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Status of AROME model delelopments Yann Seity, Pierre Brousseau, Thibaut Montmerle, Gwennaëlle Hello, Sylvie Malardel,Valéry Masson, Yves Bidet, Patrick Santurette ( Météo-France) …. 29th EWGLAM meeting, Dubrovnik, October 2007. Historical introduction Design of the ‘pre operational suite’ - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Status of AROME model delelopments
Yann Seity, Pierre Brousseau, Thibaut Montmerle, Gwennaëlle Hello, Sylvie Malardel,Valéry Masson, Yves Bidet,
Patrick Santurette ( Météo-France) …
29th EWGLAM meeting, Dubrovnik, October 2007
Historical introduction Design of the ‘pre operational suite’ Examples of ‘good AROME forecasts’ Remaining known problems and solutions Conclusion and outlooks
Introduction
Application of Research to Operational at Meso-scalE
- First version of the AROME ‘prototype’ in 2004 on CY28
-NH
RRTM, FM (6 bands)
Surfex 2 bf5
MASDEV_47 : ICE3, 1D turb (BL89 closure), KFB
CY32T3 :
Introduction
- Daily experimentations of the prototype on ¼ of France since May 2005
AROME FRAN (512x512)
- Daily experimentations on France since January 2007 (NEC SX8R) without data assimilation
Introduction
- September 2007 : Configuration of AROME suite on operational NEC computer with data assimilation (30 h forecasts at 0, 6, 12 and 18 TU)
- Spring 2008 : AROME pre-operational suit managed by operational team
- October 2008 : AROME declared operational at Meteo-France
- End of 2009 : NEC v2 : x5 : increase vertical resolutionModel domain (600x512x41) Domain provided to forecasters
(LAT-LON 0.025)
First design of the ‘operational’ suite
Coupling files
Guess
Technical overview :
Cycling of hydrometeores
60s time step, Full radiation every 15’
64 processors, hourly coupling with ALADIN-France
= 30’ elapse
AROME suite : on 64 procs, FC24 performed in 30’ elapse
Cost of AROME Physics :
First design of the ‘operational’ suite
Shallow
Convection
8%
Turbulence
19%
Surface
4%
I nterfaces
12%
Microphysics
15%
Radiation
42%
SL advection
22%
Physics
24%
others
(coupling, FFT,
dynamics…)
20% Communications
34%
Currently being optimized by NEC Ingeneers
Historical introduction Design of the ‘pre operational suite’ Examples of ‘good AROME forecasts’ Remaining known problems and solutions Conclusion and outlooks
Cumulative rainfalls :August 21st 2007
AROME
ALADIN
Radar
RR 24h 6-6TU
AROME
ALADIN
Radar
RR 24h 6-6TU
AROME : Good structures and maxima localisation, but excessive in terms of intensity.
Cumulative rainfalls :August 23rd 2007
Foehn over « Massif Central »
HU AROMEFC+12h
Satellite VIS picture
Frontal precipitation bands (1)
Système frontal dont la structure verticale présente une cassure : en altitude le front se détache de sa partie en basses couches et le front dans les couches moyennes et supérieures (au-dessus de 700 hPa environ) avance plus vite que la trace de basses couches.
A thin cold front precipitating band.
Simulated radar reflectivity (FC+13h ) vs radar picture, 1 Mars 2007 ; 13 UTC
Vertical velocity, w (updrafts in red)
31 May 2006 on SUDE domain
31 May 2006– Change of wind and Temperature due to cold air coming from the Alps
31 May 2006 : 9 UTC
AROME (T. 2 m., v.20 m. et Ps) ALADIN (T. 2 m., v.20 m. et Ps)
31 May 2006 : 12 UTC
AROME (T. 2 m., v.20 m. et Ps) ALADIN (T. 2 m., v.20 m. et Ps)
31 May 2006 : 18 UTC
AROME (T. 2 m., v.20 m. et Ps) ALADIN (T. 2 m., v.20 m. et Ps)
Temperatures (1)
Températures Tourettes - 31 mai 2006
0
5
10
15
20
25
4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
Heure (UTC)
°C
Observation Arome Aladin
Températures Seillans - 31 mai 2006
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
Heure (UTC)°C
Observation Arome Aladin
A Flood case
AROME cumulative rainfall from 3 TU to 6 TU (FC30-FC27 )
A Flood case
Historical introduction Design of the ‘pre operational suite’ Example of ‘good AROME forecasts’ Remaining known problems and solutions Conclusion and outlooks
Statistic sedimentation scheme for precipitations
n
n+1
w. Δtw, qrΔz
Fn
Fn+1 = ?
P1= min (1, w Δt ) (Proportion of the layer falling during dt)
Δz
P2= max (0, 1 - Δz ) (Proportion of Fn falling through the layer during dt )
wΔt
(Yves Bouteloup, JF Geleyn)
Fn+1= P1. ρ.qr.Δz + P2.FnΔt
AROME 60s
AROME Sedim
Before : Eulerian discretisation with time splitting -> costly. Now : in CY32T2 and MASDEV_47 :
Evaluation over Austria for August 2005
(15 % of physical cost gain)
20070516 20070620 (32 days)
Ps
RR
Hu2mffV10m
ddV10m
T2m
ALADIN/AROME Scores (32 days FRAN domain)
AROME
ALADIN
RMSE
Biais
Double pain ?
Arome REF
Arome NO DifHor
T and wind near the surface
Méso-NH
Arome Hydro
Over-estimated downdrafts (April 11th 2007)
Arome REF
Arome NO DifHor
Instantaneous rainfalls
Méso-NH
Arome Hydro
Arome REF
Arome NO DifHor
Wind strength near surface
Méso-NH
Arome Hydro
New shallow convection scheme : EDKF
- Motivation : improve representation of stratocumulus ans shallow cumulus.
-Mass flux formulation (Malardel Masson, Soares et al. 2004) with subgrid autoconversion. Independant from turbulence scheme.
-Validated on 1d cases (Wangara, Ayotte), and in some 3d cases in AROME and MesoNH, with some CLOUDNET datas over Cabauw.
- Updraft comparison with RACMO (KNMI)
- Will be used in AROME daily runs in one month when merged to the recent CY32T3.
T2m Paulson
SBL laws
Surface scores
Sol
Last model level (17m)
Ta
TsT2m Geleyn
Actually :
N2
M=
2
(too co
ld)
N2
M=
1
(too h
ot)
Sol
Ta
Ts
SBL CANOPY scheme (Masson and Ramdi)
6 added levels and turb scheme in surfex
Evaluation on July 2007 and January 2007 on South East France domain :
T2m
Canopy (blue)
Ref (pink)
Stations z>300m
Stations z<300m
July 2007 January 2007
Hu2m
Canopy (blue)
Ref (pink)
Stations z>300m
Stations z<300m
July 2007 January 2007
FF V10m
Canopy (blue)
Ref (pink)
Stations z>300m
Stations z<300m
July 2007 January 2007
Behaviour over sea (5th August 2007)
Wind gusts (new AROME diagnostic based on TKE, available since CY32T2) too strong associated with a unrealistic convective system starting from spain and moving over the bay of Biscay.
Other cases reported by Hirlam over Baltic sea.
Still under investigations…
Conclusion and outlook
-AROME is on the way for an operationnal use at Meteo-France by october 2008
-New surface diagnostics has been developped and will continue to be evaluated on FRAN domain.
-Statistical formulation of precipitations sedimentations saves computer time
-EDKF convection scheme will replace KFB scheme soon
-Remaining problems are under investigation (numerical diffusion setting, behaviour over sea) - Evaluation of the model will continue with more interaction with forecasters
- Training of forecasters on how to use the model in spring 2008
- Test of hail (available in MASDEV_47 Meso-NH physics)
MAP-DPHASE and COPS
- International experiment since 1st June 2007 (to 30 November 2007 for MAP-DPHASE)
COPS
DPHA
Chemistry scheme
- MesoNH Chemistry scheme OK in AROME
(P.Tulet)
- interactive CO2 (C. Sarat, P.Tulet)
- Dusts (evaluation on AMMA)
CO2
HNO3
Dusts : MesoNH
Val d’Isère 2009
- AROME 1km : Val d’Isère 2009 (support to world skiing championship)
Thank you for your attention !
Yann Seity, Pierre Brousseau, Thibaut Montmerle, Gwennaëlle Hello, Sylvie Malardel,Valéry Masson, Yves Bidet,
Patrick Santurette ( Météo-France) …
29th EWGLAM meeting, Dubrovnik, October 2007
Assimilation of Doppler radar winds
AROME Assim-Doppler AROME Assim AROME-AD
Observations
AROME Assim green
AROME Assim Doppler
AROME AD
AROME Assim Doppler