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Copyright © Agilis Partners Limited, 2015
Agricultural Input Quality in Uganda: A Private Sector Perspective
Benjamin Prinz and Philipp Prinz
Agilis Partners Limited 16 September 2015
Copyright © Agilis Partners Limited, 2015
Agilis Partners is an agricultural development company with interests across the value chain
Storage and primary processing Processing and storage facilities in Masindi, Kasese and Mubende
Grain merchandising and distribution Our customers include leading regional buyers
Agricultural development and commodity sourcing • Network of over 60 input retail and collection centres • 150 input sales representatives and village agents
Farming and production support • 25,000+ farmers • Large-scale soybean, maize and rice production
JI Village Agents
Processing & Storage Network
Market
Rural Agricultural
Dev. Centres
Copyright © Agilis Partners Limited, 2015
Why does this topic matter to us as a farmer?
-
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1,400,000
1,600,000
50
0
62
5
75
0
87
5
10
00
11
25
12
50
13
75
15
00
16
25
17
50
18
75
20
00
21
25
22
50
23
75
25
00
26
25
27
50
28
75
30
00
Uganda Shillings
Yield per acre (kilograms/acre)
Impact of yield and expenditure on profitability
Revenue
Expenditure
ILLUSTRATIVE
Weed control
Hybrid seeds
Basal fertiliser
Top-dresser fertiliser
Copyright © Agilis Partners Limited, 2015
Why does this topic matter to us as a grain merchandiser?
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
500 750 1000 1250 1500 1750 2000 2250 2500 2750 3000 3250 3500
MT of throughput at facility
(25% of total supply) USD / MT
Yield (kilograms/acre)
The impact of production density on capital rental rates
Our supply access (25% of all supply)
Capital rental rate per MT
Annual processing capacity and supply availability
Total annual processing capacity 115,200
Total acres available 97,812
Capital services requirements
Capital investment 7,500,000
Years to return capital 7
Required IRR 15%
Annual capital service 1,714,286
ILLUSTRATIVE
Copyright © Agilis Partners Limited, 2015
A multi-dimensional challenge prevents producers from achieving their productive potential
Ugandan farmers lack reliable & value
responsive markets. Because today’s markets do not differentiate for quality and are highly unreliable, farmers do not invest in intensive
agricultural production.
Co
mp
etitive
Markets
The productive yields of the industry are fractions of the potential yield. High yield variety inputs are rarely
genuine, always costly and largely inaccessible.
Agricultural Services
Access to financial services to bridge the
working capital requirements between planting and harvest is limited by substantial
risks in today’s system. Fin
anci
al S
erv
ice
s
Copyright © Agilis Partners Limited, 2015
These market failures perpetuate poor quality and low uptake in the Ugandan agri-input industry.
• Low competition in the input retail industry and limited verifiable real-time information on quality of product (i.e. reputation risk takes a long time to catch up to the retailer) enable short-term profit maximization.
• Output market risk and limited liquidity drive high price sensitivity and low demand for differentiated inputs. This disincentivises input manufacturers and retailers to differentiate product.
• Farmers misconceive the value of inputs due to improper use. This drives low demand for inputs. This disincentivizes input manufacturers and retailers to differentiate product.
• Ineffective implementation of regulatory frameworks / consumer protection enables fraudulent business practices to thrive.
Copyright © Agilis Partners Limited, 2015
Agricultural Seeds and Plant Act of 1994
• Establishment of a National Seed Industry Authority: ‘There is established a National Seed Industry Authroity’
• Roles of the Authority: ‘Establishing a system of implementing seed policies…coordinating and monitoring the public and private seed sector’
• Labelling and packaging: ‘All seed offered for sale shall be properly labelled and sealed…Any person who sells for sowing any seed under a description other than its varietal name commits an offence.’
• Quality verification: ‘All…domestic varieties of seeds or breeding materials shall be tested for a minimum of three successive generations before their release’
• Consequences: ‘Forfeiture or destruction without compensation of that substandard prescribed seed.’
Copyright © Agilis Partners Limited, 2015
Our solution to this challenges starts with end-to-end intensification and integration of the agricultural value chain
Jose
ph
In
itia
tive
Tec
hn
olo
gy
Pla
tfo
rm
Competitive Markets
Agr
icu
ltu
ral
Serv
ices
Finan
cial Services
JI Village Agent
Joseph Center
JI Village Agent
Joseph Center
JI Village Agent
Structurally Aligned
Efficiently Capitalized
Regionally Integrated
Transparent & Formal
Kampala Juba Nairobi Kigali Bujumbura
Processing Network
Reta
il &
Co
nsu
mer
Po
st-
Harv
est
Man
ag
em
en
t &
Dis
trib
uti
on
Pri
mary
Pro
du
cti
on
Uga
nd
an S
up
ply
Reg
ion
al D
eman
d
Copyright © Agilis Partners Limited, 2015
This supports a village-based smallholder development ecosystem that addresses input, output and capital market failures in-unison.
Production: We stock high quality productive inputs like seeds and fertilizers. We negotiate with suppliers to obtain bulk pricing, guarantee genuine products and we localize distribution through our Joseph Centre’s production storage centres and human network.
Market: We are the only reliable and value responsive buyer of maize grain accessible to smallholders. Our fluid access to regional markets and working capital and our village-based penetration, increases farmers’ liquidity, reduces market risk and drives demand for quality inputs.
Finance: We arrange financing for farmers in partnership with Opportunity Bank. Our post-harvest and marketing capabilities and infrastructure reduce default risk and ensure farmers’ bankability; our village network of thousands of farmers delivers transactional volumes for lenders.
Production
Currently, we operate 60 rural input distribution and
grain collection hubs
Copyright © Agilis Partners Limited, 2015
We are strengthening the production link of the agricultural value chain.
• As a production nucleus, Asili Farms enables rapid commodity diversification and reduces raw material risk. This supports Agilis’s investments in post-harvest and grain merchandising infrastructure by increasing throughput.
• Bulk injections of over USD 1,000,000 in input purchases strengthen local and global suppliers’ ability and interest to serve the local industry.
• Asili Farms functions as a technology transfer center where we test and transfer technology to smallholders who supply the Joseph Initiative.
Asili Farms Farmer Appreciation Day Season A 2015
Copyright © Agilis Partners Limited, 2015
Proposed intervention priorities
• Regulate the industry to drive accountability and eliminate today’s widespread fraud
• Promote real-time dissemination of information on quality of agri-inputs • Increase public sector support of intensification of agricultural production (5-
5,000 hectares farmer) to leverage private sector accountability to strengthen the industry and its ability to serve smallholders
• Discontinue donor support for enterprises that engage in fraudulent business practices or supply poor-quality inputs
• Increase public sector support of formal-sector off-takers to spur farmer demand for high quality inputs by reducing market risk for the farmer
• Finance innovative solutions to quality input preservation and distribution to spur farmer demand
• Continue investment in extension services to promote optimal use
Copyright © Agilis Partners Limited, 2015