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1/15/2016Marketing Research2 How do you test the covariation between two continuous variables? Most typically: One independent variable and:

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3 No Apparent Relationship Between X and Y X Y Perfect Positive Relationship Between X and Y X Y Perfect Negative Relationship Between X and Y Parabolic Relationship Between X and Y X Y Types of Relationships Scatterplot Diagrams

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Page 1: 1/15/2016Marketing Research2  How do you test the covariation between two continuous variables?  Most typically:  One independent variable  and:
Page 2: 1/15/2016Marketing Research2  How do you test the covariation between two continuous variables?  Most typically:  One independent variable  and:

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How do you test the covariation between two continuous variables?

Most typically: One independent variable and: One dependent variable

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No Apparent Relationship Between X and Y

X

Y

Perfect Positive Relationship Between X and Y

X

Y

Y

X

Perfect Negative Relationship Between X and YParabolic Relationship Between X and Y

X

Y

Types of RelationshipsScatterplot Diagrams

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General Positive Relationship Between X and Y

X

Y

No Apparent Relationship Between X and Y

X

YY

X

Negative Curvilinear Relationship Between X and Y

General Negative Relationship Between X and Y

X

Y

Types of RelationshipsScatterplot Diagrams

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examines the strength of the relationship between two continuous variables

range: ◦ between -1 (perfect inverse relationship),◦ through 0 (no relationship at all)◦ to +1 (perfect positive relationship)

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CorrelationAssessing Measures of Association

Measure of Association using interval or ratio data.

Measure of Association using ordinal or rank order data.

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How do you test the covariation between one continuous independent variable

◦ (e.g., age, income) and: one continuous dependent variable

◦ (e.g., cost of automobile purchased)

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X

Y

• Used to fit data for X and Y

• Enables estimation of non-plotted data points

• Results in a straight line that fits the actual observations (plotted dots) better than any other line that could be fit to the observations.

Least-Square Estimation Procedure

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Liquor Liquor ConsumptionConsumption

# Churches# Churches

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Correlations

1.000 .334* .226. .015 .075

42 42 42.334* 1.000 .438**.015 . .002

42 42 42.226 .438** 1.000.075 .002 .

42 42 42

Pearson CorrelationSig. (1-tailed)NPearson CorrelationSig. (1-tailed)NPearson CorrelationSig. (1-tailed)N

EXAM_1

EXAM_2

REVIEW_1

EXAM_1 EXAM_2 REVIEW_1

Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (1-tailed).*.

Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (1-tailed).**.

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Yi = B0 + B1 X1 + ei

◦ Y is the dependent variable (estimated outcome)◦ B0 is the value of Y when X = 0 (the Y intercept)◦ B1 is the rate at which Y changes for every unit

change in X (the slope)◦ and e is the error in the model

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Test statistic:

H0: B1 = 0

Ha: B1 does not = 0

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Coefficientsa

51.344 10.047 5.110 .000.291 .130 .334 2.242 .031

(Constant)EXAM_1

Model1

B Std. Error

UnstandardizedCoefficients

Beta

StandardizedCoefficients

t Sig.

Dependent Variable: EXAM_2a.

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Yi = B0 + B1 X1 +B2 X2 + B3 X3 +e◦ where each of the Betas estimate the effect of

one independent variable. This allows the regression to "control" for

each of the other factors simultaneously◦ e.g., control for exercise, eating habits, AND fish

consumption on heart attacks.

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Too complicated

by hand! Ouch!

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Relationship between 1 dependent & 2 or more independent variables is a linear function

Y X X Xi i i k ki i 0 1 1 2 2

Dependent Dependent (response) (response) variablevariable

Independent Independent (explanatory) (explanatory) variablesvariables

Population Population slopesslopes

Population Population Y-interceptY-intercept

Random Random errorerror

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Bivariate modelBivariate model

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1. Slope (k)

◦ Estimated Y Changes by k for Each 1 Unit Increase in Xk Holding All Other Variables

Constant

2. Y-Intercept (0)

◦ Average Value of Y When Xk = 0

^̂^̂

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Proportion of Variation in Y ‘Explained’ by All X Variables Taken Together

yyyy

yy

SSSSE

SSSSESS

R

1 variationTotal

variationExplained2

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If you add a variable to the model◦ How will that affect the R-squared value for the

model?

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R2 Never Decreases When New X Variable Is Added to Model◦ Only Y Values Determine SSyy

◦ Disadvantage When Comparing Models Solution: Adjusted R2

◦ Each additional variable reduces adjusted R2, unless SSE goes up enough to compensate

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Coefficientsa

56.730 75.172 .755 .4551.626 .791 .319 2.056 .047

8.E-02 .983 .013 .080 .937.949 .656 .235 1.446 .156

(Constant)EXAM_1EXAM_2REVIEW_1

Model1

BStd.Error

UnstandardizedCoefficients

Beta

StandardizedCoefficients

t Sig.

Dependent Variable: TOTALa.

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