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© Yann Arthus-Bertrand / Altitude Observed climate trends and future projections for Africa Dr. Joseph K. Kanyanga IPCC AR5 WG 1 Lead Author

© Yann Arthus-Bertrand / Altitude Observed climate trends and future projections for Africa Observed climate trends and future projections for Africa Dr

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Page 1: © Yann Arthus-Bertrand / Altitude Observed climate trends and future projections for Africa Observed climate trends and future projections for Africa Dr

© Yann Arthus-Bertrand / Altitude

Observed climate trends and future projections

for Africa

Observed climate trends and future projections

for Africa

Dr. Joseph K. Kanyanga

IPCC AR5 WG 1 Lead Author

Page 2: © Yann Arthus-Bertrand / Altitude Observed climate trends and future projections for Africa Observed climate trends and future projections for Africa Dr

© Yann Arthus-Bertrand / Altitude

Summary: for Africa

KEY MESSAGE 1 on Observed Climate trends over Africa

It is evident that Africa’s climate has changed and physical impacts already felt:

•Temperature increase both over land and ocean surfaces – Each of the last three decades has been successively warmer at the Earth’s surface than any preceding decade since 1850.

•Increase in frequency and severity of extreme weather events especially during the last 30 to 60 years: floods and droughts.

- At local level, this is manifest through sustained changes in onset, cessation and intensities.

Page 3: © Yann Arthus-Bertrand / Altitude Observed climate trends and future projections for Africa Observed climate trends and future projections for Africa Dr

© Yann Arthus-Bertrand / Altitude

Summary: for Africa

KEY MESSAGE 2 on Observed Climate trends over Africa

It is extremely likely that human activities have been the dominant cause of the observed changes in climate (warming).

- The climate changes corresponds to period of increase in GHG emissions (enhanced CO2 concentrations).

Page 4: © Yann Arthus-Bertrand / Altitude Observed climate trends and future projections for Africa Observed climate trends and future projections for Africa Dr

© Yann Arthus-Bertrand / Altitude

Summary: for Africa

KEY MESSAGE 3 on Future Climate Projections over Africa

Further climate change is inevitable in the coming decades.

Page 5: © Yann Arthus-Bertrand / Altitude Observed climate trends and future projections for Africa Observed climate trends and future projections for Africa Dr

© Yann Arthus-Bertrand / Altitude

Chapter 14: Climate Phenomena and their Relevance for Future Regional Climate Change

Chapter 14: Climate Phenomena and their Relevance for Future Regional Climate Change

Page 6: © Yann Arthus-Bertrand / Altitude Observed climate trends and future projections for Africa Observed climate trends and future projections for Africa Dr
Page 7: © Yann Arthus-Bertrand / Altitude Observed climate trends and future projections for Africa Observed climate trends and future projections for Africa Dr

KEY MESSAGE 4 on Observed Trends & Future Climate Projections over Africa Versus Development

Climate change poses a challenge for growth and development in Africa.

Page 8: © Yann Arthus-Bertrand / Altitude Observed climate trends and future projections for Africa Observed climate trends and future projections for Africa Dr

© Yann Arthus-Bertrand / Altitude

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