A Guide to the Financial Analysis of Shrimp Farming

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Guide to put a financial package for shrimp farming together!

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  • Texas

    A Guide to the Financial Analysis of Shrimp Farming, 1999

    (Spread Sheet for Micro Computers)

    Wade L. Griffin, Professor Department of Agricultural Economics

    Texas A&M University College Station, Texas 77843-2124

    Tel. (409) 845-4291; Fax (409) 845-4261

    and

    Granvil D. Treece, Aquaculture Specialist Sea Grant College Program

    Texas A&M University 1716 Briarcrest, Suite 702

    Bryan, Texas 77802 Tel. (409) 845-7527; Fax (409) 845-7525

    Email: [email protected]

    TAMU-SG-99-502 June 1999

    .. Publ;cal;on supported ;n part by Instilutional Granl NA86RGOO58 10 Texas Sea Granl College Pcogrum fcom t II the National Sea Grant Program, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of '~,"=.!!J' Commerce. 1999 Texas Sea Grant College Program. All rights reserved.

  • $25.00 Texas Sea Grant College Program I716 Briarcrest, Suite 603 Bryan, TX 77802

    TAMU-SG-99-502 June 1999

    NA86RG0058 A/F-l

  • Introduction In starting a shrimp culture business, you should begin with a business plan. The business plan

    should contain a statement about the business and a financial plan. The statement about the

    business should contain the following:

    1. A description of your proposed venture.

    2. A description of the market where your product will be sold and your marketing strategy.

    3. An analysis of significant competitors.

    4. A detailed explanation of the production processes and limitations.

    5. A description of the organizational structure, showing how your firm will operate and listing

    all personnel.

    6. A description of external financing.

    7. A development schedule showing the timing of the venture's development and critical dates

    (Hanson et al. 1991).

    Once the basic business plan has been presented, it is necessary to demonstrate the economic

    feasibility over the planning horizon of the venture. Banks or investors require this type of

    analysis to determining the financial success of the venture. The purpose for this program is to

    assist the user in conducting an economic feasibility analysis of a shrimp farm. To achieve this

    objective a financial analysis is conducted for a hypothetical intensive shrimp farm on the Texas

    coast. The hard copy of the analysis accompanying the diskette shows the results of our analysis.

    The diskette should be used to further "customize" the user's own business plan and financial

    analysis by making appropriate substitutes, mainly in Tables lthrough 3. Note: Make changes in

    either Gray cells only for Excel spreadsheets or Blue cells only for Lotus spreadsheets.

    This financial model for a shrimp farm is developed in a fully integrated spreadsheet; that is,

    all seven tables presented are fully integrated. For example, if you want to change your stocking

    density, the model will automatically make all the changes to your cash flow, balance sheet,

    income statement, and rate of return.

    The seven tables are:

    TABLE 1. Unit Cost, Production, and Financial Assumptions

    TABLE 2. Construction and Equipment

    TABLE 3. Farm Production, Inputs Used and Management

    TABLE 4. Capital Transactions and Various Financial Assumptions

    TABLE 5. Pro Forma Cashflow Budget

  • TABLE 6. Pro Fonna Balance Sheet

    TABLE 7. Pro Fonna Income Statement

    Tables 1,2 and 3 allow the user to "customize" the analysis to the individual's country and

    farm. The user enters data in Tables 1,2 and 3 only. Input is optional in Table 3 on lines 14, but

    required on lines 51-56. If you are using an Excel spreadsheet, then enter data in the GRAY cells

    only. If you are using a Lotus spreadsheet then enter data in the cells that have the BLUE num-

    bers only. All other cells contain formulas. Do not enter data in these cells or change the formu-

    las because each formula is coupled to another entry and it may cause problems. The worksheets

    are protected so that it is difficult for the user to change the formulas, but the worksheet can be

    unprotected for formula changes. The best approach is to make a copy of this program before the

    user starts making entries and set a copy aside in case an error occurs and the user must start

    again. One of the first mistakes that most users make is to place data in the white or lighter cells

    where the formulas are, and the result affects the remainder of the program. To print with most

    computers, highlight the table, set print area, look at page set up and print preview and adjust the

    size to fit the table on one page and print. Some of the tables are too large for one page causing

    the printed table to be too small to read if printed on one page; therefore some tables will need to

    be printed on several pages. User can move from one table to the other by clicking on the table

    number at the bottom of the worksheet.

    Explanation of the Tables

    Table 1. Unit Costs, Production, and Financial Assumptions

    The information in Table 1 is used to construct the remaining tables. Most unit costs are self-

    explanatory. Specific costs vary with each user and with time. For example, a shrimp processor

    contemplating putting in a shrimp farm would not have to pay as much to have the shrimp from

    the farm processed; therefore, that individual's cost for shrimp processing might be less than one

    without a processing plant. The same would be true for feed from a feed mill or larvae from a

    hatchery; generally the two most expensive operating costs. If the group was fully integrated for

    example, then theoretically they would be paying a lower rate for postlarvae (El), feed (E7), ice

    (EIO) and processing (Ell).

    The repair rate for storm damage (E26) is the average annual rate to charge per dollar worth of

    buildings and pond construction damaged by a storm. This is necessary since the hypothetical

    farm is located on the coast and is therefore subject to tropical storms and hurricane damage. The

    area may not have a storm but every 10 years, then one must determine what will be the cost to

    repair the damages on a percentage basis spread out and averaged over 10 years. Utilities (E27)

    are those other than pumping water into the ponds and aeration of ponds. Pumping and aeration

    are treated separately. Fuel (E3I) is for vehicles including tractors.

    The user gives the model the cost of the land, size of the farm and size of the ponds in Table 2.

  • Then the total surface hectares and total hectares in the farm are calculated by the model using

    the data provided by the user in Table 1 (E34; Ratio of surface ha. to total ha.). This formula

    allows for dikes, roads, buildings, and then calculates the pond surface area of the farm.

    The stocking density per hectare is supplied by the user (E36). Stocking density per pond and

    per farm are then calculated by the model and appear in Table 3. A survival rate of 74 percent

    (E37) is estimated and a stocking density of 400,000 per ha (E36) will yield 296,000 shrimp per

    ha at harvest (Table 3, FI5-015). Assuming a 0.01 g animal is stocked (E39), the overall growth

    rate is 0.86 g per week (E40), and the shrimp are in the pond for 20 weeks (E38), you will har-

    vest 17.21 g shrimp (E41), which is calculated by the model (DO NOT MAKE ENTRY IN THIS

    CELL). This will be 5,094 kg of shrimp (heads-on) per hectare per crop (Table 3, Columns F16-

    016) which is 63,168 kg (heads-off), for the entire farm per year (Table 3, FI9-019). Once the

    model determines production then fertilizer, feed, aeration, pumping, and ice are functions of kg

    of shrimp produced. Important data entries are made by the user in E4-E40. Again, do not make

    an entry in E41 [Harvest Size (g)].

    Fertilizer information is entered in E46-E56. The data in E58, E59 and E60 are calcu-

    lated by the program (DO NOT MAKE ENTRY INTO THESE CELLS). The fertilizer

    amounts fqllow those recommended in Villalon (1991).

    The Food Conversion Ratio (FCR) found in E6l is the number of pounds of feed required to

    produce one pound of head-on shrimp or the number of kg of feed to produce one kg of shrimp.

    The average FCR is 1.6: 1, but can be worse (4: 1 or higher) if feed, feed management, and natural

    productivity are not optimum. We have recently heard of FCR values as good as 0.6: 1 in Peru

    using feeding trays to offer the shrimp feed, with average FCRs of 0.9:1, but they were obtained

    with a 50 percent anchovy meal diet or very expensive diet (Nicovita Feed).

    The aeration ratio (E62) provided by the user is defined as KWHlkg of shrimp. This ratio can

    be determined form the number of HP per acre used. For intensive purposes (depending upon the

    stocking densities and pumping or water exchange levels planned) artificial aeration usually

    ranges from one HPlha up to 10 HPlha and what would be considered super-intensive artificial

    aeration of 12+ HPlha. would not be uncommon. The typical paddlewheel (Taiwanese) produces

    1.60 SAE (kg02lkwh); aspirator/injector =1.58 SAE; Vertical pumps = 1.28 SAE; Pump sprayer

    = 1.28 SAE; and Bottom Diffusers 0.97 SAE (kg02lkwh). For our model we have determined

    that the ratio of aeration (KWHlkg shrimp) is 2.6.

    E63 is pumping ratio, and for our example farm used in this model we have determined that

    the ratio of pumping (KWHlkg shrimp) is 3.2. E64 is ice ratio, and a standard rule is 2 parts ice

    to 1 part shrimp; therefore, we have placed the number 2 in the gray cell.

    Financial information is provided by the user in E67 -E77. Most of these entries are straightfor-

    ward and can be placed here, depending upon your specific circumstances or projections. Bor-

    rowing as a percent of total investment capital needs (E69) is the percent of the money for capital

  • needs that will be borrowed. For example, the user may have enough money to pay for half of

    the construction and equipment to put the farm in operation and plans to borrow the other half of

    the capital that is needed. This cell does not include annual operating cost such as feed, labor,

    etc. The inflation per year (E73), opportunity cost of capital (E74), and investor's risk factor

    (E75) are used to calculate net present value (NPV) of the users investment found in Table 5 in

    F57 and F59. The discount rate used in calculating NPV is calculated as E73+E74+E75. The

    inflation rate should be the current inflation in the country where the aquaculture farm is being

    built. The opportunity cost should be the rate of return the user would receive if the money were

    invested in a secure investment such as bonds rather then the aquaculture farm. The risk factor is

    the rate of return the user must have above the opportunity cost for investing in the aquaculture

    farm rather then in the alternative secure investment. The intermediate factor in E78 is a factor

    used by some banks (DO NOT MAKE ENTRY IN THIS CELL).

    The average price received for the shrimp produced (in US$/kg) is entered in E81. In C86-C97

    the user has the opportunity to predict the future price received for the shrimp. There is histori-

    cally a cyclical movement of shrimp prices, usually going up for a few years, then down, etc. If

    there is no cyclical factor or inflation wanted or foreseen then the user puts 1.0000 in C86-C97; a

    drop in price would be a fraction below 1.0000 or an increase above the current would be 1.0000

    + whatever level above the current price received is expected. D86-D97 will show the adjusted

    price of shrimp each year as a result of the numbers placed in C86-C97. E86-E97 shows the cost

    of inflation in percent for the year and is directly affected by the inflation percent used in E73.

    Dl00-D101 and E100-E101 allow the user to place specific tax information in the cells, as do

    C105-E105, C106-E106 and C107-E107 (the dark cells).

    TABLE 2. Construction and Equipment Needs

    The capital investment list is a detailed listing of investment items on a year by year basis.

    General categories are used such as land, pond construction, pond pumps, and major pond

    equipment. Items within these general categories are listed separately. Individual items such as

    tractors, gates, computers, feed silos, and nets are provided for purposes of informing your

    banker or investors about depreciation (Economic Life), maintenance, extent of involvement, and

    collateralization of assets. A miscellaneous cost is added to each general category because costs

    are routinely underestimated, and this is called "contingency", and is usually 10 percent. Again,

    do not make an entry into these cells because they are not in the shaded or designated areas to

    make entries; however the percent can be changed if user knows how to change the formula.

    Starting at the top of table 2, the first input is the cost of land. Place cost in US$/ha in E4 (1 ha = 2.47 ac). In G6-R6 the user places the number of ponds constructed each year and the average

    surface hectares per pond in G7-R7. These two lines give you the option to build different num-

    bers and different size ponds each year. E14 for example provides an entry for cost of earth

    moving and the entry placed here in this model is US$ 0.90/cubic yard. A cubic meter is very

  • close to a cubic yard, so you could enter the same number here if you only know the cost per

    cubic meter. A general rule of thumb is that it takes at least 2,500 cu. yards of dirt moving for

    each acre of pond, but the smaller the pond the more dirt is moved because more dike area is

    required in relation to pond bottom. Costs of products are supplied by user from lines 8-99,

    ending with the entry for the cost of a pH meter, and with the number of meters planned over

    time. The exception is the contingencies. These are calculated on a percentage of the total in each

    column.

    Usually, land, pond construction, pumps, and major pond equipment are the most significant

    capital investment items. Table 2. (Continued) Value of Construction and Equipment Needs, does

    not require input from user, but shows total construction costs, etc. Tables 2 (Continued) is the

    same as Table 2, but the total costs have been calculated on the continuation. One can look back

    at the first part of Table 2 and compare the numbers. Line 4 Land (ha.) in Table 2 corresponds to

    Line 4 (Table 2 Continued)= $126,000. The total cost of construction and equipment can be seen

    by year in line 102 of Table 2 (Continued). The example is set up with 36 hectares being pur-

    chased and constructed in year 2 (H4) at a cost of $3,500 per hectare (E4). This yields a total cost

    for land of $126,000 (U4). Additional hectares could be purchased in later years by entering the

    number of hectares to be purchased each year in line 4 (I-R). An alternative to buying land as

    needed is to purchase all the land up front. To do this you would enter a price of $0 in cell E4 but

    you would continue to enter the hectares when they are needed in cells H4-R4. The total price of

    the land can be entered in T4 (which is the only cell in the Table 2 (Continued) where an entry is

    allowed to custom fit the user's needs. This way the amounts of hectares are bought into produc-

    tion in the year they are needed and the total cost for the land is incurred in year 1 if needed to be

    shown on the spread sheet that way.

    TABLE 3. Farm Production, Inputs Used and Management

    Most of Table 3 is produced from information in Tables 1 and 2. It shows how many shrimp

    are produced, as well as inputs that are directly related to shrimp production, such as, stocking,

    feed, etc. The user in this table makes no entries to the cells, except on line 14 (columns E-O)

    and lines 51-56 (columns D-O). Line 14 is optional to the user to add an adjustment factor to

    crop production, and can be either positive or negative. We chose not to make an entry and leave

    the additional adjustment factor to crop production at 0.0 percent. Lines 51-56 allows the user to

    determine different types of management that will be employed and in the year it will be em-

    ployed. For example, the farm could start with a general manager in year 1 and hire a pond

    manager in year 3. The user must enter number of managers by type each year. This allows the

    user to hire special type management in early years and then get rid of them in later years when

    they are not needed. The program should do all of the calculations otherwise, giving the numbers

    broken down in various ways (number of shrimp harvested/crop; Kgs harvested/ha/crop, head-

    on; Kgs/farm/yr.!crop, head-on; Kgs/farm/yr. (heads-on); Kgs/farm/yr. (heads off), and so forth.

  • TABLE 4. Capital Transactions and Various Financial Assumptions

    The information in Table 4 is derived from previous tables (1-3) and shows the capital invest-

    ment over time. It also shows the depreciation schedule, book value of capital equipment, sale of

    used equipment and information related to shrimp prices and inflation. Straight-line depreciation

    is used in this analysis and old equipment is sold for its book value. The cash flow (Table 5),

    balance sheet (Table 6), and income statement (Table 7) use information contained in Table 4

    directly or indirectly. Do not make any input into this table.

    TABLE 5. Pro Forma Cashflow Budget

    This financial statement, shown in Table 5, is intended to indicate the cash flows of the opera-

    tion and its ability to meet cash obligations (operation receipts or incoming money and operation

    costs or money going out to pay the bills). Each year of the planning horizon should be included

    in the business plan. The cash budget should also indicate the amount and timing of cash flows to

    and from investors and financial intermediaries. The program gives receipts and total cash

    inflows. Operating Expenses are presented in detail by year and totaled as TOTAL CASH OUT-

    FLOW (line 36). Some of the more important data are considered to be the Net Present Value

    (NPV) and the Internal Rate of Return (IRR) or "bottom line" seen in lines 57-60. The NPV and

    the IRR are projected 7 years ahead, then 12 years ahead. The IRR for the first 7 years is 46.8

    percent (F58), which is a good return. The IRR over the 12-year period is 45 percent (F60).

    Borrowing and loan payment information are given in the last part of this table. Further explana-

    tion of each is follows:

    Profit and Financial Return

    Net present value (NPV) and internal rate of return (lRR) measure a firm's profitability (Table

    5, F57-F60). The NPV of an investment is the sum of the present values for each year's divi-

    dends to investors including ending equity, less the cost of the investment. The discount rate

    which is used to calculate NPV, has three components: uncertainty (risk associated with investing

    in a shrimp farm), alternative uses of capital (opportunity cost of capital), and inflation (Lee et al.

    1988). Each individual has his own risk factor depending on his willingness to take a risk. The

    individual risk factor or as listed on the table as "Investor's Risk Factor" is initially set at 20

    percent (Table 1, E75), but the user can change it. If the NPV is equal to or greater than zero, the

    firm is considered an economic success (i.e., profitable). If the NPV is less than zero, the firm is

    not an economic success. In other words, the NPV of the project is a measure used to indicate

    whether the project is earning some predetermined rate of return. The future cash flows of the

    aquaculture business are converted into dollar values as if they had made some specific return

    from the time the initial investment was made. These values are summed and the initial invest-

    ment is deducted to derive the NPV of the project. If the project is positive, the user has earned at

    least the rate of return you projected, if negative the user did not reach the projected rate of

    return.

  • The IRR is the discount rate, which will make the NPV equal to zero. It is the rate of return to

    the equity capital at which the investor would be indifferent to investing in the shrimp farm as

    opposed to the next best alternative use for his equity capital. The user must compare the IRR

    generated by the model with his required rate of return. The investor's required rate of return =

    uncertainty + opportunity cost + inflation. If the IRR is greater than the user required rate of return the investment is an acceptable investment. Explained a different way, the rate of return or

    profit expected on the project = IRR. If an investor has the money for the investment and does

    not need to borrow it, the investor may prefer to keep the initial investment as small as possible

    and borrow a portion for the investment. A small investment would generate a higher IRR (pro-

    vided the IRR is greater then the interest rate of the loan) and shorter payback period (which is

    the amount of time it takes to repay the initial investment from cash earned by the business).

    TABLE 6. Pro Forma Balance Sheet

    The purpose of the balance sheet in Table 6 is to show the financial position of the venture at

    end of the year for each year in the planning horizon. The assets, liabilities, and net worth of the

    venture appear on one sheet. Do not make entries in this table; the model should calculate all of

    the information.

    TABLE 7. Pro Forma Income Statement

    Break-even analysis

    Break-even analysis (Table 7) provides a good indication of the minimum levels the venture

    must achieve to meet its obligations (pay its bills). There are two types of break-even analysis:

    break-even production and break-even price. Break-even production is the level of production

    that achieves zero profit when price and other factors are held constant. Break-even price is the

    price that must be received to achieve zero profit when production and other factors are held

    constant.

    Sensitivity Analysis

    An important ingredient in any financial analysis is to examine alternative scenarios. What if

    survival is less than expected? What if the price of shrimp is less than expected? What if feed

    cost more than expected? In building the initial financial plan, you should use in your best

    estimate on all data. Because future events do not always turn out as expected, however, it is

    advisable to look at some scenarios where the user has less than average or expected results. As

    an example we used a survival rate of 74 percent in Table 1, E37. What if the survival rate turned

    out to be only 40 percent? If you enter this survival rate instead of 74 percent the user will see

    that it makes a big difference with the IRR; instead of 47 percent and 45 percent returns the

    results are -4 percent and -1 percent IRR, which would not be a good return. If the user is unsure

    of the actual survival rate (or any other critical value) that is likely to be achieved, then the user

    should proceed with great caution.

  • As a general rule of thumb in shrimp farming, one should put everything they can possibly

    think of on paper that will cost money (as we have tried to do in this model) and then double it.

    Then they should count on losing at least one full crop during the life of the shrimp farm (maybe

    more). By doing these two things the IRR will come closer to being realistic. The 47 percent IRR

    after 7 years and 45 percent IRR after 12 years are as accurate as one can make them without

    being able to see every event in the future. No one can predict a crop loss from storm damage or

    disease accurately. They are as accurate as possible because they have not factored in the un-

    known (the hurricane or 100 year storm that demolishes the farm or the virus that kills the crop).

    It takes most shrimp culture enthusiasts some time to realize that shrimp aquaculture is just

    another type of farming, and shrimp culture operations face many of the same problems that

    other farmers face (weather, diseases, birds and other predators, etc). Shrimp farming is farming,

    and is considered a high-risk venture. For additional literature on shrimp farming contact Texas

    A&M University Sea Grant, and for additional information on hatchery spread sheets or financial

    analyses for a hatchery, consult Treece and Fox (1993), which can be ordered from the Texas Sea

    Grant web site at http://texas-sea-granttamu.edu/.

    References

    Hanson, 1. S., W. L. Griffin, D. A. Klinefelter, and D. U. Fisher. 1991. Developing an Aquacul-

    ture Business Proposal. Faculty Paper Series. Department of Agricultural Economics, Texas

    A&M University, College Station, Texas 77843-2124.

    Lee, W.P., M.D. Boehlje, A.G. Nelson, and W. G. Murray. 1988. Agricultural finance. Iowa

    State University Press, Ames, Iowa.

    Treece, G.D. and 1.M. Fox. 1993. Design, Operation and Training Manual for an Intensive

    Culture Shrimp Hatchery, with emphasis on Penaeus monodon and Penaeus vannamei.

    Texas A&M University Sea Grant College Program Publication TAMU-SG-93-505. 187

    pages.

    Villalon, l.R. 1991. Practical Manual For the Semi-intensive Culture of Marine Shrimp.

    Texas A&M University Sea Grant College Program, Publication TAMU-SG-91-501. 104

    pages.

  • TABLE 1. Unit Cost, Produetlon, and Flnanelal Assumptions

    Unit Costs

    Postiarvaa ($/1000)

    Fartilizar. Uraa ($/kg)

    Fartillzar. Tripla Phosphata ($/kg)

    Faad ($/kg) (bulk rata)

    Pumping Utilities ($IKWH)

    Aaraflon Utilities ($/KWH)

    Ica ($/kg)

    Processing ($/kg)

    Packing & Grading ($/kg)

    Full Time labor ($Iperson)

    Numbar Ponds par Full Time labors

    Typa 1 Management Salaries ($Iperson)

    Typa 2 Managament Salaries ($Iparson)

    Typa 3 Managamant Salaries ($Iperson) Typa 4 Managemant Salarias ($Iperson)

    Type 5 Management Salaries ($Iperson)

    Typa 6 Management Salarlas ($Iperson) Accountant Fees ($Iyaar)

    legal Fees ($/year)

    Insurance Pramlum ($/year) Repair Rale ($1$ of Buildings)

    Rapalr Rata ($1$ of Mach. Equip. Ponds) Rapalrs Rata Storm Damaga

    Utllnles: Rale per Square Fool of all Buildings ($/year) Supplies: Rale par Square Fool of all Buildings ($/yaar)

    Property Tax Rata (per $) Price Per Gallon of Fual (gasoline)

    Average Gallons Fual UsadIVahlcleNear

    Ratio of surfaca ha 10 total ha

    Production Assum tlons

    Stocking Denslly (1000tha) Survival Rata

    Weaks Shrimp in Pond/crop Siza Stocked (g)

    Growth Rate/waek (g) Harvesl Siza (g)

    Number of crops per year

    Convarsion: headon to haadoff

    FERTIUZER Inllial Application (kgtha)

    Urea Triple Phosphate

    While Pond is filling (kg/ha)

    Urea

    Triple Phosphate

    Final filling of the pond (kg/ha)

    Urea Triple Phosphate

    Maintenance lavel (kg/ha)

    Urea

    Triple Phosphate

    TOTAL

    Urea

    Triple Phosphata

    Kgs Fert.tha (From Above)

    Food Conversion Ratio

    Aeration Ratio (KWH/kg shrimp)

    Pumping Ratio (KWHlkg shrimp) Ice Ratio (kgs ice/kg shrim

    Flnanelal Assumptions

    t82.00

  • Financial Assumptions

    Interest Rates Short Term Intermediate Term

    Borrowing as % of Total Investment Capital Needs Average Number Months for Operating Loan Length of Intermediate Loan (Years) Minimum Cash Reserve at End of Year Inflation per Year Opportunity Cost of Capital Investor's Risk Factor Property Tax Rate Insurance Premium Intermediate Factor

    Year 1 2 3

    4 5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    11

    12

    Tax Information

    Self Tax Social Security Medicare

    Income Tax

    Cyclical Factor to

    adjust Shrimp Prices

    3.8897

    Adjusted Costs Price Inflation

    of Shrimp (relative to Received the

    9.29 0.0% 8.39 0.0%

    10.79 0.0% 9.29 0.0% 8.39 0.0%

    10.79 0.0% 9.29 0.0%

    8.39 0.0%

    10.79 0.0%

    9.29 0.0%

    8.39 0.0%

    10.79 0.0%

  • TABLE 2. Construction and Equipment Needs

    LAND (ha)

    POND CONSTRUCTION

    Number of ponds constructed

    Average Surtace Hectares/Pond

    Concrete Inflow

    Concrete Outflow

    Concrete Box

    Water Gale Valve

    Pipe

    Eletrical

    Earth Moving

    Drainage Culvert

    Survey (to Permit)

    Engineering Design Contingency

    SUBTOTAL

    POND PUMPS

    Pump/Motor/3,050 gpm

    Pipes(per ft.)

    Pump Station

    Contingency

    SUBTOTAL

    MAJOR POND EQUIPMENT

    Paddle Wheels

    Harvest Machine Tractor/42HP/4Wheel Dr.

    Truckl1 Ton Feed BoaVMotor/Blower

    Feed Wagon/Augar

    Fuel Tank

    Truck/Half-Ton

    Light Vehicle/Honda Contingency

    EGO. Quantity Quantity Ouantity LIFE Yaar 1 Year 2 Year 3

    o 36

    11,269

    6,336

    6,220

    o

    Quantity

    Year 4

    o

    Quantity Year 5

    o

    Quantity Year 6

    o

    Quantity Year 7

    o

    Quantity Year 6

    o

    Quantity Year 9

    o

    Quantity Year 10

    o

    Quantity Yaar 11

    o

    Quantity Year 12

    o

  • IMPLEMENTS 0..0 Orag Silo BoaVMotor

    Mower Contingency B43

    SUBTOTAL PONe EQUIPMENT

    WaaeSaater Lawn mower Cast Nats

    Wad",.. SHc:hiOiscs Fin,r and Boards

    Contilgancy BS SUBTOTAL SHOP EQUIPMENT

    Vica Air Compressor

    Bantry Charger Jack 12 Ion

    Whe.lbarrow Hand Toots Genaral Supplies

    Generator (Small) Hand Orill 318 Drill 112 Clmd.rSaw ladder ConUngancy 317

    SUBTOTAL OffiCE

    O.M&Ch.it Blackboard

    Booklhelves Filing Cabinet IBM Computer System Typewriter

    Tal.phona SUd. Projector XerollC Machine

    C.lc:ulator Prinle, Contingency 516

    SUBTOTAL BUILDINGS

    Ollie. l.q. 11.) Shop la . It) F a Shod Is. II) Con~.ncy 2,4g0

    SUBTOTAL MISCELLANEOUS EQUIPMENT

    02 Mata,. R.fr.clamstar Tnpl. Beam Balance Microscope. Hemacylomatar MiscaPanaous AIr CondlUonaf Relrlgerator PH Mata, Contingency 572

    SUBTOTAL

  • TABLE 2. IConUnuedJ VDlue 0' Con.truc:Uon and Esulpmenl Nuda Vaw V..... YUle Vail. Value Vau. Value Vaart V..,2! Vaar3 V ., 4 Via'S V rB V ., 7

    c:tiliI 12.,000 0

    5,000

    20,000 11,000 3,000 ",0011

    5",077 3,BOD 7,000 5,000

    11,2B9 12395'(

    33,000 20,355 10,000 8,338

    al1l91

    15,000 1B,OOO 11,000 13,100

    2,000 15,300 D

    2,400 .,220

    , 300 SI ,(20

    3,000 1,200

    '(,225 043

    I 288

    250 300 100

    3D 2DD

    aD

    .00 50

    '00 00

    1,000 SOD

    0 120 350 150 50 0

    317 0 3 ~I7

    250

    300 300

    2,DOD SOD SOD

    0 SOD

    75 750 51.

    5 al3

    11,700 9,200 ",ODD 2.490

    27 390

    1,100 SOD

    00 .00

    70

    2'. 2.000

    300 SOD 572

    6,288

    8,300 441.157

    Value Valu. Value V.,e Vear I!I Vaa,9 V ., 10 Vaal 11

    o D

    Value Vear 12

    D

  • TABLE 3, Farm Production. In ub: Uaed and Mana nl

    Farm Production Year 1 Year 2 Vear3 Yaar4 Year 5 Year 6 Vear7 YearS Year 9 Year 10 Year 11 Year 12 Surface Hectares Added this year 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total Surface Hectares in production 0 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 Ponds Added this year 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total Ponds In production 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Average Surface Halpond 0 2 Stocking Stocking Density (1 DOOlha) 0 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 Average Stocking/Pond/Crop 0 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 Total stocking for Farm/Crop 0 8,000 8,000 8,000 8,000 8,000 8,000 8,000 8,000 8,000 8,000 Total stocking (or Farm 0 8,000 8,000 8,000 8,000 8,000 8,000 8,000 8,000 8,000 8,000 Harvesting Adjustment Factor to Crop Production ~ . ~. ' , - .~; ' ., ' ",# r' ,-Number Harvested/halcrop 0 296,000 296,000 296,000 296,000 296,000 296,000 296,000 296,000 296,000 296,000 Kg. Harvo,tadlha/crop (head-on) 0 5,094 5,094 5,094 5,094 5,094 5,094 5,094 5,094 5,094 5,094 Kgs/Farm/year/crop (head-on) 0 101,883 101,883 101,883 101,883 101,883 101,883 101,883 101,883 101,883 101,883 Kgs/Farm/year (head-on) 0 101,883 101,883 101,883 101,883 101,883 101,883 101,883 101,883 101,883 101,883 KQ,/Farm/vear (head-off) 0 63,168 63,168 63,168 63,168 63,168 63,166 63,166 63,168 63,168 63,168

    Fertilizer: Urea

    Kgs Fert.lha/Crop 0 182 182 182 182 182 182 182 182 182 182

    Kg, FertJPond/Crop 0 364 364 364 364 364 364 364 364 364 364

    Kg' Fert./Farm/Crop 0 3,640 3,640 3,640 3,640 3,640 3,640 3,640 3,640 3,640 3,640

    Kgs Fert./Farm 0 3,640 3,640 3,640 3,640 3,640 3,640 3,640 3,640 3,640 3,640

    FertiliZer: Trlpf. Pho.phal. I Kgs Fert./haiCrop 0 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19

    Kgs FertJPond/Crop 0 37 37 37 37 37 37 37 37 37 37

    Kg. FertJFarm/Crop 0 372 372 372 372 372 372 372 372 372 372

    Kgs FertJFarm 0 372 372 372 372 372 372 372 372 372 372

    Feed Kgs FeadihaiCrop 0 8,151 8,151 8,151 8,151 8,151 8,151 8,151 8,151 8,151 8,151

    Kg' Feed/Pond/Crop 0 16,301 16,301 18,301 16,301 16,301 16,301 16,301 16,301 16,301 18,301 Kgs Feod/Farm/Crop 0 163,013 163,013 163,013 163,013 163,013 163,013 163,013 163,013 163,013 163,013 Kgs Feed/Farm a 163,013 163,013 163,013 163,013 163,013 163,013 163,013 163,013 163,013 163,013 Aeration KWH/halcrop a 13,245 13,245 13,245 13,245 13,245 13,245 13,245 13,245 13,245 13,245 KWH/Pond/Crop 0 26,490 26,490 26,490 26,490 26,490 26,490 26,490 26,490 26,490 26,490 KWH/Farm/Crop 0 264,896 264,896 264,896 264,896 264,896 264,896 264,896 264,896 264,896 264,896 KWH/Farm 0 264,896 264,896 264,896 264,896 264,896 264,896 264,896 264,896 264,896 264,896 Pumping A.sumptions

    KWH/ha/Crop 0 16,301 16,301 16,301 16,301 16,301 16,301 16,301 16,301 16,301 16,301 KWH/Pond/Crop 0 32,603 32,603 32,603 32,603 32,603 32,603 32,603 32,603 32,603 32,603 KWH/Farm/Crop 0 326,026 326,026 326,026 326,026 326,026 326,026 326,026 326,026 326,026 326,026 KWH/Farm 0 326,026 326,026 326,026 326,026 326,026 326,026 326,026 326,026 326,026 326,026 Ice Assumptions

    Ice/ha/Crop 0 10,188 10,188 10,188 10,188 10,188 10,188 10,188 10,188 10,188 10,188 Ice/Pond/Crop 0 20,377 20,377 20,377 20,377 20,377 20,377 20,377 20,377 20,377 20,377 Ice/Farm/Crop 0 203,766 203,766 203,766 203,766 203,766 203,766 203,766 203,766 203,766 203,766 Ico/Farm 0 203,766 203,766 203,766 203,766 203,766 203,766 203,766 203,766 203,766 203,766 Number or Managers by Type Type 1 Type 2 Type 3 Type 4 Type 5 T 8 6

  • TABLE 4. Capital Transactions and Various Financial Assumptions

    Capital Item Eco. Life Year 1 Year 2

    land 0 126,000 Pond Construction

    Buildings Machinery & Equipment

    Machinery & Equipment Machinery & Equipment

    Machinery & Equipment

    Machinery & Equipment

    Machinery & Equipment

    Machinery & Equipment

    TOTAL CAPITAL

    Depreciation Schedule

    Pond Cons. (15)

    Buildings (20)

    Mach. & Equip. (12)

    Mach. & Equip. (10) Mach. & Equip. (7)

    Mach. & Equip. (6) Mach. & Equip. (5) Mach. & Equip. (4) Mach. & Equip. (3)

    TOTAL DEPRECIATION

    15 20 12

    10 7

    6

    5

    4

    3

    Salvage Rate

    0.00

    0.00

    0.10

    0.10 0.10

    0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10

    o o o o o o o

    8,300

    o 8,300

    o Book Value of Capital before sale of old equipment

    Land 0 Pond Cons. (15)

    Buildin9s (20) Mach. & Equip. (12) Mach. & Equip. (10)

    Mach. & Equip. (7) Mach. & Equip. (6)

    Mach. & Equip. (5) Mach. & Equip. (4) 8,300 Mach. & Equip. (3)

    TOTAL MARKET VALUE 8,300

    Sale of Used Equipment

    Mach. & Equip. (7) Mach. & Equip. (6)

    Mach. & Equip. (5)

    Mach. & Equip. (4)

    Mach. & Equip. (3) TOTAL EQUIPMENT SOLD

    Year 1

    123,954 27,390

    850 88,951

    12,324

    20,500

    30,614

    o 10,575

    441,157

    o o o o o o o

    1,868

    o 1,868

    126,000

    123,954 27,390

    850 88,951 12,324

    20,500 30,614

    6,433 10,575

    447,590

    Year 2

    Year 3

    o o o o o o o o o o o

    8,264

    1,370

    64 8,006 1,584 3,075 5,511 1,868 3,173

    32,912

    126,000

    115,690 26,021

    786 80,945

    10,739 17,425 25,104

    4,565 7,403

    414,677

    Year 3

    Year 4

    o o o o o o o o o o o

    8,264 1,370

    64 8,006 1,584

    3,075 5,511 1,868 3,173

    32,912

    126,000

    107,427 24,651

    723 72,939

    9,155 14,350 19,593

    2,698 4,230

    381,765

    Year 4

    Year 5

    o o o o o o o o

    8,300

    10,575 18,875

    Depreciation

    8,264

    1,370

    64 8,006 1,584

    3,075 5,511 1,868 3,173

    32,912

    Book Value

    126,000

    99,163 23,282

    659 64,934

    7,570 11,275 14,082

    9,130 11,633

    367,727

    Year 5

    830

    o 830

    Year 6

    o o o o o o o o o o o

    8,264

    1,370

    64

    8,006 1,584 3,075 5,511 1,868

    3,173

    32,912

    126,000

    90,900 21,912

    595 56,928

    5,986

    8,200 8,572 7,263 8,460

    334,815

    Year 6

    3,061

    o 1,058 4,119

    Year 7

    o o o o o o o

    30,614

    o o

    30,614

    8,264

    1,370

    64 8,006 1,584

    3,075 5,511 1,868 3,173

    32,912

    126,000

    82,636 20,543

    531 48,923

    4,401 5,125

    33,676

    5,395 5,288

    332,517

    Year 7

    2,050

    o o o

    2,050

    Year 8

    o o o o o o

    20,500

    o o

    10,575 31,075

    8,264

    1,370

    64

    8,006 1,584 3,075 5,511 1,868 3,173

    32,912

    126,000

    74,372 19,173

    468 40,917

    2,817 22,550 28,165

    3,528 12,690

    330,679

    Year 8

    1,232

    o o o o

    1,232

    Year 9 Year 10

    o 0 o 0 o 0 o 0 o 0

    12,324

    o o

    8,300

    o 20,624

    8,264 1,370

    64 8,006 1,584

    3,075 5,511 1,868 3,173

    32.912

    126,000

    66,109 17,804

    404 32,912

    13,556 19,475

    22,654 9,960 9,518

    318,390

    o o o o o o

    8,264

    1,370

    64 8,006 1,584 3,075 5,511 1,868 3,173

    32,912

    126,000

    57,845 16,434

    340 24,906

    11,971 16,400 17,144

    8,093 6,345

    285,478

    Year 9 Year 10

    o 0 o 0 o 0

    830 0 1,058

    1,888 o o

    Year 11 Year 12

    o 0 o 0 o 0 o 0 o 88,951 o o o o

    10,575 10,575

    8,264

    1,370

    64 8,006 1,584

    3,075 5,511 1,868 3,173

    32.912

    126,000

    49,582 15,065

    276 16,901

    10,387 13,325 11,633

    6,225 13,748

    263,141

    Year 11

    o o

    3,061

    o o

    3,061

    o o

    30,614

    o o

    119,565

    8,264 1,370

    64 8,006 1,584 3,075 5,511 1,868 3,173

    32,912

    126,000

    41,318 13,695

    213 97,846

    8,803 10,250 36,737

    4,358 10,575

    349,793

    Year 12

    o o o o

    1,058

    1,058

  • TABLE 5. Pro Forma Cashllow Budget for Hypothetical Shrimp Farm Inc.

    Item Year 1 Year 2

    BEGINNING CASH BALANCE a 30,000 Receipts:

    Shrimp Sale of capital

    TOTAL CASH INFLOW

    Operating Expenses:

    Postlarvaa

    Fertilizer

    40% Protein Feed

    Pumping

    Aeration

    Ice

    Processing

    Pack & Grading

    Full Time Labor

    Management Salaries

    Accountant Fees

    Legal Fees

    Insurance Premium

    Repair of Buildings. Repair Mach, Equip, Ponds

    Repairs Storm Damage

    Ulilities

    Supplies Property Tax

    Fuel

    Contingency

    Total Operating Expenses

    Capital Invest & Replace Schedule of Debt Payments

    Intermediate Principal

    Intermediate interest

    Income & Self-employ Taxes

    TOTAL CASH OUTFLOW

    AVAILABLE CASH

    Investors Paid in Capital

    New Borrowing

    Short Term:

    Capital Equipment

    Operating Capital Intermediate (end of yr)

    Payment on Short Term Note

    Proneipai

    interest

    Total Short Term Payment

    Dividends to Investors

    ENDING CASH BALANCE

    o o o

    a a a a a a a a a

    15,000

    1,500

    1,000

    o o o o o a o

    500

    1,800

    19.800

    8,300

    o o

    30,000

    o o a o o o o o

    15,000

    30,000

    1,500

    1,000

    750

    o 332

    o 1,400

    1,960

    277

    3,000

    5,522

    60.741

    441,157

    o 0 o 0 o 0

    28.100 501.898 -28.100 -471,898

    58 ,694 274,794

    a 19,800

    o

    19,800

    594

    20,394

    a 30,000

    250,579

    30,741 250,579

    281,320

    23,474

    304,794

    a 30,000

    Year 3

    30,000

    681.578 o

    711,578

    72,000

    321

    114,109

    22,822

    18,543

    10,188

    o o

    15,000

    50,000

    1,500

    1,000

    1,500

    1.096 11,843

    757 1,400

    1,960

    268 3,000

    32,731

    360,036

    o

    41,870

    22,552

    82.823

    507.282 204,297

    o

    o 330,036

    o

    330,036

    9.901

    339,937

    164.395

    30.000

    Year 4

    30,000

    586,895

    o 616,895

    72,000

    321

    114,109

    22,822

    18,543

    10,188

    o o

    15,000

    50,000

    1,500

    1,000

    1,500

    1,096

    11,843

    757 1,400

    1,960

    258 3,000

    32,730

    360.028

    a

    45,638

    18,784 54,643

    479.091 137,804

    o

    a 330,026

    o

    330,026

    9,901

    339,927

    97,904 30,000

    Year 5

    30,000

    530,225

    830

    561,055

    72,000

    321

    114,109

    22,822

    18,543

    10,188

    o o

    15,000

    50,000

    1,500

    1,000

    1,500

    1,096 11,843

    757

    1,400

    1.960 248

    3,000

    32,729

    360,015

    18,875

    49.745 14,676

    38,127

    481,439 79,616

    o

    o 330,015

    o

    330,015

    9,900

    339,916

    39,716

    30,000

    Year 6

    30,000

    681,578 4,119

    715,697

    72,000

    321

    114,109

    22,822

    18,543

    10,188

    o o

    15,000

    50,000

    1,500

    1,000

    1,500

    1,096

    11,843

    757 1,400

    1,960

    239

    3,000

    32,728

    360,005

    o

    54,223

    10,199

    87,940

    512.366 203,331

    o

    o 330,005

    o

    330,005

    9,900

    339,905

    163.431 30,000

    Ya817

    30,000

    586,895 2 ,050

    618,945

    72,000

    321

    114,109

    22,822

    18,543

    10,188

    o a

    15,000

    50,000

    1,500

    1,000

    1,500

    1,096

    11,843

    757

    1,400

    1,960

    229

    3,000

    32.727

    359.994

    30,614

    59,103

    5,319

    59.463 514.493 104.452

    a

    a 329,994

    o

    329,994

    9,900

    339,894

    64,553

    30,000

    Yaar8

    30,000

    530,225 1,232

    561.457

    72,000

    321

    114,109

    22,822

    18,543

    10,188

    o o

    15,000

    50,000

    1,500

    1,000

    1,500

    1,096

    11,843

    757

    1,400

    1,960

    220

    3,000

    32,726

    359.983

    31,075

    o a

    43.249 434.308

    127.149

    o

    o 329,983

    o

    329,983

    9,900

    339,883

    87,250 30,000

    Yaar9

    30,000

    681,578 1,888

    713,466

    72,000

    321

    114,109

    22,822

    18,543

    10,188

    o a

    15,000

    50,000

    1,500

    1,000

    1,500

    1,096 11,843

    757 1,400

    1,960

    210

    3,000

    32,725

    359,973

    20,624

    o o

    90,420 471.016

    o

    o 329,973

    o

    329,973

    9,899

    339,872

    202.550

    30.000

    Year 10

    30,000

    566,895 o

    616.895

    72,000

    321

    114,109

    22,822

    18,543

    10,188

    o a

    15,000

    50,000

    1,500

    1,000

    1,500

    1,096

    11,843

    757

    1.400

    1,960

    200

    3,000

    32,724

    359,962

    a

    o o

    60.487 420.449

    196.447

    a

    o 329,962

    o

    329,962

    9,899

    339,861

    156.548 30,000

    Year 11

    30,000

    530,225 3,061

    563,286

    72,000

    321

    114,109

    22,822

    18,543

    10,188

    o o

    15,000

    50,000

    1,500

    1,000

    1,500

    1,096

    11,843

    757

    1,400

    1,960

    191

    3,000

    32,723

    359,952

    10,575

    o o

    43,871 414.398

    148,888

    a

    o 329,952

    o

    329,952

    9,899

    339,850

    108,990

    30,000

    Year 12

    30.000

    681,578

    1,058 712,636

    72,000

    321

    114,109

    22,822

    18,543

    10,188

    o o

    15,000

    50,000

    1,500

    1,000

    1,500

    1,096

    11,843

    757

    1,400

    1,960

    181

    3,000

    32,722

    359,941

    119,565

    o a

    90,173 569,678

    142,957

    o

    o 329,941

    o

    329,941

    9,898

    339,839

    103.059

    30,000

  • TOTAL INTERMEDIATE LOAN PAYMENT ANALYSIS

    Balance at beginning of year 0 0 250,579 208,709 163,071 113,325 59,103 0 0 0 0 0 Interest Accrued 0 0 22,552 18,784 14,676 10,199 5,319 0 0 0 0 0

    Total Balance Before Payment 0 0 273,131 227,493 177,747 123,524 64,422 0 0 0 0 0

    Payment 0 0 64,422 64,422 64,422 64,422 64,422 0 0 0 0 0

    Remaining Balance 0 0 208,709 163,071 113,325 59,103 0 0 0 0 0 0

    Princiele 0 0 41,870 45,638 49,745 54,223 59,103 0 0 0 0 0

    Net Present Value (7 Years) 114,050

    Internal Rate of Retum (7 Years) 46.84%

    Net Present Value (12 Years) 141,003

    Internal Rate of Retum (12 Years) 45.08%

    Initial Investment (7 Years) -267,609 164,395 97,904 39,716 163,431 427,069

    InHial Investment (12 Years) -267 ,609 164,395 97,904 39,716 163,431 64,553 87,250 202,550 156,548 108,990 482,852

    Net income before short term -19,800 -62,609 266,077 175,173 123,451 282,581 190,720 138,561 290,581 194,021 140,422 289,782

    Estimated social security tax 0 0 6,882 6,882 6,882 6,882 6,882 6,882 6,882 6,882 6,882 6,882

    Estimated Medicare tax 0 0 3,776 3,776 3,580 3,776 3,776 3,776 3,776 3,776 3,776 3,776

    Estimated income tax 0 0 75,235 47,055 31,021 80,351 51,874 35,705 82,831 52,897 36,282 82,584

    Estimated total taxes 0 0 85,893 57,713 41,483 91,009 62,532 46,363 93,469 63,555 46,940 93,241

    Estimated cash available before borrowing -411,157 625,685 559,183 500,697 624,686 525,799 464,019 599,353 553,340 505,771 499,630

    Pre Ending Cash Balance -28,694 -244,794 30,000 30,000 30,000 30,000 30,000 30,000 30,000 30,000 30,000 30,000

    SHORT TERM BORROWING: Capital Equipment 0 250,579 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

    Operating Capital 19,800 30,741 330,036 330,026 330,015 330,005 329,994 329,983 329,973 329,962 329,952 329,941

    594 23,474 9,901 9,901 9,900 9,900 9,900 9,900 9,899 9,899 9,899 9,898

  • TABLE 6. Pro Forma Balance Sheet for Hypothetical Shrimp Farm Inc.

    Item Year 1 Year 2 Year 3

    CUARENT" ASSETS Cash on Hand

    INTERMEDIATE ASSETS Mach. & Equip. (7)

    Mach. & Equip. (6)

    Mach. & Equip. (5)

    Mach. & Equip. (4)

    Mach. & Equip. (3)

    TOTAL INTERMEDIATE ASSETS

    LONG TERM ASSETS

    Land

    Pond Cons. (15)

    Buildings (20)

    Mach. & Equip. (12)

    Mach. & Equip. (10)

    TOTAL LONG TERM ASSETS

    TOTAL ASSETS

    CURRENT" UABlUTlES

    Current Portion Intermediate

    TOTAL CURRENT LIABILITIES

    INTERMEDIATE LlABLITIES

    TOTAL LIABILITIES

    NET WORTH

    TOTAL LIABILITIES & NET WORTH

    CHANGE IN NET WORTH

    Curran1 Ra1io Debt/Equity (Leverage) Ratio

    Net Capital Ratio Debt/Asset Ratio

    30,000

    o o o

    8,300

    o 8,300

    o o o o o o

    38.300

    o

    o

    o

    38,300

    38,300

    38,300

    30,000

    12,324

    20,500

    30,614

    6,433

    10,575

    80,445

    126 ,000

    123,954

    27,390

    850

    88,951

    367,144

    477,590

    41,870

    208,709

    250,579

    227,011

    477,590

    188,711

    0.72

    1.10

    1.91 0.52

    30,000

    10,739

    17,425

    25,104

    4,565

    7 ,403

    65,235

    126,000

    115,690

    26,021

    786

    80,945

    349,442

    444,677

    45,638

    163,071

    208,709

    235,968

    444,677

    8,957

    0.66

    0 .88

    2 .13 0 .47

    Year 4

    30,000

    9,155

    14,350

    19,593

    2,698

    4,230

    50,025

    126,000

    107,427

    24,651

    723

    72,939

    331,740

    411,765

    49,745

    113,325

    163,071

    248,694

    411,765

    12,726

    0.60

    0.66

    2 .53 0.40

    Year 5

    30,000

    7,570

    11,275

    14,082

    9,130

    11,633

    53,690

    126,000

    99,163

    23 ,282

    659

    64,934

    314,037

    397,727

    54,223

    59,103

    113,325

    284,402

    397,727

    35,708

    0.55

    0.40

    3 .51 0 .28

    Year 6

    30,000

    5,986

    8,200

    8,572

    7,263

    8,460

    38,480

    126,000

    90,900

    21,912

    595

    56,928

    296,335

    364,815

    59,103

    o

    59,103

    305,712

    364,815

    21,310

    0 ,51

    0.19

    6.17 0.16

    Year 7

    30,000

    4,401

    5,125 33,676

    5,395

    5,288

    53,884

    126,000

    82,636

    20,543

    531 48,923

    278,632

    362,517

    o

    o

    o

    362,517

    362,517

    56,804

    0.00

    0.00

    0 .00 0 .00

    Year 8

    30,000

    2,817

    22,550

    28,165

    3,528

    12,690

    69,749

    126 ,000

    74,372

    19,173

    468

    40,917

    260,930

    360,679

    o

    o

    o

    360,679

    360,679

    -1,837

    0 .00

    0.00

    0.00 0.00

    Year 9

    30,000

    13,556

    19,475 22,654

    9,960

    9,518

    75,163

    126,000

    66,109

    17,804

    404

    32,912

    243,228

    348 ,390

    o

    o

    o

    348,390

    348,390

    -12,289

    0.00

    0.00

    0.00

    0 .00

    Year 10

    30,000

    11,971

    16,400 17,144

    8,093

    6 ,345

    59,953

    126,000

    57,845

    16,434

    340

    24,906

    225,525

    315,478

    o

    o

    o

    315,478

    315,478

    -32 ,912

    0.00

    0 .00

    0.00

    0.00

    Year 11

    30,000

    10,387

    13 ,325 11,633

    6,225

    13,748

    55,318

    126,000

    49,582

    15,065

    276

    16,901

    207 ,823

    293,141

    o

    o

    o

    293,141

    293,141

    -22,337

    0.00

    0.00

    0.00

    0 .00

    Year 12

    30,000

    8,803

    10,250 36,737

    4,358

    10,575

    70,722

    126,000

    41,318

    13,695

    213 97,846

    279,071

    379,793

    o

    o

    o

    379,793

    379,793

    86,652

    0.00

    0.00

    0 .00

    0.00

  • A 81 C 0 E F G H I J K L M N 0 1 TABLE 7. Pro Forma Income Statement for Hypothetical Shrimp Farm Inc.

    2 litem Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 YearS Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year 11 Year 12

    3 Income: 4 Shrimp 0 0 681,578 586,895 530,225 681,578 586895 530,225 681,578 586,895 530,225 681,578

    5 Sale of Capital Eguipment 0 0 0 0 830 4,119 2,050 1,232 1,888 0 3,061 1,058

    6 Total Income 0 0 681,578 586,895 531,055 685,697 588,945 531,457 683,466 586,895 533,286 682,636

    7 1 8 Cash Expense:

    9 Operating 19,800 60,741 360,036 360,026 360,015 360,005 359,994 359,983 359,973 359,962 359,952 359,941 10 Interest 594 23,474 32,453 28,685 24,577 20,099 15,219 9,900 9899 9,899 9,899 9,898

    1 1 Total Cash Expense 20,394 84,216 392,489 388,710 384592 380,104 375 213 369,883 369,872 369,861 369,850 369,839

    12 I 13 Net Cash Income I -20,394 -84,216 289,089 198,185 146,463 305,593 213,732 161,574 313,594 217,034 163,436 312,797

    14 I 15 NonCash Adjustments

    16 Depreciation 0 1,868 32,912 32,912 32,912 32,912 32,912 32,912 32,912 32,912 32,912 32,912

    17 Book Value - Capital assets 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

    18 Total NonCash Adiustments 0 1 868 32912 32,912 32912 32,912 32,912 32,912 32,912 32,912 32,912 32,912

    19 I 20 Net Farm Income Before Tax -20,394 -86,083 256.176 165,273 113,550 272,681 180820 128,662 280,681 184,122 130,524 279,884

    21 Taxes I 22 Social Security 0 0 6,882 6,882 6,882 6,882 6882 6882 6882 6882 6,882 6882

    23 Medicare 0 0 3.776 3,776 3,293 3,778 3,776 3,731 3,776 3,776 3,776 3776

    24 Income Tax 0 0 72,166 43,985 27,952 77,282 48,805 32,636 79,762 49,829 33,213 79,515

    25 Total taxes 0 0 82823 54,643 36,127 67.940 59463 43,249 90,420 60,487 43,871 90.173

    26 I 27 Net Income Above Taxes -20,394 -86,083 173,353 110,629 75,424 184,741 121,357 85,412 190,261 123,635 86,653 189,711

    28 Breakeven Production (kg. heads-oHI

    29 To Cover Cash Costs 36,375 41,837 45,818 35,227 40,384 44,065 34,279 39,808 44,062 34,276

    30 To Cover All Costs Before Taxes 39,426 45,379 49,739 38,278 43,927 47,9B6 37,329 43,351 47,983 37,326

    31 To Cover All Cost Including Taxes 47,102 51,261 54,281 46,428 50,327 53,139 45,709 49 B61 53,209 45,683

    32 Breakeven Price ($/kg)

    33 To Cover Cash Costs 6.21 6.15 6.09 6.02 5.94 5.B6 5.86 5.86 5.86 5.85

    34 To Cover All Costs Before Taxes 6.73 6.67 6.61 6.54 6.46 6.38 6.38 6.38 6.38 6.38 35 To Cover All Cost Including Taxes 8.05 7.54 7.21 7.93 7.40 7.06 7.81 7.33 7.07 7.80

  • Abstract A GUIDE TO TI-IE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS OF SHRIMP FARMING

    (Spread Sheet For Micro Computers) Griffin and Treece, 1999

    This program was re-written by Wade L. Griffin, Professor, Department of Agricultural Economics, Texas A&M University and Granvil D. Treece, Aquaculture Specialist, Texas A&M University, Sea Grant College Program in 1999. In starting a shrimp culture business, one of the first steps is to develop a business plan. The business' plan should contain a statement about the business and a financial plan. Once the basic business plan has been developed, it is necessary to demonstrate the economic feasibility over the planning horizon of the venture. This type of analysis is required by banks or investors for determining the financial success of the venture. The purpose for this program is to assist the user in conducting an economic feasibility analysis of a shrimp farm. To achieve this objective a financial analysis is conducted for a hypothetical intensive shrimp farm on the Texas coast. The hard copy of the analysis accompanying the diskette shows the results of the analysis and a "read me" file explains how to use the model and how to customize it to suite the users' needs. The model includes seven (7) tables: 1) Unit Cost, Production, and Financial Assumptions; 2) Construction and Equipment Needs; 3) Fann Production, Inputs Used and Management; 4) Capital Transactions and Various Financial Assumptions; 5) Pro Forma Cashflow Budget (Profit and Financial Return); 6) Pro Forma Balance Sheet; and 7) Pro Forma Income Statement (break-even analysis, sensitivity analysis). This financial model for a shrimp farm is developed in a fully integrated spreadsheet. For example, if you want to change your stocking density, the model will automatically make all the changes to your cash flow, balance sheet, income statement, and rate of return. The Shrimp Farming Financial Analysis/Spread Sheet for micro computers is available on three and one half inch diskette only for either Macintosh (Excel 5.0 or higher) or mM/PC (Excel 5.0/95 or higher). When ordering please specify which. US$25.00 includes a hard copy of program, a "read me" file, and one diskette and shipping.