16
JAMSTEC(2005) !""#$%&’()*+, -./0123)* 45!""6789:;)*< =>?@)*ABC D!""#$%&’()*ABC D!""EFG$)* D!""EHI$JK)* D!""LMNOPQ)* D!""LMNORS()*ABC D!""TR$%&’)* 2007!"#$%&’()* +,-.(/012 !"#$%&’()* +,-./012/3456 The 2004 Tsunami Generation and Propagation 3456)*789:;<

3456)*789:;< - JSCE 公益社団法人 土木学会 · 1st & 2nd Tsunami Survey done ... ¥Air Haji, IndraPura ¥Kota Jaya ¥Pasar Bantal ¥Serangai, Ipuh ¥Air Napal, Laise ¥Bengkulu

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Page 1: 3456)*789:;< - JSCE 公益社団法人 土木学会 · 1st & 2nd Tsunami Survey done ... ¥Air Haji, IndraPura ¥Kota Jaya ¥Pasar Bantal ¥Serangai, Ipuh ¥Air Napal, Laise ¥Bengkulu

JAMSTEC(2005)

!""#$%&'()*+,-./0123)*45!""6789:;)*<

=>?@)*ABCD!""#$%&'()*ABCD!""EFG$)*D!""EHI$JK)*D!""LMNOPQ)*D!""LMNORS()*ABCD!""TR$%&')*

2007!"#$%&'()*

+,-.(/012

!"#$%&'()*

+,-./012/3456

The 2004 Tsunami Generation and Propagation3456)*789:;<

Page 2: 3456)*789:;< - JSCE 公益社団法人 土木学会 · 1st & 2nd Tsunami Survey done ... ¥Air Haji, IndraPura ¥Kota Jaya ¥Pasar Bantal ¥Serangai, Ipuh ¥Air Napal, Laise ¥Bengkulu

789:;<=>?#-01

@A&B8CDEFGHKhao Lak, IJKLMNO

"#$%=&'(

3456>)*

?&-.

Imamura et al., 2007, JDR

Page 3: 3456)*789:;< - JSCE 公益社団法人 土木学会 · 1st & 2nd Tsunami Survey done ... ¥Air Haji, IndraPura ¥Kota Jaya ¥Pasar Bantal ¥Serangai, Ipuh ¥Air Napal, Laise ¥Bengkulu

2006.7.17PQRSTUV>W!" • 7@17AB?&CD13C19EFAGCD15C19EH89

• IJKLMN!O200kmP'QR

• SIJKTUVW"XPangandaranYZ[P>\]^_R

• 23A?`B&':)*Pabcdef600ghiB100ghijklmnRFopqrH

XYZX[, 2006, \]^

Page 4: 3456)*789:;< - JSCE 公益社団法人 土木学会 · 1st & 2nd Tsunami Survey done ... ¥Air Haji, IndraPura ¥Kota Jaya ¥Pasar Bantal ¥Serangai, Ipuh ¥Air Napal, Laise ¥Bengkulu

JAV

A

0

20

40

60

80

100

Cilacap Cikembulan Sukaresik Wonoharjo Pangandaran

Village

% r

esp

on

den

t

Receive warning no warning

Questionnaire survey result for establishing

warning by government

0

20

40

60

80

100

Cilacap Cikembulan Sukaresik Wonoharjo Pangandaran

village

% r

esp

on

den

t

> 5 MMI 1 > MMI > 5 no earthquake

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Cilacap Cikembulan Sukaresik Wonoharjo Pangandaran

village

% r

esp

on

den

t

evacuated not evacuated

50-100 sheets at each 5 villages

evacuation MM intensity

Murari et al., 2007, JNDS

Page 5: 3456)*789:;< - JSCE 公益社団法人 土木学会 · 1st & 2nd Tsunami Survey done ... ¥Air Haji, IndraPura ¥Kota Jaya ¥Pasar Bantal ¥Serangai, Ipuh ¥Air Napal, Laise ¥Bengkulu

^_7xy

UVW#XY*ZL[UTWTXY*Z\)*]^

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h4\5"""45\4Tijkl

4VL!#mno

"4LEpqrs

!4BCtuL\Tvo

!w#7!wT7BC]^

Imamura et al., 2006, BACONAS, 2006

2007/9/12 S.Sumatra

information from PTWC• 11:10:26 UTC earthquake 4.517sS, 101.382sE

• 130 km (80 miles) SW of Bengkulu, Sumatra, Indonesia

• 11:24 4.5 SOUTH 101.3 EAST M7.9

• 11:53 M8.2tu

• 12:30 PADANG 0.35M vw

• 13:21 COCOS 0.4FTvw

• 14:40 DART 23401vw

• 15:05

Page 6: 3456)*789:;< - JSCE 公益社団法人 土木学会 · 1st & 2nd Tsunami Survey done ... ¥Air Haji, IndraPura ¥Kota Jaya ¥Pasar Bantal ¥Serangai, Ipuh ¥Air Napal, Laise ¥Bengkulu

?&Z7&'()*z1

5_`a SMHbcFOdEef/gPhHBMG)

aaaaa >W#ij&klHCm8dnopqrLst9u9Oaaaaa !"#vw#xyz{|10_`a}~�u�KL��HgPh&��O�#`a ��dr�KLb�2<PHgPhOd�Wd!"u8a

Places of the Survey

on 5-7 October 2007

1st & 2nd Tsunami Survey done

Collecting other damage and human response

• Padang

• Teluk Betung

• Air Haji, IndraPura

• Kota Jaya

• Pasar Bantal

• Serangai, Ipuh

• Air Napal, Laise

• Bengkulu

Muara

Maras

Bengkulu

Air NapalSeran-

gai

Pasar Bantal

KotaJaya

3.4m

2.7m2.4m

3.6m

2.9m2.0m1.8m

Padang

1.8m

2.0m

Air Haji

Teluk Betung

Measured Tsunami Height Due To Bengkulu Earthquake 2007

Page 7: 3456)*789:;< - JSCE 公益社団法人 土木学会 · 1st & 2nd Tsunami Survey done ... ¥Air Haji, IndraPura ¥Kota Jaya ¥Pasar Bantal ¥Serangai, Ipuh ¥Air Napal, Laise ¥Bengkulu

Muara Maras

Bengkulu

Air NapalSerangai

Pasar Bantal

Kota Jaya

3.4m

2.7m2.4m

3.6m

2.9m2.0m1.8m

Padang

1.8m

2.0 m

Air Haji

Teluk Betung

Measured Tsunami Height Due To Bengkulu Earthquake 2007

xyza6_{b|ad_}b~b���a�a�_47

��1�)����

}b~b��_}�dc

Page 8: 3456)*789:;< - JSCE 公益社団法人 土木学会 · 1st & 2nd Tsunami Survey done ... ¥Air Haji, IndraPura ¥Kota Jaya ¥Pasar Bantal ¥Serangai, Ipuh ¥Air Napal, Laise ¥Bengkulu

L=1.69E+5, W=8.4E+4a Depth=23.3E+3 ,D=7.52 in

meter

TH=327. , DL=11.8, RD=114. ,

(XG,YG)=(101.38E, 4.52S)

Max = 5.9 m

��I�aMax = 5.9 m

Padan �� : Max=1.5 m

Model1

�-!"�

Padan

L=1.69E+5, W=8.4E+4a Depth=23.3E+3 ,D=7.52 in

meter

TH=327. , DL=11.8, RD=114. ,

(XG,YG)=(101.7E, 4.99S)

Max = 5.9 m

��I�aMax = 5.9 m

Padan �� : Max=1.5 m

Model2

�-!"�

Padan

Page 9: 3456)*789:;< - JSCE 公益社団法人 土木学会 · 1st & 2nd Tsunami Survey done ... ¥Air Haji, IndraPura ¥Kota Jaya ¥Pasar Bantal ¥Serangai, Ipuh ¥Air Napal, Laise ¥Bengkulu

Koshimura et al., 2007, DCRC HP

{ad�a��_}b~b��1����a�a�_!7

Page 10: 3456)*789:;< - JSCE 公益社団法人 土木学会 · 1st & 2nd Tsunami Survey done ... ¥Air Haji, IndraPura ¥Kota Jaya ¥Pasar Bantal ¥Serangai, Ipuh ¥Air Napal, Laise ¥Bengkulu

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Page 11: 3456)*789:;< - JSCE 公益社団法人 土木学会 · 1st & 2nd Tsunami Survey done ... ¥Air Haji, IndraPura ¥Kota Jaya ¥Pasar Bantal ¥Serangai, Ipuh ¥Air Napal, Laise ¥Bengkulu

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Page 12: 3456)*789:;< - JSCE 公益社団法人 土木学会 · 1st & 2nd Tsunami Survey done ... ¥Air Haji, IndraPura ¥Kota Jaya ¥Pasar Bantal ¥Serangai, Ipuh ¥Air Napal, Laise ¥Bengkulu

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Page 13: 3456)*789:;< - JSCE 公益社団法人 土木学会 · 1st & 2nd Tsunami Survey done ... ¥Air Haji, IndraPura ¥Kota Jaya ¥Pasar Bantal ¥Serangai, Ipuh ¥Air Napal, Laise ¥Bengkulu

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Page 14: 3456)*789:;< - JSCE 公益社団法人 土木学会 · 1st & 2nd Tsunami Survey done ... ¥Air Haji, IndraPura ¥Kota Jaya ¥Pasar Bantal ¥Serangai, Ipuh ¥Air Napal, Laise ¥Bengkulu

Increasing Awareness and Risk perception

through communication,education, workshop,

making Hazard maps, drill

Receiving+Recognizing

=> Decision of evacuation

What message ?

What information

When

Who

Balance between Tsunami Waning and Risk Bias

Monitoring/observation

+Prediction

ÆEarly Warning System

Regional/National/Local

Tsunami warning

Risk Bias in individual

-own knowledge

-own experience

Program of KOGAMI 2005 - 2007Program of KOGAMI 2005 - 2007

KOGAMI as local

NGO has

commitment to be

world envoy in

developing disaster

alert culture

KOGAMI use these

three programs

recently to achieve

the goal

Page 15: 3456)*789:;< - JSCE 公益社団法人 土木学会 · 1st & 2nd Tsunami Survey done ... ¥Air Haji, IndraPura ¥Kota Jaya ¥Pasar Bantal ¥Serangai, Ipuh ¥Air Napal, Laise ¥Bengkulu

• CAPACITY BUILDING OFGOVERNMENT INDISASTER MANAGEMENT

• Post Rehearsal for Tsunami hazard

• Table Top Simulation

• Make Working Group for developingdisaster management systemcomprehensively

• DEVELOP DISASTERMANAGEMENT SYSTEM

• PADANG CITY

– Design SOP of emergency response byparticipatory method involving 20 agencies

– Design evacuation planning and determineevacuation spot for people in term ofTsunami hazard

– Design strategic plan and local action planof disaster management

• PADANG PARIAMAN DISTRICT

– Design Hazard Risk Analysis usingparticipatory method

• ZONASI KETINGGIANKOTA PADANG

Source : KOGAMI 2005

Using

participatory

method to

maintain the

sustainability

of program

Page 16: 3456)*789:;< - JSCE 公益社団法人 土木学会 · 1st & 2nd Tsunami Survey done ... ¥Air Haji, IndraPura ¥Kota Jaya ¥Pasar Bantal ¥Serangai, Ipuh ¥Air Napal, Laise ¥Bengkulu

•In PADANG CITY

• Total of school that has beeneducated is 120 schools of 260schools in vulnerable area, thetotal number of teachers andstudents participated about25,000

•In PADANG PARIAMAN DISTRICT

• 91 schools have been educated