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1 Jay Chen 2014/10/23
集成电路设备发展的考量与思索
陈捷 Jay Chen东电电子 ( 上海 ) 有限公司 总裁
2014 北京微电子国际研讨会
2 Jay Chen 2014/10/23
3 New waves expanding Semiconductor market
Social Networking, Big Data
CExpanding applications
Automotive, Environment, EHS care, Education
Increasing semiconductor content ratio Emerging countries
Geographical expansion
Semiconductor market trend
3 Jay Chen 2014/10/23
Electronics
IP & Fabless
IDM, Foundry & OSAT
WFE
Wafer Fab Equipment
未来蓝图离不开全球 IC产业链的持续贡献Hierarchy of The Semiconductor Industry
IDM: Integrated Device Manufacturer OSAT:Outsource Assembly and Test
US$1,493B
SemiconductorUS$316B
US$27B
4 Jay Chen 2014/10/23
Device Technology Drive Equipment Development
Mo
re Mo
ore
Functional Diversification
CM
OS
Sca
ling
New MaterialNew Structure
Advanced Packaging(3DI / WLP)
3DI
Strained Si
High-k Metal Gate
Cu/ULK
FinFET
Patterning
ArF
ArF-Immersion
EUV
Source :TEL based on ITRS
DP/MP
Carbon Tr. / CNT
SiGe / III-V
NIL, EBDW
Flip-Chip2.5D
Wire-Bonding
Si Photonics
Homogeneous
450mm
DSA
More than Moore
Heterogeneous
Diversified technology development is ongoing
Tech Trend
5 Jay Chen 2014/10/23
Cluster Tool
New Platform
Platform Trend
Single WaferBatch
Wafer Size Single Wafer
6 inch
8 inch
12 inch
12 inch18 inch
6 Jay Chen 2014/10/23
450mm Motivation
Ref. Nikon, 2013
Ref. TEL, 2012
450mm is a cost project (with Big Development)
Platform Trend
7 Jay Chen 2014/10/23
Wafer Demand Forecast
19861988
19901992
19941996
19982000
20022004
20062008
20102012
20142016
20182020
20222024
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
<150mm200mm300mm450mm
M S
q In
/ye
ar
Source: IC knowledge Strategic Industry Model(1200), SPE Marketing
450mm transition will come around 2020
Platform Trend
8 Jay Chen 2014/10/23
South AmericaSouth East AsiaMiddle East Asia
Africa
BRICsEast Europe
North AmericaWest Europe
East Asia
ConsumerConsumer0.8B people
1.5Bpeople
4Bpeople
Service in ChinaSales in ChinaManufacture in ChinaR&D in ChinaHead office in China
BusinessTrendRegional expansion and New Targets of Electronic Equipment markets
9 Jay Chen 2014/10/23
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Y2002 Y2012
Top 6Front-endEquipmentCompanies
Top 6Front-endEquipmentCompanies
Others
Others
50%
75%
The Industry Consolidates- Equipment8”
0.18μm~0.13μm12”
28nm~20nm108 companies 69 companies
Source: SEMI, 2014
BusinessTrend
10 Jay Chen 2014/10/23
68%81%
86%
The Industry Consolidates- Capital Spending
Source: IC Insights, Jan 2014
Y2014(F) Capital Spending Leaders’ Shares of Total WWSemiconductor Industry Spending ($63.4B)
Top 5 = 68%
Top 10 = 81%
Top 15 = 86%
92%
Y2005 ShareTop 5 = 40%Top 10 = 55%Top 15 = 67%Top 25 = 82%
Top 25 = 92%
BusinessTrend
11 Jay Chen 2014/10/23
The Industry Consolidates- IDMsTOP 5 IDMs in Y2001:32.6%
Share of worldwide installed capacity(without discretes)
TOP 5 IDMs in Y2013:52.0%
Share of worldwide installed capacity(without discretes)
Total Revenue: $154B Total Revenue: $315B
16%
4%4%4%
4%67%
Intel
Toshiba
ST Microelectronics
Samsung
Texas Instr
Rest of IDMs
20%
15%
6%6%5%
48%
Intel
Samsung
Micro
Hynix
Toshiba
Rest of IDMs
Source: Gartner, IHS, 2014
16%
4%4%4%
4%67%
Intel
Toshiba
ST Microelectronics
Samsung
Texas Instr
Rest of IDMs
BusinessTrend
12 Jay Chen 2014/10/23
Plasma Etch System/ TactrasTM VigusTM
Key initiative : Saving energy consumption of chiller, pump and heater
Thermal Processing System/ TELINDY PLUSTM
Key initiative: Ensuring the use of proper amount of nitrogen
Coater/Developers/ CLEAN TRACKTM LITHIUS ProTM V-i Key initiative: Reducing the amount of exhaust of rotating cup modules and saving energy in temperature/humidity control
Single Wafer Plasma Treatment System/ Triase+TM SPAi Key initiative: Eliminating temperature control unit by using plant- sourced cooling water directly
Elec.
Elec.
N2
EXH
Source : TEL Taiwan EHS Seminar, 2014
Energy Saving Activities in 300mm Equipment
Green Trend
13 Jay Chen 2014/10/23
Single Wafer Cleaning System/ CELLESTATM- i Key initiative: Ensuring the use of proper amount of nitrogen
Gas Chemical Etch System/ Certas WINGTM
Key initiative: Improving productivity with two-wafer
Auto Wet Station/ EXPEDIUSTM- i Key initiative: Reducing pure water consumption in standby mode
Wafer Prober/ Precio nanoTM
Key initiative: Reducing the amount of dry air supply with dew point monitoring
Elec.
Water
Air
N2
Source : TEL Taiwan EHS Seminar, 2014
Energy Saving Activities in 300mm Equipment
Green Trend
14 Jay Chen 2014/10/23
Energy Saving in Taiwa Factory
The size of 54 American football fields
Green Trend
15 Jay Chen 2014/10/23
Energy Saving in Taiwa Factory
Emergency Power Supply
Water Storage Facility
Emergency Stock
Base Isolation System
Green Trend
16 Jay Chen 2014/10/23
Energy Saving in Taiwa Factory
Green Trend
17 Jay Chen 2014/10/23
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Fiscal Year
100
70
50
80
90
60
Base Target
40
50% Reduction 30% Reduction
Middle Target
Achieved
Energy Saving form Corporate Perspective
Source: SEMICON China 2014
Green Trend
18 Jay Chen 2014/10/23
Eco-Industry: WFE Supplier and IC Maker
~ Old Days
End Product (Electronics)
IC Design
IC Manufacturing
IC Development
Device Integration
Failure Analysis
Module Process
Process Development
Maintenance
Hardware Production
Current ~
End Product (Electronics)
IC Design
IC Manufacturing
IC Development
Device Integration
Failure Analysis
Module Process
Process Development
Tool Maintenance
Hardware ProductionWFE
Supplier
ICMaker
WFE Supplier
ICMaker
Overlap Region : Collaboration Area
WFE supplier’s duty is increasing, call for collaboration
Partnership Trend
19 Jay Chen 2014/10/23
TEL Worldwide R&D Sites
imec (Belgium)
Japan
SEMATECH (US)
CEA-Leti (France)
Albany NanoTech (US)
TEL R&D base
Consortium
Leading-edge ProcessDevelopment CenterTechnology Development CenterTEL Technology Center, Sendai
TEL Technology Center, America
Tohoku University(Japan)
G450C
Preparing for the future technology : w/w collaboration
Partnership Trend
20 Jay Chen 2014/10/23
Biz Model Transition : Vertical Integration to Horizontal Specialization
Source: T. Higashi, IME 2014
Partnership Trend
21 Jay Chen 2014/10/23
◆集成电路市场三大发展方向 -社交网络普及,设备高性能化,消费区域扩大◆集成电路产业五大变化趋势 -技术趋势:后摩尔定律时代的多元发展 -平台趋势: 450/Single Wafer/Cluster Tool
-商务趋势:中国时代,产业集聚 -绿色趋势:生产环节,使用环节 -平台趋势:合作共生,协同发展
考量与思索
天时地利人和中国正扮演世界 IC 业界的主角
22 Jay Chen 2014/10/23
谢谢聆听