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One aspect of the changes in Japanese security policies since the Cold War has been the dispatch of Japan Self-Defense Forces (JSDF) overseas to engage in a range of missions most commonly referred to as ‘PKO’. Beyond the initial political controversy and the attendant media frenzy little is generally known of the nature of the operations, of JSDF duties, and of whether the Forces carried them out effectively or efficiently. The JSDF, Defense Agency/Ministry of Defense, and other public bodies have failed to analyse overseas dispatch operation (ODO) performance, and have generally branded them as successful based upon their completion, and without loss of life, in contrast with Japanese police ODO. Looking at ODO during the 1990s it is possible to project analyses forward into the operations of the 21st century to evaluate the operations of the post-9.11 period and the prevailing strategic policies driving them, and also to more fully understand the qualities and limitations of JSDF performance in the immediate aftermath of the 3.11 triple disasters. Since JSDF ODO have become the most prominent symbols of an emergent ‘new Japanese strategy’ it is worth understanding whether the Forces have actually been ‘effective international actors’.
Citation preview
Effective International Actors?Japan Self-Defense Force Overseas Dispatch
Operations
Garren Mulloy Daito Bunka University
Structure of PresentationEffective International Actors?:
JSDF Overseas Dispatch Operations (ODO)
1 Questions and Parameters 2 Extant Research 3 Definition of Terms 4 Methodology and Operational
Analysis 5 Immediate Findings: OA & ODO 6 Broader Findings: ODO and Japan
Garren Mulloy Daito Bunka University
Quiz!Know your ODO!!!
1 When/where was the first Japanese post-war ODO?
2 When/where was the first JSDF ODO?
3 Does Japan do Peacekeeping?
4 Why does Japan send JSDF ODO?
Garren Mulloy Daito Bunka University
1 Questions and Parameters
What operations? How and why selected? What did the JSDF actually do? How did they perform? How did performance affect the JSDF? How JSDF culture/configuration affected
performance? Were the JSDF effective international
actors?
Garren Mulloy Daito Bunka University
2 Extant Research
Limited applicability
Contextual understandingLimited coverage or applicability; unpublished
General
Politics of Defence
Constitutional Issues
US-Japan Alliance
Japan-Asia Relations
‘Normal’ Japan
Historical controversies
Party Politics
Specific
Journalism: event specific
‘PKO’ studies: operations
‘PKO’ studies: concepts
Participant studies
JSDF operational studies
Official histories
Garren Mulloy Daito Bunka University
3 Definition of Terms
‘PKO’
Japan does not ‘do’ ‘PKO’Japan developed a ‘PSO’ variantMost operations were not PKO/PSO/PKFJapan distinguished between ‘PKO’ & ‘PKF’
Garren Mulloy Daito Bunka University
3 Definition of Terms
Complex, confusing, but clear for JSDF
Clear, simple, but potentially a legal problem for the JSDF
An Agenda for Peace Boutros Boutros Ghali 1992/95
Main Findings:1 There are five forms of
Peace Operation:PMO, PKO, PSO, PEO, PBO
3 There is no simple progression from one to the other.
The Brahimi Report(Report of the Panel on United Nations Peace Operations)
2000Main Findings:1 Identified only 3 forms of
Peace Operation: PMO, PKO, PBO
3 Need to develop lessons learned capabilities and doctrine
Garren Mulloy Daito Bunka University
An Agenda for Peace Strata of UN Peace Operations
Peacemaking (PMO)- settlement or suspension of conflict
Peacekeeping (PKO)- policing/observing of settlement/ ceasefire
Peace Support (PSO)- support of peace by aiding civil society
Peace Enforcement Operations (PEO)- use of military power for settlement/ceasefire, or for compliance with UNSC Chapter VII resolution
Peace Building (PBO)-post-conflict reinforcement of civil society
Garren Mulloy Daito Bunka University
3 Definition of Terms
Overseas Dispatch Operations (ODO)Japanese: International Peace Cooperation
Activities (IPCA: 国際平和協力活動 )Neutral, covering UN/non-UN operations,
unilateral and multilateralThe IPCA term (and IPC Law) was
developed from the ODA policies of the 1980s
Overseen by IPCH, with JSDF and Police in the IPCC
Garren Mulloy Daito Bunka University
Japanese ODO Policy Actors
MoFA
MOD/JSDF
Cabinet Office/IPCH
NPA/Police
Garren Mulloy Daito Bunka University
Legal and Constitutional Limits on JSDF ODO
Article 9: Aspiring sincerely to an international peace
based on justice and order, the Japanese people forever renounce war as a sovereign right of the nation and the threat or use of force as means of settling international disputes.
In order to accomplish the aim of the preceding paragraph, land, sea, and air forces, as well as other war potential, will never be maintained. The right of belligerency of the state will not be recognized.
Garren Mulloy Daito Bunka University
戦争の放棄 第9条 日本国民は、正義と秩序を基
調とする国際平和を誠実に希求し、国権の発動たる戦争と、武力による威嚇又は武力の行使は、国際紛争を解決する手段としては、永久にこれを放棄する。
2 前項の目的を達するため、陸海空軍その他の戦力は、これを保持しない。国の交戦権は、これを認めない。
Garren Mulloy Daito Bunka University
Fear of Clouds and Codes
There is an implicit ‘code’ The code is based upon perceptions of
interpretations of a translated document The code is not codified The code hangs above, like a ‘cloud’ The code/cloud affects laws, policies,
and operational decisions The code/cloud is imaginary, and very
real, and exerts a tremendous influence
Garren Mulloy Daito Bunka University
4 Methodology and Operational Analysis
Methodology1 Triangulation:
JSDF UN Ops
JSDF non-UN Ops
Non-Japanese Actors
2 Analytical Framework:
Mission Context
Preparation and Logistics
JSDF Performance
Overall Mission Contribution
Operational Analysis
JSDF Performance Indicators
1 Effectiveness
2 Efficiency
3 Quality
(O'Brien, R.J., Police as peacekeepers: an evaluation of the performance of Australian police peacekeeping on Cyprus 1964 – 1998, PhD thesis (Adelaide: University of South Australia, 2001).
Garren Mulloy Daito Bunka University
4 Limits of Methodology and Operational Analysis
No systematic JSDF/JDA/MOD analysis Lack of documentation Uncritical, non-specific documentation Small security community Interview-based Limited media resources
Garren Mulloy Daito Bunka University
4 Limits of Methodology and OAODO of the 1990s
UN command, PSO, ‘nation building’ and ‘classical’ ops
Varied, strongly liberal IPCO character
UN ODO
UNTAC Cambodia
1992-1993
ONUMOZ Mozambique 1992-1995
UNDOF Golan Heights 1996-present
Non-UN ODO Allied Support
○ Persian Gulf 1991
Humanitarian Assistance
人道支援○ Rwanda/Zaire 1994,
West Timor 1999
Disaster Relief 緊急援助○ Honduras 1998, Turkey 1999
Garren Mulloy Daito Bunka University
21st Century JSDF ODO
Pattern of the 1990s Appearing to be ‘new’ but mainly 1990s patterns
UN ODO UNMISET East Timor
2002~2004 (680)
UNMIN Nepal (6) 2007~2011
MINUSTAH Haiti (350) 2010~present
UNMISS South Sudan (c.500) 2012~
Non-UN ODO Anti-Terrorism
OEF-MIO Allied Support
Iraq, Gulf of Aden/Djibouti Refugee Relief
Afghanistan/Pakistan, Iraq/Jordan
Disaster Relief Iran, Thailand/Indonesia,
Russia, Pakistan
Garren Mulloy Daito Bunka University
5 Immediate Findings: Operational Analysis and ODO
Common Issues Slow deployment and logistical limits
Garren Mulloy Daito Bunka University
5 Immediate Findings: Operational Analysis and ODO
Common Issues Slow deployment and logistical limits
Legal and political obstacles○ IPCL as ‘umbrella legislation’
JDA-MOD/JSDF management and culture○ GSDF ‘rotation’, poor ‘jointery’, culture
Poor local intelligence○ Mixed Agency, reliance upon US
Defence investment legacies and policies○ Industrial war priorities in post-modern age
Garren Mulloy Daito Bunka University
Slow deployment and logistical limits
IPCL limit of 2000 personnel Each mission requires separate
legislation (with exceptions) Rapid deployment disabled by use of ad
hoc units assembled from personnel within a Regional Army
“Alice in Wonderland” approach to unit security (ROE/equipment etc.) pre-1998
Garren Mulloy Daito Bunka University
Preparation for ODO: Investment ComparisonJapan and UK Air Transport Capability 2006
Japan
Tactical 137
Theatre 16
Strategic 2 (VIP)
Tankers (4)
UK
Tactical 20
Theatre 47
Strategic 17
Tankers 12
Also differences in quality of air-lift capabilities
Garren Mulloy Daito Bunka University
Preparation for ODO: Investment ComparisonCanada and Australia Air Transport Capability
2006
Canada
Tactical 10
Theatre 25
Strategic 5
(plus contracts)
Tankers 7
Australia
Tactical 13
Theatre 20
Strategic 4
Tankers 2
Garren Mulloy Daito Bunka University
Preparation for ODO: Investment ComparisonJapan & UK Strategic Sealift & Support Capability
2006
Japan
3 Vessels (Oosumi class)
= 26,700 tons
Also, auxiliary support vessels,
4 AOE 72,550 tons
UK
15 Vessels (6 classes)
= 291,600 tons
12 varied vessels
353,600 tons
Garren Mulloy Daito Bunka University
Logistical Limitation ExamplesMozambique and Honduras
Mozambique
Antonov charter airlift and schedule airline flights
C-130s: five days No MSDF support,
merchant charter
Honduras
ASDF required half C-130 force to sustain 80-man GSDF medical team
C-130: four days Only one vehicle
and light equipment
Garren Mulloy Daito Bunka University
5 Immediate Findings: Operational Analysis and ODO
Common Issues Slow deployment and logistical limits Poor risk assessment and management
in first generation ODO
Garren Mulloy Daito Bunka University
5 Immediate Findings: Operational Analysis and ODO
Common Issues Slow deployment and logistical limits Poor risk assessment and management
Highly risk averse: form and functionPoor risk-reduction managementImplicit reliance upon collective securityExplicit rejection of collective securityJDA-MOD/JSDF conflict with MoFA
Garren Mulloy Daito Bunka University
Watanabe Takashi :The PKO in Cambodia-Lessons Learned: 101
What is basic common sense for the militaries of nations taking part in PKOs is not recognized by Japan...
Japanese PKO personnel were only able to defend themselves and other unit members …Moreover, the use of weapons …was left to the judgment of the individual, and appeared to be outside the standards of conduct for troops.
Garren Mulloy Daito Bunka University
5 Immediate Findings: Operational Analysis and ODO
Common Issues Slow deployment and logistical limits Poor risk assessment and management Inadequate preparations and follow-up
Garren Mulloy Daito Bunka University
5 Immediate Findings: Operational Analysis and ODO
Common Issues Slow deployment and logistical limits Poor risk assessment and management Inadequate preparations and follow-up
Training flaws: climate, vaccination, multinational ops, languages, security, ODO-specific issues
Poor intelligence and briefingsFew de-briefs, few lessons learned
Garren Mulloy Daito Bunka University
5 Immediate Findings: Operational Analysis:
Negative Dissatisfaction with MoFA briefings Little ‘Learning from Others’ No PKO Training Centre (~2007) No ‘Lessons Learned’ Centre (~2008) Little ‘Recycling’ of personnel Poor De-briefing Poor Rotation System for PKO Dispatch No extraction force (~2007 ?)
Garren Mulloy Daito Bunka University
5 Immediate Findings: Operational Analysis:
Positive JSDF Innovations
Collective Security by Stealth (UNTAC, ONUMOZ, Rwanda/ Zaire, UNDOF)
Defrosting ‘frozen activities’ (UNMISET) 2001
HQ presence and close cooperation with non-US partners (ONUMOZ, Iraq)
Local intelligence gathering as CIMIC (UNTAC, Iraq)
Garren Mulloy Daito Bunka University
5 Immediate Findings: Security Issues and JSDF
ODO Risk Averse
Law, Policy, Missions, Deployments Risk Negligent
Poor camp/unit security, ridiculous limits Risk Accepting
Patrolling by another name Collective Security
De facto collective security (UNTAC, ONUMOZ, UNDOF, Zaire, Honduras)
Garren Mulloy Daito Bunka University
5 Immediate Findings: Operational Analysis:
Positive Technically capable
Water purificationEngineeringMedical assistanceLogistical supportCIMIC (Civilian-Military Cooperation)
Professional
Garren Mulloy Daito Bunka University
Medical Work of JSDF
Medical MissionsHeavy Zaire/RwandaLight Honduras
Non-Medical MissionsHuman Security Human Care
UNTAC Max. 17 medical personnel- up to 600 patients/day, c.7000 cases in total.- normal workload = 20~40 cases/day
Garren Mulloy Daito Bunka University
5 JSDF Refugee Relief Unit (RRU) Zaire/Rwanda Sept-
Dec 1994 Division Personnel
• In-patients Out-patients Medical 70 70 2100
Clinical 23 Surgical 18 Hygiene 9 Prevention 16 HQ 4 Combined Daily Average 30
Security 50 Including serious surgery and Water 43 intensive care Administration 68 HQ 29
Garren Mulloy Daito Bunka University
5 Honduras JDR ODO17th Nov-10th Dec 1998
Division Personnel • In-patients Out-patients • 0 4031 • Daily Average 288
Medical 23 Prevention 15 Support 42
○ Innovation of Tele-medicine (with JSDF Central Hospital and the GSDF School of Field Medicine)
Garren Mulloy Daito Bunka University
6 Broader Findings: ODO and JapanEffects of ODO upon the JSDF
JSDF self-confidenceGSDF survey December 1974 ~ January 1975, 15,220 personnel
below rank of Lt. Col.
“Do you feel that the work of the SDF is meaningful”:
40.3% Not very much; 45.4% Yes, I do; 6.5% Yes, very much so; 7.8% No.
Equivalent surveys in 1995, 1997, and 2000 revealed positive answers above 75% level. Due both to domestic and overseas operations.
Defense of Japan, 1976, p.118; Defense of Japan 1995~2000, JDA, Tokyo.
Garren Mulloy Daito Bunka University
6 Broader Findings: ODO and JapanODO Costs
Japan defence budget 2006 $43.7 Billion
Japanese spending (gross), above the MoFA UN PKO contribution:
UNTAC: \11.8 Billion = $102.6 Million (@\115/$1)
ONUMOZ: \2.2 Billion = $19 Million (@\115/$1)
=0.006~0.16% of Japanese defence budgets (1992-95)
Garren Mulloy Daito Bunka University
6 Broader Findings: ODO and Japan
ODO-Inspired Investments and Innovations GSDF: CRF Central Readiness Force
Force Trainer, Force Provider, Force Consumer ~2007 GSDF: Peacekeeping Training Center ~2008 GSDF: LAV and Type-96 APC ASDF: Freighter-tanker KC-767 (x4) ~2009 MSDF: Oosumi-class (x3) ~1998 Jointery
First Joint ODO 2005 (SEA Tsunami JDR) Allied Cooperation through ODO (Functionalism)
UK, Australia, France, RoK, Netherlands etc.
Garren Mulloy Daito Bunka University
6 Broader Findings: ODO and JapanPersonnel and Support Issues
JDA 2007 23,262 staff for 259,590 JSDF
UK MoD 2009 87,000 staff for 187,210 military
Japan MOD has c. three times the ratio of military to civilians as Australia
MoFA is also much smaller than the British or French foreign ministries
Japan has very limited and fragmented intelligence capabilities.
Garren Mulloy Daito Bunka University
6 Broader Findings: ODO and Japan
Effective Actors, Effective Policy?
Generally effective JSDF ODO Confused and contradictory policies,
laws, and rules Constitutional fear (‘code and cloud’) What is gained by such limited ODO? What is the point? ODO as a strategic device? The enigma of leadership
Garren Mulloy Daito Bunka University
Conclusions
JSDF ODO: Low Cost – Medium Return Introduced new security ‘horizons’ ODO as a ‘Trojan Horse’ for new norms? JSDF as Effective International Actors JSDF stretched by missions Capability gaps: logistics, ‘jointery’, training
etc. As yet, no militarization of policy As yet, strategy as speculation