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    Strategy Paper

    for theDepartment of Commerce

    Submitted by

    Jayant Dasgupta

    &

    Depinder Singh Dhesi

    Phase V Training Programme, LBSNAA Mussoorie

    January 7, 2011

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    Table of Contents

    Page

    1. Section 1: Ministrys Vision, Mission, Objectives 3and Functions

    2. Section 2: Assessment of the situation 6

    3.

    Section 3: Outline of the Strategy 11

    4. Section 4: Implementation Plan 20

    5. Section 5: Linkage between the Strategic Plan and RFD 22

    6. Section 6: Cross Departmental and cross functional issues 23

    7. Section 7: Monitoring and Reviewing arrangements 24

    8. Annex 1: Strategic Targets for 2014-15 26

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    SECTION- 1

    Ministrys Vision, Mission, Objectives and Functions

    The Department of Commerce has been tasked with the regulation,

    development and promotion of Indias international trade and commercethrough the formulation of appropriate policies and their implementation.

    This has also been stated in the Annual Report (2009-10) of the Department

    as follows1:

    The basic role of the Department of Commerce is to facilitate the creation

    of an enabling environment and infrastructure for accelerated growth of

    international trade. The Department formulates, implements and monitors

    the Foreign Trade Policy which provides the basic framework of policy and

    strategy to be followed for promoting exports and trade.

    1.2 The Vision of the Department as enunciated in the Results Framework

    Document (RFD) 2010-11 is to make India a major player in world trade by

    2020 and for India to assume a role of leadership in international trade

    bodies commensurate with its importance in the contemporary world.

    1.3 The Mission of the Department outlined in the Foreign Trade Policy

    (2009-2014) and the RFD is to double Indias exports of goods and services

    by 2014 in the medium term along with doubling Indias share in global

    trade by 20202 as a long term goal, through appropriate policy support. The

    Department is targeting an annual growth rate of exports of 25% during the

    period 2011-12 to 2016-17 to achieve these twin targets3.

    1.4 The Objectives formulated by the Department are as follows:

    (i) Apart from focusing on increasing our exports in traditional sectors

    like textiles & clothing, gems & jewellery, handicrafts etc., sustained efforts

    would also be made to give a boost to our exports in hitherto non-traditional

    1Annual Report (2009-10) of the Department of Commerce, Government of India, New Delhi

    2Foreign Trade Policy (2009-2014) and Results Framework Document of the Department of Commerce,

    Government of India, New Delhi3

    Strategic Plan (2009-10), Department of Commerce, Government of India, New Delhi

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    areas like machinery and transport equipment (accounted for 37% of global

    trade between 2003-07), chemicals, pharmaceuticals and agro-products etc.

    (ii) Special efforts would be undertaken to increase the production,

    productivity and profits of the plantation crops i.e. rubber, tea, coffee, spicesand tobacco, which have been a traditional source of strength for our exports

    as well as providing employment to millions of workers.

    (iii) Along with product diversification, efforts would also be directed to

    diversify our markets instead of concentrating just on the traditional ones

    like the US and the EU, because the advanced economies are expected to

    grow much slower than the developing and emerging economies in the next

    decade.

    (iv) Steps would be taken to conclude our ongoing Free Trade Agreement

    (FTA) negotiations and to conclude the Doha Round negotiations, which

    would provide additional market access for our goods and services. Non-

    tariff measures (NTMs), which adversely impact exports, would be

    addressed both through the FTAs as well as the WTO.

    (v) Concerted efforts would be made to reduce our trade related

    transaction costs.

    (vi) Infrastructure bottlenecks, especially in respect of power, roads,

    railways and ports would be addressed on priority basis. The Assistance to

    States for Development of Export Infrastructure and Allied Activities

    (ASIDE) scheme would continue to be used to cover critical gaps in export

    infrastructure. More allocations would be sought for the ASIDE scheme

    coupled with improvements in quality of output and effective monitoring,

    which would help address the infrastructure deficit in a speedier manner.

    (vii) The coverage of export credit as well as its quantum needs to be

    enhanced. This would be addressed in consultation with the Ministry of

    Finance, including the feasibility of utilizing the foreign exchange reserves

    of the country for the purpose.

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    (viii) Protecting sensitive sectors of the Indian economy against the

    adverse impact of trade liberalization.

    1.5 The major functions of the Department are as follows:-

    (i) Formulation of the Foreign Trade Policy, setting annual targets ofexports and implementation of programmes for increasing Indias exports

    (ii) Implementation of Focus Market and Focus Product schemes for

    export diversification, both in terms of new markets as well as products

    (iii) Undertaking export promotion activities through Market Development

    Assistance (MDA) and Market Access Initiative (MAI) schemes

    (iv) Negotiation of bilateral and regional trade agreements with different

    countries and trade partners for securing preferential access in their markets

    (v) Negotiation of multilateral trade agreements in the WTO, UNCTAD

    etc.

    (vi) Facilitating the creation of infrastructure for promoting exports

    through the implementation of the Special Economic Zones (SEZs) Act and

    Assistance to States for Development of Export Infrastructure and Allied

    Activities (ASIDE) Schemes

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    SECTION- 2

    Assessment of the situation

    2.1 External Factors

    2.1.1 A countrys export performance depends on a number of external

    factors. First and foremost among these is the export competitiveness,

    including the level of technological sophistication, of the major global

    suppliers. On this count, the major threat facing the rest of the world is the

    manufacturing behemoth that China has been able to put up since 1979.

    Intertwined with its large capacities is the implicit and explicit subsidies that

    its industries receive, specially for exports. Though the Chinese subsidies are

    getting challenged lately in the WTO, because of the non-tranparent nature

    of many Chinese government procedures, it would take a long time before

    all the knots are unraveled. Another contributing factor to Chinas

    competitiveness is the artificial pegging down of the renminbi, which makes

    imports from China additionally attractive. In 2009, China emerged as the

    largest exporting country in the world with 9.6% share of global trade,

    thereby displacing Germany. It has also surpassed Japan as the second

    largest economy, from the third quarter of 2010. Contrary to the dire

    predictions of many economists, the Chinese economy did not suffer

    much on account of the economic downturn and has bounced back tonear 10% growth levels in the second half of 2010. The Chinese with

    their large pool of technical manpower and alleged reverse engineering

    skills and persistent violation of IPRs, are also among the front runners

    in the sunrise sector of green technology. With their IT skills and

    rapidly growing numbers of English speaking young persons (including

    the largest number of foreign students in the US, Australia, Canada, UK

    etc) are poised to move up in the Services field also from their current

    standing of 5.

    2.1.2 The second factor impacting upon exports is the state of the global

    economy. Indias exports, which recorded an average annual growth rate of

    23.9% during the period 2004-05 to 2008-09, came down to 13.6% in 2008-

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    09 and showed negative growth during 2009-104. The economies of the EU

    and the US, which are still our major markets, have not recovered

    completely from the economic downturn. Unemployment levels are still

    quite high in these countries, leading to contraction in demand for consumer

    goods. The EU has had to rescue Greece and Ireland from their sovereigndebt problems in 2010 and the US has had to unfold a $600 billion package

    by way of Quantitative Easing 2 a few months ago to continue with its

    stimulus to the economy. The net result is that consumer spending in these

    countries is still low and luxury or gift items are not being purchased as

    much as in 2007. This has affected the exports of many of our traditional

    items like gems &jewellery, handicrafts and carpets. It has also impacted

    upon our textiles and clothing exports because consumers are now more

    likely to defer purchase of non-essential items.

    2.1.3 Another fall-out of the economic downturn has been that investments

    in the developed countries have come down, resulting in a contraction in the

    demand for engineering goods, which is the largest sector of our exports

    currently.

    2.1.4 Our traditional strengths in exports have been our comparatively low

    wages (steel forgings and castings, powerloom fabrics), our skilled workers

    (carpets, gems& jewellery, clothing), low cost of primary raw materials(cotton, tea, coffee, rubber, iron ore, hides and skins), low import intensity

    of raw materials (except rough diamonds) and low energy intensity of our

    export products (handicrafts, hand-knotted carpets, gems & jewellery,

    embroidered clothing). The typical Indian export oriented industry worker,

    most likely illiterate or non-matriculate, is intelligent, skillful, innovative

    and able to absorb and carry out instructions well. He is, however, saddled

    with a high morbidity burden and is most likely working on piece rate basis

    in the unorganized sector, staying away from his family and living in low

    rental housing in slum like surroundings.

    2.1.5 With our rising wages, low levels of mechanisation and productivity,

    infrastructural bottlenecks and comparative lack of product development and

    4Annual Report (2009-10), Department of Commerce, Government of India, New Delhi

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    innovation, our exports have grown at a rate far lower than that of China or

    the other East Asian tigers in the nineties. Unless we are able to break out of

    this mould and provide products of greater technological sophistication and

    variety at globally competitive rates, it might be difficult to make a

    significant difference in our export performance in the years to come.

    2.1.6 In order to achieve this breakthrough, we have, however, a very able

    ally in the shape of our new generation of entrepreneurs/stakeholders, who

    are young, energetic and willing to take risks. What they expect of the

    government and the planners to do is to provide an enabling and facilitating

    environment for them to go out into the global arena and climb new peaks.

    These stakeholders want to have world class infrastructure, an inspector Raj

    -free and hassle-free working environment and predictability and

    transparency in government policies and functioning. This in essence is what

    we need to deliver.

    2.2 A SWOT analysis of our exports is presented below against the

    backdrop of the above general discussion.

    Strengths

    Availability of most natural resources and long coastline

    Diversified Industrial Base

    Skilled manpower, including entrepreneurial ability

    English language skills

    Growing middle class and disposable incomes represent a

    robustly growing domestic market

    Low wages compared to all developed and emerging developing

    countries like China and Brazil

    Younger population as compared to all developed countries and

    China

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    Weaknesses

    Major infrastructural deficit in terms of power, ports, roads,

    railways

    Lack of state of the art technology in many manufacturing sectors

    Low investments in R& D

    Low literacy levels and generally poor quality of technical

    education (except in a few colleges)

    Low productivity and high morbidity burden on labour

    High transaction costs and cost of lending

    Red tape and procedural delays (including in the judicial

    proceedings)

    Corruption

    Opportunities

    Good combination of skilled manpower and comparatively lower

    wage costs could act as a catalyst to attract FDI for a wide range

    of manufacturing activities, provided we bridge the

    infrastructural deficit

    Improvement in farm productivity and establishment of cold

    chain could transform into an agro-products exporting power,

    specially in fruits and vegetables

    Large greying population among wealthier countries would

    compel them to outsource many of their activities to lower cost

    suppliers like India

    The availability of large numbers of skilled IT professionals could

    be leveraged to turn India into the global back-office

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    Threats

    Higher labour productivity, world class infrastructure and

    large manufacturing base of China could make it difficult for

    India to gain a larger share of global exports. Indias bilateraltrade with China is also currently running an annual trade

    deficit of $17 billion.

    Lower cost competitors like Bangladesh (in textiles and

    clothing) and Vietnam (for textiles, clothing, tea, coffee and

    some spices) could erode Indias share in global trade.

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    SECTION - 3

    Outline of the Strategy

    3.1 Projections for exports

    3.1.1 Indias exports of goods and services in 2009 were $ 155 billion and $

    86 billion and its share of global trade was 1.2% and 2.6% in goods and

    services respectively5. Including intra-EU trade, Indias standing was 22 and

    12 among the worlds leading exporters of goods and services.

    3.1.2 Based on WTO data on global trade in goods pertaining to 1990-2009

    and taking the trend growth rate for this period, which was 13.27%, global

    exports projection for 2014 and 2020 work out to $18450 billion and

    $29,450 billion respectively6

    . Indias exports share as a proportion of globalexports in goods in 2014 and 2020 works out to 1.64% ($303 billion) and

    2.17% ($640 billion) respectively.

    3.1.3 As regards Services, the projections indicate that global trade would

    increase to $5050 billion and $8060 billion in 2014 and 2020 respectively, in

    which Indias share would be 4.42%($223 billion) and 8.1% ($653 billion).

    3.1.4 Thus the secular growth projections would appear to indicate that

    India should be able to meet its twin export growth objectives for 2014 and2020 respectively. However, there are some major caveats to this, which are

    discussed below. Before we proceed to discuss them, however, it would

    be pertinent to point out that there are some gains to be made if we

    align the timelines for meeting our objectives, to coincide with the 12th

    Plan period (2012-17). This would be especially relevant for the areas

    where inter-departmental coordination and joint efforts are required. It

    is for the Department of Commerce to take a call on this issue.

    3.2 Outline of Potential Strategies

    5World Trade Report 2010, World Trade Organisation, Geneva

    6Unpublished joint report of the Centre for WTO Studies and FIEO, December 2010

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    3.2.1 At present, engineering goods, gems & jewellery and textiles &

    clothing account for 19.8%, 17.8% and 11.3% respectively of our exports

    basket. Petroleum products account for another 13.8% of our exports. The

    value addition in gems & jewellery exports is low at present, because it is

    mainly concentrated in the diamond polishing business. However, withbetter design inputs and product innovation and diversification, we can

    increase our exports in this sector.

    3.2.2 Similarly, there are natural limits to growth in the traditional products

    of our textiles & clothing sector because of the structure of our industry (still

    mostly in the small or unorganized sector) and our rising wages. Lower cost

    producers like Vietnam and Bangladesh have already overtaken us in textiles

    and clothing and we can only improve our position in this sector if we move

    up the value chain by establishing brand names and designer labels as well

    as venturing into the production of hitherto non-traditional items like mens

    and womens business suits for example.

    3.2.3 In the case of the leather sector, which provides employment to lakhs

    of workers, our exports are mainly confined to exports of finished leather,

    mens shoes, garments and accessories. We have negligible exports in

    childrens and ladies footwear as well as non-leather footwear, which

    together account for more than 80% of global trade. There is tremendousscope for improving our position in leather products and non-leather

    footwear exports, provided we take the right policy initiatives.

    3.2.4 It is most unlikely that we would be able to double our exports in the

    medium term by just producing more of the same. It appears imperative

    to have a paradigm shift in our manufacturing and exports strategy, so

    as to move onto a different growth path. For this, we have to significantly

    diversify our product basket in addition to putting in efforts to produce

    higher value added products in our traditional exports sectors. The new areasin which we could provide a thrust could, for instance, include engineering

    goods, chemicals and pharmaceuticals (including biosimilars), electronic

    goods, agro-products etc.

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    3.2.5 In order for us to move up the value chain, we would need to : (i)

    provide R&D and state of the art testing facilities (ii) marketing support

    for thrust sectors and countries, (iii) attract foreign investments and

    technology through further liberalization of our investment regime and

    schemes like the Special Economic Zones and (iv) build up a brand imageof quality and reliability for India, through use of the India Brand Equity

    Fund and other appropriate schemes.

    3.2.6 In view of the low growth rate projections for the advanced

    economies in the next 4-5 years, the intense competition for market share in

    these countries as well as the robust growth projected for the emerging

    economies and some other developing countries, we could be benefited by

    focusing our attention also on penetrating new markets. The bilateral Free

    Trade Agreements (FTAs) and the Regional Trade Agreements, could

    provide the right platform for moving into non-traditional markets, through

    preferential access. Thus the emphasis has to be to conclude the FTAs that

    India is negotiating as soon as possible along with entering into fresh FTA

    negotiations with new trade partners where careful analysis indicates mutual

    benefits for both partners. Efforts must also be made to conclude the Doha

    Round as soon as possible because of the promise it holds for further trade

    liberalization.

    3.2.7 With the progressive reduction in tariffs, specially in the developed

    country markets (the average tariffs in both the US and the EU are currently

    at 4% for industrial products) and with further reductions proposed in the

    Doha Round negotiations, tariffs are going to play a much reduced role in

    inhibiting exports in future. On the other hand, non-tariff barriers (NTBs)

    and Sanitary and Phytosanitary (SPS) measures are going to play an

    increasing role in determining trade flows. In order to address these issues,

    we would need to include a fast track mechanism for their resolution in our

    FTAs. We would also need to push vigorously for reduction and elimination

    of NTBs in the Doha Round negotiations.

    3.2.8 Inadequate availability (specially to the MSME sector) and

    comparatively high cost of export credit (as compared to the developed

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    country or Chinese exporters) pushes up the costs of our exporters. In the

    absence of Indian bank branches in many of our export destinations, our

    exporters also have to rely on expensive third country banking services.

    Consolidation of our nationalized banks (on the lines of what the SBI is

    trying to do through mergers of its associates) will enable our banks to attaina critical mass and provide some of these facilities in our export destinations.

    One of the ways of providing low cost short term credit in foreign currency

    could be to access part of our foreign exchange reserves, which is invested

    in foreign treasury bonds and other securities. The whole issue of adequacy

    and cost of borrowing needs to be addressed urgently in consultation with

    the Finance Ministry and RBI.

    3.2.9 Another factor impacting our global competitiveness is our high

    transaction costs. A part of this is infrastructure related but another part is

    largely procedural. The latter could be addressed effectively through

    appropriate IT solutions. Computerisation of clearances by Customs, DGFT

    and other associated agencies and integration of their networks to facilitate

    timely payment of duty drawback and other export incentives is imperative

    to reduce transaction costs.

    3.2.10 In Services, we would need to diversify beyond IT/ITES and Tourism

    to get deeper into Financial Services, Telecom Services, Audio VisualServices, Professional Services (e.g. medicine, dentistry, nursing, law,

    accountancy, management consulting, architecture, medical diagnostics)

    etc. as well as developing better infrastructure for the Tourism sector, which

    contributes significantly to our exports earnings. In order to make further

    gains in both IT/ITES as well as professional services, we would need to

    press hard for liberalization of Mode 4 (movement of natural persons) by the

    developed countries in the Doha Round negotiations.

    3.2.11 Our infrastructure, be it power, road, rail or port related, is alreadyunder tremendous pressure because of the demands placed on it on account

    of our robust economic growth between 2003-08. With the anticipated

    growth in exports as well as concomitant increase in imports in the current

    decade, the pressure on our infrastructure is bound to get accentuated and

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    hinder exports, unless we take advance action. A brief overview of our

    infrastructural requirements is provided below.

    3.2.12 Power

    In order to meet our export targets, we would need to diversify our

    exports basket significantly and get into more energy intensive

    manufacturing processes as compared to handicrafts, gems &

    jewellery, textiles & clothing etc. at present. This would require high

    quality and uninterrupted power for our manufacturing hubs as well as

    for our rail transportation network. There is already a significant

    energy deficit in the country and even the modest target for additional

    power generation during the 11th

    Plan is not likely to be achieved.

    This sector requires concerted efforts for improvement otherwise itcan act as a huge drag on our exports.

    3.2.13 Ports

    Ports handle 95% of our total trade in terms of volume and 70% in

    terms of value. As per world benchmarking, efficient working is

    achieved when the handling capacity of ports is 30% more than the

    actual traffic handled. By 2020, our capacity requirement has been

    estimated to be 3025 Million Tonnes (MT), whereas the plannedcapacity for 2020 currently is only 1685 MT- a shortfall of 1340 MT.

    The Ministry of Shipping is going to come out with a Revised

    Perspective Plan for 2020 shortly, which is expected to aim for a

    capacity of 3200 MT for 2020. This Perspective Plan would need

    adequate and timely financing for execution.

    It has been noticed that even when our ports are able to handle the

    cargo at their berths, a huge bottleneck is faced in the shape of

    inadequate landside evacuation facilities. Thus there would have to besimultaneous development of the feeder rail and road networks along

    with port development.

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    Currently a lot of time and money is wasted by Indian exporters

    because their goods have to be transshipped through either Colombo,

    Singapore or Dubai. Effective steps need to be taken to reduce the

    pre-berthing and turn around times of vessels, so as to attract mainline

    vessels to Indian ports and reduce transportation costs and time.

    3.2.14 Roads

    Roads carry 61% of freight currently. With the anticipated growth in

    export and import volumes by 2020, the road network would need to

    be strengthened significantly. In India, expressways are nearly non-

    existent, while Chinas highway network consists of over 45,000 kms

    of 4 or 6 lane access controlled expressways linking its major cities.

    Currently 6 lane highways constitute only 1% of national highways inIndia.

    India does not fare well in speed comparisons of its trucks as well.

    According to a World Bank study7, the transit time between major

    cities in India, on average, is about 33% more as compared to the US.

    Moreover, Indian trucks are used for 60000-100000 km a year, which

    is less than a quarter of those in developed countries. A joint study 8 by

    the Transport Corporation of India and IIM, Kolkata has estimated

    that the average effective speed of trucks on Indian roads is only about

    20 kmph, because of poor roads and check post delays. Apart from

    increasing the width of the highways, the riding quality of the roads

    needs to be improved and check posts across state borders need to be

    eliminated.

    3.2.15 Railways

    As per the Ministry of Railways Vision 2020, the target for freight

    traffic for 2020 has been pegged at 2165 MT. However, it has been

    estimated that the projected traffic would be 4787 MT by 2020,

    7Road Transport Service Efficiency Study, November 2005, Energy and Infrastructure Operations Division,

    South Asia Regional Office, World Bank8

    Operational Efficiency of National Highways for Freight Transportation in India, TCI and IIM Kolkata

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    showing a large capacity deficit of 2622 MT. Thus a major thrust has

    to be imparted to doubling and quadrupling of lines along major

    freight paths and setting up dedicated rail freight corridors from the

    hinterland to the major ports.

    The size of freight rakes would need to be increased and they would

    also need to travel at higher speeds to transport the cargo faster and

    reduce transaction costs.

    3.2.16Along with rapid and orderly growth of our exports, we have to

    also ensure a level playing field for our domestic industry, vis a vis

    imports. Large idle capacities and ability to subsidise products heavily

    (like China for instance) can wreak havoc for the domestic industry

    through dumped/subsidized imports. In order to counter this, we haveto strengthen our import monitoring mechanism and act quickly with

    appropriate trade defense measures, to limit the damage.

    3.3 Consultation with Stakeholders

    3.3.1 The stakeholders would broadly comprise the industry representatives

    in different sectors, the concerned administrative ministries and state

    governments, research institutions, financial institutions, service providers

    like Customs, DGFT, Power, Shipping, Road Transport & Highways, CivilAviation etc.

    3.3.2 The Department of Commerce would need to play the role of a

    coordinator and facilitator among the various stakeholders. The questions

    that need to be asked of the industry and administrative ministries would be

    directed towards identification of new thrust areas. The research institutions

    would need to be involved in the discussions and asked for technical

    solutions to problems that are perceived in the path forward. The industrys

    feedback about reforms and procedural changes as well as infrastructurestrengthening would also need to be factored in appropriately. The mode of

    interaction could be through open house sessions followed by brainstorming

    and then formal meetings of a task force.

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    3.4 Building up Knowledge and Capabilities

    3.4.1 We need to continuously update both our technology as well as our

    management practices to be globally competitive. The obvious source for

    access to both the latest technology and management practices in the short tomedium term would be through FDI, joint ventures and outright purchases.

    However, in the long run, we need to invest in R&D on our own to provide

    our industry with a competitive edge. China has done this spectacularly in

    recent times and in an earlier era Japan and Korea have done it. This would

    need to be coordinated by the administrative ministries with the industry and

    research institutions and the PPP model would be ideally suited for this

    endeavour.

    3.4.2 On another front, we need to build up our brand image and inculcatequality consciousness throughout our supply and production chain. As far as

    brand building is concerned, the Department of Commerce has a vital role to

    play in this endeavour, in association with the industry associations. On

    inculcating quality consciousness, the major initiative would have to come

    from the industry associations and administrative ministries.

    3.4.3 We also need to have a sufficiently large number of trained personnel

    in different departments of the government, who can take part in

    international trade negotiations and contribute to the preservation andbuilding up of an institutional memory. For this we need to build up our own

    training institutions, groom young officers and send them for specialized

    training courses in India as well as other countries/international institutions.

    We also need to build up our capabilities in the Universities and research

    institutions to conduct applied research on trade issues. Finally, we need to

    groom a set of lawyers in international trade law, who can represent the

    government as well as individual firms in the trade defense proceedings

    initiated by other countries against us.

    3.4.4 We also need to sensitise and inform government departments and the

    industry about the NTBs, SPS standards etc. prevailing in important export

    destinations and in building up our own infrastructure and testing

    capabilities to bring up our own domestic as well as export oriented industry

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    segments to adopt global standards and best practices. The Apex Industry

    Associations and the Export Promotion Councils and Commodity Boards

    would have a leading role to play in this effort.

    3.4.5 One of the other important points on which we would need to focuson is sensitization of our service providers to the impact of delays in eroding

    our competitiveness in the global market and the national loss that it entails.

    This would need to be carried out through Open House Sessions and

    Partnership Building Exercises with the participants being the client group

    and the service providers. This would need to be carried out under the joint

    leadership of the field offices of the service providers as well as the local

    industry associations.

    3.5 Priorities in Strategic Initiatives

    3.5.1 Based on the three criteria of suitablility, feasibility and acceptability,

    we would suggest that the following weights be given to the strategic

    initiatives listed in the foregoing paragraphs:-

    Strategic Initiative 1 (Diversification of export product basket)-30

    Strategic Initiative 2 (Diversification into non-traditional markets and

    conclusion of ongoing FTA negotiations and initiating new FTAs)-20

    Strategic Initiative 3 (Strengthening export related infrastructure)-10

    Strategic Initiative 4 (Enhancing credit flows for exports at lower cost)-10

    Strategic Initiative 5 (Reducing Transaction Costs)-10

    Strategic Initiative 6 (Diversification of Services exports)- 10

    Strategic Initiative 7 (Building up a Brand Image of India)- 05

    Strategic Initiative 8 (Support to the Plantation Sector)- 03

    Strategic Initiative 9 (Protection to sensitive domestic industries) - 02

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    SECTION- 4

    Implementation Plan

    4.1 The Potential Strategic Initiatives have already been dealt with in

    some detail in Section 3 and suggestions regarding their prioritization havealso been provided. The issue of stakeholder engagement and the learning

    agenda has been discussed in paragraphs 3.3 and 3.4 of Section 3.

    4.2 The resources required, whether in terms of human, capital or

    infrastructure, for implementing the strategic initiatives, can only be worked

    out after holding in-depth meetings with all the concerned stakeholders.

    Many of the administrative ministries and state governments as well as

    research institutions already have plans, schemes and projects under

    implementation, which could be fine-tuned to fit the specific requirements of

    each strategic initiative.

    4.3 As far as the Department of Commerce (DOC) is concerned, it already

    has both a Focus Product and a Focus Market Scheme in operation, for

    diversification of export products and penetrating new markets. However, an

    independent evaluation of these schemes, if not already undertaken, should

    be immediately taken up to enable mid-course corrections as required. The

    Market Development Assistance (MDA) and Market Access Initiative(MAI) Schemes of DOC may also require a similar remodeling to meet the

    emerging requirements of different sectors.

    4.4 In order to have quantifiable parameters to assess progress, detailed

    sub-sector and year wise targets would need to be worked out in consultation

    with the Export Promotion Councils, Commodities Boards, administrative

    ministries and other stakeholders. By way of an indicator, we have

    attempted broad sectorwise targets for 2014-15, which is at Annex 1.

    The annual targets could be worked out from the overall milestonesfixed, with a certain amount of backloading towards the end of the

    period. In addition to the quantifiable targets, the outcomes of the strategic

    initiatives would have certain non-quantifiable targets as well, achievements

    against which would have to be assessed in terms of the completion of

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    certain activities. These activities would also need to be broken down into

    elements and both financial and physical targets fixed, as far as practicable,

    for each of these elements.

    4.5 DOC would have to coordinate with the administrative ministries andother stakeholders to closely review the progress made against each element

    of activity as well as the quantifiable targets, preferably on a quarterly basis,

    and to examine suggestions for making mid-course corrections/amendments

    to policies as appropriate. Currently, DOC brings out Annual Supplements

    to the Foreign Trade Policy (FTP) by way of such mid-course amendments

    to the five year FTP. If the requirements of major sectors so require, the

    Annual Supplements could be converted to ones of a shorter periodicity.

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    SECTION-5

    Linkage between the Strategic Plan and RFD

    5.1 Though there is a considerable degree of convergence between the

    Strategic Plan proposed here and the RFD of the Department of Commerce,there are a few differences as well.

    5.2 First, the convergence. Both the Strategic Plan and RFD emphasise

    the importance of policy support in increasing Indias annual export growth

    by a CAGR of around 25%. Both speak about diversification of Indias

    exports through exploration of new and emerging markets as well as

    promoting employment intensive products and products of high export

    potential. The importance of leveraging the SEZ and ASIDE schemes to

    narrow the infrastructure deficit is also underscored. Both documents

    acknowledge that the FTAs should be used to gain additional market access

    and trade facilitation measures are required to reduce transaction costs. Also

    support for the plantation sector and increased exports of agro-products is

    part of both the approaches.

    5.3 On the differences between the two, the RFD prioritises the protection

    of sensitive sectors of the Indian economy against the adverse impacts of

    trade liberalization and facilitating improvement in the functioning of STC,PEC, MMTC, ECGC and ITPO. On the other hand, the Strategic Plan lays

    emphasis on increasing the availability and lowering the cost of export

    credit; export related infrastructure development in the power, roads, rail and

    ports sectors; building up a brand image of India and diversification of

    Services exports as being essential for the fulfilment of the Mission of the

    Department. It also mentions protection to sensitive sectors of the

    domestic industry as one of the initiatives, though low in order of

    priority.

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    SECTION-6

    Cross Departmental and cross functional issues

    6.1 International trade (exports plus imports) today accounts for

    more than 40% of Indias GDP. Because of the rising prices of oil andour increasing current account deficit, we have very few options but to

    focus on exports growth to reverse the trend.

    6.2 Increased exports, especially in labour-intensive sectors like

    carpets and handicrafts, gems & jewellery, leather, textiles & clothing,

    plantation crops and other agro-products, provides an ideal marriage

    between our twin goals of economic growth and greater employment

    opportunities for our youth. Thus exports growth would contribute to

    partially meeting the challenges of enhancing the capacity for growth as

    well as enhancing skills and faster generation of employment, which

    have been listed out as two of the challenges to be addressed in the

    Twelfth Plan.

    6.3 As regards meeting the Mission and Objectives of the

    Department of Commerce, it would be essential to seek larger Plan

    allocations for departmental schemes like ASIDE, MDA and MAI. Apart

    from this, larger allocations for other departments to narrow theinfrastructure deficit for export related infrastructure as well as for

    meeting the requirements of R&D support and capacity building, would

    also be needed.

    6.4 On the subject of Citizens Charter, the Department of

    Commerce has a clearly enunciated Charter9 and has shown its

    commitment to continuously strive to evolve procedures in the Foreign

    Trade Policy that would be of maximum benefit to the public. The

    Department has also put in place a Grievances Cell, a quasi-judicialAppellate Committee and a Grievance Redressal Committee.

    9Annual Report (2009-10), Department of Commerce, Government of India, New Delhi

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    SECTION-7

    Monitoring and Reviewing Arrangements

    7.1 The Department of Commerce interacts with a variety of stakeholders

    on a regular basis. Officers of the Department are members on the Board ofDirectors of all the Export Promotion Councils and are abreast of the

    developments/problems faced by the industry on almost a day to day basis.

    All the Commodity Boards like the Tea Board, Coffee Board, Tobacco

    Board etc. have officers of the Department as their chief executives, who

    raise problems faced by the plantation crop growers or exporters with the

    Department at the earliest opportunity.

    7.2 There is, however, a lacuna in terms of absence of industry bodies

    in various segments of the domestic industry, which can effectively

    communicate their concerns to the government. To a certain extent this

    is reflective of the small and decentralized nature of many sectors of our

    industry. Nevertheless, this gap needs to be bridged and an effective

    feedback loop needs to be established, perhaps through the agency of

    the respective State Governments.

    7.3 In addition to the mechanisms mentioned in paragraph 7.1, the

    Department of Commerce organizes Open House sessions with exporters,industry associations and apex industry bodies before finalizing the Foreign

    Trade Policy (FTP) or the Annual Supplements to the FTP. Meetings with

    industry representatives are also held before each Budget Session.

    7.4 The three major bodies under the standing institutional mechanism for

    consultations on various issues and review are as follows.

    (i) Board of Trade (BOT)- This provides an effective mechanism to maintain

    a continuous dialogue with trade and industry in respect of major

    developments in the field of international trade and make recommendations

    to the Government for the various measures required for increasing the

    competitiveness of Indian exports. The Board meets every quarter and is

    chaired by the Commerce and Industry Minister.

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    (ii) Export Promotion Board (EPB)- The Board is chaired by the Cabinet

    Secretary to provide policy and infrastructural support through coordination

    among different Ministries for boosting exports.

    (iii) Inter-State Trade Council (ISTC)- The Council provides a platform fordialogue between the Centre and the States in matters relating to trade

    facilitation and to create a framework for making States as partners in the

    national export effort.

    7.5 The Department of Commerce has resolved to hold regular meetings

    of all the three bodies to make them more effective instruments in shaping

    policy and in reviewing the situation on the ground.

    7.6 It needs to be mentioned that the RFD itself is a review

    mechanism and needs to be used to monitor the progress made in the

    achievement of the objectives on a periodic basis. The MOUs signed

    with the PSUs , viz. STC, MMTC, PEC, ECGC, ITPO need also to be

    reviewed regularly in terms of the achievement against each and

    subsidiary RFDs could be drawn up for subordinate organizations of

    the Department.

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    Annex I

    Strategic Targets for 2014-15

    (in billions of US Dollars)

    Product 2010-11

    (Estimated)

    2014-15

    Gems and Jewellery 32.75 64.00

    Engineering Goods 45.00 92.00

    Textiles

    Cotton Yarn and Made- ups 5.00 9.00

    Manmade Yarn and Made-ups 3.75 7.00

    Clothing 11.00 17.00

    Other Textile Products

    Carpets 0.90 2.00

    Jute Goods 0.45 0.75

    Petroleum Products 35.00 61.00

    Drugs, Pharma and Fine Chemicals 9.60 21.00

    Other Basic Chemicals 7.60 17.00

    Electronic Goods 5.50 10.00

    Leather Goods 3.75 8.25

    Plastic and Linoleum 4.20 8.00

    Iron Ore 5.00 8.00

    Mica and other minerals 3.10 5.00

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    Marine Products 2.20 4.00

    Agricultural Products

    Fruits and Vegetables 1.20 2.50

    Oil meals 1.70 2.80

    Processed Cashew nuts 0.60 1.00

    Rice 2.00 4.00

    Spices 1.60 3.00

    Tobacco 0.90 1.40

    Tea 0.55 0.80

    Coffee 0.55 0.80

    Miscellaneous 16.00 50.00

    TOTAL 200.00 400.00