20 09 2005 Marwa Earthquake Potential Tanzania

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    Overview of Earthquake Potential inCentral Part of Tanzania

    Ernest M.M.Marwa

    Sokoine University of Agriculture,Tanzania

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    Map of Tanzania

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    SEISMIC ACTIVITY IN REGION(Continuing)

    The Rift System in the Region is defined bybroad zones of faults with a series of tiltedblocks.The faults in some places follow the

    Precambrian weak zones

    The paper contains seismic data in the

    region from 1894 to 2002

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    Recent strong earthquakes inTanzania

    BABATI 5TH JULY 1964 MG 6.3

    RUKWA 18THAUG. 1994 MG 6.4

    KIPILI 2ND OCT. 2002 MG 6.5

    BARIADI 18TH MAY 2002 MG 5.5

    DODOMA 4TH NOV. 2002 MG 5.6

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    Tectonic structures of Tanzania(Source: Iranga, 1991)

    Davies ridge

    (Chapola,1997)

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    Ground structures and earthquake epicentres in CentralRegion (1894-2002)

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    Seismic observatory network

    KEY:

    1. DOD = Dodoma

    2. ARTT = Arusha

    3. ITBT = Itumba

    4. PDHT = Panda Hill

    5. TDMT = Tunduma

    6. ITKT = Itaka

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    Seismic source zones of Tanzania

    e se sm c azar map o anzan a s ow ng se sm c

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    e se sm c azar map o anzan a s ow ng se sm cmean Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) in cm/s2.

    (Analysis done using SEISAN software, Mmari, 2004)

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    RECORDED EARTHQUAKES (1894-2002)

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    45

    50

    1894 1919 1947 1957 1962 1967 1972 1978 1983 1994 2002

    YEAR

    FREQU

    ENCY

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    Range of recorded earthquake magnitudes

    (1894-2002)

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    2.6-

    2.8

    2.8-

    3.0

    3.0-

    3.2

    3.2-

    3.4

    3.4-

    3.6

    3.6-

    3.8

    3.8-

    4.0

    4.0-

    4.2

    4.2-

    4.4

    4.4-

    4.6

    4.6-

    4.8

    4.8-

    5.0

    5.0-

    5.2

    5.2-

    5.4

    5.4-

    5.6

    5.6-

    5.8

    5.8-

    6.0

    6.0-

    6.2

    6.2-

    6.4

    Range of earthquake magn itudes

    Numbero

    foccurrences

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    Monthly frequency distribution of earthquakes

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    45

    50

    55

    60

    Jan. Feb. March April M ay June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.

    MONTHS

    FREQU

    ENCY

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    CONCLUDING REMARKS

    The Central Tanzania is prone to earthquakes

    The maximum earthquake magnitudes from 1894 and2002 range between 5.0 and 6.4, dominant

    magnitudes are 4.0-4.8.There is an urgent needs of establishing an up to dateGIS seismic data base for planning of land use

    There is a need of enforcing the existing building code& regulations to minimize possible future seismicrisks.

    With increase in population, public awareness andeducation on earthquake hazards and risks should be

    done at all levels.