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Richard Anderson Predicting Pothole Repair Times for the City of Seattle

Predicting Pothole Repair Times for the City of Seattle

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Page 1: Predicting Pothole Repair Times for the City of Seattle

Richard Anderson

Predicting Pothole Repair Times for the City of Seattle

Page 2: Predicting Pothole Repair Times for the City of Seattle

Data PipelineObtain Data

Page 3: Predicting Pothole Repair Times for the City of Seattle

Data PipelineObtain Data

Geocode Locations

Page 4: Predicting Pothole Repair Times for the City of Seattle

Data PipelineObtain Data

Geocode Locations

Page 5: Predicting Pothole Repair Times for the City of Seattle

Data PipelineObtain Data

Geocode Locations

Engineer Features

Page 6: Predicting Pothole Repair Times for the City of Seattle

Data PipelineObtain Data

Geocode Locations

Engineer Features

Page 7: Predicting Pothole Repair Times for the City of Seattle

Data PipelineObtain Data

Geocode Locations

Engineer Features

● Cumulative Number of unrepaired potholes

● Minimum Distance to closest prominent city landmark

● Number of months until end of fiscal year

● Seattle Neighborhood● Closest Street Features

Additional Features

Page 8: Predicting Pothole Repair Times for the City of Seattle

Data PipelineObtain Data

Geocode Locations

Engineer Features

Implement ML Models

Exploratory Data Analysis

Models and Algorithms

Scatterplots

Numerical Features

Categorical Features

Logistic Regression

130 features

Random Forest Classifier

Parameter search

Page 9: Predicting Pothole Repair Times for the City of Seattle

Data PipelineObtain Data

Geocode Locations

Engineer Features

Implement ML Models

Draw Conclusions

Cumulative No. of Potholes

Temperature

Minimum Distance

Median Home Value

Months to end of FY

Page 10: Predicting Pothole Repair Times for the City of Seattle

Data PipelineObtain Data

Geocode Locations

Engineer Features

Implement ML Models

Draw Conclusions

Cumulative No. of Potholes

Temperature

Minimum Distance

Median Home Value

Months to end of FY

+++

+

--

--

Page 11: Predicting Pothole Repair Times for the City of Seattle

Data PipelineObtain Data

Geocode Locations

Engineer Features

Implement ML Models

Draw Conclusions

Future Work:● Challenge is to find variables that are

both independent and add the most information to the model

● Careful investigation of whether median home value is really driving repair times.

Cumulative No. of Potholes

Temperature

Minimum Distance

Median Home Value

Months to end of FY

+++

+

--

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