Upload
robert-dalton
View
217
Download
0
Tags:
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
1
The ICT Statistics of Business Sector in China
By Lu Haiqi
International Statistical Information Center, National Bureau of Statistics
People’s Republic of China
2
The ICT Statistics of Business Sector in China
• Background and Overview
• Goal Model and Interim Project
• The Practice of Interim Project
• Some Statistics Results
• Main Problems Encountered
• Future Plan
3
1. Background and Overwiew
1.1 Background
• In the ending of 20th century and the beginning of 21st century, human society has entered the information society. Informatization (which is similar to the term of application of ICT) had been developed rapidly in the past decade worldwide, so did in China. The Central Committee of Communist Party of China (CPC) and the State Council forwarded the development strategy that informatization leads industrialization, and industrialization promotes informatization.
4
1.2 Overview• National Bureau of Statistics of China (NBS) pays great attention to the
evaluation and monitoring application of ICT, and has done lots of work.
By the end of 2005,
– has done specified survey of informatization for government, enterprise, and
household sector in the whole country,
– added informatization indicators to the questionnaires of conventional
reporting system .
– has conducted analysis work for the application of ICT from different angles to
provide necessary supports for government to decide and develop national
informatization development plan.
• At present, NBS is trying to improve ICT statistics and research work,
including the efforts to implement the international project with OECD,
UNCTAD and ITU. And NBS welcomes further international
organizations and relevant countries to provide technical supports.
5
2. Goal Model and Interim Project
• In 2004, NBS conducted pilot ICT survey for
governmental sector, business sector and household
sector in 10 provinces (autonomous regions and
municipals).
• National Bureau of Statistics convened working
meeting on informatization statistics on August 22,
2005, forwarded the goal mode of ICT statistics, and
made a decision to implement a interim project
statistics in 2005.
6
• Goal model, refers to the goal for us to make great efforts and tr
ying to achieve in current phase, which is forwarded by considerin
g primarily from China’s ICT development status and trend, and c
ombining current status of China’s statistics system.
– In census year, NBS conducts mainly census to establish database of e
stablishments and obtain current data for census year and revise data o
f none-census year after last census year.
– In none-census year, NBS conducts sample survey according to the s
ample frame established in census year to obtain current data.
• Therefore, the goal model of ICTstatistics is the mode of combinat
ion of periodical census and conventional sample survey.
2.1 Goal Model
7
• Interim project means adopting temporary measurements when conventional
informatization survey system is not established. It is necessary to establish
conventional informatization survey system as the important component of official
statistics system. However, at the moment, it is impossible to possess for the
considerations such as
– financial guarantee,
– organization setting,
– and reserve of professional human resources.
• In order to support the drafting national informatization strategy and development
plan, NBS studies to develop the interim project of informatization statistical work,
namely,
– adding ICT indicators to conventional reporting forms,
– complement it by conducting specified informatization survey to obtain urgently some
data of core ICT indicators.
2.2 Interim Project
8
• 3.1 Adding ICT Indicators to Conventional On-line Reporting Forms
• 3.2 Conducting Specified ICT Survey
3. The Practice of Interim Project
9
3.1 Adding ICT Indicator to Conventional On-line Reporting Forms• NBS has established conventional on-line
reporting systems in – Roughly 20000 industrial enterprises,– Roughly 2000 wholesale retail enterprises, and– Roughly 3000 real estate enterprises.
• NBS has added four ICT indicators to the annual reporting form as follows,– Number of personal computers (PC) in use,– Number of websites of the enterprises,– On-line sales, and– On-line purchases.
10
3.2 Conducting Specified ICT Survey
• 3.2.1 The Design of Questionnaire• The questionnaire is composed of two main parts:
– First, the basic status of establishments;
– Second, status of ICT application.
• Three kinds of questions are raised in the questionnaires,– Quantitative questions,
– Objective qualitative questions, and
– Subjective qualitative questions. For instance, the main problems establishments met of informatization application, the support and services required, and suggestions regarding ICT application.
11
3.2.2 Selecting Samples • The samples for business sector amounts to 6142, and
respondent rate is 96.6% for 2005.
• NBS selects samples in the databank developed from Economic
Census of 2004.
– Firstly, the enterprises were classified based on national industrial
classification standard.
– Secondly, the enterprises of each industry were divided into six
categories based on the yearend employees and annual revenues.
– Lastly, NBS selected samples randomly according the sample size
allocated for each category.
12
• The formula employed to estimate population is : Y=∑wiyi
Where Y is population estimation wi is final weight of the ith responding establishment; yi is the indicator value of the ith responding establishment.
• The proportion estimation formula is: P=∑wiqi/∑wi q’i
Where P is the proportion to be estimated;
wi is the final weight for the ith responding establishment;
qi is the option value in questionnaires for the ith responding establishment.
When option value is “yes” or the option was selected, then qi=1, otherwise, qi=0;
qi represents the ith valid responding establishment, when the ith responding establishment is valid sample, q’ i=1; otherwise,
q’ i=0.
3.2.3 Inferring Data of the Population
13
4. Some Statistics ResultsFi xed Tel ephone Li nes Per 100 Empl oyees
11. 6
42. 8
39. 2
27. 9
26. 1
23. 5
20. 4 19. 9 19. 818. 5
15. 3 15. 6
12. 9
8. 1
2. 8
12. 7
46. 2
41. 6
28. 827. 1
24. 6
21. 0 20. 8 20. 2 20. 1
15. 7 15. 413. 7
9. 1
3. 0
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
All
Non-
Agri
cult
ural
Indu
stri
es
Info
rmat
ion
Comm
unic
atio
n,
Comp
utor
Ser
vice
s an
d
Soft
ware
Hote
l an
d Ca
teri
ng S
ervi
ces
Prod
ucti
onan
d Su
pply
of
Elec
tric
ity,
Gas
and
Wat
er
Scie
ntifi
c Re
sear
ch a
nd
Tech
nica
l Se
rvic
es a
nd
Geol
ogic
alPr
ospe
ctin
g
Leas
ing
and
Busi
ness
Serv
ice
Real
Est
ate
Fina
nce
Tran
spor
t,St
orag
e,Po
st &
Tele
comm
unic
atio
n
Whol
esal
e an
d Re
tail
Tra
de
Mini
ng a
nd Q
uarr
ying
Wate
r Co
nser
vanc
y an
d
Publ
ic U
ntil
ity
Oper
atio
n
Soci
al S
ervi
ces
Manu
fact
urin
g
Cons
truc
tion
2004 2005
14
PCs Per 100 Employees
11.7
174.4
45.6
33.8
22.0 21.4 19.1 17.4 17.0 16.4 14.89.3 7.9
4.2 3.6
13.6
181.6
48.0
38.2
24.2 23.5 20.5 19.3 19.2 18.1 15.410.7 9.6
4.8 3.9
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
140.0
160.0
180.0
200.0Al
l No
n-Ag
ricu
ltur
alIn
dust
ries
Info
rmat
ion
Comm
unic
atio
n,Co
mput
or S
ervi
ces
and
Soft
ware
Scie
ntifi
c Re
sear
chan
d Te
chni
cal
Serv
ices
and
Geol
ogic
alPr
ospe
ctin
g
Fina
nce
Leas
ing
and
Busi
ness
Serv
ice
Tran
spor
t,St
orag
e,Po
st&
Tele
comm
unic
atio
n
Prod
ucti
onan
d Su
pply
of E
lect
rici
ty,
Gas
and
Wate
r
Real
Est
ate
Whol
esal
e an
d Re
tail
Trad
e
Soci
al S
ervi
ces
Wate
r Co
nser
vanc
y an
dPu
blic
Unt
ilit
yOp
erat
ion
Hote
l an
d Ca
teri
ngSe
rvic
es
Manu
fact
urin
g
Cons
truc
tion
Mini
ng a
nd Q
uarr
ying
2004 2005
15
Proportion of Enterprises with Access to Internet, LAN andWebsites
50. 5
96. 6
80. 5
71. 9
65. 8 64. 8
53. 7 52. 8
43. 8 43. 339. 5 38. 7
35. 232. 1
13. 4
18. 9
69. 6
37. 4
30. 1 31. 528. 9
47. 8
14. 2
20. 5
15. 1
21. 5
11. 014. 5 14. 9
5. 2
12. 5
35. 0
15. 5
20. 8
12. 4 11. 0 11. 78. 2
16. 2 14. 4
6. 69. 9
5. 83. 6
0. 7
0
20
40
60
80
100
120A
ll N
on-A
gric
ultu
ral
Indu
stri
es
Info
rmat
ion
Com
mun
icat
ion,
Com
puto
rSe
rvic
es a
nd S
oftw
are
Scie
ntif
ic R
esea
rch
and
Tec
hnic
al S
ervi
ces
and
Geo
logi
calP
rosp
ectin
g
Lea
sing
and
Bus
ines
sSe
rvic
e
Rea
l Est
ate
Con
stru
ctio
n
Fina
nce
Who
lesa
le a
nd R
etai
lT
rade
Wat
er C
onse
rvan
cy a
ndPu
blic
Unt
ility
Ope
ratio
n
Man
ufac
turi
ng
Tra
nspo
rt,S
tora
ge,P
ost &
Tel
ecom
mun
icat
ion
Soci
al S
ervi
ces
Hot
el a
nd C
ater
ing
Serv
ices
Prod
uctio
nand
Sup
ply
ofE
lect
rici
ty, G
as a
nd W
ater
Min
ing
and
Qua
rryi
ng
Access to I nternet LAN Websi te
16
Means Connecting to Internet
56. 8
66. 0
60. 7 59. 758. 6 57. 5 56. 6 55. 7 55. 0
52. 2
48. 6 47. 8
43. 2
39. 036. 1
13. 0
9. 0
16. 614. 1
12. 29. 5
14. 3
6. 24. 9
6. 89. 4 9. 8
14. 0
23. 5
35. 8
6. 0
1. 7
7. 24. 9 4. 0
7. 0 7. 25. 5
8. 0 6. 89. 8
12. 8
7. 95. 7
3. 91. 2 2. 3
0. 0 0. 6 0. 0 0. 02. 6
0. 11. 7
0. 1 0. 5 0. 0 0. 0 0. 1
4. 9
23. 021. 0
15. 5
20. 7
25. 2 26. 0
19. 3
32. 530. 4
34. 131. 7
29. 6
34. 9
31. 7
19. 3
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70Al
l No
n-Ag
ricu
ltur
alIn
dust
ries
Scie
ntifi
c Re
sear
ch a
ndTe
chni
cal
Serv
ices
and
Ge
olog
ical
Pros
pect
ing
Tran
spor
t,St
orag
e,Po
st&
Tele
comm
unic
atio
n
Leas
ing
and
Busi
ness
Serv
ice
Whol
esal
e an
d Re
tail
Trad
e
Real
Est
ate
Manu
fact
urin
g
Fina
nce
Info
rmat
ion
Comm
unic
atio
n, C
ompu
tor
Serv
ices
and
Sof
twar
e
Cons
truc
tion
Wate
r Co
nser
vanc
y an
dPu
blic
Unt
ilit
yOp
erat
ion
Soci
al S
ervi
ces
Hote
l an
d Ca
teri
ngSe
rvic
es
Prod
ucti
onan
d Su
pply
of
Elec
tric
ity,
Gas
and
Wate
r
Mini
ng a
nd Q
uarr
ying
Broadband Modem ISDN Wireless Others
17
Proportion of Enterprises Conducting E-Commerce
6. 2
16. 3
8. 98. 4
6. 1 5. 8 5. 6
3. 3 3. 1 3. 0 2. 9 2. 7 2. 72. 0
1. 2
4. 9
13. 4
7. 3
5. 76. 7
3. 7
9. 3
3. 3
1. 7 1. 5
2. 9
4. 5
2. 51. 3 0. 9
0
24
6
810
12
1416
18A
ll N
on-A
gric
ultu
ral I
ndus
tries
Info
rmat
ion
Com
mun
icat
ion,
Com
puto
r Ser
vice
s and
Softw
are
Man
ufac
turin
g
Leas
ing
and
Busin
ess S
ervi
ce
Scie
ntifi
c Re
sear
ch a
nd T
echn
ical
Ser
vice
s and
G
eolo
gica
lPro
spec
ting
Fina
nce
Wat
er C
onse
rvan
cy a
nd P
ublic
Unt
ility
Ope
ratio
n
Tran
spor
t,Sto
rage
,Pos
t & T
elec
omm
unic
atio
n
Hot
el a
nd C
ater
ing
Serv
ices
Who
lesa
le a
nd R
etai
l Tra
de
Cons
truct
ion
Real
Esta
te
Soci
al S
ervi
ces
Min
ing
and
Qua
rryi
ng
Prod
uctio
nand
Sup
ply
of E
lect
ricity
, Gas
and
Wat
er
Accepti ng On- l i ne Orders Sendi ng On- l i ne Orders
18
On-Line Purchases as Percentage of Total Purchases
6. 8
12. 0
9. 18. 5
4. 8
3. 94. 6
0. 0
1. 1 0. 80. 5
0. 2 0. 2 0. 1 0. 0
8. 5
14. 1
8. 48. 0
7. 7
4. 5
3. 5
2. 21. 6
1. 00. 5 0. 4 0. 3 0. 2 0. 0
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16Al
l No
n-Ag
ricu
ltur
alIn
dust
ries
Manu
fact
urin
g
Info
rmat
ion
Comm
unic
atio
n,Co
mput
or S
ervi
ces
and
Tran
spor
t,St
orag
e,Po
st&
Tele
comm
unic
atio
n
Scie
ntifi
c Re
sear
chan
d Te
chni
cal
Serv
ices
and
Whol
esal
e an
d Re
tail
Trad
e
Mini
ng a
nd Q
uarr
ying
Leas
ing
and
Busi
ness
Serv
ice
Soci
al S
ervi
ces
Fina
nce
Prod
ucti
onan
d Su
pply
of E
lect
rici
ty,
Gas
and
Wate
r
Cons
truc
tion
Wate
r Co
nser
vanc
y an
dPu
blic
Unt
ilit
yOp
erat
ion
Hote
l an
d Ca
teri
ngSe
rvic
es
Real
Est
ate
2004 2005
19
On-Line Sales as Percentage of Total Sales
1. 7
3. 9
3. 3
3. 0
2. 3
2. 12. 0
1. 2
0. 9
1. 1
0. 1 0. 1 0. 10. 0 0. 0
2. 0
4. 2
3. 8
2. 9
2. 7
1. 9 1. 9
1. 61. 4
1. 1
0. 2 0. 1 0. 1 0. 1 0. 0
0. 0
0. 5
1. 0
1. 5
2. 0
2. 5
3. 0
3. 5
4. 0
4. 5
All
Non
-Agr
icul
tura
lIn
dust
ries
Tra
nspo
rt,S
tora
ge,P
ost &
Tel
ecom
mun
icat
ion
Info
rmat
ion
Com
mun
icat
ion,
Com
puto
rSe
rvic
es a
nd S
oftw
are
Fina
nce
Man
ufac
turi
ng
Scie
ntif
ic R
esea
rch
and
Tec
hnic
al S
ervi
ces
and
Geo
logi
calP
rosp
ectin
g
Soci
al S
ervi
ces
Who
lesa
le a
nd R
etai
lT
rade
Lea
sing
and
Bus
ines
sSe
rvic
e
Hot
el a
nd C
ater
ing
Serv
ices
Min
ing
and
Qua
rryi
ng
Wat
er C
onse
rvan
cy a
ndPu
blic
Unt
ility
Ope
ratio
n
Rea
l Est
ate
Con
stru
ctio
n
Prod
uctio
nand
Sup
ply
ofE
lect
rici
ty, G
as a
nd W
ater
2004 2005
20
5. Main Problems Encountered
• The questionnaire of Economic Census in 2004 did not include main ICT indicators, so we can not find a good sample frame for ICT statistics
• With limited size samples, the data quality is not high enough to indicates regional level, even if there are strong need for that.
• E-commerce is far from popular in China, so it is different to choose samples.
21
6. Future Plan
• In the middle of September this year, OECD Seminar on ICT Statistics for China will be held, and 6 OECD, UNCTAD and ITU experts will be invited to visit China.
• NBS will try hard to realize Model Goal, and conventional ICT survey will be conducted annually.
22
Thank You !