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© RSM US LLP. All Rights Reserved. © 2017 RSM US LLP. All Rights Reserved.
© RSM US LLP. All Rights Reserved.
CECL
Community Bankers of Washington – 27th Annual Convention
09/15/2017
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Speaker Today
Assurance Services | RSM US LLP
Steven Marsden
Senior Manager
3
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OVERVIEW OF THE CREDIT LOSSES STANDARD
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Overview of the Credit Losses Standard
• ASU 2016-13, Measurement of Credit Losses on
Financial Instruments was issued June 16, 2016
− Creates ASC Topic 326
• Subtopic 326-20 applies to financial assets measured at
amortized cost (Current expected credit losses or CECL
Model)
• Subtopic 326-30 applies to AFS debt securities
− Supersedes impairment guidance on ASC 310 on
receivables/loans and ASC 320 on debt securities
(amongst other changes)
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Effective dates of the credit losses standard
• SEC filers – fiscal years beginning after 12/15/19 (including interim periods) – 2020 for CYE
• Public Business Entities that are not SEC filers –fiscal years beginning after 12/15/20 – 2021 for CYE
• All others – fiscal periods beginning after 12/15/20 (interim periods beginning after 12/15/21) – 2021 for CYE
• Early adoption is permitted for fiscal years beginning after 12/15/18 – 2019 for CYE
• Adopt through a cumulative effect adjustment to retained earnings− Special rules for OTTI, PCD assets and beneficial
interests
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APPLICABILITY AND MAJOR PROVISIONS OF CECLSubtopic 326-20, Financial assets measured at
amortized cost
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Applicability of CECL
• The following are in-scope:− Financial assets measured at amortized cost (AC)
including:• Financing receivables (loans)
• Held to maturity debt securities
• Receivables from revenue transactions with customers and other income
• Reinsurance receivables
• Receivables related to repo and securities lending agreements
− Net investment in leases
− Off-balance-sheet credit exposures• Loan commitments
• Standby letters of credit
• Financial guarantees/similar instruments
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Applicability of CECL, cont.
• The following are out of scope:
− Financial assets measured at fair value (FV)
• Available for sale securities and loans held for sale
• Other
− Loans made to participants by defined contribution
employee benefit plans
− Policy loans receivable of an insurance entity
− Promises to give (pledges receivable) of a not-for-
profit entity
− Loans and receivables between entities under
common control
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Audience Participation
CECL is pretty much the same as fair value.
A. True
B. False
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Major provisions of CECL
• Recognize expected (rather than incurred) credit losses− Through allowance for recognized financial assets
(including HTM debt securities)
− Through liability for off balance sheet exposures
− Results in day 1 life of asset expected loss recognition• Exception: PCD assets (Assets that as of the date of
acquisition have experienced a more-than-insignificant deterioration in credit quality since origination –“Purchased with credit deterioration”)
− Changes in the allowance (plus and minus) are recorded immediately through credit loss expense
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Major provisions of CECL, cont.
• Estimate credit losses over the contractual
term
− Consider prepayments
− Do not extend for expected extensions, renewals or
modifications
• Unless there is a reasonable expectation of a troubled
debt restructuring (TDR) with the borrower
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Major provisions of CECL – Collateral based expedients
• Collateral dependent practical expedient (PE)
available when:
− Borrower is experiencing financial difficulty
− Repayment is expected substantially through the
operation or sale of the collateral
• Base estimate of credit loss on amortized cost
less fair value of collateral
− Adjust for selling costs if expect repayment through
sale of collateral
• Must be used if foreclosure is probable
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Major provisions of CECL – Collateral based expedients
• Collateral maintenance provisions PE− Borrower required to continually adjust the amount
of collateral as a result of fair value changes in the collateral
− Limit allowance to excess of amortized cost of asset over fair value of collateral
• Through PEs only, could conclude expected loss is zero solely on the basis of the current collateral value. Absent PE, would need to consider potential future changes in collateral value and historical loss info for assets with similar collateral
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What is not CECL?
• CECL is not annual loss rate x remaining life
− Current calculation shows 0.8% annual loss rate in
portfolio
− Expected life is 3 more years
− 0.8% x 3 years = 2.4%
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Major provisions of CECL – How to estimate losses
• Measure expected losses on a pool basis
whenever similar risk characteristics exist
• No one method required. Some examples:
− Discounted cash flows
− Loss rate methods
− Roll-rate methods
− Probability of default methods
− Based on an aging analysis
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Major provisions of CECL – How to estimate losses, cont.
• Consider relevant available information (internal and/or external) when estimating expected losses
• Don’t rely solely on past events – Adjust historical loss information for− Differences in current asset specific risk
characteristics
− Circumstances when historical info is not reflective of contractual term
− Current conditions
− Reasonable and supportable forecasts
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Major provisions of CECL – How to estimate losses, cont.
• When estimating losses for periods beyond reasonable and supportable forecast, revert to historical loss information− Input level or based on the entire estimate
− Immediately, straight line basis or another rational and systematic basis
• Include measure of expected risk of loss even if remote− May reach conclusion expected credit loss is zero if
justified based on historical loss info adjusted for current conditions and reasonable and supportable forecasts
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ACQUISITIONS
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Example - Purchase of PCD asset (ASC 326-20-55-64)
• Assume a PCD asset with a par amount of $1 million is
purchased for $750,000. At the time of purchase, the
allowance for credit losses on the unpaid principal
balance is estimated to be $175,000. The acquisition-
date journal entry is as follows.
Loan—par amount $1,000,000
Loan—noncredit discount $75,000
Allowance for credit
losses
175,000
Cash 750,000
Loan A/C is $925,000
Expense is zero
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Purchase of Non PCD asset illustration
• Same assumptions as preceding slide however the asset
is not PCD. The acquisition-date journal entry is as
follows. (Alternatively, the entity could wait until the
reporting period end to compute/record the allowance)
Loan—par amount $1,000,000
Credit loss expense 175,000
Loan - discount 250,000
Allowance for credit
losses
175,000
Cash 750,000
Loan A/C is $750,000
Expense is $175,000
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DISCLOSURESSubtopic 326-20, Financial assets measured at
amortized cost
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Major provisions of CECL- Disclosures
• Allowance disclosures and rollforward as well
as disclosures of past due and non-accrual
assets will continue to be required and now
also apply to HTM securities
• Collateral dependent financial assets
− Describe the type of collateral
− Qualitative description of the extent of collateral
− Significant changes in collateral coverage
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Major provisions of CECL- Disclosures, cont.
• Disclosures by credit quality indicator will be required for HTM securities as well as most other assets within the scope− Further disaggregation by year of origination required for
net investment in leases and financing receivables (with certain exceptions)
− Detail for most recent five years
• Non-PBEs can omit
• Transition ramp up for non-SEC filers that are PBEs
− Acquisitions go back to origination (not purchase)
− Use existing guidance to determine if a modification / renewal constitutes a new origination (ASC 310-20-35-9 through 35-12)
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Example – credit quality disclosures by origination year (ASC 326-20-55-79)
As of December 31, 20X5 Term Loans Amortized Cost Basis by Origination Year
20X5 20X4 20X3 20X2 20X1 Prior Revolving Loans Amortized Cost Basis
Total
Residential Mortgage:
Risk Rating
1-2 Internal grade $ XX $ XX $ XX $ XX $ XX $ XX $ XX $ XX
3-4 Internal grade XX XX XX XX XX XX XX XX
5 Internal grade XX XX XX XX XX XX XX XX
6 Internal grade XX XX XX XX XX XX XX XX
7 Internal grade XX XX XX XX XX XX XX XX
Total residential mortgage loans
$ XX $ XX $ XX $ XX $ XX $ XX $ XX $ XX
Residential Mortgage loans:
Current-period gross writeoffs
$ XX $ XX $ XX $ XX $ XX $ XX $ XX $ XX
Current-period recoveries XX XX XX XX XX XX XX XX
Current-period net writeoffs $ XX $ XX $ XX $ XX $ XX $ XX $ XX $ XX
Similar disclosures would be required for the other
loan classes
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AFS DEBT SECURITIESSubtopic 326-30, Available-for-sale debt securities
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Major provisions for AFS debt securities
• Assess impairment at individual security level
• Recognize impairment related to credit losses through an allowance− Debit expense except initial allowance on PCD AFS securities
(add to purchase price)
• Credit loss = Amortized cost – PV of cash flows expected to be collected (discounted at effective rate) − Estimated based on past events, current conditions and
reasonable and supportable forecasts
• Changes in the allowance (plus and minus) are recorded immediately through credit loss expense
• Allowance is limited to excess of amortized cost over fair value. Can’t be reversed below zero
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Major provisions for AFS debt securities
• Can’t use length of time to avoid loss recognition
• Not required to consider volatility and post-balance sheet changes in fair value
• If intent or more likely than not requirement to sell exists, write off allowance and write security down to fair value through expense− Expected cash flows in excess of amortized cost
should be accreted in to interest income
• Current disclosures substantially retained plus allowance rollforward
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PLANNING FOR IMPLEMENTATION
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Planning for implementation
Understand impact
Collect dataAnalyze
data
Review gap assessment and develop
roadmap
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Planning for implementation, cont.
• Analyze standard/understand where you are
versus where you need to be
• Develop multidiscipline implementation team
− Finance
− Credit/Credit Admin
− Lending
− Risk Management
− Operations
− IT
− Internal Audit
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Planning for implementation, cont.
• Data considerations/collect data− For each loan segment, how far back is data available
− Ability to further brake down by:
• LTV
• Risk rating
• Region
− Average until legacy loans refinance (prepayment assumptions)
− Loss data
• Correlation of historical losses to various economic environments, underwriting conditions, etc
− Quality of loans by loan officer
• Analyze data and review gaps
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Planning for implementation, cont.
• Weigh benefits of modifications to existing
approaches/systems/applications versus
investing in new
− Several vendors providing outsourcing options,
however…
− Regulators have communicated institutions could use
existing approaches/systems/applications to develop
calculation in house
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Planning for implementation, cont.
• Develop detailed implementation plan/timeline
• Monitor progress
• Decide how to obtain or develop reasonable
and supportable forecasts and how to adjust
historical information as a result of forecasts
• Discuss plans with regulators and auditors
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Planning for implementation, cont.
• Develop new processes and internal controls, particularly as they relate to previously unaudited information
• Monitor regulatory and other developments in how the ASU is interpreted and applied
• Manage investor expectations and prepare to disclose the impact of adoption
• Consider if any changes to credit extension or investment philosophy are warranted
• Consider impact on forecasting, budgeting and capital planning
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Implementation roadmap
36
Model selection
Data organization and mapping
Document processes and procedures
Parallel testing
On-going monitoring and validation
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MODEL EXAMPLES
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Challenges with examples
• Every portfolio and circumstance is unique and will require assumptions− May be fine for Portfolio A, but not for Portfolio B
− May be fine for Client A, but not for Client B
• Consider variability in current methodologies
• Very difficult to publish a complete example that would be helpful− May be more complex than necessary
− May set unnecessary expectations
• Requires implementation custom to each portfolio
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Example – Estimating losses by vintage year (ASC 326-20-55-30)
Year of
Originati
on
Loss Experience in Years Following Origination
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Total Expected
20X1 $ 50 $ 120 $ 140 $ 30 $ 340 -
20X2 $ 40 $ 120 $ 140 $ 40 $ 340 -
20X3 $ 40 $ 110 $ 150 $ 30 $ 330 -
20X4 $ 60 $ 110 $ 150 $ 40 $ 360 -
20X5 $ 50 $ 130 $ 170 $ 50 $ 400 -
20X6 $ 70 $ 150 $ 180 $ 60 $ 460 $ 60
20X7 $ 80 $ 140 $ 190 $ 70 $ 480 $ 260
20X8 $ 70 $ 150 $ 200 $ 80 $ 500 $ 430
20X9 $ 70 $ 160 $ 200 $ 80 $ 510 $ 510
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Example – Probability of Default/Loss Given Default
General Ledger
Balance PD
Q factors
adjustmentTotal PD
Loss Given
Default
Q factors
adjustmentTotal LGD
Blended
loss rateReserve
Commercial Real Estate
Owner Occupied RE - Pass 327,000,000 3.00% -0.20% 2.80% 28.00% -0.30% 27.70% 0.78% 2,536,212
Watch 800,000 4.40% -0.20% 4.20% 45.00% -0.30% 44.70% 1.88% 15,019
Marginal - 9.00% -0.20% 8.80% 57.00% -0.30% 56.70% 4.99% -
Substandard - 19.00% -0.20% 18.80% 69.00% -0.30% 68.70% 12.92% -
Non Owner Occupied RE 113,200,000 6.20% -0.20% 6.00% 37.00% -0.30% 36.70% 2.20% 2,492,664
Watch 2,700,000 8.00% -0.20% 7.80% 49.00% -0.30% 48.70% 3.80% 102,562
Marginal 1,100,000 11.00% -0.20% 10.80% 68.00% -0.30% 67.70% 7.31% 80,428
Substandard 300,000 21.00% -0.20% 20.80% 70.00% -0.30% 69.70% 14.50% 43,493
Commercial & Industrial Loans - Pass 117,000,000 8.00% 0.10% 8.10% 57.00% 0.18% 57.18% 4.63% 5,418,949
Watch - 12.00% 0.10% 12.10% 71.00% 0.18% 71.18% 8.61% -
Marginal - 19.00% 0.10% 19.10% 76.00% 0.18% 76.18% 14.55% -
Substandard 180,000 27.00% 0.10% 27.10% 82.00% 0.18% 82.18% 22.27% 40,087
Total 562,280,000 10,729,414
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41
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THANK YOU FOR YOUR TIME
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