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Debt Markets Shagun Thukral, CFA

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Government Bond Markets

Debt Markets Shagun Thukral, CFADebt MarketsMarket where fixed income securities of various types and features are issued and tradedCritical component of the financial systemOTC marketUS Bond Market is more than $35 trillion in size with daily turnover exceeding $800 BillionTotal world bond market in excess of $80 trillionIndian debt market is approx $200 Bn

Types of InstrumentsCentral Government Zero Coupon BondsCoupon Bearing bonds/Dated securitiesTreasury BillsFRBsSTRIPSState GovernmentCoupon Bearing BondsFRBsPublic Sector Debentures Fixed and FloatingTaxable/Tax-free bonds and debenturesCPsZCBs/DDBsGuaranteed Bonds Central or State Government GuaranteedPrivate Sector Corporate, Banks. FIs

RegulatorsGovernment Securities and Money Markets Reserve Bank of IndiaCorporate Debt - SEBIGovernment Securities MarketImportant source of borrowing for the governmentBenchmark for pricing corporate papers of varying maturitiesPre-requisite for development of corporate bond marketUsed as a tool for managing fiscal and monetary policiesOMOsSLRFiscal Deficit

Participants in Govt Sec MarketGovernments As issuers (suppliers)Primary Dealer Market makers/intermediariesBanks captive investors through SLRsMutual Funds launched gilt fundsInsurance Cos Regulatory requirement to invest in GsecPFs and Pension FundsFIIs within permissible limitsBrokers

Primary Market Annual borrowing amount announced in the budgetBorrowing calendar released semi-annuallyUnderwriting PDs /Underwriting commissionAuction Process on FridaysMultiple Price MethodUniform Price MethodYield based auction for new securitiesCompetitive and Non-competitive bidsDevolvement -PDsWhen-Issued MarketSale Route at predetermined rates (discontinued)Private Placement -

Govt Borrowing PlanAnnual Borrowing for 2012-13 as announced in the Union Budget INR 5.69 lakh crores Gross and Net INR 4.7 lakh croresFirst Half borrowing to be INR 3.7 lakh crores (gross) and INR 2.85 lakh crores netActual borrowing v/s budgeted borrowingSecondary MarketWholesale segmentActive market through SGL or CSGL with PDO-RBILot size of 5 CrsNDS-OMBroker/PDSettlement on NDS by RBI/CCILT+1 DVP IIIReporting on NSE/CCILRetail segmentSGL/physical form/dematLess than 1 CrSettled directlyBroker marketNo reporting

Fiscal cliff12State Government BondsAlso known as State Development Loans (SDLs)Issued through Auction processOnly 10 yr issuances in primary marketQualify for SLR but not for repoTrade at slightly higher levels than central government bonds but lower than corporate bondsSimilar Secondary Market operations

Corporate Debt MarketDominated by the PSU bonds segmentPFCRECPGCIRFCPrimary Market issuances through public issue or private placementMainly comprises of bonds and debenturesMutual funds, Insurance companies, BanksMostly issuances are up to 10 year maturity- max 15 yearsMost securities held in demat formSecondary Market Securities traded on the WDM segment of NSE/BSE or OTCSettlement through custodians on T+0 or T+1 or T+2 basis through DVP IReporting of Trades on FIMMDA F-TracSettlement on NSE/BSE platforms NSCCL not guaranteedLetter of Allotment (LoA) issued initially and then securities recd

Factors inhibiting the growth of Private Corporate Debt MarketNarrow issuer and investor basePrimary issuance through private placementLack of transparencyAbsence of a benchmark rateAbsence of Market MakingDull secondary market Accessible only to high rated borrowersFII investment is limitedDifferential stamp duties levied by different states inhibiting the growth of primary market

Innovative Debt InstrumentsFloating rate bondsZero coupon bondsDeep discount bondsFully Convertible Debentures with Interest (optional)Perpetual BondsSecuritised paperABSMBSPTCCDOSRs issued by Asset Reconstruction companiesInverse Float BondsStructured SecuritiesSecurities backed by a pool of loans or receivablesAsset Backed Security (ABS) is a security created from a portfolio of other underlying assets like:LoansBondsCredit card receivablesMortgagesAuto LoansAssets are classified and clubbed according to the credit quality of a borrower and sold to investorsDone through creation of a SPV or trustBank receives a servicing/origination feeCredit risk passed on to the investorStructure of ABS/MBSCash flows of similar assets are pooled togetherAllocated into tranches based on credit riskTranches receive returns in order of their seniority and payment waterfallSenior most tranches would have the lowest returns and bear the lowest losses. Normally rated AAAMezzanine tranches rank lower than senior tranches with the equity tranche ranked lowest and receiving the highest returnsIn case of defaults, equity tranche is affected first and if defaults are high,

Structure of ABSAsset 1

Asset 2

Asset 3-----Asset NTotal = $ 100 MnSPVSenior TranchePrincipal-75%Return 6%Mezzanine TranchePrincipal -20%Return 10%Equity TranchePrincipal - 5%Return 30%Waterfall MechanismOptions, Futures, and Other Derivatives 8th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 201221Equity TrancheSenior TrancheMezzanine TrancheAsset Cash FlowsCollateralized Debt Obligation (CDO)A kind of ABS in which the underlying are bonds with a larger number of tranchesSimilar to ABS in terms of risk-return and rating of tranchesThe originator acquires a portfolio of bonds and splits into tranches passes it on to a SPV for a profitABS CDOs are created by clubbing tranches of existing ABS

ABS- CDOsAssetsSenior Tranche (80%)AAAMezzanine Tranche (15%)BBBEquity Tranche (5%)Not RatedSenior Tranche (65%)AAAMezzanine Tranche (25%) BBBEquity Tranche (10%)The mezzanine tranche is repackaged with other mezzanine tranchesLosses to AAA rated ABS CDOsLosses on Subprime portfoliosLosses on Mezzanine Tranche of ABSLosses on Equity Tranche of ABS CDOLosses on Mezzanine Tranche of ABS CDOLosses on Senior Tranche of ABS CDO10%33.3%100%93.3%0%13%53.3%100%100%28.2%17%80.0%100%100%69.2%20%100%100%100%100%