33
Lecture Presentation Software  to accompany Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management  Eighth Edition by Frank K. Reilly & Keith C. Brown Chapter 16

0324289030_51928

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: 0324289030_51928

8/4/2019 0324289030_51928

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/032428903051928 1/33

Lecture Presentation Software to accompany

Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management 

Eighth Edition

by

Frank K. Reilly & Keith C. Brown

Chapter 16

Page 2: 0324289030_51928

8/4/2019 0324289030_51928

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/032428903051928 2/33

 

Chapter 16 - Equity PortfolioManagement Strategies

Questions to be answered:

• What are the two generic equity portfolio management

styles?

• What are three techniques for constructing a passive index portfolio?

• How does the goal of a passive equity portfolio manager 

differ from the goal of an active manager?• What is a portfolio’s tracking error and how is it useful in

the construction of a passive equity investment?

Page 3: 0324289030_51928

8/4/2019 0324289030_51928

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/032428903051928 3/33

 

Chapter 16 - Equity PortfolioManagement Strategies

• What is the difference between an index mutual

fund and an exchange-traded fund?

• What are the three themes that active equity

 portfolio managers can use?

• What stock characteristics differentiate value-

oriented and growth-oriented investment styles?

• What is style analysis and what does it indicate

about a manager’s investment performance?

Page 4: 0324289030_51928

8/4/2019 0324289030_51928

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/032428903051928 4/33

 

Chapter 16 - Equity PortfolioManagement Strategies

• What techniques are used by active managers in

an attempt to outperform their benchmark?

• What are differences between the integrated,

strategic, tactical, and insured approaches to asset

allocation?

Page 5: 0324289030_51928

8/4/2019 0324289030_51928

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/032428903051928 5/33

 

Passive versus Active Management• Passive equity portfolio management

 – Long-term buy-and-hold strategy

 – Usually tracks an index over time

 – Designed to match market performance – Manager is judged on how well they track the

target index

•Active equity portfolio management – Attempts to outperform a passive benchmark 

 portfolio on a risk-adjusted basis

Page 6: 0324289030_51928

8/4/2019 0324289030_51928

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/032428903051928 6/33

 

An Overview of Passive Equity

Portfolio Management Strategies• Replicate the performance of an index

• May slightly underperform the target index

due to fees and commissions

• Costs of active management (1 to 2 percent)

are hard to overcome in risk-adjusted

 performance

• Many different market indexes are used for 

tracking portfolios

Page 7: 0324289030_51928

8/4/2019 0324289030_51928

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/032428903051928 7/33 

Index Portfolio Construction

Techniques 

• Full replication

• Sampling

• Quadratic optimization or 

 programming

Page 8: 0324289030_51928

8/4/2019 0324289030_51928

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/032428903051928 8/33 

Full Replication

• All securities in the index are purchased

in proportion to weights in the index

• This helps ensure close tracking

• Increases transaction costs, particularly

with dividend reinvestment

Page 9: 0324289030_51928

8/4/2019 0324289030_51928

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/032428903051928 9/33 

Sampling

• Buys a representative sample of stocks in the

 benchmark index according to their weights in

the index

• Fewer stocks means lower commissions

• Reinvestment of dividends is less difficult

• Will not track the index as closely, so there will be some tracking error 

Page 10: 0324289030_51928

8/4/2019 0324289030_51928

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/032428903051928 10/33 

Expected Tracking Error Between the S&P 500

Index and Portfolio Comprised of Samples of Less

Than 500 StocksExhibit 16.2

500 400 300 200 100 0

2.0

1.0

3.0

4.0

Expected Tracking

Error (Percent)

Number of Stocks

Page 11: 0324289030_51928

8/4/2019 0324289030_51928

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/032428903051928 11/33 

Quadratic Optimization

(or programming techniques)• Historical information on price changes and

correlations between securities are input

into a computer program that determines thecomposition of a portfolio that will

minimize tracking error with the benchmark 

• This relies on historical correlations, whichmay change over time, leading to failure to

track the index

Page 12: 0324289030_51928

8/4/2019 0324289030_51928

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/032428903051928 12/33 

Methods of Index Portfolio

Investing• Index Funds

 – Attempt to replicate a benchmark index

• Exchange-Traded Funds – EFTs are depository receipts that give investors

a pro rata claim on the capital gains and cash

flows of the securities that are held in deposit bya financial institution that issued the certificates

Page 13: 0324289030_51928

8/4/2019 0324289030_51928

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/032428903051928 13/33 

An Overview of Active Equity

Portfolio Management Strategies• Goal is to earn a portfolio return that

exceeds the return of a passive benchmark 

 portfolio, net of transaction costs, on a risk-adjusted basis

• Practical difficulties of active manager 

 – Transactions costs must be offset – Risk can exceed passive benchmark 

Page 14: 0324289030_51928

8/4/2019 0324289030_51928

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/032428903051928 14/33 

Fundamental Strategies

• Top-down versus bottom-up approaches

• Asset and sector rotation strategies

Page 15: 0324289030_51928

8/4/2019 0324289030_51928

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/032428903051928 15/33 

Sector Rotation

• Position a portfolio to take advantage of the

market’s next move

• Screening can be based on various stock 

characteristics:

 – Value

 – Growth

 – P/E

 – Capitalization

 – Sensitivity to economic variables

Page 16: 0324289030_51928

8/4/2019 0324289030_51928

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/032428903051928 16/33 

Technical Strategies

• Contrarian investment strategy

• Price momentum strategy

• Earnings momentum strategy

Page 17: 0324289030_51928

8/4/2019 0324289030_51928

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/032428903051928 17/33 

Anomalies and Attributes

• The Weekend Effect

• The January Effect

• Firm Size

• P/E and P/BV ratios

Page 18: 0324289030_51928

8/4/2019 0324289030_51928

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/032428903051928 18/33 

Miscellaneous Issues

• Selection of an appropriate benchmark 

• Issues pertaining to the benchmark 

• Use of computer screening and other 

quantitatively based methods of evaluating

stocks

• Factor models

• The “long-short” approach to investing

Page 19: 0324289030_51928

8/4/2019 0324289030_51928

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/032428903051928 19/33 

Value versus Growth

• Growth stocks will outperform value

stocks for a time and then the

opposite occurs

• Over time value stocks have offered

somewhat higher returns than growthstocks

Page 20: 0324289030_51928

8/4/2019 0324289030_51928

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/032428903051928 20/33 

Value versus Growth

• Growth-oriented investor will:

 – focus on EPS and its economic determinants

 – look for companies expected to have rapid

EPS growth

 – assumes constant P/E ratio

Page 21: 0324289030_51928

8/4/2019 0324289030_51928

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/032428903051928 21/33 

Value versus Growth

• Value-oriented investor will:

 – focus on the price component

 – not care much about current earnings

 – assume the P/E ratio is below its natural

level

Page 22: 0324289030_51928

8/4/2019 0324289030_51928

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/032428903051928 22/33 

Style

• Construct a portfolio to capture one or more of 

the characteristics of equity securities

• Small-capitalization stocks, low-P/E stocks,

etc…

• Value stocks appear to be underpriced

 –  price/book or price/earnings

• Growth stocks enjoy above-average earnings

 per share increases

Page 23: 0324289030_51928

8/4/2019 0324289030_51928

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/032428903051928 23/33

 

Does Style Matter?

• Choice to align with investment style

communicates information to clients

• Determining style is useful in measuring

 performance relative to a benchmark 

• Style identification allows an investor to

diversify by portfolio

• Style investing allows control of the total

 portfolio to be shared between the investment

managers and a sponsor 

Page 24: 0324289030_51928

8/4/2019 0324289030_51928

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/032428903051928 24/33

 

Determining Style

• Style grid:

 – firm size (large cap, mid cap, small cap)

 – Relative value (value, blend, growth)characteristics

• Style analysis

 – constrained least squares

Page 25: 0324289030_51928

8/4/2019 0324289030_51928

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/032428903051928 25/33

 

Benchmark Portfolios

• Sharpe

 – T-bills, intermediate-term government bonds,

long-term government bonds, corporate bonds,mortgage related securities, large-capitalization

value stocks, large-capitalization growth stocks,

medium-capitalization stocks, small-

capitalization stocks, non-U.S. bonds, European

stocks, and Japanese stocks

Page 26: 0324289030_51928

8/4/2019 0324289030_51928

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/032428903051928 26/33

 

Benchmark Portfolios

• Sharpe

• BARRA

 – Uses portfolios formed around 13 different

security characteristics, including variability in

markets, past firm success, firm size, trading

activity, growth orientation, earnings-to-priceratio, book-to-price ratio, earnings variability,

financial leverage, foreign income, labor 

intensity, yield, and low capitalization

Page 27: 0324289030_51928

8/4/2019 0324289030_51928

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/032428903051928 27/33

 

Benchmark Portfolios

• Sharpe

• BARRA

• Ibbotson Associates

 – simplest style model uses portfolios formed

around five different characteristics: cash (T-

 bills), large-capitalization growth, small-capitalization growth, large-capitalization value,

and small-capitalization value

Page 28: 0324289030_51928

8/4/2019 0324289030_51928

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/032428903051928 28/33

 

Timing Between Styles

• Variations in returns among mutual

funds are largely attributable to

differences in styles

• Different styles tend to move at

different times in the business cycle

Page 29: 0324289030_51928

8/4/2019 0324289030_51928

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/032428903051928 29/33

 

Asset Allocation Strategies

• Integrated asset allocation – capital market conditions

 – investor’s objectives and constraints

• Strategic asset allocation – constant-mix

• Tactical asset allocation – mean reversion

 – inherently contrarian

• Insured asset allocation – constant proportion

Page 30: 0324289030_51928

8/4/2019 0324289030_51928

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/032428903051928 30/33

 

Asset Allocation Strategies

• Selecting an allocation method depends on: – Perceptions of variability in the client’s

objectives and constraints

 – Perceived relationship between the past andfuture capital market conditions

Page 31: 0324289030_51928

8/4/2019 0324289030_51928

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/032428903051928 31/33

 

The Internet

 Investments Onlinehttp://www.russell.com

http://www.firstquadrant.comhttp://www.panagora.com

Page 32: 0324289030_51928

8/4/2019 0324289030_51928

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/032428903051928 32/33

 

End of Chapter 16

 – Equity Portfolio ManagementStrategies

Page 33: 0324289030_51928

8/4/2019 0324289030_51928

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/032428903051928 33/33

Future topics

Chapter 17 • Bond Fundamentals