY 1999
FY 2000
FY 2001
FY 2002
FY 2003
FY 2004
FY 2005
FY 2006
FY 2007
FY 2008
FY 2009
FY 2010
FY 2011
FY 2012
Fewer Homeless Families Helped by Federal Housing Aid, FY 1990-FY 2012
(No. Moved from Shelters with Public Housing and Sect 8 Vouchers)
Source: Mayor's Management Report and NYC Department of Homeless Services
2,0
71
1,9
08
1,3
92
999 1,2
04
1,1
81
514
327
304
250
202
184
188
309
156
103
158 350
173
250
134
29
106
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
FY 1990
FY 1991
FY 1992
FY 1993
FY 1994
FY 1995
FY 1996
FY 1997
FY 1998
FY 1999
FY 2000
FY 2001
FY 2002
FY 2003
FY 2004
FY 2005
FY 2006
FY 2007
FY 2008
FY 2009
FY 2010
FY 2011
FY 2012
Fewer Homeless Families Aided by City-Assisted Housing, FY 1990-FY 2012 (Number Moved from Shelters to City-Subsidized Apartments)
Source: Mayor's Management Report and NYC Department of Homeless Services
49.4%
3.9% 4.1% 1.4%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Advantage program*
All Subsidized Housing**
Section 8 Voucher**
NYCHA Public Housing**
Shelter Return Rates for Time-Limited and Non-Time-Limited Housing Aid
Source: *NYC Department of Homeless Services (through Aug. 2013), **Vera Institute, "Understanding Family Homelessness" (2005)
22% 24%
29% 25%
27% 24%
26%
37% 39%
45%
40% 40%
49%
55%
63%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
FY 1999
FY 2000
FY 2001
FY 2002
FY 2003
FY 2004
FY 2005
FY 2006
FY 2007
FY 2008
FY 2009
FY 2010
FY 2011
FY 2012
FY 2013 YTD
Percentage of All Families Entering NYC Shelters Who Were Formerly-Homeless
Source: NYC Department of Homeless Services
Bloomberg Cuts Off
Homeless Families from
Federal Housing
Programs
Solutions to Homelessness in NYC
• Mayor-elect de Blasio and his new administration can build on proven housing-based solutions to the problem of homelessness.
• Research & evidence overwhelmingly show that long-term subsidized housing reduces family homelessness.
• Wealth of research & experience point to success and cost savings from permanent supportive housing for homeless people living with special needs.
• Solutions endorsed by United to End Homelessness coalition of 130 groups.
Solutions to Homelessness in NYC
Housing-based solutions:
1. Resume priority referrals of homeless families to public housing and Section 8 vouchers (at least 2,500 families/yr. to public housing).
2. Partner with State to create a new rental assistance program modelled on Section 8 vouchers.
3. Partner with State on a “New York/New York IV Agreement” to create permanent supportive housing.
4. New NYC housing plan should set aside at least 10% of apartments for homeless New Yorkers.
Solutions to Homelessness in NYC
Eliminate barriers to shelter and punitive policies:
1. Eliminate bureaucratic barriers to shelter for homeless families at intake centers.
2. Rescind proposed shelter-denial rules for homeless adults.
3. Reform rules that threaten loss of shelter to protect families, children, and people living with disabilities.
Reform shelter system:
1. Phase out use of apartment buildings as temporary shelter and use of commercial hotels & motels.
Solutions to Homelessness in NYC
Expand homelessness prevention:
1. Enhance funding for homelessness prevention programs, including legal services and eviction prevention services.
2. Expand access to prevention rent subsidy programs (e.g., FEPS program).
3. Enhance rent-increase exemption programs to assist seniors and tenants living with disabilities (SCRIE and DRIE programs).