15. Session 5 Keynote Address NNPC David Ige Samue Lndukwe

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    Update on the Nigerian Gas

    Master-plan

     June 5th 2013

    NOG Tech

    Lagos, Nigeria

    Dr. David Ige

    Group Executive Director, Gas & Power NNPC

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    Outline

    2

    Our Scorecard

    Gas Industrialization

    Overview of the Nigerian Gas Sector

    Investment Opportunities

    Conclusion

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    Overview of the Nigerian Oil & Gas Industry

    - Nigerian Oil & Gas Reserves Overview

    Nigeria’s abundant oil and gas reserves base creates a robust platform for investment opportunities.

    3

    Source: BP Statistical Review or World Energy 2011EU Energy Portal; Transparency International, 2011 Report on

    Oil and Gas Companies; NAPIMS, Daily Gas Production and

    Utilisation Report (August 16, 2011)

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       R  e  s  e  r  v  e  s

       (   B   i   l   l   i  o  n   )   B  a  r  r  e   l  s

    Nigeria’s Crude Oil Reserves (1980-2010)

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    Overview of the Nigerian Gas Industry

    - Undiscovered Potential

    Undiscovered potential is ever greater!4

    600TCF Undiscovered Potential

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    Global Context

    - Huge Discoveries Globally

    SOURCE: EIA; Deutsche Bank; Shale Gas.com; USGS; NPC; company announcements; Team analysis

    US natural gasresources have nearlydoubled through Shalefinds

    Significant discoveriesin East Africa

    Further discoveries inWest Africa

    Recent changes in global energy dynamics shift attention to market share particularly in the East.India is a key part of that discussion 

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    Our Strategic Aspiration for Natural Gas

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    GAS TO POWER 

    “… By 2014, we would have

    positioned Nigeria firmly asthe undisputed regional hub

    for gas-based industries such

    as fertilizer, petrochemicals

    and methanol.” 

    GAS 

    BASED INDUSTRIALISATION  HIGH VALUE EXPORT 

    STRATEGIC THEMES OF GAS 

    MASTER PLAN 

    Consolidate Nigeria’s position and

    market share in high value export

    markets

    • Regional gas pipelines – consolidatenational footprint and influence

    Deliver on President’s Gas 

    Revolution Agenda to:

    • Create regional hub for gas-based

    industries – fertilizer, petrochemical andmethanol

    • Transform gas sector to value adding

    sector

    • Deliver Gas for at least threefold

    increase in generation capacity by

    2015

    LNGRegional

    Pipelines

    We are pursuing a clearly articulated agenda in gas

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    Unprecedented Growth in Gas Sector

    The strategy paves way for an unprecedented growth potentially making Nigeria’s gas sector

    number 5 in Africa in terms of BOE. FGN’s policy thrust through the Gas Master -plan has been toenable this rowth

    868,000BOE

    926,000BOE

    7

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    The Gas Master-Plan- 4 Step Roadmap to Full Market Driven Domestic Gas Sector

    Willing

    Buyer

    Willing

    Seller!!

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    The vision is to attain full market status with ‘willing buyer willing seller’ by 2014/2015 9 

    The Gas Master-Plan- 4 Step Roadmap to Full Market Driven Domestic Gas Sector

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    Enabling Policy Framework

    10

    To support the gas agenda we embarked on an aggressive policy framework revamp to create anenabling investment environment

     

    Bankable commercial framework

    reforms in pricing and revenue

    securitization to enable

    sustainable investment in gas

    supplyScalable Gas

    Infrastructure

    Blueprint

    National Blueprint for Backbone gas pipeline

    and processing infrastructure that will enable

    flexibility in supply delivery

    DSO Regulation in place to

     jumpstart gas availability in the

    short-term. Also legislative

    reform through the PIB being

    concluded

    http://www.sxc.hu/browse.phtml?f=download&id=1147439http://www.sxc.hu/browse.phtml?f=download&id=1147439http://www.sxc.hu/browse.phtml?f=download&id=1147439http://www.sxc.hu/browse.phtml?f=download&id=951425http://www.sxc.hu/browse.phtml?f=download&id=951425http://www.sxc.hu/browse.phtml?f=download&id=951425http://www.sxc.hu/browse.phtml?f=download&id=951425http://www.sxc.hu/browse.phtml?f=download&id=1147439

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    Outline

    11

    Overview of the Nigerian Gas Sector

    Gas Industrialization

    Our Scorecard

    Investment Opportunities

    Conclusion

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    Current Status of Domestic Gas Supply

    We have grown utilizable domestic gas supply capacity to highest ever level of 1500mmcf/d andstill growing

    Domestic supply is

    growing steadily and

    to forecast!

      m  m  s  c

       f   d

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    Additional Gas Supply Projects

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    A second wave of supply projects is being developed with planned capacity of 2150mmcfd between 2015 and

    2019 effectively doubling the domestic gas market. A total of 6 projects are being progressed at various stagesof development

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    Impact on Power Sector

    - Gas to Power

    Gas to Power (2013-15) Gas to Power (Longer Term View)

    Meeting the Power Sector requirement is a focus area for the gas sector and good progress isbeing made

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    Domestic Gas Reforms

    - Gas Pricing Reform

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    Pricing reform is taking hold, creating a more robust basis for investment in supply

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    Progress Update on Gas Infrastructure Development

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    24” x 31km;

    Project has been completed

    and currently supplying gas

    to Olorunshogo power plant

    Addresses permanently the

    challenge of supply delivery

    to Olorunshogo PHCN/NIPP

    Plants

    36” x 136km; from Oben to Geregu 

    Project completed in Nov ‘11

    Addresses supply deliverability to Geregu

    power plant and future expansions

    ELPS 2 – Oben-Lagos

    Itoki- Olorunshogo

    ELPS A Escravos – Warri – Oben

    Oben – Geregu

    24”/30” x 104km;

    Project has been completed

    Addresses stranded gas in Escravos – additional

    80mmcf/d (300MW) is currently supplied to the

    domestic market and a further 70mmcf/d(250MW)

    by October

    36” x 324km;

    Ongoing project will double

    capacity from 1bcf/d to

    2bcf/d by Early 2014

    Project is ongoing

    Enable expanded supply to

    support all future power and

    industry expansion

    Steady progress has been made in delivering the critical pipeline infrastructure. This will address many of thegas deliverability challenges

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    12

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    Obiafu/Obrikom - Oben

    (OB3)

    48” x 127km; Contract was awarded by FEC

    in April 2012

    Detailed engineering almostcompleted Completion Date – Early 2015

    5

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    ELPS 2 – (Oben – Lagos)

    • Project ongoing

    • Expected completion

    date – Early 2014

    Ob/Ob – Oben (Ob3 pipeline)

    • Project ongoing,

    commenced detailed

    engineering

    • Expected completion date

     – Early 2015

    Gas Pipeline Infrastructure

    Planned gas supply

    availability

    AKK and CAP projects• Planned to kick off in

    2013

    • Expected completion

    date - 2017

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    Outline

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    Overview of the Nigerian Gas Sector

    Our Scorecard

    Gas Industrialization

    Investment Opportunities

    Conclusion

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    CENTRAL PROCESSING FACILITY 

    FTZ BASE INFRASTRUCTURE  PORT INFRASTRUCTURE 

    PETROCHEMICAL PLANT  FERTILIZER PLANT 

    Gas Based Industrialization Agenda

    - The Ogidigben Industrial Park

    POWER PLANT  OTHER SUPPORT SERVICES 

    Aims to create the largest gas industrial park Sub-Saharan Africa with Fertilizer, Methanol andPower projects.

    AnchorInvestors

    SupportInvestors

    - SPV

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    Ogidigben Gas Based Industrial Park

    - Africa’s Largest Gas City 

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    Outline

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    Overview of the Nigerian Gas Sector

    Our Scorecard

    Investment Opportunities

    Gas Industrialization

    Conclusion

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    CENTRAL PROCESSING FACILITY 

    FTZ BASE INFRASTRUCTURE  PORT INFRASTRUCTURE 

    PETROCHEMICAL PLANT  FERTILIZER PLANT 

    Investment Opportunities

    POWER PLANT  GAS PIPELINE INFRASTRUCTURE 

    Aims to create the largest gas industrial park Sub-Saharan Africa with Fertilizer, Methanol andPower projects.

    AnchorInvestors

    SupportInvestors

    - SPV

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    Outline

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    Overview of the Nigerian Gas Sector

    Our Scorecard

    Conclusion

    Gas Industrialization

    Investment Opportunities

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    Conclusion

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    Reforms are being put in place and holding

    Aggressive expansion plans and huge investment opportunities

     You can playing a key role by taking opportunities as they come

    Contrary to some view, Nigeria is open to business

    Now is the time to invest in the gas sector of Nigeria ……just

    examine the fundamentals!!!

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    THANK YOU

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    The Domestic Supply Obligation Policy

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    The gas supply to underpin agenda is from the Domestic Gas supply Obligation (DSO)

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    Domestic Gas Price Transition

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    Gas Pipeline Infrastructure Blueprint

    - Aggressive Expansion in Progress

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    Ogidigben Gas Based Industrial Park

    - Africa’s Largest Gas City 

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    Gas Pipeline Investment Opportunities

    30

    QIT

    Bonny NLNG

    Uquo

    Alscon

    Ibom

    Power

    Calabar

    NIPP

    Unicem

    CementImo River

    Alaoji

    NIPP

    Aba Industries

    Indorama

    Obiafu/Obrikom

    Obite

    225mmscfd

    Alakiri

    100mmscfdGTS 1

    Cawthorne

    Channel

    Geregu

    NIPPAjaokuta

    ELPS 1

    ELPS 2

    Egbin

    OlorunshogoOmotosho

    Ibadan

    Jebba

    Forcados Yorki

    Bonga FPSO

    Erha

    Ogidigbe

    Industrial City

    Oben

    Odidi1

    2

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    Investment Opportunities: East North Gas Transmission System

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    Escravos

    ELPS 2

    Obigbo Node

    QIT

    Oben

    Investment Opportunities: East-North Gas Transmission System

    - A Private Public Partnership (PPP) Case

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    East-North Gas Transmission System- Early Gas Scenario

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    NNPC

    EPC Contractor /

    ContractorFinancing

    Proposed Financing Structure

    ECA 3rd Party Debt

    FGN Annual

    Appropriation

    3rd Party

    Equity

    Participation

    FGN

    EurobondEquity

    Debt

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    Investment Opportunities

    GAS PROCESSING FACILITY /

    GAS BASED MANUFACTURING

    FINANCIAL SERVICES

    UPSTREAM GAS

    DEVELOPMENT

    GAS TRANSMISSION

    PIPELINES

    LNG & LPG PLANTS

    PIPE MILLING AND

    FABRICATION YARDS

    $16 Billion

    Investment

    Opportunity

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    2

    3

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    OGIDIGBEN FTZ INFRASTRUCTURE,

    PORT INFRASTRUCTURE & REAL

    ESTATE DEVELOPMENT

    5

    7

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