Upload
unib
View
1
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
LAPORAN AKHIR PRAKTIKUM EKONOMETRIKA
E
Disusun Oleh :
Graceby Limbong E1D013077
Rolas Sinaga E1D013082
Lisbet Girsang E1D013108
Jessica R Marpaung E1D013121
Julindra Simbolon E1D013170
Co-Ass
Dwi Lestari
Yesko Siallagan
Shift : Selasa, Pukul 10.00 – 12.00
LABORATORIUM SOSIAL EKONOMI PERTANIAN
PROGRAM STUDI AGRIBISNIS
FAKULTAS PERTANIAN
UNIVERSITAS BENGKULU
BENGKULU
2015
BAB I
PENDAHULUAN
1.1 Latar Belakang
Jagung (Zea mays. L) merupakan salah satu
komoditas strategis dalam perekonomian Indonesia
karena merupakan bahan makanan penghasil
karbohidrat kedua setelah padi. Tanaman jagung
banyak dibudidayakan di Indonesia dan perlu
dikembangkan mengingat permintaannya yang terus
meningkat. Dalam perekonomian nasional, sumbangan
jagung terhadap Produk Domestik Bruto (PDB) terus
meningkat setiap tahun, sekalipun pada saat krisis
ekonomi. Pada tahun 2000, kontribusi jagung dalam
perekonomian nasional mencapai Rp 9,4 trilyun dan
pada tahun 2003 meningkat menjadi Rp18,2 trilyun
(Siregar, 2009). Kegiatan usahatani pada dasarnya
selalu mengharapkan produksi yang tinggi. Namun
kenyataannya banyal faktor yang menjadi perhatian
petani di dalam berusahatani yang sangat
mempengaruhi besarnya pendapatan yang akan diterima
petani. Beberapa faktor produksi jagung yaitu luas
Laporan Praktikum Akhir EKONEMETRIKA AGB UNIB
lahan, benih, pupuk, benih, tenaga kerja, dan
pestisida.
Penggunaan faktor produksi yang belum tepat
sesuai dengan anjuran menyebabkan produksi dan
kualitas jagung yang dihasilkan beragam dan juga
mempengaruhi pandapatan yang akan diterima petani.
Hal ini disebabkan terbatasnya factor produksi yang
dimiliki oleh petani. Oleh karena itu petani harus
bias mengkombinasikan sejumlah faktor-faktor
produksi yang ada, seperti pendidikan, pengalaman,
jumlah tanggungan keluarga dan modal.Penelitian
bertujuan untuk mengetahui jumlah penggunaan faktor
produksi, luas lahan, benih, pupuk, pestisida, dan
tenaga kerja produksi jagung di Desa Sumber Makmur,
Untuk mengetahuipengaruh faktor produksi, luas
lahan, benih, pupuk, pestisida, dan tenaga kerja,
terhadap produksi jagungdi Desa Sumber Makmur, dan
Untuk mengetahui besar pendapatan yang di peroleh
usahatani jagung di Desa Sumber Makmur.
Penentuan lokasi penelitian ini dilakukan
secara sengaja (purposive). Sampel diambil dengan
tekhnik acak sederhana (Simple random sampling)
sebanyak 60 orang dari populasi 145 orang petani
jagung. Data yang digunakan berupa data primer dan
data sekunder. Alat analisis yang digunakan adalah
tipe fungsi produksi Coog Douglas, analisis
pendapatan dengan cara mengurangkan penerimaan
Laporan Praktikum Akhir EKONEMETRIKA AGB UNIB
total dengan biaya total. Dari hasil analisis
faktor produksi pada usahatani jagung di dapat
bahwa faktor produksi yang berpengaruh terhadap
produksi jagung adalah jumlah pupuk, jumlah
pestisida, dan jumlah tenga kerja sedangkan faktor
produksi yang tidak mempengaruhi terhadap produksi
jagung di daerah penelitian adalah jumlah benih.
Berdasarkan analisis pendaptan maka diperoleh rata-
rata hasil pendapatan yang diterima oleh petani
jagung di Desa Sumber Makmur sebesar Rp.
2.904.893,92/Ut atau Rp. 2.212.694,49/Ha.
1.2 Rumusan Masalah
Berdasarkan latar belakang yang dikemukakan,
maka yang menjadi permasalahan dalam hal ini
adalah :
1. Berapa besar nilai koefisien determinasi (R2)
menjelaskan variasi produksi dan pendapatan
usahatani Jagung yang dapat dijelaskan oleh
variabel penjelas yang dimasukkan dalam model.
2. Berapa besar nilai F-Hitung pada setiap level
signifikansi
3. Berapa besar nilai T-Hitung pada setiap level
taraf kepercayaan masing-masing variabel bebas
1.3 Tujuan
Laporan Praktikum Akhir EKONEMETRIKA AGB UNIB
Berdasarkan rumusan masalah yang dikemukakan,
maka yang menjadi tujuan dalam praktikum ini adalah
:
1. Untuk Mengetahui Berapa besar nilai koefisien
determinasi (R2) menjelaskan variasi produksi dan
pendapatan usahatani Jagung yang dapat dijelaskan
oleh variabel penjelas yang dimasukkan dalam
model.
2. Untuk Mengetahui Berapa besar nilai F-Hitung
pada setiap level signifikansi.
3. Untuk Mengetahui Berapa besar nilai T-Hitung
pada setiap level taraf kepercayaan masing-masing
variabel bebas.
BAB II
METODOLOGI
2.1 Jenis Dan Sumber Data
Data yang digunakan dalam ini adalah data
primer dan data sekunder. Data primer diperoleh
melalui wawancara dengan petani jagung dengan
menggunakan daftar pertanyaan dan kuesioner yang
ditentukan secara sengaja di Desa Sumber Makmur
Kecamatan Lubuk Pinang Kabupaten Mukomuko. Sampel
diambil sebanyak 60 responden dari populasi
sebanyak 145 orang yang ditetapkan secara sengaja
dengan 40 persen total populasi 145 x 40
persen .Dengan pertimbangan bahwa penduduk Desa
Laporan Praktikum Akhir EKONEMETRIKA AGB UNIB
tersebut merupakan sentra produksi jagung.
Sementara data sekunder diperoleh dari instansi
terkait dan literatur-literatur pustaka yang
berhubungan dengan penelitian ini.
2.2 Spesifikasi Model
Untuk mengetahui faktor-faktor yang
mempengaruhi produksi jagung dalam penelitian ini
menggunakan analisis fungsi produksi Cobb Douglas,
dengan rumus persamaan :
Y = aX1bi . X2
b2. X3b3. X4
b4. X5b5 eu
Dimana;
Y = Produksi (Kg/UT)
X1 = Luas Lahan (Ha)
X2 = Jumlah Benih (Kg/UT)
X3 = Jumlah Tenaga Kerja (HKSP/UT)
X4 = Jumlah Pupuk Urea (Kg/UT)
X5 = Jumlah Pestisida Gramoxon (Liter/UT)
a = Intercept
bi = Koefisien regresi (i:1,2,3,4,5)
u = Kesalahan Pengguna
e = Logaritma
BAB III
HASIL DAN PEMBAHASAN
3.1 Hasil
Laporan Praktikum Akhir EKONEMETRIKA AGB UNIB
Dari semua hasil estimasi Sazham dengan
berbagai model ekonometrika yang dipelajari,
didapatkan hasil R-SQUARE (R2) tertingi pada model
ekonometrika Log Inverse Berganda. Presentasi hasil
akan dijelaskan dalam bentuk tabel sebagai
berikut :
Nama VariabelKoefisein
Regresi
T-hitung
Konstanta
5.4563
( 0.8175E-
01 )
66.74
Luas Lahan-0.70173
( 1.033)
-0.6793
Jumlah Benih1.1212
( 0.3030)
3.700
Jumlah Tenaga Kerja2.4927
( 3.800 )
0.6559
Jumlah Pupuk Urea-6.7790
( 14.33)
-0.4729
Jumlah Pestisida
Gramaxon
-0.37344
(0.1895)
-1.971
R2 0.7009 -
Fhitung 25.311 -
Keterangan : angka dalam kurung merupakan standar error
Menggunakan tingkat kepercayaan 95% (α = 0,05)
3.2 Pembahasan
Laporan Praktikum Akhir EKONEMETRIKA AGB UNIB
Hasil estimasi model Log Inverse Berganda
didapatkan nilai R2 sebesar 0.7009 artinya variasi
yang terjadi pada Variabel Produksi dan Pendapatan,
dapat dijelaskan oleh variable-variabel Luas
Lahan , Jumlah Benih, Jumlah Tenaga Kerja, Jumlah
Pupuk Urea, dan Jumlah Pestisida Gramaxon sebesar
70,09% dan sisanya sebesar 29,01% dijelaskan oleh
variabel lain yang tidak di masukkan dalam model.
Nilai Fhitung yang didapatkan sebesar 25,331
lebih besar dari nilai Ftable 2,40 pada setiap level
signifikansi. Artinya, variabel bebas yang ada
dalam model secara bersama-sama berpengaruh nyata
terhadap Produksi. Hasil ini juga mengindikasikan
bahwa model yang didesain dapat digunakan untuk
menerangkan analisis produksi dan pendapatan
usahatani jagung di Desa Sumber Makmur Kecamatan
Lubuk Pinang Kabupaten Mukomuko.
Variabel Luas Lahan, Jumlah Tenaga Kerja,
Jumlah Pupuk Urea, dan Jumlah Pestisida Gramaxon
memiliki thitung berturut-turut sebesar -0,679,
0,6559, -0,4729, -1,971 lebih kecil dari nilai ttabel
sebesar 2,009. Hasil ini menunjukkan variabel tidak
mempengaruhi jumlah produksi dan pendapatan
usahatani jagung di Desa Sumber Makmur Kecamatan
Lubuk Pinang Kabupaten Mukomuko. Sedangkan naik
turunnya variabel Jumlah Benih berpengaruh terhadap
produksi usahatani jagung di Desa Sumber Makmur,
Laporan Praktikum Akhir EKONEMETRIKA AGB UNIB
karena memiliki thitung 3,700 lebih besar dan dari
ttabel 2,009.
BAB IV
KESIMPULAN
Berdasarkan hasil estimasi yang telah diuraikan
dan dibahas di atas, maka dapat disimpulkan sebagai
berikut :
1. Dari hasil estimasi yang dilakukan diperoleh
bahwa nilai R-Square (R2) sebesar 0.7009 atau
70.09% artinya produksi usahatani jagung di Desa
Laporan Praktikum Akhir EKONEMETRIKA AGB UNIB
Sumber Makmur dapat dijelaskan oleh variabel
Luas Lahan, Jumlah Benih, Jumlah Tenaga Kerja,
Jumlah Pupuk Urea, dan Jumlah Pestisida Gramaxon
dan sisanya sebesar 29,1% dipengaruhi oleh
faktor-faktor lain.
2. Terdapat hubungan yang signifikan antara Luas
Lahan, Benih, Jumlah Tenaga Kerja, Jumlah Pupuk
Urea, dan Jumlah Pestisida Gramaxon terhadap
produksi usahatani jagung di Desa Sumber Makmur
ialah.
3. Terdapat pengaruh yang nyata antara benih dan
produksi dan pendapatan usahatani jagung di Desa
Sumber Makmur, sehingga pertambahan benih
sebesar satu satuan akan meningkatkan produksi
dan pendapatan usahatani Jagung.
Laporan Praktikum Akhir EKONEMETRIKA AGB UNIB
DAFTAR PUSTAKA
Fitria Setriani. 2013. Analisis Produksi dan Pendapatan
Usahatani Jagung (Zea Mays. L) di Desa Sumber Makmur
Kecamatan Lubuk Pinang Kabupaten Mukomuko.
Laboratorium Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian
Universitas Bengkulu. Bengkulu.
Siregar. 2009. Kontribusi Jagung Dalam Perekonomian
Nasional. e-USU Repository. Fakultas Pertanian.
Universitas Sumatera Utara.
Sukiyono Ketut. 2012. Petunjuk Praktikum Ekonometrika.
Laboratorium Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian
Universitas Bengkulu. Bengkulu.
Laporan Praktikum Akhir EKONEMETRIKA AGB UNIB
N
Hasil Linier Berganda
|_file 33 D:\DOC MATA KULIAH\DOC SHAZAM\Data Analisis Produksi UsahataniJagung Hibrida Desa Sumber Makmur.dif ...NOTE..UNIT 33 IS NOW ASSIGNED TO: D:\DOC MATA KULIAH\DOC SHAZAM\DataAnalisis Produk si Usahatani Jagung Hibrida Desa Sumber Makmur.dif
|_sample 1 60
|_read (33) n x1t x2t x3t x4t x5t yt/dif ...NOTE..DIF FILE HAS 7 COLUMNS AND 60 ROWS ...NOTE.. 7 VARIABLES AND 60 OBSERVATIONS STARTING AT OBS 1
|_ols yt x1t x2t x3t x4t x5t/pcor pcov
REQUIRED MEMORY IS PAR= 19 CURRENT PAR= 78 OLS ESTIMATION 60 OBSERVATIONS DEPENDENT VARIABLE= YT ...NOTE..SAMPLE RANGE SET TO: 1, 60
R-SQUARE = 0.6323 R-SQUARE ADJUSTED = 0.5983 VARIANCE OF THE ESTIMATE-SIGMA**2 = 527.65 STANDARD ERROR OF THE ESTIMATE-SIGMA = 22.971 SUM OF SQUARED ERRORS-SSE= 28493. MEAN OF DEPENDENT VARIABLE = 120.32 LOG OF THE LIKELIHOOD FUNCTION = -270.029
Laporan Praktikum Akhir EKONEMETRIKA AGB UNIB
MODEL SELECTION TESTS - SEE JUDGE ET AL. (1985,P.242) AKAIKE (1969) FINAL PREDICTION ERROR - FPE = 580.42 (FPE IS ALSO KNOWN AS AMEMIYA PREDICTION CRITERION - PC) AKAIKE (1973) INFORMATION CRITERION - LOG AIC = 6.3631 SCHWARZ (1978) CRITERION - LOG SC = 6.5725 MODEL SELECTION TESTS - SEE RAMANATHAN (1998,P.165) CRAVEN-WAHBA (1979) GENERALIZED CROSS VALIDATION - GCV = 586.28 HANNAN AND QUINN (1979) CRITERION = 629.54 RICE (1984) CRITERION = 593.61 SHIBATA (1981) CRITERION = 569.86 SCHWARZ (1978) CRITERION - SC = 715.16 AKAIKE (1974) INFORMATION CRITERION - AIC = 580.03
ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE - FROM MEAN SS DF MS F REGRESSION 48997. 5. 9799.4 18.572 ERROR 28493. 54. 527.65 P-VALUE TOTAL 77490. 59. 1313.4 0.000
ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE - FROM ZERO SS DF MS F REGRESSION 0.91761E+06 6. 0.15294E+06 289.842 ERROR 28493. 54. 527.65 P-VALUE TOTAL 0.94610E+06 60. 15768. 0.000
VARIABLE ESTIMATED STANDARD T-RATIO PARTIAL STANDARDIZEDELASTICITY NAME COEFFICIENT ERROR 54 DF P-VALUE CORR. COEFFICIENT ATMEANS X1T 0.62448 4.464 0.1399 0.889 0.019 0.03800.0324 X2T 84.015 30.10 2.792 0.007 0.355 1.08050.9687 X3T -0.98040 1.321 -0.7422 0.461-0.100 -0.1683 -0.1805 X4T 0.33379E-02 0.5026E-01 0.6642E-01 0.947 0.009 0.01070.0077 X5T -9.2171 5.555 -1.659 0.103-0.220 -0.2394 -0.2011 CONSTANT 44.844 11.53 3.891 0.000 0.468 0.00000.3727
VARIANCE-COVARIANCE MATRIX OF COEFFICIENTS X1T 19.929 X2T -91.890 905.77 X3T 1.4824 -25.680 1.7446 X4T -0.36893E-01 -0.43008 -0.33220E-02 0.25259E-02 X5T -4.9147 -27.082 -1.1248 0.61632E-01 30.855
CONSTANT -6.7682 76.947 -8.4080 0.38109E-01 -4.8944 132.85 X1T X2T X3T X4T X5T
Laporan Praktikum Akhir EKONEMETRIKA AGB UNIB
CONSTANT
CORRELATION MATRIX OF COEFFICIENTS X1T 1.0000 X2T -0.68394 1.0000 X3T 0.25140 -0.64599 1.0000 X4T -0.16444 -0.28434 -0.50043E-01 1.0000 X5T -0.19820 -0.16200 -0.15330 0.22077 1.0000
CONSTANT -0.13154 0.22182 -0.55227 0.65786E-01 -0.76445E-01 1.0000 X1T X2T X3T X4T X5T CONSTANT
DURBIN-WATSON = 0.9851 VON NEUMANN RATIO = 1.0018 RHO = 0.49779 RESIDUAL SUM = -0.10907E-11 RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 527.65 SUM OF ABSOLUTE ERRORS= 1027.6 R-SQUARE BETWEEN OBSERVED AND PREDICTED = 0.6323 RUNS TEST: 24 RUNS, 30 POS, 0 ZERO, 30 NEG NORMAL STATISTIC = -1.8229 COEFFICIENT OF SKEWNESS = 0.2048 WITH STANDARD DEVIATION OF 0.3087 COEFFICIENT OF EXCESS KURTOSIS = -0.0651 WITH STANDARD DEVIATION OF 0.6085
JARQUE-BERA NORMALITY TEST- CHI-SQUARE(2 DF)= 0.4612 P-VALUE= 0.794
GOODNESS OF FIT TEST FOR NORMALITY OF RESIDUALS - 10 GROUPS OBSERVED 0.0 1.0 4.0 11.0 14.0 16.0 6.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 EXPECTED 0.5 1.7 4.8 9.6 13.5 13.5 9.6 4.8 1.7 0.5 CHI-SQUARE = 4.4588 WITH 2 DEGREES OF FREEDOM, P-VALUE= 0.108
|_stop
Laporan Praktikum Akhir EKONEMETRIKA AGB UNIB
Hasil Reciprocal Berganda
|_file 33 D:\DOC MATA KULIAH\DOC SHAZAM\Data Analisis Produksi UsahataniJagung Hibrida Desa Sumber Makmur.dif ...NOTE..UNIT 33 IS NOW ASSIGNED TO: D:\DOC MATA KULIAH\DOC SHAZAM\DataAnalisis Produk si Usahatani Jagung Hibrida Desa Sumber Makmur.dif
|_sample 1 60
|_read (33) n x1t x2t x3t x4t x5t yt/dif ...NOTE..DIF FILE HAS 7 COLUMNS AND 60 ROWS ...NOTE.. 7 VARIABLES AND 60 OBSERVATIONS STARTING AT OBS 1
|_genr GA=(1/x1t)
|_genr GB=(1/x2t)
|_genr GC=(1/x3t)
|_genr GD=(1/X4t)
|_genr GE=(1/X5t)
|_ols yt GA GB GC GD GE/pcor pcov
REQUIRED MEMORY IS PAR= 21 CURRENT PAR= 78 OLS ESTIMATION 60 OBSERVATIONS DEPENDENT VARIABLE= YT ...NOTE..SAMPLE RANGE SET TO: 1, 60
R-SQUARE = 0.6385 R-SQUARE ADJUSTED = 0.6051 VARIANCE OF THE ESTIMATE-SIGMA**2 = 518.71 STANDARD ERROR OF THE ESTIMATE-SIGMA = 22.775 SUM OF SQUARED ERRORS-SSE= 28010. MEAN OF DEPENDENT VARIABLE = 120.32 LOG OF THE LIKELIHOOD FUNCTION = -269.516
MODEL SELECTION TESTS - SEE JUDGE ET AL. (1985,P.242) AKAIKE (1969) FINAL PREDICTION ERROR - FPE = 570.58 (FPE IS ALSO KNOWN AS AMEMIYA PREDICTION CRITERION - PC) AKAIKE (1973) INFORMATION CRITERION - LOG AIC = 6.3460 SCHWARZ (1978) CRITERION - LOG SC = 6.5554 MODEL SELECTION TESTS - SEE RAMANATHAN (1998,P.165) CRAVEN-WAHBA (1979) GENERALIZED CROSS VALIDATION - GCV = 576.34 HANNAN AND QUINN (1979) CRITERION = 618.88 RICE (1984) CRITERION = 583.55 SHIBATA (1981) CRITERION = 560.21 SCHWARZ (1978) CRITERION - SC = 703.04 AKAIKE (1974) INFORMATION CRITERION - AIC = 570.20
ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE - FROM MEAN SS DF MS F REGRESSION 49480. 5. 9895.9 19.078 ERROR 28010. 54. 518.71 P-VALUE TOTAL 77490. 59. 1313.4 0.000
Laporan Praktikum Akhir EKONEMETRIKA AGB UNIB
ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE - FROM ZERO SS DF MS F REGRESSION 0.91809E+06 6. 0.15302E+06 294.993 ERROR 28010. 54. 518.71 P-VALUE TOTAL 0.94610E+06 60. 15768. 0.000
VARIABLE ESTIMATED STANDARD T-RATIO PARTIAL STANDARDIZEDELASTICITY NAME COEFFICIENT ERROR 54 DF P-VALUE CORR. COEFFICIENT ATMEANS GA -4.4770 130.6 -0.3427E-01 0.973-0.005 -0.0082 -0.0068 GB -113.59 38.31 -2.965 0.004-0.374 -0.9269 -0.7698 GC -74.381 480.5 -0.1548 0.878-0.021 -0.0318 -0.0304 GD 150.24 1812. 0.8290E-01 0.934 0.011 0.00980.0056 GE 41.979 23.96 1.752 0.085 0.232 0.22850.1549 CONSTANT 198.11 10.34 19.16 0.000 0.934 0.00001.6465
VARIANCE-COVARIANCE MATRIX OF COEFFICIENTS GA 17064. GB -3609.6 1467.7 GC 18726. -12814. 0.23090E+06 GD -69890. -189.32 -0.13463E+06 0.32849E+07 GE -856.63 -20.326 -2598.1 6155.0 574.21
CONSTANT -390.31 100.56 -2567.7 2076.7 17.798 106.85 GA GB GC GD GE CONSTANT
CORRELATION MATRIX OF COEFFICIENTS GA 1.0000 GB -0.72127 1.0000 GC 0.29834 -0.69607 1.0000 GD -0.29520 -0.27266E-02 -0.15459 1.0000 GE -0.27366 -0.22141E-01 -0.22564 0.14172 1.0000
CONSTANT -0.28906 0.25394 -0.51694 0.11085 0.71854E-01 1.0000 GA GB GC GD GE CONSTANT
DURBIN-WATSON = 1.1409 VON NEUMANN RATIO = 1.1602 RHO = 0.42931 RESIDUAL SUM = -0.58016E-11 RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 518.71 SUM OF ABSOLUTE ERRORS= 989.45 R-SQUARE BETWEEN OBSERVED AND PREDICTED = 0.6385 RUNS TEST: 20 RUNS, 31 POS, 0 ZERO, 29 NEG NORMAL STATISTIC = -2.8591 COEFFICIENT OF SKEWNESS = 0.4089 WITH STANDARD DEVIATION OF 0.3087 COEFFICIENT OF EXCESS KURTOSIS = 0.6425 WITH STANDARD DEVIATION OF 0.6085
JARQUE-BERA NORMALITY TEST- CHI-SQUARE(2 DF)= 2.1934 P-VALUE= 0.334
GOODNESS OF FIT TEST FOR NORMALITY OF RESIDUALS - 10 GROUPS OBSERVED 0.0 1.0 6.0 8.0 14.0 20.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 2.0
Laporan Praktikum Akhir EKONEMETRIKA AGB UNIB
EXPECTED 0.5 1.7 4.8 9.6 13.5 13.5 9.6 4.8 1.7 0.5 CHI-SQUARE = 12.1318 WITH 2 DEGREES OF FREEDOM, P-VALUE= 0.002
|_stop
Hasil Double Log Berganda
|_file 33 D:\DOC MATA KULIAH\DOC SHAZAM\Data Analisis Produksi UsahataniJagung Hibrida Desa Sumber Makmur.dif ...NOTE..UNIT 33 IS NOW ASSIGNED TO: D:\DOC MATA KULIAH\DOC SHAZAM\DataAnalisis Produk si Usahatani Jagung Hibrida Desa Sumber Makmur.dif
|_sample 1 60
|_read (33) n x1t x2t x3t x4t x5t yt/dif ...NOTE..DIF FILE HAS 7 COLUMNS AND 60 ROWS ...NOTE.. 7 VARIABLES AND 60 OBSERVATIONS STARTING AT OBS 1
|_genr ly=log(yt)
|_genr lx1=log(x1t)
|_genr lx2=log(x2t)
|_genr lx3=log(x3t)
|_genr lx4=log(x4t)
|_genr lx5=log(x5t)
|_ols ly lx1 lx2 lx3 lx4 lx5/pcor pcov
REQUIRED MEMORY IS PAR= 22 CURRENT PAR= 78 OLS ESTIMATION
Laporan Praktikum Akhir EKONEMETRIKA AGB UNIB
60 OBSERVATIONS DEPENDENT VARIABLE= LY ...NOTE..SAMPLE RANGE SET TO: 1, 60
R-SQUARE = 0.6788 R-SQUARE ADJUSTED = 0.6491 VARIANCE OF THE ESTIMATE-SIGMA**2 = 0.34843E-01 STANDARD ERROR OF THE ESTIMATE-SIGMA = 0.18666 SUM OF SQUARED ERRORS-SSE= 1.8815 MEAN OF DEPENDENT VARIABLE = 4.7433 LOG OF THE LIKELIHOOD FUNCTION = 18.7315
MODEL SELECTION TESTS - SEE JUDGE ET AL. (1985,P.242) AKAIKE (1969) FINAL PREDICTION ERROR - FPE = 0.38327E-01 (FPE IS ALSO KNOWN AS AMEMIYA PREDICTION CRITERION - PC) AKAIKE (1973) INFORMATION CRITERION - LOG AIC = -3.2623 SCHWARZ (1978) CRITERION - LOG SC = -3.0528 MODEL SELECTION TESTS - SEE RAMANATHAN (1998,P.165) CRAVEN-WAHBA (1979) GENERALIZED CROSS VALIDATION - GCV = 0.38715E-01 HANNAN AND QUINN (1979) CRITERION = 0.41572E-01 RICE (1984) CRITERION = 0.39198E-01 SHIBATA (1981) CRITERION = 0.37631E-01 SCHWARZ (1978) CRITERION - SC = 0.47225E-01 AKAIKE (1974) INFORMATION CRITERION - AIC = 0.38302E-01
ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE - FROM MEAN SS DF MS F REGRESSION 3.9764 5. 0.79528 22.825 ERROR 1.8815 54. 0.34843E-01 P-VALUE TOTAL 5.8579 59. 0.99287E-01 0.000
ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE - FROM ZERO SS DF MS F REGRESSION 1353.9 6. 225.65 6476.180 ERROR 1.8815 54. 0.34843E-01 P-VALUE TOTAL 1355.8 60. 22.596 0.000
VARIABLE ESTIMATED STANDARD T-RATIO PARTIAL STANDARDIZEDELASTICITY NAME COEFFICIENT ERROR 54 DF P-VALUE CORR. COEFFICIENT ATMEANS LX1 -0.12994 0.2157 -0.6023 0.549-0.082 -0.1501 -0.0485 LX2 1.0399 0.3009 3.456 0.001 0.426 1.17710.0586 LX3 0.34720E-01 0.2262 0.1535 0.879 0.021 0.03270.0224 LX4 -0.59560E-01 0.8975E-01 -0.6637 0.510-0.090 -0.0890 -0.0694 LX5 -0.18926 0.1049 -1.805 0.077-0.238 -0.2378 -0.0357 CONSTANT 5.0873 0.8464 6.010 0.000 0.633 0.00001.0725
VARIANCE-COVARIANCE MATRIX OF COEFFICIENTS LX1 0.46544E-01 LX2 -0.45284E-01 0.90533E-01 LX3 0.12791E-01 -0.45624E-01 0.51158E-01 LX4 -0.45536E-02 -0.43355E-02 -0.18507E-02 0.80544E-02 LX5 -0.52032E-02 -0.29212E-02 -0.47489E-02 0.18555E-02 0.10999E-01
Laporan Praktikum Akhir EKONEMETRIKA AGB UNIB
CONSTANT -0.79506E-01 0.22191 -0.15231 -0.31298E-01 0.44144E-02 0.71642 LX1 LX2 LX3 LX4 LX5 CONSTANT
CORRELATION MATRIX OF COEFFICIENTS LX1 1.0000 LX2 -0.69761 1.0000 LX3 0.26213 -0.67040 1.0000 LX4 -0.23518 -0.16055 -0.91173E-01 1.0000 LX5 -0.22997 -0.92575E-01 -0.20020 0.19714 1.0000
CONSTANT -0.43539 0.87136 -0.79560 -0.41202 0.49730E-01 1.0000 LX1 LX2 LX3 LX4 LX5 CONSTANT
DURBIN-WATSON = 0.9441 VON NEUMANN RATIO = 0.9601 RHO = 0.51688 RESIDUAL SUM = 0.18180E-13 RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.34843E-01 SUM OF ABSOLUTE ERRORS= 8.3048 R-SQUARE BETWEEN OBSERVED AND PREDICTED = 0.6788 RUNS TEST: 16 RUNS, 29 POS, 0 ZERO, 31 NEG NORMAL STATISTIC = -3.9020 COEFFICIENT OF SKEWNESS = -0.1413 WITH STANDARD DEVIATION OF 0.3087 COEFFICIENT OF EXCESS KURTOSIS = -0.0094 WITH STANDARD DEVIATION OF 0.6085
JARQUE-BERA NORMALITY TEST- CHI-SQUARE(2 DF)= 0.2183 P-VALUE= 0.897
GOODNESS OF FIT TEST FOR NORMALITY OF RESIDUALS - 10 GROUPS OBSERVED 1.0 0.0 5.0 9.0 16.0 12.0 11.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 EXPECTED 0.5 1.7 4.8 9.6 13.5 13.5 9.6 4.8 1.7 0.5 CHI-SQUARE = 3.8412 WITH 2 DEGREES OF FREEDOM, P-VALUE= 0.147
|_stop
Hasil Log-Linear Berganda
Laporan Praktikum Akhir EKONEMETRIKA AGB UNIB
|_file 33 D:\DOC MATA KULIAH\DOC SHAZAM\Data Analisis Produksi UsahataniJagung Hibrida Desa Sumber Makmur.dif ...NOTE..UNIT 33 IS NOW ASSIGNED TO: D:\DOC MATA KULIAH\DOC SHAZAM\DataAnalisis Produk si Usahatani Jagung Hibrida Desa Sumber Makmur.dif
|_sample 1 60
|_read (33) n x1t x2t x3t x4t x5t yt/dif ...NOTE..DIF FILE HAS 7 COLUMNS AND 60 ROWS ...NOTE.. 7 VARIABLES AND 60 OBSERVATIONS STARTING AT OBS 1
|_genr ly=log(yt)
|_ols ly x1t x2t x3t x4t x5t/pcor pcov
REQUIRED MEMORY IS PAR= 19 CURRENT PAR= 78 OLS ESTIMATION 60 OBSERVATIONS DEPENDENT VARIABLE= LY ...NOTE..SAMPLE RANGE SET TO: 1, 60
R-SQUARE = 0.6389 R-SQUARE ADJUSTED = 0.6055 VARIANCE OF THE ESTIMATE-SIGMA**2 = 0.39172E-01 STANDARD ERROR OF THE ESTIMATE-SIGMA = 0.19792 SUM OF SQUARED ERRORS-SSE= 2.1153 MEAN OF DEPENDENT VARIABLE = 4.7433 LOG OF THE LIKELIHOOD FUNCTION = 15.2183
MODEL SELECTION TESTS - SEE JUDGE ET AL. (1985,P.242) AKAIKE (1969) FINAL PREDICTION ERROR - FPE = 0.43089E-01 (FPE IS ALSO KNOWN AS AMEMIYA PREDICTION CRITERION - PC) AKAIKE (1973) INFORMATION CRITERION - LOG AIC = -3.1452 SCHWARZ (1978) CRITERION - LOG SC = -2.9357 MODEL SELECTION TESTS - SEE RAMANATHAN (1998,P.165) CRAVEN-WAHBA (1979) GENERALIZED CROSS VALIDATION - GCV = 0.43524E-01 HANNAN AND QUINN (1979) CRITERION = 0.46736E-01 RICE (1984) CRITERION = 0.44068E-01 SHIBATA (1981) CRITERION = 0.42306E-01 SCHWARZ (1978) CRITERION - SC = 0.53092E-01 AKAIKE (1974) INFORMATION CRITERION - AIC = 0.43060E-01
ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE - FROM MEAN SS DF MS F REGRESSION 3.7427 5. 0.74853 19.109 ERROR 2.1153 54. 0.39172E-01 P-VALUE TOTAL 5.8579 59. 0.99287E-01 0.000
ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE - FROM ZERO SS DF MS F REGRESSION 1353.7 6. 225.61 5759.509 ERROR 2.1153 54. 0.39172E-01 P-VALUE TOTAL 1355.8 60. 22.596 0.000
VARIABLE ESTIMATED STANDARD T-RATIO PARTIAL STANDARDIZEDELASTICITY NAME COEFFICIENT ERROR 54 DF P-VALUE CORR. COEFFICIENT ATMEANS
Laporan Praktikum Akhir EKONEMETRIKA AGB UNIB
X1T -0.13150E-01 0.3846E-01 -0.3419 0.734-0.046 -0.0921 -0.0173 X2T 0.78632 0.2593 3.032 0.004 0.381 1.16310.2300 X3T -0.27043E-02 0.1138E-01 -0.2376 0.813-0.032 -0.0534 -0.0126 X4T -0.19335E-03 0.4330E-03 -0.4465 0.657-0.061 -0.0715 -0.0113 X5T -0.74852E-01 0.4786E-01 -1.564 0.124-0.208 -0.2236 -0.0414 CONSTANT 4.0446 0.9931E-01 40.73 0.000 0.984 0.00000.8527
VARIANCE-COVARIANCE MATRIX OF COEFFICIENTS X1T 0.14795E-02 X2T -0.68218E-02 0.67243E-01 X3T 0.11005E-03 -0.19064E-02 0.12952E-03 X4T -0.27389E-05 -0.31929E-04 -0.24662E-06 0.18752E-06 X5T -0.36486E-03 -0.20105E-02 -0.83501E-04 0.45754E-05 0.22906E-02
CONSTANT -0.50246E-03 0.57124E-02 -0.62420E-03 0.28292E-05 -0.36335E-03 0.98629E-02 X1T X2T X3T X4T X5T CONSTANT
CORRELATION MATRIX OF COEFFICIENTS X1T 1.0000 X2T -0.68394 1.0000 X3T 0.25140 -0.64599 1.0000 X4T -0.16444 -0.28434 -0.50043E-01 1.0000 X5T -0.19820 -0.16200 -0.15330 0.22077 1.0000
CONSTANT -0.13154 0.22182 -0.55227 0.65786E-01 -0.76445E-01 1.0000 X1T X2T X3T X4T X5T CONSTANT
DURBIN-WATSON = 0.9587 VON NEUMANN RATIO = 0.9750 RHO = 0.49818 RESIDUAL SUM = -0.29088E-13 RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.39172E-01 SUM OF ABSOLUTE ERRORS= 8.9563 R-SQUARE BETWEEN OBSERVED AND PREDICTED = 0.6389 RUNS TEST: 24 RUNS, 31 POS, 0 ZERO, 29 NEG NORMAL STATISTIC = -1.8163 COEFFICIENT OF SKEWNESS = -0.2328 WITH STANDARD DEVIATION OF 0.3087 COEFFICIENT OF EXCESS KURTOSIS = -0.2188 WITH STANDARD DEVIATION OF 0.6085
JARQUE-BERA NORMALITY TEST- CHI-SQUARE(2 DF)= 0.7389 P-VALUE= 0.691
GOODNESS OF FIT TEST FOR NORMALITY OF RESIDUALS - 10 GROUPS OBSERVED 0.0 2.0 6.0 8.0 13.0 13.0 13.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 EXPECTED 0.5 1.7 4.8 9.6 13.5 13.5 9.6 4.8 1.7 0.5 CHI-SQUARE = 3.3034 WITH 2 DEGREES OF FREEDOM, P-VALUE= 0.192
|_stop
Laporan Praktikum Akhir EKONEMETRIKA AGB UNIB
Hasil Linear-Log Berganda
|_file 33 D:\DOC MATA KULIAH\DOC SHAZAM\Data Analisis Produksi UsahataniJagung Hibrida Desa Sumber Makmur.dif ...NOTE..UNIT 33 IS NOW ASSIGNED TO: D:\DOC MATA KULIAH\DOC SHAZAM\DataAnalisis Produk si Usahatani Jagung Hibrida Desa Sumber Makmur.dif
|_sample 1 60
|_read (33) n x1t x2t x3t x4t x5t yt/dif ...NOTE..DIF FILE HAS 7 COLUMNS AND 60 ROWS ...NOTE.. 7 VARIABLES AND 60 OBSERVATIONS STARTING AT OBS 1
|_genr lx1=log(x1t)
|_genr lx2=log(x2t)
|_genr lx3=log(x3t)
|_genr lx4=log(x4t)
|_genr lx5=log(x5t)
|_ols yt lx1 lx2 lx3 lx4 lx5/pcor pcov
REQUIRED MEMORY IS PAR= 21 CURRENT PAR= 78 OLS ESTIMATION 60 OBSERVATIONS DEPENDENT VARIABLE= YT ...NOTE..SAMPLE RANGE SET TO: 1, 60
R-SQUARE = 0.6430 R-SQUARE ADJUSTED = 0.6100 VARIANCE OF THE ESTIMATE-SIGMA**2 = 512.26
Laporan Praktikum Akhir EKONEMETRIKA AGB UNIB
STANDARD ERROR OF THE ESTIMATE-SIGMA = 22.633 SUM OF SQUARED ERRORS-SSE= 27662. MEAN OF DEPENDENT VARIABLE = 120.32 LOG OF THE LIKELIHOOD FUNCTION = -269.140
MODEL SELECTION TESTS - SEE JUDGE ET AL. (1985,P.242) AKAIKE (1969) FINAL PREDICTION ERROR - FPE = 563.48 (FPE IS ALSO KNOWN AS AMEMIYA PREDICTION CRITERION - PC) AKAIKE (1973) INFORMATION CRITERION - LOG AIC = 6.3335 SCHWARZ (1978) CRITERION - LOG SC = 6.5429 MODEL SELECTION TESTS - SEE RAMANATHAN (1998,P.165) CRAVEN-WAHBA (1979) GENERALIZED CROSS VALIDATION - GCV = 569.18 HANNAN AND QUINN (1979) CRITERION = 611.18 RICE (1984) CRITERION = 576.29 SHIBATA (1981) CRITERION = 553.24 SCHWARZ (1978) CRITERION - SC = 694.30 AKAIKE (1974) INFORMATION CRITERION - AIC = 563.11
ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE - FROM MEAN SS DF MS F REGRESSION 49828. 5. 9965.6 19.454 ERROR 27662. 54. 512.26 P-VALUE TOTAL 77490. 59. 1313.4 0.000
ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE - FROM ZERO SS DF MS F REGRESSION 0.91844E+06 6. 0.15307E+06 298.821 ERROR 27662. 54. 512.26 P-VALUE TOTAL 0.94610E+06 60. 15768. 0.000
VARIABLE ESTIMATED STANDARD T-RATIO PARTIAL STANDARDIZEDELASTICITY NAME COEFFICIENT ERROR 54 DF P-VALUE CORR. COEFFICIENT ATMEANS LX1 0.69373 26.16 0.2652E-01 0.979 0.004 0.00700.0102 LX2 107.68 36.48 2.952 0.005 0.373 1.05980.2392 LX3 -9.3691 27.42 -0.3416 0.734-0.046 -0.0768 -0.2380 LX4 -1.8670 10.88 -0.1716 0.864-0.023 -0.0243 -0.0858 LX5 -21.897 12.72 -1.722 0.091-0.228 -0.2392 -0.1627 CONSTANT 148.83 102.6 1.450 0.153 0.194 0.00001.2370
VARIANCE-COVARIANCE MATRIX OF COEFFICIENTS LX1 684.28 LX2 -665.76 1331.0 LX3 188.05 -670.76 752.12
Laporan Praktikum Akhir EKONEMETRIKA AGB UNIB
LX4 -66.946 -63.741 -27.209 118.41 LX5 -76.497 -42.948 -69.817 27.280 161.70
CONSTANT -1168.9 3262.6 -2239.3 -460.14 64.900 10533. LX1 LX2 LX3 LX4 LX5 CONSTANT
CORRELATION MATRIX OF COEFFICIENTS LX1 1.0000 LX2 -0.69761 1.0000 LX3 0.26213 -0.67040 1.0000 LX4 -0.23518 -0.16055 -0.91173E-01 1.0000 LX5 -0.22997 -0.92575E-01 -0.20020 0.19714 1.0000
CONSTANT -0.43539 0.87136 -0.79560 -0.41202 0.49730E-01 1.0000 LX1 LX2 LX3 LX4 LX5 CONSTANT
DURBIN-WATSON = 1.0053 VON NEUMANN RATIO = 1.0223 RHO = 0.49356 RESIDUAL SUM = -0.25224E-11 RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 512.26 SUM OF ABSOLUTE ERRORS= 982.67 R-SQUARE BETWEEN OBSERVED AND PREDICTED = 0.6430 RUNS TEST: 18 RUNS, 29 POS, 0 ZERO, 31 NEG NORMAL STATISTIC = -3.3805 COEFFICIENT OF SKEWNESS = 0.2988 WITH STANDARD DEVIATION OF 0.3087 COEFFICIENT OF EXCESS KURTOSIS = 0.3602 WITH STANDARD DEVIATION OF 0.6085
JARQUE-BERA NORMALITY TEST- CHI-SQUARE(2 DF)= 0.9836 P-VALUE= 0.612
GOODNESS OF FIT TEST FOR NORMALITY OF RESIDUALS - 10 GROUPS OBSERVED 0.0 1.0 6.0 9.0 15.0 17.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 EXPECTED 0.5 1.7 4.8 9.6 13.5 13.5 9.6 4.8 1.7 0.5 CHI-SQUARE = 6.0127 WITH 2 DEGREES OF FREEDOM, P-VALUE= 0.049
|_stop
Hasil Log Inverse Berganda
|_file 33 D:\DOC MATA KULIAH\DOC SHAZAM\Data Analisis Produksi UsahataniJagung Hibrida Desa Sumber Makmur.dif
Laporan Praktikum Akhir EKONEMETRIKA AGB UNIB
...NOTE..UNIT 33 IS NOW ASSIGNED TO: D:\DOC MATA KULIAH\DOC SHAZAM\DataAnalisis Produk si Usahatani Jagung Hibrida Desa Sumber Makmur.dif
|_sample 1 60
|_read (33) n x1t x2t x3t x4t x5t yt/dif ...NOTE..DIF FILE HAS 7 COLUMNS AND 60 ROWS ...NOTE.. 7 VARIABLES AND 60 OBSERVATIONS STARTING AT OBS 1
|_genr ly=log(yt)
|_genr GA=(-1/x1t)
|_genr GB=(-1/x2t)
|_genr GC=(-1/x3t)
|_genr GD=(-1/x4t)
|_genr GE=(-1/x5t)
|_ols ly GA GB GC GD GE/pcor pcov
REQUIRED MEMORY IS PAR= 22 CURRENT PAR= 78 OLS ESTIMATION 60 OBSERVATIONS DEPENDENT VARIABLE= LY ...NOTE..SAMPLE RANGE SET TO: 1, 60
R-SQUARE = 0.7009 R-SQUARE ADJUSTED = 0.6732 VARIANCE OF THE ESTIMATE-SIGMA**2 = 0.32444E-01 STANDARD ERROR OF THE ESTIMATE-SIGMA = 0.18012 SUM OF SQUARED ERRORS-SSE= 1.7520 MEAN OF DEPENDENT VARIABLE = 4.7433 LOG OF THE LIKELIHOOD FUNCTION = 20.8719
MODEL SELECTION TESTS - SEE JUDGE ET AL. (1985,P.242) AKAIKE (1969) FINAL PREDICTION ERROR - FPE = 0.35688E-01 (FPE IS ALSO KNOWN AS AMEMIYA PREDICTION CRITERION - PC) AKAIKE (1973) INFORMATION CRITERION - LOG AIC = -3.3336 SCHWARZ (1978) CRITERION - LOG SC = -3.1242 MODEL SELECTION TESTS - SEE RAMANATHAN (1998,P.165) CRAVEN-WAHBA (1979) GENERALIZED CROSS VALIDATION - GCV = 0.36049E-01 HANNAN AND QUINN (1979) CRITERION = 0.38709E-01 RICE (1984) CRITERION = 0.36499E-01 SHIBATA (1981) CRITERION = 0.35039E-01 SCHWARZ (1978) CRITERION - SC = 0.43973E-01 AKAIKE (1974) INFORMATION CRITERION - AIC = 0.35664E-01
ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE - FROM MEAN SS DF MS F REGRESSION 4.1060 5. 0.82120 25.311 ERROR 1.7520 54. 0.32444E-01 P-VALUE TOTAL 5.8579 59. 0.99287E-01 0.000
ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE - FROM ZERO SS DF MS F REGRESSION 1354.0 6. 225.67 6955.787 ERROR 1.7520 54. 0.32444E-01 P-VALUE
Laporan Praktikum Akhir EKONEMETRIKA AGB UNIB
TOTAL 1355.8 60. 22.596 0.000
VARIABLE ESTIMATED STANDARD T-RATIO PARTIAL STANDARDIZEDELASTICITY NAME COEFFICIENT ERROR 54 DF P-VALUE CORR. COEFFICIENT ATMEANS GA -0.70173 1.033 -0.6793 0.500-0.092 -0.14730.0269 GB 1.1212 0.3030 3.700 0.001 0.450 1.0521 -0.1927 GC 2.4927 3.800 0.6559 0.515 0.089 0.1227 -0.0259 GD -6.7790 14.33 -0.4729 0.638-0.064 -0.05080.0064 GE -0.37344 0.1895 -1.971 0.054-0.259 -0.23380.0350 CONSTANT 5.4563 0.8175E-01 66.74 0.000 0.994 0.00001.1503
VARIANCE-COVARIANCE MATRIX OF COEFFICIENTS GA 1.0673 GB -0.22577 0.91800E-01 GC 1.1713 -0.80147 14.442 GD -4.3714 -0.11841E-01 -8.4207 205.46 GE -0.53579E-01 -0.12713E-02 -0.16250 0.38498 0.35915E-01
CONSTANT 0.24413E-01 -0.62899E-02 0.16060 -0.12989 -0.11132E-02 0.66832E-02 GA GB GC GD GE CONSTANT
CORRELATION MATRIX OF COEFFICIENTS GA 1.0000 GB -0.72127 1.0000 GC 0.29834 -0.69607 1.0000 GD -0.29520 -0.27266E-02 -0.15459 1.0000 GE -0.27366 -0.22141E-01 -0.22564 0.14172 1.0000
CONSTANT 0.28906 -0.25394 0.51694 -0.11085 -0.71854E-01 1.0000 GA GB GC GD GE CONSTANT
DURBIN-WATSON = 1.0809 VON NEUMANN RATIO = 1.0993 RHO = 0.45819 RESIDUAL SUM = -0.56552E-13 RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.32444E-01 SUM OF ABSOLUTE ERRORS= 8.0674 R-SQUARE BETWEEN OBSERVED AND PREDICTED = 0.7009 RUNS TEST: 18 RUNS, 30 POS, 0 ZERO, 30 NEG NORMAL STATISTIC = -3.3854 COEFFICIENT OF SKEWNESS = -0.0655 WITH STANDARD DEVIATION OF 0.3087 COEFFICIENT OF EXCESS KURTOSIS = 0.1417 WITH STANDARD DEVIATION OF 0.6085
JARQUE-BERA NORMALITY TEST- CHI-SQUARE(2 DF)= 0.0433 P-VALUE= 0.979
Laporan Praktikum Akhir EKONEMETRIKA AGB UNIB
GOODNESS OF FIT TEST FOR NORMALITY OF RESIDUALS - 10 GROUPS OBSERVED 1.0 0.0 7.0 8.0 14.0 15.0 7.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 EXPECTED 0.5 1.7 4.8 9.6 13.5 13.5 9.6 4.8 1.7 0.5 CHI-SQUARE = 5.2449 WITH 2 DEGREES OF FREEDOM, P-VALUE= 0.073
|_stop
Hasil Model Tanpa Konstanta Berganda
|_file 33 D:\DOC MATA KULIAH\DOC SHAZAM\Data Analisis Produksi UsahataniJagung Hibrida Desa Sumber Makmur.dif ...NOTE..UNIT 33 IS NOW ASSIGNED TO: D:\DOC MATA KULIAH\DOC SHAZAM\DataAnalisis Produk si Usahatani Jagung Hibrida Desa Sumber Makmur.dif
|_sample 1 60
|_read (33) n x1t x2t x3t x4t x5t yt/dif ...NOTE..DIF FILE HAS 7 COLUMNS AND 60 ROWS ...NOTE.. 7 VARIABLES AND 60 OBSERVATIONS STARTING AT OBS 1
|_ols yt x1t x2t x3t x4t x5t/nocons pcor pcov
REQUIRED MEMORY IS PAR= 18 CURRENT PAR= 78 OLS ESTIMATION 60 OBSERVATIONS DEPENDENT VARIABLE= YT ...NOTE..SAMPLE RANGE SET TO: 1, 60
R-SQUARE = 0.5292 R-SQUARE ADJUSTED = 0.4950 VARIANCE OF THE ESTIMATE-SIGMA**2 = 663.28 STANDARD ERROR OF THE ESTIMATE-SIGMA = 25.754 SUM OF SQUARED ERRORS-SSE= 36480. MEAN OF DEPENDENT VARIABLE = 120.32 LOG OF THE LIKELIHOOD FUNCTION = -277.442 RAW MOMENT R-SQUARE = 0.9614
MODEL SELECTION TESTS - SEE JUDGE ET AL. (1985,P.242) AKAIKE (1969) FINAL PREDICTION ERROR - FPE = 718.55 (FPE IS ALSO KNOWN AS AMEMIYA PREDICTION CRITERION - PC) AKAIKE (1973) INFORMATION CRITERION - LOG AIC = 6.5768 SCHWARZ (1978) CRITERION - LOG SC = 6.7514
Laporan Praktikum Akhir EKONEMETRIKA AGB UNIB
MODEL SELECTION TESTS - SEE RAMANATHAN (1998,P.165) CRAVEN-WAHBA (1979) GENERALIZED CROSS VALIDATION - GCV = 723.57 HANNAN AND QUINN (1979) CRITERION = 769.02 RICE (1984) CRITERION = 729.60 SHIBATA (1981) CRITERION = 709.34 SCHWARZ (1978) CRITERION - SC = 855.23 AKAIKE (1974) INFORMATION CRITERION - AIC = 718.27
ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE - FROM ZERO SS DF MS F REGRESSION 0.90962E+06 5. 0.18192E+06 274.282 ERROR 36480. 55. 663.28 P-VALUE TOTAL 0.94610E+06 60. 15768. 0.000
VARIABLE ESTIMATED STANDARD T-RATIO PARTIAL STANDARDIZEDELASTICITY NAME COEFFICIENT ERROR 55 DF P-VALUE CORR. COEFFICIENT ATMEANS X1T 2.9091 4.962 0.5863 0.560 0.079 0.17710.1511 X2T 58.042 32.90 1.764 0.083 0.231 0.74640.6692 X3T 1.8577 1.235 1.505 0.138 0.199 0.31890.3420 X4T -0.95256E-02 0.5623E-01 -0.1694 0.866-0.023 -0.0306 -0.0220 X5T -7.5651 6.210 -1.218 0.228-0.162 -0.1965 -0.1650
VARIANCE-COVARIANCE MATRIX OF COEFFICIENTS X1T 24.618 X2T -110.58 1082.6 X3T 1.3250 -26.159 1.5242 X4T -0.43936E-01 -0.56837 -0.11442E-02 0.31614E-02 X5T -6.4914 -30.479 -1.8032 0.79238E-01 38.559
X1T X2T X3T X4T X5T
CORRELATION MATRIX OF COEFFICIENTS X1T 1.0000 X2T -0.67738 1.0000 X3T 0.21630 -0.64398 1.0000 X4T -0.15749 -0.30723 -0.16483E-01 1.0000 X5T -0.21069 -0.14918 -0.23522 0.22695 1.0000
X1T X2T X3T X4T X5T
DURBIN-WATSON = 1.0862 VON NEUMANN RATIO = 1.1046 RHO = 0.45622 RESIDUAL SUM = 178.11 RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 663.28 SUM OF ABSOLUTE ERRORS= 1173.3 R-SQUARE BETWEEN OBSERVED AND PREDICTED = 0.6037 RUNS TEST: 23 RUNS, 36 POS, 0 ZERO, 24 NEG NORMAL STATISTIC = -1.8459 COEFFICIENT OF SKEWNESS = -0.2072 WITH STANDARD DEVIATION OF 0.3087 COEFFICIENT OF EXCESS KURTOSIS = -0.1338 WITH STANDARD DEVIATION OF 0.6085
GOODNESS OF FIT TEST FOR NORMALITY OF RESIDUALS - 10 GROUPS OBSERVED 0.0 2.0 5.0 5.0 12.0 16.0 14.0 4.0 2.0 0.0
Laporan Praktikum Akhir EKONEMETRIKA AGB UNIB
EXPECTED 0.5 1.7 4.8 9.6 13.5 13.5 9.6 4.8 1.7 0.5 CHI-SQUARE = 6.1157 WITH 3 DEGREES OF FREEDOM, P-VALUE= 0.106
|_stop
Hasil Coub-Douglas
|_file 33 D:\DOC MATA KULIAH\DOC SHAZAM\Data Analisis Produksi UsahataniJagung Hibrida Desa Sumber Makmur.dif ...NOTE..UNIT 33 IS NOW ASSIGNED TO: D:\DOC MATA KULIAH\DOC SHAZAM\DataAnalisis Produk si Usahatani Jagung Hibrida Desa Sumber Makmur.dif
Laporan Praktikum Akhir EKONEMETRIKA AGB UNIB
|_sample 1 60
|_read (33)n a b c d e q/dif ...NOTE..DIF FILE HAS 7 COLUMNS AND 60 ROWS ...NOTE.. 7 VARIABLES AND 60 OBSERVATIONS STARTING AT OBS 1
|_genr lq=log(q)
|_genr la=log(a)
|_genr lb=log(b)
|_genr lc=log(c)
|_genr ld=log(d)
|_genr le=log(e)
|_stat q a b c d e lq la lb lc ld le NAME N MEAN ST. DEV VARIANCE MINIMUM MAXIMUM Q 60 120.32 36.241 1313.4 53.400 208.20 A 60 6.2500 2.2065 4.8686 3.0000 10.000 B 60 1.3873 0.46607 0.21722 0.74000 2.0000 C 60 22.150 6.2214 38.706 10.000 34.000 D 60 277.50 116.60 13595. 100.00 500.00 E 60 2.6250 0.94126 0.88597 1.0000 4.0000 LQ 60 4.7433 0.31510 0.99287E-01 3.9778 5.3385 LA 60 1.7689 0.36402 0.13251 1.0986 2.3026 LB 60 0.26731 0.35667 0.12721 -0.30111 0.69315 LC 60 3.0563 0.29705 0.88239E-01 2.3026 3.5264 LD 60 5.5262 0.47096 0.22181 4.6052 6.2146 LE 60 0.89378 0.39589 0.15673 0.00000E+00 1.3863
|_ols lq la lb lc ld le/anova rstat pcor
REQUIRED MEMORY IS PAR= 21 CURRENT PAR= 78 OLS ESTIMATION 60 OBSERVATIONS DEPENDENT VARIABLE= LQ ...NOTE..SAMPLE RANGE SET TO: 1, 60
R-SQUARE = 0.6788 R-SQUARE ADJUSTED = 0.6491 VARIANCE OF THE ESTIMATE-SIGMA**2 = 0.34843E-01 STANDARD ERROR OF THE ESTIMATE-SIGMA = 0.18666 SUM OF SQUARED ERRORS-SSE= 1.8815 MEAN OF DEPENDENT VARIABLE = 4.7433 LOG OF THE LIKELIHOOD FUNCTION = 18.7315
MODEL SELECTION TESTS - SEE JUDGE ET AL. (1985,P.242) AKAIKE (1969) FINAL PREDICTION ERROR - FPE = 0.38327E-01 (FPE IS ALSO KNOWN AS AMEMIYA PREDICTION CRITERION - PC) AKAIKE (1973) INFORMATION CRITERION - LOG AIC = -3.2623 SCHWARZ (1978) CRITERION - LOG SC = -3.0528 MODEL SELECTION TESTS - SEE RAMANATHAN (1998,P.165) CRAVEN-WAHBA (1979) GENERALIZED CROSS VALIDATION - GCV = 0.38715E-01 HANNAN AND QUINN (1979) CRITERION = 0.41572E-01 RICE (1984) CRITERION = 0.39198E-01 SHIBATA (1981) CRITERION = 0.37631E-01 SCHWARZ (1978) CRITERION - SC = 0.47225E-01
Laporan Praktikum Akhir EKONEMETRIKA AGB UNIB
AKAIKE (1974) INFORMATION CRITERION - AIC = 0.38302E-01
ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE - FROM MEAN SS DF MS F REGRESSION 3.9764 5. 0.79528 22.825 ERROR 1.8815 54. 0.34843E-01 P-VALUE TOTAL 5.8579 59. 0.99287E-01 0.000
ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE - FROM ZERO SS DF MS F REGRESSION 1353.9 6. 225.65 6476.180 ERROR 1.8815 54. 0.34843E-01 P-VALUE TOTAL 1355.8 60. 22.596 0.000
VARIABLE ESTIMATED STANDARD T-RATIO PARTIAL STANDARDIZEDELASTICITY NAME COEFFICIENT ERROR 54 DF P-VALUE CORR. COEFFICIENT ATMEANS LA -0.12994 0.2157 -0.6023 0.549-0.082 -0.1501 -0.0485 LB 1.0399 0.3009 3.456 0.001 0.426 1.17710.0586 LC 0.34720E-01 0.2262 0.1535 0.879 0.021 0.03270.0224 LD -0.59560E-01 0.8975E-01 -0.6637 0.510-0.090 -0.0890 -0.0694 LE -0.18926 0.1049 -1.805 0.077-0.238 -0.2378 -0.0357 CONSTANT 5.0873 0.8464 6.010 0.000 0.633 0.00001.0725
CORRELATION MATRIX OF COEFFICIENTS LA 1.0000 LB -0.69761 1.0000 LC 0.26213 -0.67040 1.0000 LD -0.23518 -0.16055 -0.91173E-01 1.0000 LE -0.22997 -0.92575E-01 -0.20020 0.19714 1.0000
CONSTANT -0.43539 0.87136 -0.79560 -0.41202 0.49730E-01 1.0000 LA LB LC LD LE CONSTANT
DURBIN-WATSON = 0.9441 VON NEUMANN RATIO = 0.9601 RHO = 0.51688 RESIDUAL SUM = 0.18180E-13 RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.34843E-01 SUM OF ABSOLUTE ERRORS= 8.3048 R-SQUARE BETWEEN OBSERVED AND PREDICTED = 0.6788 RUNS TEST: 16 RUNS, 29 POS, 0 ZERO, 31 NEG NORMAL STATISTIC = -3.9020 COEFFICIENT OF SKEWNESS = -0.1413 WITH STANDARD DEVIATION OF 0.3087 COEFFICIENT OF EXCESS KURTOSIS = -0.0094 WITH STANDARD DEVIATION OF 0.6085
JARQUE-BERA NORMALITY TEST- CHI-SQUARE(2 DF)= 0.2183 P-VALUE= 0.897
GOODNESS OF FIT TEST FOR NORMALITY OF RESIDUALS - 10 GROUPS OBSERVED 1.0 0.0 5.0 9.0 16.0 12.0 11.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 EXPECTED 0.5 1.7 4.8 9.6 13.5 13.5 9.6 4.8 1.7 0.5 CHI-SQUARE = 3.8412 WITH 2 DEGREES OF FREEDOM, P-VALUE= 0.147
|_test
Laporan Praktikum Akhir EKONEMETRIKA AGB UNIB
|_test la-lb=0
|_end TEST VALUE = -1.1698 STD. ERROR OF TEST VALUE 0.47712 T STATISTIC = -2.4518573 WITH 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.01748 F STATISTIC = 6.0116044 WITH 1 AND 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.01748 WALD CHI-SQUARE STATISTIC = 6.0116044 WITH 1 D.F. P-VALUE=0.01421 UPPER BOUND ON P-VALUE BY CHEBYCHEV INEQUALITY = 0.16634
|_test
|_test la-lc=0
|_end TEST VALUE = -0.16466 STD. ERROR OF TEST VALUE 0.26855 T STATISTIC = -0.61314584 WITH 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.54235 F STATISTIC = 0.37594782 WITH 1 AND 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.54235 WALD CHI-SQUARE STATISTIC = 0.37594782 WITH 1 D.F. P-VALUE=0.53978 UPPER BOUND ON P-VALUE BY CHEBYCHEV INEQUALITY = 1.00000
|_test
|_test la-ld=0
|_end TEST VALUE = -0.70381E-01 STD. ERROR OF TEST VALUE 0.25240 T STATISTIC = -0.27884797 WITH 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.78143 F STATISTIC = 0.77756193E-01 WITH 1 AND 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.78143 WALD CHI-SQUARE STATISTIC = 0.77756193E-01 WITH 1 D.F. P-VALUE=0.78036 UPPER BOUND ON P-VALUE BY CHEBYCHEV INEQUALITY = 1.00000
|_test
|_test la-le=0
|_end TEST VALUE = 0.59314E-01 STD. ERROR OF TEST VALUE 0.26067 T STATISTIC = 0.22754515 WITH 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.82086 F STATISTIC = 0.51776794E-01 WITH 1 AND 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.82086 WALD CHI-SQUARE STATISTIC = 0.51776794E-01 WITH 1 D.F. P-VALUE=0.82000 UPPER BOUND ON P-VALUE BY CHEBYCHEV INEQUALITY = 1.00000
|_test
|_test lb-lc=0
|_end TEST VALUE = 1.0052 STD. ERROR OF TEST VALUE 0.48264 T STATISTIC = 2.0826624 WITH 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.04203 F STATISTIC = 4.3374828 WITH 1 AND 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.04203 WALD CHI-SQUARE STATISTIC = 4.3374828 WITH 1 D.F. P-VALUE=0.03728 UPPER BOUND ON P-VALUE BY CHEBYCHEV INEQUALITY = 0.23055
|_test
Laporan Praktikum Akhir EKONEMETRIKA AGB UNIB
|_test lb-ld=0
|_end TEST VALUE = 1.0995 STD. ERROR OF TEST VALUE 0.32750 T STATISTIC = 3.3570763 WITH 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.00145 F STATISTIC = 11.269961 WITH 1 AND 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.00145 WALD CHI-SQUARE STATISTIC = 11.269961 WITH 1 D.F. P-VALUE=0.00079 UPPER BOUND ON P-VALUE BY CHEBYCHEV INEQUALITY = 0.08873
|_test
|_test lb-le=0
|_end TEST VALUE = 1.2291 STD. ERROR OF TEST VALUE 0.32768 T STATISTIC = 3.7510644 WITH 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.00043 F STATISTIC = 14.070484 WITH 1 AND 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.00043 WALD CHI-SQUARE STATISTIC = 14.070484 WITH 1 D.F. P-VALUE=0.00018 UPPER BOUND ON P-VALUE BY CHEBYCHEV INEQUALITY = 0.07107
|_test
|_test lc-ld=0
|_end TEST VALUE = 0.94280E-01 STD. ERROR OF TEST VALUE 0.25083 T STATISTIC = 0.37587830 WITH 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.70848 F STATISTIC = 0.14128450 WITH 1 AND 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.70848 WALD CHI-SQUARE STATISTIC = 0.14128450 WITH 1 D.F. P-VALUE=0.70701 UPPER BOUND ON P-VALUE BY CHEBYCHEV INEQUALITY = 1.00000
|_test
|_test lc-le=0
|_end TEST VALUE = 0.22398 STD. ERROR OF TEST VALUE 0.26768 T STATISTIC = 0.83671580 WITH 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.40644 F STATISTIC = 0.70009333 WITH 1 AND 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.40644 WALD CHI-SQUARE STATISTIC = 0.70009333 WITH 1 D.F. P-VALUE=0.40275 UPPER BOUND ON P-VALUE BY CHEBYCHEV INEQUALITY = 1.00000
|_test
|_test ld-le=0
|_end
Laporan Praktikum Akhir EKONEMETRIKA AGB UNIB
TEST VALUE = 0.12970 STD. ERROR OF TEST VALUE 0.12386 T STATISTIC = 1.0470837 WITH 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.29973 F STATISTIC = 1.0963842 WITH 1 AND 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.29973 WALD CHI-SQUARE STATISTIC = 1.0963842 WITH 1 D.F. P-VALUE=0.29506 UPPER BOUND ON P-VALUE BY CHEBYCHEV INEQUALITY = 0.91209
|_test
|_test la+lb+lc+ld+le=1
|_end TEST VALUE = -0.30414 STD. ERROR OF TEST VALUE 0.86820E-01 T STATISTIC = -3.5031406 WITH 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.00093 F STATISTIC = 12.271994 WITH 1 AND 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.00093 WALD CHI-SQUARE STATISTIC = 12.271994 WITH 1 D.F. P-VALUE=0.00046 UPPER BOUND ON P-VALUE BY CHEBYCHEV INEQUALITY = 0.08149
|_stop
Laporan Praktikum Akhir EKONEMETRIKA AGB UNIB