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©The Work Foundation
1
The Changing Economy and the Future of Organised Labour: What role for workplace
reps?
David Coats, Associate Director – Policy
©The Work Foundation
2
Summary
• What’s going on?- Knowledge Economy
- Restructuring- Union membership
- Job quality
• What do workers want?
• How should unions respond? Where do workplace reps fit?
©The Work Foundation
3
The Rise of the Knowledge Economy• Knowledge based industries* now account for nearly 50 per cent of
employment;
• Most of the new jobs – both for knowledge and other workers - over the past decade have been generated in the knowledge based industries;
• Knowledge based industries account for 41 per cent of GDP compared with 36 per cent a decade ago, with knowledge based services expanding from 28 per cent to 34 per cent of GDP;
• Knowledge based service exports have trebled in ten years, generating a surplus worth between 3 and 3.5 per cent of GDP.
• Knowledge workers (defined by occupation**) account for over 40 per cent of total employment and have been strongest growing job category over past twenty years.
• *High to medium tech manufacturing, financial services, high tech services, telecommunications, business services, cultural and creative services, heath and education services
• **managers, professionals, associate professional and technical occupations
©The Work Foundation
4
Manufacturing to Services
©The Work Foundation
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The rise of the “knowledge economy” 1995-2005: Job change by sector % (Source: UK LFS)
-21
40
2427
2
17
1
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
High/medium tech manuf
High tech services
Business/communications services
Health, education, culture
Financial Services
All knowledge industries
All other industries
©The Work Foundation
6
More “high level” jobs Source: SSDA, 2006
Occupational Change 1984-2014 (%of all in employment)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
1984 1994 2004 2014
Managers
Professionals
Assoc profs
Admin and clerical
Skilled trades
Personal services
Sales
Machine/transportoperatives
Elementaryoccupations
©The Work Foundation
7
The 30-40-30 workforce (Source: TWF Knowledge Workers Survey
2008)
©The Work Foundation
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No significant evidence of casualisation in UK…
• Employment Change in the UK Labour Market 1996-2006 (%share of total employment) Source: UK LFS
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
1986
1996
2006
©The Work Foundation
9
…most employment growth in large firms [change in
private sector employee employment 1995-2005, excluding health and social care and labour recruitment services: Source: WF estimate based on Inter-Department Business Register, Enterprise Directorate (provisional findings)]
445 492
1470
-515
-1000
-500
0
500
1000
1500
2000
KE SMEs KE Large Other SMEs Other Large
©The Work Foundation
10
Trade Union Density1970-2003 (% employees)(Source: OECD Employment Outlook 2004)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
1970 1980 1990 2000 2003
Sweden
Denmark
UK
Neth
Germany
USA
France
Australia
NZ
©The Work Foundation
11
Collective Bargaining Coverage 1970-2000 (% employees covered by collective agreements) (Source:
OECD Employment Outlook 2004)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
1980 1990 2000
Sweden
Denmark
UK
Neth
Germany
USA
France
NZ
Australia
©The Work Foundation
12
Why does “good work” matter?
• Impact on health and life expectancy
• Important factors:- Employment security
- Monotony and repetition- Autonomy, control and
task discretion - Effort-reward balance - Skills
- Fairness
- Relationships – “social capital”
©The Work Foundation
13
How much “good work” is there in the UK
• High levels of job satisfaction – WERS 2004
• And employment security improving
• But
• Work intensification (Green, 2003)
• Falling autonomy - especially in public sector (Gallie et al 2004)
• Dissatisfaction with pay and voice (WERS 2004)
• Dissatisfaction with working time – and working life more generally (Taylor 2002)
• More intrusive performance management (White and Hill 2004)
• Employee engagement lower than it should be (CIPD 2006)
©The Work Foundation
14
Job Security – international comparison (“My job
is secure” 0-3 scale) (Source: Paugam and Zhou 2007)
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
GB France Germany Sweden Denmark Spain
1996 2001
©The Work Foundation
15
Job Satisfaction in Europe (% of employees) Source: European Working Conditions Survey, 2005
©The Work Foundation
16
British workers are bored… (% of employees who say their work
involves monotonous tasks) (Source: European Working Conditions Survey 2005)
0%5%10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%55%60%65%
NL
SE MT AT DE BE HU
RO LU SI IT LV FR
EU-27
DK
CY SK IE FI PT PL LT UK
CZ EE EL BG ES
©The Work Foundation
17
…and learn new things less often than in countries with higher productivity… (% employees who say
that their job involves learning new things) (Source: European Working Conditions Survey 2005)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
FI
SE
DK
NL SI
MT
EE IE AT
LU BE
FR IT CZ
EU-27
PT
UK PL
LV SK
DE
CY EL
ES
HU
RO LT BG
©The Work Foundation
18
….which leaves the UK with a “job content” problem… (monotony, low level of learning, problem solving, task complexity) (Source:
European Working Conditions Survey 2005)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
SE
NL
AT
DK FI
MT
DE
LU SI
BE
HU
FR EE
EU-27
IE IT CZ
SK PL
LV PT
RO
UK
CY
BG EL
LT ES
©The Work Foundation
19
..which helps to explain why… (Source: CIPD Employee Attitudes and
Engagement 2006)
• “People are generally unhappy with how they are managed”
• A third never get feedback from their managers
• Only half believe that they will be dealt with fairly if they have a problem
• Two in five say they are not informed about what is happening in their organisation. Just a third believe that their views will be taken seriously
• Only a third trust senior managers
• Just over a third are “engaged”
©The Work Foundation
20
What do workers want from unions?
• Protection or aspiration?
• “Getting on” or “getting even”
©The Work Foundation
21
Workers prefer a “problem solving” organisation to a “defensive” organisation (% employees) (Source: BWRPS
2001)
72 75
2621
2 4
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Member Non-member
Co-operative
Defensive
Don't know
©The Work Foundation
22
But workers want protection and partnership (% union members) (Source: BWRPS 2001)
9298 94
40
91
40
63 62
26
44
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Pay Unfairtreatment
Equality Intrstng work Productivity
Workers sayshould beunion priority
"Good" or"excellent"performanceby unions
©The Work Foundation
23
What does it all mean?
• A new offer to members - skills - progression - standards
• A new workplace agenda- Job quality- Partnership (going beyond the rhetoric)
- Service improvement – a role for unions?- Changing workplace agenda: NHS staff pledges
• Challenges:- Who would want to be a rep?- Skills- Risk of employer defection: budgets under pressure, shifting political priorities
©The Work Foundation
24
Questions for discussion
• Do you have a clear understanding of nursing opinion across the NHS? Does this influence your agenda nationally and locally?
• Can you rely on “professionalism” as a recruitment strategy?
• How should you prioritise between “old and “new” issues? Is job quality an opportunity for the RCN to rehape the conversation?
• What further scope is there for developing a “strategic dialogue” with NHS employers?
• What model of employment relations do you want to see in the NHS?