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S ystemsAnalysis LaboratoryHelsinki University of Technology
Goal intervals in dynamic multicriteria problems
The case of MOHO
Juha Mäntysaari
2
S ystemsAnalysis LaboratoryHelsinki University of Technology
Decision problem of space heating consumers
• Under time varying electricity tariff space heating consumers can save in heating costs by– Storing heat in to the house during low tariff hours
– Trading living comfort to costs savings
• A dynamic decision problem
3
S ystemsAnalysis LaboratoryHelsinki University of Technology
Space heating problem
• Space heating consumers try to– MIN “Heating costs”
– MAX “Living comfort”
subject to • Dynamic price of the electricity
• Dynamics of house
• Other (physical) constraints
4
S ystemsAnalysis LaboratoryHelsinki University of Technology
Dynamics of the house
Q(t)=Q(t-1)+tq(t-1)-d(t-1)
where
d(t) = t(T(t) - Tout(t))
Q(t) = T(t)/C, ( = 1/C)
T(t) = T(t-1) +tq(t-1) -tT(t-1) - Tout(t-1))
Units: [Q] = kWh, [] = kW/C, [C] = kWh/C
T
Q
Tout
q d
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S ystemsAnalysis LaboratoryHelsinki University of Technology
Example houses
House 1 House 2
Type of the house Doublefamily house singlefamily house
Building material lekatermi with a brick cover wood
Floor area [m2] 170 139
Number of floors 2 1
Heating equipment ceiling and floor heating, radiators ceiling and floor heating
[kWh/C] 0.170 0.077
[C/kWh] 0.038 0.380
Heating power [kW] 9.0 8.7
House 1 House 2
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S ystemsAnalysis LaboratoryHelsinki University of Technology
Information summary
Q
dTref
q qmax
Tout p
TminTTmax
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S ystemsAnalysis LaboratoryHelsinki University of Technology
Goal models1. Hard constraint (pipe is hard)
3. Hard constraint with a goal inside(pipe with a goal)
2. Soft constraints (pipe is soft)“Interval goal programming”
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S ystemsAnalysis LaboratoryHelsinki University of Technology
Hard constraints
Min p q
s e T T
i ii
N
i i
q
0
1
0
. . ,
,
maxT iDynamics of house, i
T T
q q i
imin
0 N
i imax
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S ystemsAnalysis LaboratoryHelsinki University of Technology
Soft constraints
Min p q s s
s e T T s
T T s
i i i i i ii
N
i i i
i i i
q s s, ,
min
max
. . ,
,
,
0
1
0
0
0
i
iDynamics of house, i
T T
q q i
0 N
i imax
10
S ystemsAnalysis LaboratoryHelsinki University of Technology
Hard constraints with a goal
Min p q s s
s e T T s s
T T
i i i i i ii
N
i iref
i i
i i
q s s, ,
max
. . ,
,
,
0
1
0
0
i
T iDynamics of house, i
T T
q q i
imin
0 N
i imax
11
S ystemsAnalysis LaboratoryHelsinki University of Technology
Goal models (summary)
3. Hard constraints with a goal
1. Hard constraints
2. Soft constraints
Min p q
s e T T
i ii
N
i i
q
0
1
0
. . ,
,
maxT iDynamics of house, i
T T
q q i
imin
0 N
i imax
Min p q s s
s e T T s
T T s
i i i i i ii
N
i i i
i i i
q s s, ,
min
max
. . ,
,
,
0
1
0
0
0
i
iDynamics of house, i
T T
q q i
0 N
i imax
Min p q s s
s e T T s s
T T
i i i i i ii
N
i iref
i i
i i
q s s, ,
max
. . ,
,
,
0
1
0
0
i
T iDynamics of house, i
T T
q q i
imin
0 N
i imax
12
S ystemsAnalysis LaboratoryHelsinki University of Technology
MultiObjective Household heating Optimization (MOHO)
13
S ystemsAnalysis LaboratoryHelsinki University of Technology
Idea of MOHO• Minimize heating costs using hard lower and
upper bounds for indoor temperature– The case of hard constraints
• Ask: “How many percents would you like to decrease the heating costs from the current level?”
• Solve again trying to achieve the desired decrease in cost by relaxing the indoor temperature upper bound– The -constraints method (upper bound must
be active in order to succeed)
14
S ystemsAnalysis LaboratoryHelsinki University of Technology
Example: House 2 (1/4)
Minimized heating costs:
17.0
18.0
19.0
20.0
21.0
22.0
23.0
24.0
25.0
26.0
27.0
0:00 2:00 4:00 6:00 8:00 10:00 12:00 14:00 16:00 18:00 20:00 22:00 0:00
Tem
per
atu
re [
°C]
Min
Max
Temperature
Indoor temperature for House 5CLICK HERE TO RETURN
OptimalCost Energy
FIM / day kWh / dayDaytime 20.63 37.2Nighttime 4.85 24.7Total 25.48 62.0
15
S ystemsAnalysis LaboratoryHelsinki University of Technology
Example: House 2 (2/4)
Decreased costs by 5 %
17.0
18.0
19.0
20.0
21.0
22.0
23.0
24.0
25.0
26.0
27.0
0:00 2:00 4:00 6:00 8:00 10:00 12:00 14:00 16:00 18:00 20:00 22:00 0:00
Tem
per
atu
re [
°C]
Min
Max
Temperature
Indoor temperature for House 5CLICK HERE TO RETURN
OptimalCost Energy
FIM / day kWh / dayDaytime 18.58 33.5Nighttime 5.63 28.7Total 24.21 62.3
16
S ystemsAnalysis LaboratoryHelsinki University of Technology
Example: House 2 (3/4)
Decreased again by 5 %
17.0
18.0
19.0
20.0
21.0
22.0
23.0
24.0
25.0
26.0
27.0
0:00 2:00 4:00 6:00 8:00 10:00 12:00 14:00 16:00 18:00 20:00 22:00 0:00
Tem
per
atu
re [
°C]
Min
Max
Temperature
Indoor temperature for House 5CLICK HERE TO RETURN
OptimalCost Energy
FIM / day kWh / dayDaytime 16.54 29.9Nighttime 6.45 32.9Total 23.00 62.8
17
S ystemsAnalysis LaboratoryHelsinki University of Technology
Example: House 2 (4/4)
And again by 5 %
17.0
18.0
19.0
20.0
21.0
22.0
23.0
24.0
25.0
26.0
27.0
0:00 2:00 4:00 6:00 8:00 10:00 12:00 14:00 16:00 18:00 20:00 22:00 0:00
Tem
per
atu
re [
°C]
Min
Max
Temperature
Indoor temperature for House 5CLICK HERE TO RETURN
OptimalCost Energy
FIM / day kWh / dayDaytime 14.52 26.2Nighttime 7.33 37.4Total 21.85 63.6
18
S ystemsAnalysis LaboratoryHelsinki University of Technology
Summary
• Model and parameters of the house identified• Depending on the definition of the “living
comfort” different multicriteria models can be used
• Benefits of the simplified approach:– Only bounds of the indoor temperature asked
– Comparison and tradeoff only with heating costs