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A2A 2018 Investor Guidebook
January 2019
We have divided the Guidebook into the four main sections listed aside, where A2A equity story is unfolded.
The Annex section includes historical data and energy scenario/regulatory back up. Moreover, the Guidebook has a spreadsheet back up (i.e., the Databook) to download for modelling purposes.
We would appreciate your feedback and suggestions to improve this product.
Please write to: [email protected]
Resources:
Databook in excel: this file is part of the Guidebook kit and contains annual and quarterly economic, financial and operational Company data as of 2008 and all the tables published in this document.
Additional information on A2A is available at www.a2a.eu. Share price information, Annual Reports and Interim Accounts, press releases and other relevant information can be found in the “Investors” section.
REFERENCE TO MORE IN-DEPTH, UPDATES AND DOCUMENTS AVAILABLE IN A2A WEBSITE
THIS SYMBOL MARKS THE PAGES WHICH MAY BE SUBJECT TO UPDATES DURING THE YEARLEGENDA
THIS SYMBOL MARKS THE PAGES WHERE EXCEL DOWNLOADS ARE AVAILABLE ANNUAL AND QUARTERLY HISTORICAL SERIES AVAILABLE IN THE INVESTOR DATABOOK:HTTPS://WWW.A2A.EU/EN/INVESTORS/PUBLICATIONS-SERVICES/INVESTOR-GUIDEBOOK-KIT OR IN DEDICATED SECTIONS
BY CLICKING ON THIS SYMBOL YOU WILL RETURN TO THE INDEX OF THE REFERENCE SECTION
BY CLICKING ON THIS SYMBOL YOU WILL JUMP TO THE REFERENCE ANNEX SESSION WHERE MORE DETAILED DATA ARE SHOWN
Welcome to A2A Investor Guidebook, prepared for investors and financial analysts to get a thorough insight into the A2A Group
DISCLAIMER - This document has been prepared by A2A solely for investors and analysts. This document does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or subscribe any shares or other securities and neither it nor any part of it shall form the basis of or be relied upon in connection with any contract orcommitment whatsoever. Some information contained herein and other material discussed at the meetings may include forward-looking information based on A2A’s current beliefs and expectations. These statements are based on current plans, estimates, projections, and projects and therefore you shouldnot place undue reliance on them. Forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties. We caution you that a number of important factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement. Such factors include, but are not limited to:changes in global economic business, changes in the price of certain commodities including electricity, gas and coal, the competitive market and regulatory factors. Moreover, forward-looking statements are current only at the date they are made.
A2A public documents used as sources: A2A Strategic Plan, 2017 Results & Business Plan Update; Company Annual Reports, AGM documents, Report on Corporate Governance, Report on Remuneration, Integrated Report
Index
About A2A
Our Strategy
Data Annexes
A2A Shareholders
slide 21 - 25
01
02
03
04
05
Our Responsibilities
slide 4 - 10
slide 11 - 20
slide 26 - 30
slide 31 - 44
BY CLICKING ON THIS SYMBOL YOU WILL RETURN TO THE GENERAL INDEX
A2A Investment Proposition
ABOUTA2A
A2A 2017 bulletin board: Shaping the Future TodayIntegrated and balanced business mixFocussed geographical presenceAsset portfolio: first class asset base and sizeLong term concessions increase visibilityA2A well positioned in its main businesses
VALUE FROM ASSET QUALITY, DIVERSIFICATION & SYNERGIES
OURSTRATEGY
Where we start from: Delivered strategic value since 2014Dynamic M&A track recordNew strategic guidelines: Transformation, Excellence and CommunityOpportunities to growA2A strategic view aligned to medium-long term trendsStrong confidence to deliver higher quality resultsA2A sustainability embedded in the strategic planFinancial strategy: cost reduction and high durationEnterprise risk model supports management actions
DISCIPLINED
GROWTH OPEN TO SECTOR DYNAMICS
OURRESPONSIBILITIES
A2A strong commitment to SustainabilityMany A2A Sustainability initiativesEffective traditional governance modelDiversified Board of Directors
SUSTAINABILITY AS A KEY PILLAR
A2A SHAREHOLDERS
Shareholding Structure: Institutional investors upA2A is an Italian blue chipDividends on a growing trend since 2011
FOCUS ON
DIVIDENDS
…more in the following pages …
01
02
03
04
4
A2A Business Portfolio
A2A Geographical Presence
The A2A Group - 2017 Bulletin Board
About A2A01
A2A GROUP
A2A Concessions Portfolio
A2A Assets Portfolio
ASSETS AND ACTIVITIES
Market position: businesses and EBITDA
BENCHMARKING
More in-depth, updates and documents available in the following website sections:
A2A Group: www.a2a.eu/en/group/mission-values
Assets and Activities: www.a2a.eu/en/group/our-plants www.a2a.eu/en/services
Major Transactions: www.a2a.eu/en/investors/strategy
Strategic Plan: www.a2a.eu/en/investors/presentations-conference
5
0.0492 0.0578
2016 2017
DPS
17%
349450
2016 2017
CAPEX
1,231 1,211
2016 2017
EBITDA
-2%
232 293
2016 2017
GROUP NET INCOME
+26%
377 413
2016 2017
GROUP ORDINARY NET INCOME
+10%
1,033 1,135
2016 2017
ORDINARY EBITDA
+10%+101
REVENUES
+16%
5,0935,910
2016 2017
€M
NET FINANCIAL POSITION
-226 +90
3,1362,910 316 3,226
2016 2017 Change ofperimeter
2017
€
2017 ACHIEVEMENTS
ORGANIC GROWTH
WASTEOngoing developments
in investments for treatment plants
MARKETFurther expansion of the free market
customer base
NETWORKSSuccessful participation
in the first gas distribution tender (Milano1)
GENERATIONSolid performance
of the generation fleet,in particular CCGT plants
EXTERNALGROWTH
LGH - 12M fully consolidation:
strong synergies from the industrial partnership
Set up of A2A Rinnovabili and M&A First step
in PV Renewables
Northern Lombardy Multiutility:
MoU signed - Start of the partnership project
Geographical focus:
sale of stake in Montenegrin EPCG
2017 Bulletin Board: shaping the future today
6
A2A Uniqueness - Integrated and balanced business mix
2017Ordinary
EBITDA (1)
WASTE MARKET(2)NETWORKS GENERATION
& TRADINGNETWORKS HEAT
1st energy producerfrom WTE plants
Leader for quality and customer satisfaction
Incumbent in the key areas
1st domestic operator
2 GW hydro installed capacity
251 €M 22% 173 €M 15% 309 €M 26% 78 €M 7% 353 €M 30%
Collection and street sweepingElectricity and gas sales
• free market• regulated market
Electricity distribution Cogeneration heat recovery and sales
Fuel sourcing
Urban Waste Treatment Material Recovery
Electricity and Heat production
Public LightingGas
distributionHeat
Distribution
Power generation (Thermoelectric
and RES)
Industrial Waste TreatmentNew Energy Solutions
(Energy Efficiency, E-mobilityand Smart City)
Integrated Water Cycle
Whole-sale & Trading
(1) Ordinary EBITDA Equal to 1,164 €M, calculated as Reported EBITDA (1,211 €M) net of non recurring items (64 €M), EBITDA from “Corporate” (-29 €M), EBITDA from EPCG (12 €M). Put option on EPCG stake was exercised by A2A in July 2017
(2) New perimeter of the old Energy Retail BU, including also Energy Efficiency, Public Lighting, Smart City and E-Mobility.
VALUE FROM ENDTO BEGINNING
MORE SOLUTIONSTO INVOLVE CUSTOMERS
SMARTER AND MORE RELIABLE
FLEXIBLE AND GREENER ENERGY
Maximization of cross-BU synergies
EBITDA Growth ’17-’22E
Vo
latility
A2A UNIQUE BUSINESS PORTFOLIO WITH A WELL BALANCED VOLATILITY/GROWTH MIX
7
A2A focussed geographical presence
G
G
G
G
G
PL
G
DHE G
W
G W
E G
E
DH
G
G DH
DH
DH
DH
G
G
PL
PL
PL
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
ITALY
LOMBARDY
WASTEWaste collectionTreatment plantsBiogas/Biomass plantsWaste-to-Energy
GENERATIONHydroelectric CCGT Coal Fuel Oil Solar
E
G
W
PL
C
DH
Technological partnerships abroad on waste treatment plants (UK, Spain and Greece)
NETWORKSElectricityGasWaterPublic Lighting
Cogen. & thermal plants Thermal solar plantsDistrict Heating
A2A operates throughout Italy, predominantly in Lombardy
G
DH
8
A2A asset portfolio: first class asset base and size
9
A2A Long term concessions increase visibility
NETWORKSWASTE
GENERATION
MARKET
(1) Extension of the temporary continuation regime until 12/31/2020pursuant to Regional Council Decrees
(2) Except from Boscaccia and Premadio II (total capacity of ~80 MW)expiring in 2037 and 2043 respectively
(3) Minimum Territorial Area
Awarding body: Region/Province
10
MAIN LISTED ITALIAN UTILITIES 2017 EBITDA(Source: A2A analysis on Company data)
0
500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2.50015,555
2,022
1,604
1,211985
840 820 776
472
84 39 22
A2A well positioned in its main businesses
MARKETGENERATIONNETWORKSWASTEOTHER
€M
A2A position has been quite stableat the top
A2A: the most diversified utility, the highest EBITDA among local utilities
A2A MARKET POSITION(1)
(Sources: ARERA and Company data)
(1) LGH figures fully included as of 2017
11
M&A
2014-2017 Results and Achievements
Our Strategy02
PERFORMANCE
Opportunities to grow
New strategic framework: TEC
NEW STRATEGIC PLAN 2018-2022
More in-depth, updates and documents available in the following website sections:
Operating and Consolidated results: www.a2a.eu/en/investors/financial-reports
Strategy & Risk Management: www.a2a.eu/en/investors/strategy
Debt: www.a2a.eu/en/investors/debt
2018-2022 Targets
Main industrial trends and key actions
New Sustainability Plan
SUSTAINABILITY
Financial strategy and debt structure
DEBT
A2A Group Risk Management
RISK MANAGEMENT
12
The market has rewarded A2A StrategyFinancial Highlights – Growth oriented multi-utility
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
Jun-14 Dec-14 Jun-15 Dec-15 Jun-16 Dec-16 Jun-17 Dec-17
A2A
FTSE MIB
EURO STOXXUTILITIES
FTSE ITALIAALL-SHAREUTILITIES
17 June 2014 = 100 (first appointment of current top management)
EBITDAHigher and more
stable margin
CAPEXInvesting more
with quality
DPSDividends
growing steadily
+18% +60%+61%
NFP/EBITDACapital structure
reinforced
-18%
ROIGrowing, stable
return >10%
+52%
2017 vs. 2014Delivered Industrial and Financial Value
A2ALGH
M&A - Largest territory aggregation
+ other 13 acquisitions
Where we start from: delivered strategic value since 2014
13
Dynamic M&A Track Record
2014 2016 2017 2018
DIC Acquisition of the Gas & Power branch of X3 Energy
JV with TaleSun Energy Europe on photovoltaic development
NOV Acquisition of the composting plant of Sanitaria Group
OCT Acquisition of 75% of Consul System S.p.A. 16 photovoltaic plants from NovaPower
SEP Increased shareholding in Edipower S.p.A. (79.5%)
18 photovoltaic plants from ReEnergyCapital
AUG Acquisition of 51% of Linea Group Holding
JUL Acquisition of 100% of Rieco-Resmal Group Increased shareholding in LumEnergia S.p.A. (90%)
JUN Acquisition of the start-up PatavinaTechnologies (Internet of Things)
MAY
APR Acquisition of 64% of La BI.CO due S.r.l.
MAR
FEB 5 photovoltaic plants from Impax AM
JAN Increased shareholding in Edipower S.p.A. (79.5%)
SEP 7.91% of Dolomiti Energia S.p.A.
JUL Put Option exercised on 41.75% of EPCG (Montenegro)
JAN Partial demerger of Edipower S.p.A. (Udine hydroelectric plants spun off, except from Ampezzo and Somplago plants)
AC
QU
ISIT
ION
SD
ISP
OSA
LS
SWAP
SWAP
14
New strategic Guidelines: Transformation - Excellence - Community
a2a T
2018 2022
TTransformation
a2a E
2018 2022
EExcellence
a2a C
2018 2022
CCommunity
Business strengthening & change
agile organization,leader in operational excellence
attract and empower peopleengage external ecosystem
SustainabilityInspiring priciple of enterprise development
Over 350 innovation concepts evaluatedwill be translated into the experimentation of about 50 new initiatives
A2A will make a significant effortto undertake, in its 4 reference businesses, the transformation actions necessary to respond to the identified market trends (detailed plan in the next pages)
Starting from the positive experience of the EN&A Project, the Mistral Project has been launched: focus on operational excellence through a bottom-up redesign of processes and the transformation of the managerial culture. Moreover, strong boost in Capex for digitalization and technological innovation (>500 €M in the period)
Further information on A2A strategy is available on the Group website at the following links:
Strategy Section New Strategic Plan 2018-2022
REGENERATIONActive role in the energy market transformation
RELAUNCHConsistent industrial growth
Selective external growth
RESHAPEPublic lighting, smart city,
energy efficiency
from
to
15
Opportunities to grow
METROPOLITAN CITIES AS DRIVING FORCES
• ~40% of Italian Municipal Solid Waste due to 12 cities
• Urban ecosystem driver of circular economy
• Sharing of best practices among cities
SHORTAGE OF TREATMENT CAPACITY
• Landfill expiration drives up prices (-2 Mt landfilled 2014-16)
• Italian WTEs capacity shortage (gap of ~6 Mt Municipal Solid Waste + ~6 Mt Industrial)
GROWTH OF SORTED WASTE
• Italy sorted collection grew to 53%
• South lagging at 38% with structuraltreatment gap
• International trends increase instability of current waste export
WA
STE
RES MATURITY AND DERsSCALABLE TECHNOLOGY
• Wind & PV Levelized Cost of Energy close to grid parity
• Further storage cost reduction
• DERs included in balancing services
CCGT GROWING OPTIONS
• Launch of Capacity Market to guarantee system adequacy
• CCGTs to offset intermittent RES
• Gas-fired plants as system backup
• Convergence of LNG global gas prices
COMMITTMENT TO CURB GLOBAL WARMING
• Awareness about resource scarcity
• EU targets on energy efficiency and RES
• Ambitious Italian SEN targets
GEN
ERA
TION
NEW ENERGYSOLUTIONS
• New retail flexibility market (DSR, DSM)
• Growing demand for electric mobility
CUSTOMER EMPOWEREMENT
• Full retail liberalizationfrom July 2019
• Demand for Value-addedservices
• Stronger competition
ENERGY EFFICIENCY
• New technology and regulation boosting growth
• New prosumers with PV, CHP and storage
SMART SERVICES
• Increase of connectivity
• Smarter management of urban services
• Commercial readiness of Low Power Wide Area solutions (LoRa)
%POD
ARERA 2017
ITALIAN ELECTRIC ENERGY CONSUMERSMA
RK
ET
MULTISERVICECONVERGENCE
• Cross-business regulation patterns:
• Greater attention to service quality
• High capex need(also in water)
• Technological synergy across businesses
ENVIRONMENT IMPACTAND ENERGY EFFICIENCY
• Decarbonization of the sources
• Growing electrification
• Greater attention to sustainable heat generation
GAS DISTRIBUTIONTENDERS
• Delays in gas tenders triggeringM&A Deals
• High transaction prices due to tender postponements
NETW
OR
KS
16
GEN
ERA
TION
NETW
OR
KSM
AR
KET
WA
STE
CROSS-BUSINESS SYNERGIES
Multi-business operation synergies(e.g. smart meters deployment, gas/eeintegration in Unareti)
Adoption of automated and digitalsolutions for asset and workforce management
New smart meters roll-out:
~250 K Gas meters
~300 K EE meters
~50 K Water meters
Digital asset management platform fully-phased
SMART GRID AND QUALITY IMPROVEMENT
Achieve smart and resilient networks
Improve energy efficiency of DH networks
Develop water cycle performance
2 new EE primary stations
New heating storage
21 new water treatment stations
-40% water losses
GASTENDERS
Selective growth in high-priority ATEMs
Focus on geographical consolidation
Milano1 tender completed
+10% POD
-50% ATEM
GREENERPORTFOLIO
Further expansion of RES platform
Conventional plants reconversion
~170 MW of new RES (M&A + green-field)
Project development for Brindisi, S. Filippo and Monfalcone
LEADERSHIP
IN GAS-FIRED
GENERATION
Leadership consolidation in flexible CCGT plants, optimizing risk/return ratio thanks to Capacity market
Improvement of gas sourcing
+800 MW dispatched CCGTs vs. 2017
CCGT results balanced mix of market(MGP/MSD) and Capacity
LNG opportunities, bettershort/long term mix
ADEQUACY
& FLEXIBILITY
PROVIDER
Match of growing need for peak capacity
Exploration of innovative flexibility services
Evaluation of new peak plants (e.g. OCGT)
Projects on UVAM, UVAP, storage…
A2A Strategic view aligned to medium-long term trends
SMART SOLUTION• Energy Efficiency
• Smart Services
• Green mobility
CIRCULAR ECONOMY• Landfills phase out
• Acceleration in sorted collection
• Waste system balance and material recovery
ENERGY TRANSITION• Decarbonization
• Energy Democracy
• Reduction of PV and wind LCOE
MAIN INDUSTRIAL TRENDS
CUSTOMER FOCUS
Outstanding client service, with new multi-channel customer experience
Preservation of excellent operations
VAS in safety, comfort, energy-saving
Energy advisor for SMEs and large enterprise
Digitalization to enhance service/acquisition
New CRM
Growth in all customer segments,also including large clients
END-TO-END PARTNER FOR URBAN SERVICES
New services: flexibility, DERs and storage
New EPCs in energy efficiency services
Organic growth in Public Lighting
Expansion of electric mobility business
New projects in flexibility and DERs
3x EPC contracts
+150 k lights managed
+500 new charging stations for EVs
CONTINUOUS TECHNICAL INNOVATION
Innovation & Digital to develop new services
Unlocking IoT opportunities
Further fiber network development (+2,000 km)
Pilot projects on IoT
FROMWASTE TO COMMODITY
Become leader in recycling, selling high-quality secondary raw materials
New WTE capacity to maintain safety of the Italian waste treatment system
+2 plastic treatment plants
+4 organic treatment plants
+155 Kt of new WTE capacity
Secondary Recovered Fuel treatment plant EoW
+2 ashes treatment plants EoW
END-TO-END PARTNER FOR URBAN SERVICES
Enlarging geographic presence, leveraging on value chain integration
Smart and innovative solutions for our territories
New tenders, also outside Lombardy
120 €M cumulated capex for waste collection
CONTINUOUS TECHNICAL INNOVATION
Maintain plants at best available technology for environment sustainability
Improve circularity with innovation
Increased plant efficiency (e.g. flue gas treatment)
Technical innovation projects in collaboration with suppliers and customers
A2A KEY ACTIONS
17
+256 €M
2018 GUIDANCE – updated in November 2018
EBITDA 1,200 – 1,240 €MIncl. non recurring ~33 €MIncl. ACSM AGAM ~35 €M
Net Income >400 €M
CAPEX ~550 €M(1)
Net Free Cash Flow 170-200 €M
(1) Includes M&A;
EXCELLENCE - AGILE ORGANIZATION
MISTRAL
En&A
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
~60-70 €M net additional EBITDA fully consolidated
Almost complete coverage of Lombardy
Open to new aggregation opportunities
POTENTIAL FOR UPSIDES – AGGREGATIONS
47
82
130
153175
201219
227
€M
Key Levers: Digitalization & technological innovation
En&A project: 65% of target savings already achieved
NORTHERN LOMBARDY MULTIUTILITY
5.822%
2017
6.722%
2018
~7.5
22%2019
min +5% yearlymin 24%
2020
2022
BETTER DIVIDENDS
VISIBILITY WITH
STRONGER CAPITAL
STRUCTUREA2A DIVIDEND
PER SHARE (€c)FFO/NET DEBT -29 -14
353
-592
95
59 15
348
173 265
251
346
387
4451,135
1,391CAGR +4.1%
32%
30%
16%
22% MERCHANT HIGH VOLATILITY
MERCHANT LOW VOLATILITY
QUASI REGULATED
REGULATED
1,391
20222022OTHERRECURRING2017
GENERATION MARKET WASTE NETWORKS
Strong confidence to deliver higher quality results
KEY FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS – 2017 TO 2022
Ordinary EBITDA Ordinary Net Income Net Debt NFP / EBITDA
2017 1.1 € Bn 293 €M 3.2 € Bn 2.7 x
2022 ~1.4 € Bn 482 €M ~3.0 € Bn ~2.2 x
CAPEX 2018-2022: ~2.8 €Bn(plus 0.5 €Bn of RES development)
ROI stable >11%
€M
EBITDA 2017 - 2022
Consolidated line-by-line as of 1st July 2018
18
GENERATION MARKET WASTE NETWORKS60+ core goals built on our sustainability pillars
• The shift to a traditional governance model, occurred in June 2014, facilitates decision making and emphasizes the central role of the Board of Directors
• 100% executives with sustainability MBOs (weight increased from 5% to 10% for the CEO/Managing Director)
• A2A adopts a prudent energy risk policy, part of its ERM model, whose purpose is to further develop and integrate risk management into the business process
% sorted collection
New recycling plants
Project on reduction/ reuse/recycle
Water network losses
Depurated waste water
Digital users
# LED lighting points
EV charging stations
Contact centre quality
Smart bins Smart meter
Service interruption
Smart grid
GOVERNANCE
CO2 emissions reduction Energy efficiency projects
Green energy sold to Mass Market
Low-impact vehicles DH users
Dispersed heat recovery and DH non-fossil sources
Smart city projects
Banco dell’Energia step 2
Roadwork siteinspections
Reduction of the accident rate
Environmental education
CIRCULAR ECONOMY
DECARBONIZATION
SMART GRID AND SERVICES
PEOPLE INNOVATION
E
S
G
A2A Sustainability embedded in the Strategic Plan
1008284
31
CIRCULARECONOMY
MATERIAL RECOVERY RATEIN A2A PLANTS ON TOTAL WASTE COLLECTED
394
419420
445
DECARBONIZATION
CO2 /kWh CARBON INTENSITY
550
356269227
SMART GRID AND SERVICES
ONLINE MEMBERS OF A2A ENERGIA COMMUNITY
20
550
PEOPLE INNOVATION
SMART WORKING% on total employees applicable
2015 2016 2017 2022 2015 2016 2017 2022 2015 2016 2017 2022 2015 2016 2017 2022
Integration of Sustainability Plan and Financial BP @2022 in line with 2030 sustainability goals
%g/
kWhK %
19
Financial Strategy: Cost reduction and high duration
DEBT STRUCTURE AND MATURITY
DEBT BREAKDOWN BY INTEREST
BONDSLOANS
DEBT BREAKDOWN BY SOURCES
FIXED RATEVARIABLE RATE
82
STATISTICS RELATIVE TO DEBTAT 31/12/2017
• Total gross debt: 3.9 €Bn
• Average cost of debt: 3.1%
• Average maturity: 5.2 years
• 1.4 €Bn liquidity position, of which:
• 0.7 €Bn cash
• 0.7 €Bn undrawn committed lines and loans
CURRENT CORPORATE CREDIT RATING
STANDARD’S POOR’S MOODY’S
BBB/A-2Outlook Stable
Baa2Outlook Stable
LOCAL AND FOREIGN CURRENCY LT
SENIOR UNSECURED DEBT
BBB Baa2
DEBT ITEMSmillioneuro
ACCOUNTING BALANCE
31/12/2016
ACCOUNTING BALANCE
31/12/2017
PORTIONSMATURING
WITHIN 12 MONTHS
PORTIONSMATURING
BEYOND12 MONTHS
PORTION MATURING IN
31 dic2019
31 dic2020
31 dic2021
31 dic2022
beyond
BONDS 2,527 2,995 345 2,650 509 0 350 498 1,293
BANK LOANSAND OTHER 1,268 943 92 851 90 138 89 86 448
TOTAL 3,795 3,938 437 3,501 599 138 439 584 1,741
%
18
24
76
%
FLEXIBILITY
FINANCIAL STRATEGY
provide the Company with the right instruments to take potential
market opportunities, in a prompt and efficient way
DIVERSIFICATIONoptimize financial sources
and assess/select at any time the most economical and/or best
available
LIQUIDITYmaintain an adequate liquidity
cushion in terms of cash and available committed lines to cover planned cash outlays and absorb
low-probability events
RISK MANAGEMENTmanage in a proactive way
the interest risk with the main purpose to mitigate the effects
of market volatility
20
Enterprise Risk Model supports management actions
(1) This method follows the framework set by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission (CoSO report)
THE RISK MANAGEMENT MODEL – PROCESS AND ACTIVITIES
STRATEGICRisk generated by the strategic
choices of the Group
INTERNALRisk generated by the Group activities
DIRECTION OPERATIONAL HUMAN RESOURCESINFORMATION TECHNOLOGY
STRATEGIC AND BUSINESS PLAN INITIATIVES
INVESTMENTS AND DIVESTMENTS
ENVIRONMENTAL PROCUREMENT SECURITY COMPLIANCEBUSINESS INTERRUPTION
CUSTOMER SERVICE LEVEL
CREDIT COLLECTION PROCESSES
INTERNAL SKILLSHEALTH AND SAFETY
ICT INFRASTRUCTURE AND SECURITY
EXTERNAL Risk generated by the context in which the Group operates
COMPETITIVE ENVIRONMENT - REGULATORY NATURAL EVENTS FINANCIAL
CHANGES IN LAWS AND REGULATIONS
MACRO-ECONOMIC SITUATION
LEGAL DISPUTES
SOCIAL AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONTEXT
FISCAL AND TAX-RELATED
ATMOSPHERIC CHANGES
OTHER NATURAL EVENTS
COMMODITYINTEREST RATE
LIQUIDITY COUNTERPARTYDEFAULT AND COVENANT
The A2A Group has a risk assessment and reporting process which is based on the Enterprise Risk Management method(1) and on the best risk management practice, in compliance with the Corporate Governance Code as updated by Consob in 2015. The model, operative since 2010 and far from being a static reference, is subject to periodic revision consistent with the evolution of the Group and the context in which it operates.
The methodology adopted is characterized by the following steps:1. Regular identification and updating of the risks to which the Group is exposed
2. Risk assessment process carried out through the involvement of all Group structures, risk owners and risk specialists, which includes:- update of risk scenarios (specific events in which risk can materialize) related to activities- risk scoring , based on the estimation of probability of occurrence and the impact on the Group (quali-quantitative measurement)
- establishment of the relative controls and mitigation plans
3. Definition of risk priorities and risk reporting submitted to the top management for approval
4. Constant monitoring of mitigating actions progress, to check their effectiveness on risks mitigationand prevention
5. Balance sheet disclosure (“Bilancio Integrato” under the D.Lgs 254/2016 regulation)
RISK CATEGORIZATION
OBJECTIVES
The A2A Group has a risk assessment and reporting process which is based on the Enterprise Risk Management method(1) and on the best risk management practice, in compliance with the Corporate Governance Code as updated by Consob in 2015. The model, operative since 2010 and far from being a static reference, is subject to periodic revision consistent with the evolution of the Group and the context in which it operates.
21
A2A Sustainability Initiatives
A2A Commitment to Sustainability
Our Responsibilities03
SUSTAINABILITY
Focus on A2A Board of Directors
Traditional Governance Model
CORPORATE GOVERNANCE
More in-depth, updates and documents available in the following website sections:
Sustainability: www.a2a.eu/en/sustainability
Corporate Governance: www.a2a.eu/en/governance_en
Investors: www.a2a.eu/en/investors/shares
www.a2a.eu/en/investors/publications-services/financial-calendar
22
A2A strong Commitment to Sustainability
Listening to the needs of stakeholders in the various territories in which A2A operates. Identification of the material aspects for planning and reporting
Definition of a Sustainability Policy with objectives through to 2030 and a Sustainability Plan integrated with the Business Plan. The Policy is based on 4 pillars, crucial to A2A’s business and consistent with the international approach given by the UN
Reporting to external stakeholders during focussed meetings or through the Integrated Report and Territorial Sustainability Reports
Implementation of practices and adoption of instruments that are consistent with the sustainability goals prefixed in the value creation process
• Stakeholder Engagement: more than 270 initiatives involving external and internal stakeholders. The forumAscolto programme, the multistakeholder feedback initiative launched by A2A in 2015 aimed at understanding the needs of the communities where it operates, continued in 2017
• Materiality Evaluation: A2A Group materiality matrix was updated
A2A has an active participation in national and international associations and networks on matters of sustainable development.
WINNER IN 2017
SUSTAINABILITY NETWORKS
Circular Economy: Sustainably manage wasteduring its life cycle
Decarbonization: Contribute to achieving national and EU targets for the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions
Smart grid and services: Increase grid reliability through technological innovation
People Innovation: Actively contribute to the welfare of the community and the improvement of working conditions
INVESTMENTS CLASSIFICATION
GENERATION & TRADING
NETWORKSAND HEAT
WASTE CORPORATE TOTAL
EmissionReduction
2.1 4.6 6.4 - 13.1
Energyefficiency
0.4 4.1 25.8 - 30.3
Renewables 13.2 5.3 7.6 - 26.1
Innovation 0.5 - 7.7 0.4 8.6
Total 16.2 14 47.5 0.4 78.1
Governance and Tools• Sustainability Policy• Territory and Sustainability Committee: the Committee has the task
to assist with information, advice and proposals the Board of Directors,the Chairman and CEO of the Group in defining guidelines, orientationsand initiatives
• Code of Ethics • Organisation, Management and Control Model (according to 231/01 Law)• Policy for Quality, Environment and Safety and Systems for their Management• Sustainability Issues for Risk Management: Climate Change impacts
INTEGRATED REPORTA2A 2017 Integrated Report has been prepared in accordance with the Global Reporting Initiative (GRI) Standards and, for some indicators, it complies with GRI-G4 Electric Utilities Sector Supplement. The Report considers six forms of capital (Human, Financial, Relational, Intellectual, Manufacturing and Natural), in accordance with the International Integrated Reporting Council (IIRC) framework.
Moreover, in 2015, A2A began, first in Italy, publishing sustainability reports with reference to the specific territories in which it operates, undertaking a path toward the community and extending its stakeholder engagement model. During 2017 six Territorial Sustainability Reports were published (Milan, Brescia, Bergamo, Varese, Valtellina and Valchiavenna and Friuli Venezia Giulia).
The Integrated Report is available on A2A website at the following link:The Integrated Report 2017
23
Many A2A Sustainability Initiatives
PLAN TO REDUCE WATER LOSSESFor 2018, approximately 34 km of network are to be replaced in the area of Brescia for a value of 4 €M, as well as a reduction in operative pressureof networks. Approximately 65 thousand user meters will be replaced. The plan also envisages the strengthening of the loss monitoring and analysis structures by means of the installation of new capacity meters on the network for a better definition of the water balance and the implementationof dedicated computer tools. In January 2018, a new structure was established to implement the plan.
INSPECTOR DERRICK: THE EMPLOYEE SAFETY DRONEWith a view to reducing the health and safety risks of operators called to carry out critical inspections in pipes that are difficult to access, in October 2017 the innovation function and Generation and Trading BU completed an experiment on the use of drones to replace critical operations.
NETWORK SENSOR DEVELOPMENTThe S.U.N. project (Smart Utility Network) envisages the implementation of a network of sensors and control units that generate synergy between the supplies of the Networks and Heat Business Unit (distribution of electricity, gas, water and heat).
TargetsReduce all components that define the volumes of losses on the aqueduct system
TargetsMinimising human intervention in all operations entailing high risks to health and safety
TargetsOptimising the resources through the sharing of the network and platforms. This will enable the integrated management of signals, alarms and anomalies on the network.
B.S.L. (BRESCIA SMART LIVING)New telecommunication hybrid network for IoT; data collection from smart meters and sensors indoor and outdoor; smart lighting; smart gas meters; Integrated home energy management services; platforms providing info and services at city, district, end user level; services for security and safety of operators, for monitoring and supporting fragile people. Co-financed by the Ministry of Education, Universities and Research. Academic Partners: Enea, University of Brescia. Industrial Partners: STMicroelectronics, Beretta, Cavagna, TeamWeare, FGE, Iperelle, Cauto.
TargetsDesign and development of a smart city architecture
SHARING CITIESDigital and data driven program to overcome some of the key environmental challenges facing Cities: carbon emissions from buildings and transport and air quality. IT platforms will be developed to gather information from the field and turn them into services to citizens. Co-funded by H2020 program. Budget around €28M. 34 Partners led by The Greater London Authority. A2A participates in with Unareti and A2A Smart City. Core cities: Milan, London and Lisbon. Follower cities: Bordeaux, Burgas and Warsaw.
Targets1. Actively engage citizens in the development of mechanisms
of participation 2. Co-design solutions for the retrofit of buildings3. The integrated management of energy systems4. Electric mobility 5. The new services linked to smart lighting
SUPPLIER PORTALA2A Suppliers Portal is an on-line platform through which the businesses wishing to collaborate with A2A can request inclusion on the list, start/renew the qualification process for their category of products, take part in on-line tenders and request authorization to subcontract, using an entirely digital process. The dematerialisation process will continue in 2018 and mainly regards the European Qualification Systems in compliance with Italian Legislative Decree no. 50/2016. Introduction of a new vendor rating system is also being studied, through the real time monitoring of supplier performance
TargetsDematerialisation process
CUSTOMER EXPERIENCEPursuant to unbundling legislation, as of 2017, the commercial spaces andinterfacing channels have been separated for customers on the free market and protected market. A2A Energia has: 1) opened the new fittings of the Milan and Brescia branches2) unified the queue management system in the Milan, Brescia and Bergamo3) opened mobile contact points to explain the advantages of its commercial
offers and answer all requests
Targetsimproving service quality and customer satisfaction and experience
For the implementation of the Sustainability Plan initiatives defined by A2A, a structured model of sustainability objectives has been integrated into the management incentive systems, which envisaged the inclusion of at least one sustainability objective into all 2017 management MbOs.
Sustainability Objective for MbOs
24
Effective Traditional Governance Model
Current Board in charge until 2020 AGM
Note: traditional governance modeling in force as of 13 June 2014
The 2017 AGM established the following annual remuneration: • for each member of the Board of Directors (80 €k) • for the Chairman of the Board of Statutory Auditors (130 €k)
and for the Effective Statutory Auditors (80 €k)
The Board of Directors decided remuneration for the top positions:• a fixed remuneration for the Chairman, the Deputy Chairman
and the CEO for their responsibilities• a variable short-term remuneration for the CEO related to the achievement
of the objectives assigned.
Further details are shown in the Remuneration Report
REMUNERATION POLICY
25
Committees
Position Members Executive Independent ResponsibilitiesControl
and RisksCompensation and
AppointmentTerritory and Sustainability
Chairman GIOVANNI VALOTTI
Relationships with shareholders, institutions, authorities, and media; external relations; management of activities related to sustainability and social responsibility; the preparation of proposals regarding non-recurring territorial consolidation transactions
Deputy Chairman ALESSANDRA PERRAZZELLI Internal audit
CEO and Managing Director
LUCA VALERIO CAMERANOCompany’s ordinary operations and for preparations of proposals regarding non-recurring transactions
Director GIAMBATTISTA BRIVIO
Director GIOVANNI COMBONI
Director ENRICO CORALI
Director LUIGI DE PAOLI Lead Independent Director
Director ALESSANDRO FRACASSI
Director MARIA CHIARA FRANCESCHETTI
Director GAUDIANA GIUSTI
Director DINA RAVERA
Director NORBERTO ROSINI
Diversified board of Directors
(1) As per Code of Self-Discipline by Borsa Italiana. All directors except from the Chairman and the Chief Executive Officer are independent as per Article 148 of the Consolidated Financial Act (T.U.F.) (2) The three Committees are pursuant to the guidelines defined by the “Corporate Governance Code” by Borsa Italiana; (3) All members are independent as per Code of Self-Discipline by Borsa Italiana
Board of Directors
Board of Statutory Auditors
Effective auditors (3) Substitute Auditors
GIACINTO SARUBBI (CHAIRMAN) MAURIZIO LEONARDO LOMBARDICHIARA SEGALA
SONIA FERRERO STEFANO MORRI
(1)
(2)
% % n.17
8
17
58 67
33
6
1
5
BOD - AGE DIVERSITY BOD - GENDER DIVERSITY BOD - SENIORITY DIVERSITY
41-5051-6061-70>71
MENWOMEN
1-3 YEARS4-6 YEARS7-9 YEARS
Average: 57 years old
26
A2A Share
Shareholding Structure
A2A Shareholders04
INVESTORS
Other Shareholder Information
Dividends
More in-depth, updates and documents available in the following website sections:
Investors:
www.a2a.eu/index.php/en/investors/shares/shareholding
www.a2a.eu/en/investors/shares
www.a2a.eu/en/investors/publications-services/financial-calendar
27
Shareholding structure: institutional investors up
(1) At December 31, 2017. Recent updates available at the following link.
Institutional investors: 36.2% of share capital
Geographic breakdown of the institutional investors:
• USA 25.5%
• UK 20.9%
• Luxembourg 14.0%
• Italy 12.1%
• France 7.2%
• Germany 4.1%
Retail investors: 11.1% of the share capital
Geographic breakdown:
• Italy 99.6%
• Foreign: 0.4%
58.5% of retail investors are in Lombardy, the region where historically A2A has been more active. Investors from the provinces of Milan and Brescia own respectively 26.8% and 13.3% of the total retail shareholding.
NUMBER OF SHAREHOLDERS: 76,594
A2A SHAREHOLDING STRUCTURE AT DECEMBER 2017 31, 2017
• Share capital: 3,132,905,277 shares with a par value of 0.52 euro each
• Treasury shares: 23,721,421, equal to 0.76% of the share capital
All shares are voting shares, although - as laid down in art. 9 of by-laws - no individual shareholder other than the Municipality of Milan and the Municipality of Brescia may hold an equity interest exceeding 5% of the share capital. Should such ceiling be exceeded, the voting right attached to the shares held in excess of 5% of the share capital may not be exercised.
3-year new Shareholding Pact between Brescia and Milan Municipalities was signed on 1 February 2017. The Pact regards 42% of A2A share capital.
Shareholding Pact on 42%
The above-mentioned information derives from an internal analysis based on the shareholders register data - updated at 24 May 2017 (i.e., dividend payment date) and classified by the provider.
%
25
MUNICIPALITY OF BRESCIAMUNICIPALITY OF MILAN
TREASURY SHARESMARKET
25
49.2
0,8
28
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
125
130
135
A2A
FTSE MIB
EURO STOXX UTILITIES
A2A vs FTSE MIB and EURO STOXX UTILITIES
• Market capitalisation at December 29, 2017: € 4,831 m
• Average capitalisation: € 4,455 m
• Average volumes: 9,729,351
• Average price: 1.422 €/share
• Maximum price: 1.635 €/share
• Minimum price: 1.232 €/share
• Number of shares: 3,132,905,277
A2A stock is also traded on the following platforms: Chi-X, BATS, Turquoise, Equiduct,Sigma-X, Aquis, BOAT OTC, LSE Europe OTC, BATS Chi-X OTC
IndicesA2A 2017 figures (Borsa Italiana)
Moreover, A2A has been included in the Ethibel Excellence Investment Register and in the EthibelPioneer Investment Register.
29 December 2017=100
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1,10
1,20
1,30
1,40
1,50
1,60
1,70
Vo
lum
es
(Mill
ion
so
f sh
are
s)
€/s
har
e Volume (right-hand scale)
Price
Tickers: Bloomberg – A2A:IMReuters – A2.MI
A2A is an Italian Blue Chip
A2A in 2017
29
Dividends on a growing trend since 2011
With reference to year 2017, the Board of Directors proposed that Shareholders' Meeting approves the distribution of an ordinary dividend of 0.0578 euros for each ordinary share in circulation (corresponding to paid dividends of approximately 180 million euros), more than 17% up compared to the previous year, entirely taken from 2017A2A S.p.A. net income.
Dividend Policy
The 2018 - 2022 Strategic Plan confirms a dividend policy based on sustainable growth (DPS at around 6.7 euro cents in 2018, 7.5 in 2019, with minimum growth in the following years equal to 5% per year).
Dividend taxation
Dividends no longer attract any tax credit and, depending on who the recipient is, they may be subject to withholding tax at source or, in part, contribute towards taxable income.
(1) Dividend Yield calculated on annual average share price (2) Pay-out calculated on ordinary income (net of non-recurrent items)
30
Other Shareholder information
SHAREHOLDERS’ MEETINGSAs laid down in A2A by-laws, the company holds one compulsory Shareholders’ General Meeting per year. The Annual General Meeting is called by the Board of Directors within 120 days (or 180 days under certain circumstances) of the end of the fiscal year. With reference to the procedures for the AGM call, please refer to A2A By-laws and Corporate Governance section of the company website (i.e., Shareholders’ Meetings). This section also contains all relevant documents for the AGM.
AMERICAN DEPOSITARY RECEIPTSA2A American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) are traded on the US Over The Counter market (OTC) under the symbol AEMMY. Three unsponsored ADR programs were launched by Deutsche Bank (2008), BNY Mellon (2008) and Citibank (2014) respectively. In all cases, one ADR represents five A2A ordinary shares. Further details are available at websites www.adr.com and www.sec.gov
DOCUMENTATIONAll the Group documents mentioned in this Guidebook are available on our website (www.a2a.eu). They may also be obtained, on request, from the Company Secretary at the company’s registered office or through e-mail at [email protected]
A2A INVESTOR RELATIONS GUIDELINESMain goal: promote and support the correct knowledge and valuation of the A2A stock by the financial community, through a communication which is active, transparent, well-timed, constant, correct and not discriminatory. In order to achieve this goal, the IR Department supports A2A top management in the constant monitoring of the expectations of the financial markets on the Group performance.
Core activities: • hold regular meetings (one-to-one and group) with the financial community in Italy
and abroad; engage with the main proxy agencies
• arrange conference calls with the management at the time of the release of the Group results
• organize International roadshows with the top management for the presentation of important strategic developments
Blackout period: prior to a public release of financial results, the top management is not available for meetings concerning the financial performance that will be disclosed. The length of this black-out period is to be considered around two weeks approximately.
The IR department is not in charge neither of comments about A2A performance in the Stock Exchange, nor of financial advice about the investment in A2A.
PURCHASE AND DISPOSAL OF TREASURY SHARES: MAIN POINTS
The 2018 Shareholders’ General Meeting authorized the Board of Directors to conduct treasury share purchase and disposal transactions to the extent to which such authority has not been exercised after 2017 AGM:
• the maximum number of treasury shares that can be held is 313,290,527, which is equal to one-tenth of the shares making up the share capital, considering the shares already owned by A2A S.p.A. and by its subsidiaries;
• treasury share purchases and disposals will be conducted to pursue, in the interest of the Company and in respect of the principle of equal treatment of shareholders and of current applicable regulations, objectives such as transactions related to business projects consistent with the strategies that the Company intends to pursue, in relation to which the opportunity for share exchanges may be manifested;
• The authorization to purchase and dispose of the shares will have a term of validity of 18 months starting on the date of the Meeting resolution
A2A treasury shares were equal to 0.7572% of the share capital at 31 December 2017
A dividend relating to the financial year 2018 may be payable from 22 May 2019,with ex-dividend date 20 May 2019 (record date 21 May 2019).
31
Capital Employed and Sources of Financing
Consolidated Income Statement
Data Annexes05
ACCOUNT TABLES
Consolidated Net Financial Position
Consolidated Balance Sheet
More in-depth, updates and documents available in the following website sections:
Investors:
www.a2a.eu/en/investors
2017 Quarterly Accounts
Historical Volumes
QUANTITIES
Gas Tenders
Regulatory Framework
REGULATION
Bonds and EMTN Programme
BONDS
Energy Scenario - Historical
ENERGY SCENARIO
Energy Scenario - Strategic Plan
Emissions and Energy Performance
SUSTAINABILITY DATA
Waste, customers and humanresources statistics
32
Consolidated Income Statement
Mandate for the legal audit of the accounts for the years from 2016 to 2024
The AGM called On 11 June 2015 the AGM conferred the mandate for the legal audit of the accounts forthe years from 2016 to 2024 to Reconta Ernst & Young S.p.A.
Note: Group net income adjusted for the impact of extraordinary items: 2017 = 413 €M; 2016 = 377 €M; 2015 = 278 €M; 2014 = 175 €M; 2013 = 156 €M; 2012 = 116 €M; 2011 = 165; 2010 = 243
(1) The figures at December 31, 2016 include the economic effects deriving from the LGH Group’s PPA and the reclassification for the purposes of IFRS 5 of the EPCG Group’s income statement items.
(2) EPCG not included in Group EBITDA as of 2016 restated results
33
Capital Employed and Sources of Financing
SCOPE OF CONSOLIDATIONThe consolidated Annual Report at December 31, 2017 includes the figures of the parent A2A S.p.A. and those of the subsidiaries over which A2A S.p.A. exercises either direct or indirect control, even if the holding is less than 50%.
In addition, companies in which the parent exercises joint control with other entities (joint ventures) and those over which it has a significant influence are consolidated using the equity method.
The main changes to te scope of consolidation of the A2A group are the following:• Azienda Servizi Valtrompia S.p.A., which at December 31, 2016 was consolidated
using the equity method, is fully consolidated as of March 1, 2017
• LumEnergia S.p.A., which was previously consolidated using the equity method, has been fully consolidated starting from July 2017
• change in the consolidation method of the EPCG Group which, following the exercise of the put option on the entire shareholding held by A2A S.p.A., the effectiveness of which was finalized on July 3, 2017, led to a change in the allocation of the investment held in EPCG from ongoing investment to investment held for sale according to the provisions of IFRS 5 with consequent change (starting from July 2017) of the consolidation criterion from full to equity. As a consequence of the above, the related income statement items for the first half of the year (previously fully consolidated) relating to revenues and operating costs and to financial management have been reclassified, in accordance with the provisions of IFRS 5, under “Result net of non-current assets held for sale”, as well as the values (referred to the entire year) of the corresponding period of the previous year
• the company Bellisolina S.r.l. exited the scope of consolidation with effect from January 1, 2017
• incorporated in July 2017, the company A2A Rinnovabili S.p.A. with sole shareholder A2A S.p.A. A2A Rinnovabili, which completed the acquisition of 13 project companies, is fully consolidated
• incorporation and full consolidation of A2A Idro4 S.r.l.
34
Consolidated Balance Sheet
(1) Book value equal to the Value of the Put Option exercised by A2A in July 2017. Net Present Value equal to 215 €M
At 31 December 2017 A2A S.p.A. reserves available for distribution to shareholders amounted to 326,806,629 euro, of which to fiscal moderate suspension equal to euro 124,783,022.
35
Consolidated Net Financial Position
(1) The figures at December 31, 2016 include the economic effects deriving from the LGH Group’s PPA and the reclassification for the purposes of IFRS 5 of the EPCG Group’s income statement items.
(2) The net result is stated excluding gains on the disposal of shareholdings.
(3) Net of balances with contra-entry in equity
(4) Note: 2017 and 2016 figures follow a different scheme which shows net interest and other non-monetary changes as separate items
(1) The net result is stated excluding gains on the disposal of shareholdings; (2) Net of balances with contra-entry in equity
BUSINESS OUTLOOK FOR OPERATIONS (November 2018)The Group expects to end 2018 with very satisfying results, showing a growth with respect to 2017. The Gross operating margin (EBITDA) should reach €1,200 – 1,240 million, including positive non-recurring items of about €33 million and the consolidation of ACSM-AGAM accounting for about €35 million. Group net income is expected to exceed €400 million. Cash flow generation is expectedto reach €170 – 200 million, net of capex, acquisitions and dividends payments. The net financial position of the ACSM-AGAM Group at year end is expected at about €65 million.
36
2017 Quarterly Accounts
37
Historical volumes
Note: EPCG volumes not included
38
Networks - regulatory framework
ELECTRICITY
5th Tariff regulatory period: 2016-2023 (8 years)Tariff not linked to change in unit volumes consumption• Shift from input-based to output-based model as of 2016
and Totex mechanism (optimisation of Opex and Capex) as of 2023
• WACC: in 2019-2021, 5.9% (distribution, metering); additional remuneration related to innovative projects and energy efficiency improvement
• Gradual approach to the extension of asset life
• Price cap: 1.9% (distribution), 1% (metering). The potential extra-efficiencies achieved in the 3rd and 4th regulatory periods are to be shared 50-50 with the consumer by 2019
• Interim reviews: some WACC parameters (3 years) - see below
GAS
4th Tariff Regulatory period: 2014-2019 (6 years)Tariff not linked to change in unit volumes consumption • WACC: in 2019, 6.3% (distribution), 6.8% (metering) – WACC may be subject to
review with the 5th Tariff Regulatory period, starting from 2020
• WACC is applied either to RAB or to VIR ARERA(1) - for new ATEM’s entrants (so-called "asymmetric regulation")
• Price cap: 1.7% for distribution and 0% for metering. Price cap reduced to 0% in the first 2 years of ATEM’s
• Interim reviews: price cap (3 years) and some WACC parameters - see below
WATER
2nd Regulatory period: 2016-2019 (4 years)• Allowed revenues based on full recovery cost subject to efficiency and capped
in terms of tariff growth
• Regulatory matrix with six different tariff schemes, linked to the need for new investments, the evolution of underlying costs due to consolidation or improvement in quality of service and Opex per capita
• Fixed annual maximum tariff increases - ranging from 5.5% to 9%, different for each of the six tariff schemes assigned at Local Authority Level (EGA)
• Overall return equal to 5.4%(2), with an additional 1% extra return for investmentsmade from 2014
• Introduction an X-factor equal to 0.5% to promote higher efficiency on internal Opex
• Interim review: RAB and variable costs (2 years); assumptions on financial costs and taxation can be modified every 2 years if there are "significant changes"
(1) VIRARERA: Asset residual value («valore industriale residuo») - as recognised by ARERA for tariffs purpose and calculated in compliance with the guidelines set by the Ministerial Decree 226/11 and with the Resolution 19/2016- DIUC, is equal to the capital expenditure necessary to rebuild anew the assets, depreciated due to use and obsolescence (on the basis of regulatory asset useful life).
(2) The figure is calculated as the sum of cost of equity, cost of debt, gearing, recognized financial costs ("OF") and fiscal costs ("Ofisc")(3) only if there is a more than 20% deviation in the average spread between 10-year government bonds of Italy and Germany vs the previous period
ELECTRICITY & GAS WACC reform
In December 2015 ARERA defined the WACC remuneration for the regulated energy networks, effective from 1 January 2016
The common parameters are set for gas and electricity, excluding those specific of each sector, such as beta and D/E
• WACC is real pre-tax allowed return• WACC regulatory period lasts 6 years (2016-2021)• The interim review is fixed every 3 years
(i.e. at the end of 2018 the WACC applicable in the period 2019-2021 will be set) for: Risk Free Rate; Country Risk Premium(3); Inflation used to calculate “F” factor; Gearing (value more in line with those used by other European regulators), Tax Rate according to the annual Stability Law
39
Networks - Gas distribution tenders
• Tenders for the assignment of the gas distribution services have to be carried out only for ATEMs (Aree Territoriali Minime, i.e., Minimal Local Areas), which are clusters of municipalities (175 in the whole national territory) established by the Ministry for Economic Development
• The first tenders started in 2016 and the last ones are expected to close in 2020/2021. Consequently the first service management contracts for ATEM are likely to start in 2018
• Each concession will be granted for 12 years
(1) According to DL n.210/2015 converted into Law n.21/2016. In case the municipalities do not respect procedures to start gas auctions, Regional governments would take substitute power Public tenders deadline could be delayedSources: A2A internal elaboration based on Utilitalia data
40
Energy Scenario - Historical Scenario
Note: the electricity installed capacity figures refer to a gross capacitySources: Terna, Snam and ISTAT
Offer and Demand Prices and margins
3) Italian National Price of the electricity
4) CCGT Gas Cost based on gas at virtual trading point (PSV) with 51% efficiency (previously 53%). The figures include transport costs.
5) GC - average system cost until 2015, Feed-in tariff value as of 2016
6) Spark spread net of environmental costs (GC + CO2)
7) Dark spread net of environmental costs (GC + CO2). The environmental costs for a coal plant are equal to: 8.5 €/MWh (2013); 8.1 €/MWh (2014); 7.5 €/MWh (2015); 5.3 €/MWh (2016); 5.7 €/MWh (2017). Coal plants efficiency is equal to 35%. The figures include logistics costs.
1) The yearly figures refer to the thermal year
2) The yearly figures refer to the thermal year
41
Energy Scenario - 2018-2022 Strategic Plan
Scenario units 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Exchange rate €/$ €/$ 1.11 1.13 1.20 1.20 1.21 1.23 1.25
ICE Brent €/bbl 40.8 48.4 50.9 55.9 57.8 58.3 58.3
Coal API 2 €/tonn 54.0 74.8 72.0 67.9 63.3 61.0 57.0
CO2 EUA ETS €/tonn 5.4 5.8 7.4 7.7 8.5 9.5 11.0
ARERA Gas Tariff (Pfor) €c/mc 15.6 18.1 18.8 18.4 17.4 17.2 17.0
PSV €/MWh 15.6 19.7 19.4 19.0 18.0 17.8 17.6
TTF €/MWh 14.0 17.3 17.4 17.2 16.3 16.1 15.9
PUN Base Load €/MWh 42.7 54.0 51.0 49.7 48.6 48.6 48.4
PUN Peak Load €/MWh 48.2 61.8 58.2 55.7 54.6 54.6 54.4
CCGT Gas Cost (PSV) €/MWh 37.6 46.7 46.5 45.6 43.4 43.0 42.6
Peak Spark Spread €/MWh 10.5 15.1 11.7 10.1 11.2 11.6 11.8
Spark Spread (PSV) €/MWh 5.1 7.3 4.5 4.1 5.2 5.6 5.8
Clean Spark Spread (PSV) €/MWh 3.1 5.1 1.7 1.2 2.0 2.0 1.7
Dark Spread €/MWh 12.5 16.4 14.6 15.0 15.8 16.8 18.2
Clean Dark Spread €/MWh 7.2 10.7 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5
White certificates €/TEE 145.5 273.5 300.0 280.0 270.0 260.0 250.0
42
Bonds and EMTN Programme
• On 1 March 2018 the Board of Directors of A2A approved a framework resolution revoking for the portion not performed the resolution previously taken on 10 November 2016 and authorising the issue of one or more unsubordinated, unsecured and non-convertible notes, under the EMTN Programme, up to an aggregate amount of Euro 1 billion, by 30 April 2020.
• The adoption of the EMTN is part of the A2A Group’s medium-term financial strategy, which is aimed at lengthening the average life of the Company’s outstanding debt and at maintaining an adequate financial flexibility in order to efficiently manage the future debt maturities, to support the Company’s rating
• The bonds to be issued on the basis of the Programme are placed to institutional investors• Program amounts to 4 billion, of witch 1,438 million euro still available as of December 31, 2017
(1) Date from which interest is paid; (2) Last date on which interest accrues; (3) The current bond rating – where applicable, is different from the issue rating and is equal to the M/L term rating assigned to the Company by S&P and Moody’s.
43
Sustainability: Main statistics and performances
EMISSIONS ENERGY PERFORMANCE
ENERGY MIX
(1) The figures refer to Monfalcone plant(2) Pursuant to Article 19 of Ministerial Decree of 18 December 2008, the biodegradable portion
of urban waste is equal to 51% of total production (49% not biodegradable)
Note: Scope 1 emissions for the years 2015 and 2016 have been updated with respect to a review of the method used to calculate emissions dispersed from methane on the distribution networks.
Note on consolidation of sustainability statistics:Linea Group Holding, Consul System, La Bi.CO Due, Rieco-Resmal Group, ASVTare included as of 2017Patavina Technologies and LumEnergiaare excluded.
44
Sustainability: Main statistics and performances
SORTED COLLECTION(1) COLLECTED, TRANSPORTED AND INTERMEDIATED WASTE
1) The quantity collected and the index of urban waste collection for recycling was calculated on the basis of the Lombardy Region indications. Municipality of Como is included as of 2014, Municipalities of Cremona and Lodi as of 2017
2) Other municipalities in the Provinces of Bergamo, Brescia, Mantova, Milan, Varese, Cremona (as of 2017) and Lodi (as of 2017). The index of collection calculated as weighted average
3) Source: ISPRA
A2A GROUP
Average quantity collected (kton) Index of collection of urban waste for recycling
2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013
BERGAMO 44.7 42.1 41.4 40.7 36.6 71% 66% 66% 64% 60%
BRESCIA 77.0 59.1 50.4 51.8 50.2 68% 45% 38% 38% 38%
COMO 28.5 25.2 24.0 19.7 - 72% 63% 62% 49% -
MILAN 361.9 352.0 352.3 334.1 282.3 54% 52% 53% 50% 43%
VARESE 26.6 25.1 23.8 24.0 23.0 66% 62% 61% 60% 59%
CREMONA 27.1 - - - - 73% - - - -
LODI 13.9 - - - - 73% - - - -
OTHER AREAS (2) 412.5 220.6 194.1 155.2 142.0 71% 65% 64% 61% 55%
TOTAL 992.2 724.2 686.0 625.6 534.1 63.2% 56.2% 55.0% 51.4% 46.3%
ITALIAN AVERAGE (3) N.A. 52.5% 47.5% 45.2% 42.3%
(kton) 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013
URBAN WASTECOLLECTED
1,605 1,321 1,283 1,233 1,192
SPECIAL WASTEINTERMEDIATED
133 110 159 135 62
2017 2016 2015 2014 2013
ELECTRICITY CUSTOMERS (sale activity)of which households
1,091,117895,041
996,297820,140
985,070804,341
970,408795,136
990,098797,033
GAS CUSTOMERS (sale activity)of which households
1,294,4231,212,980
1,090,6271,022,433
1,097,4801,026,914
1,111,8851,038,640
1,140,1121,090,481
WATER CUSTOMERS (aqueduct services) 308,178 283,479 282,254 280,092 279,188
DISTRICT HEATING CUSTOMERS (4) 25,564 24,303 24,526 24,242 23,773
MUNICIPALITIES SERVED BY URBAN HYGIENE SERVICES (collection and sweeping)
258 117 101 93 88
CUSTOMERS BY BUSINESS CUSTOMER SATISFACTION
ARERA carries out surveys twice a year on the quality of national telephone services received by end customers.In H1’17, A2A Energia customers confirmed the appreciation for the call center service, measured by a Customer Satisfaction Index (CSI) of 95.7%(2.5 pct points more than the national average), similar to the last figure of 2016
The “after call” survey records positive results for A2A Energia with93.1% of customers satisfied and very satisfied
In 2017 a survey was run to analyse the level of satisfaction with the service at Bergamo, Brescia, Milan and Varese branches. ~97% of users gave a positive opinion ~1 pct point higher than 2016
2017 2016 2015 2014 2013
MANAGERS 175 146 146 155 163
MIDDLE MANAGEMENT 595 494 481 472 474
WHITE COLLAR WORKERS 4,682 4,026 4,054 4,063 4,210
BLUE COLLAR WORKERS 5,964 5,111 4,971 4,924 5,098
TOTAL 11,416 9,777 9,652 9,614 9,945
PERSONNEL BY CATEGORY
2017 2016 2015 2014 2013
NUMBER OF ACCIDENTS(on going accidents excluded)
577 555 471 526 608
FREQUENCY RATE (n°) 31.80 35.66 29.61 33.74 37.58
SEVERITY INDEX (days) 0.82 0.91 0.79 0.87 0.88
OCCURENCE RATE (n°) 10.00 11.52 10.46 10.53 60.70
N° OF ON GOING ACCIDENTS 113 112 103 103 117
WORKFORCE SAFETY
4) Users may be a single residential unit in the case of independent heating or the whole building in the case of centralised heating